Royals Review: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
New Blog: Voodoo Five for South Florida Bulls Fans!

Bob Dutton says there are talks for Teahen for Franklin Gutierrez, Ben Francisco or minor-leaguer Trevor Crowe.

about 1 year ago Pressgrove_sermon_drawing_6-4-08_tiny daverclear 431 comments 2 recs  | 

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

If I had to rank those guys in order of preference...

…it would probably go, Francisco, Crowe, and Gutierrez, but of those three, only Francisco really excites me. Gutierrez has had one decent year (2007) bracketed by two pretty awful years (2006 and 2008), although to be fair, this was the first year in which Gutierrez was playing mostly full-time. Crowe is a borderline top-10 prospect for the Indians who did ok splitting time between AA and AAA ball, but I don’t know if he really is MLB-ready yet. The big knock against Francisco would be his age (he just turned 27, whereas Crowe and Gutierrez are both fairly younger).

What I don’t get about Francisco is why the Indians saw the need to keep him in AAA ball for as long as they did—with the exception of his abbreviated 2008 AAA stats (which, in the context of his career numbers, seems like an outlier), he was consistently hitting at around .800 OPS or higher in AAA ball since 2006. If he plays an even remotely decent center field, I’d be willing to trade Teahen for him straight-up. But for Gutierrez or Crowe, I’d probably ask for a throw-in, as their lacks of offensive production and upside, respectively, probably make them less valuable than Teahen, especially if the Indians were to move Teahen back to third base, which it appears they would like to do.

by DarthYoshi on Oct 26, 2008 6:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Intriguing

Dayton might stumble into something good here (although the fact that Mark Shapiro is considering this makes me, personally, think the Royals should hold on to Teahen).

It’s pretty funny to read that the Royals need more offense, and then bring up Gutierrez… since he’s a right-handed guy with bad platoon splits (sounds like everyone on the Royals but DDJ and Gordon) who at best, is no better than Teahen offensively over the last three years, and is actually probably worse. Bad OBP guy. He is a stud defender in right field, though — one of the best defenders in the AL — about +20 runs! It would be better to get rid of Guillen and add Gutierrez and then mix and match with DDJ (who would lose a win a year in positional value moving to left, although if Gutierrez can play better in center that DDJ [no sure thing] it works out). Personally, I doubt Dayton is after him because of his underrated defense outweighing his crappy offense, but hey, success comes in all forms. Still not sure he’s necessarily much, if any, of an upgrade on Teahen. Gutierrez is younger (25).

Fransisco is about the same age as Teahen. It’s hard to tell who’s the better defender. Another right-hander doesn’t really help the Royals that much, although he doesn’ t have a major platoon split. I think this might be selling a bit low on Teahen — same age, right-handed, equal defensive value at best. I guess if you think Teahen is a replacement level-type (and Shapiro’s interest re-enforces my belief that this isn’t the case), the Fransisco is an upgrade. I would see this as a parallel move.

Gutierrez is inferior as a hitter, but is younger than either and is a stud defender. If people don’t care about defensive stats, then get ready for a downgrade in offense, unless he “breaks out.”

Dutton also confirms the Jacobs deal… uh oh… Is Dayton really that upset by the “young guys?” I dunno… he’d have to make other moves for the Jacobs deal to make any sense. Some of this sounds like shaking things up to shake them up…

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I guess I disagree with Yoshi

I think Gutierrez is the best player of the three if they are all at current performance levels, given his defense. He also may have some offensive upside, but I wouldn’t count on it.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with d_f - I'd go with Gutierrez

Gutierrez is two years younger than Francisco and I think he has more overall talent (defense counts). I don’t know that I’d trade Teahen for Gutierrez straight up. Maybe.

Dutton also confirms the Jacobs deal… uh oh… Is Dayton really that upset by the "young guys?" I dunno… he’d have to make other moves for the Jacobs deal to make any sense. Some of this sounds like shaking things up to shake them up…

The Jacobs deal may well have been accompanied by other moves (like trading Butler or Kila). And I don’t have any problem with trading Teahen in a way that helps the Royals get better. Teahen has value, but he’s not exactly a cornerstone. I’d definitely go for Teahen for Gutierrez and Crowe, for instance. I think it takes a lot of unwarranted assuming to look at these deals and conclude that they are shaking things up for the sake of shaking things up.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't mind trading Teahen

I just don’t think I’d do it for just Francisco or just Crowe… and I like Francisco.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I'd much rather they trade Teahen for a younger player with more upside

And I think Gutierrez fits that bill. Although I think it should be Gutierrez+. I just don’t think that this rumor leads me to think that Moore is shaking things up just to shake things up. If a Teahen-for-Francisco trade goes down, I’d have to re-think that.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

BTW, Dutton didn't confirm the Jacobs trade rumor

He just relayed that the Miami Herald reported it.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 6:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ah...

Sorry if i went a bit nuts about Jacobs. It depends on who they trade for him. Everything says to me “this guy blows,” though, in the numbers.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 26, 2008 9:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I absolutely would not trade Teabag for just Crowe either

I would be open to a “Gutierrez+” package for Teahen, as NYRoyal puts it. Not sure who the throw-in would be.

by DarthYoshi on Oct 26, 2008 6:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

I guess they can through in Choo. You, Korean army and all.

Twist my arm, Guillen and Gload go the Indians to get it done.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

"THROW"

&&%%#!

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

"you know, korean army and all"

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

True, it was assuming

but using Mike Jacobs to replace either Kila or Butler (if, that is what is/was planned) seems to me to be generously described as such. It would make the rumored Butler-for-Yuniesky Betancourt deal look like a stroke of genius.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I generally agree with your assessment on Gutierrez in terms of his tools

For Francisco, however, I don’t necessarily think this would be selling low on Teabag. Teahen doesn’t play CF, and Francisco reportedly can. I don’t know what Francisco’s defensive metrics are like, but all things considered, if it is hard to tell who is the better defender between the two, then I would not consider Teahen-for-Francisco to be a parallel move because of the sole fact that Francisco plays CF and Teahen doesn’t. I would consider this an upgrade. DDJ won’t be a huge slugger for a COFer, but Francisco provides a decent amount of power for a CFer. And if Guillen could ever learn how to take a walk, that wouldn’t be a bad outfield from an offensive standpoint. They won’t win a pennant for you, but they won’t kill you either.

As for Gutierrez’s value, I go through his stats and I see a slightly better version of Joey Gathright. Francisco has better plate discipline and hits for substantially more power. If his defense in CF won’t kill us, then I think he is the preferable player to pursue.

by DarthYoshi on Oct 26, 2008 6:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Francisco is about as realistic an option in CF as Teahen is. Yeah, they could do it and maybe it wouldn’t hurt the team too much, but they’d both be well below average defensively at that position.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

if I can dig up any defensive metrics on Francisco...

…and they turn out to be significantly below-par, I am happy to re-evaluate my perspective on him. But given the anemic state of the Royals’ lineup, Francisco brings more to the table in plate discipline and power. I just don’t see much offensive upside from Gutierrez, and his age isn’t that much of a plus—he’ll be 26 by opening day 2009, so he’ll be approaching his peak fairly soon.

by DarthYoshi on Oct 26, 2008 6:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Justin Inaz has Fransisco at -2.4 runs on defense this year. He has Gutierrez at +21.2.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

so the question becomes, does Francisco's offense...

…represent a 23ish run improvement over Gutierrez’s production?

Hah.

Maybe I should care more about Gutierrez’s defense…I knew he was good, but not that good.

by DarthYoshi on Oct 26, 2008 6:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Overall, offense + defense + position adjustment

Justin has Fransisco at 12.7 runs above replacement, Gutierrez at about 23 rar. (both get negative positional adjustments for playing primarily corner outfield positions)

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you and I might agree, d_f

I don’t like Francisco in CF (unless you’re going for a really outside the box OF solution which sacrifices CF defense), but I like Gutierrez in CF a lot.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not sure Francisco is a better hitter than Gutierrez

If you compare them by age and level, they look pretty similar. They have career AAA numbers:

Gutierrez: .284/.361/.436 (parts of five seasons, age 19, 21-24)
Francisco .292/.358/.459 (parts of four seasons, age 23-26)

Gutierrez was clearly called up to the majors a little early, but still managed a good 2007 season. And Gutierrez has at least one more peak year in front of him than Francisco does.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

One potential issue with Gutierrez

his main tool that gives him his defensive advantage over Fransisco — speed — is the one that starts declining the earliest, from what little I’ve read. Plate patience, contact, isolated power, all a bit later. Now that I think about it, I’m not sure what difference it makes between them, other than it’s likely Gutierrez is at his defensive peak now. Of course, the same is true for Francisco.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

One difference between Gutierrez and Francisco

About 1.3 years. The difference in their ages means that Gutierrez is about 1.3 years further away from his peak than Francisco is. That’s 1.3 years more than Francisco away from decline and 1.3 years of potential development to improve. In short, I like Gutierrez’s chance of improving over the next three years more than Francisco’s.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 7:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

agreed

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 7:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'll spot you that Gutierrez was called up too early

…but their MLB offensive numbers paint very different stories. Both were ticketed for full-time duty for the first time this year. Francisco hit .266/.332/.438, while Gutierrez hit .248/.307/.383. In 2007, Gutierrez was still a part-time player, and I can’t help but think that made a difference (not unlike, say, Esteban German or Ross Gload—guys who generally hit better when not starting full time). This year, he regressed substantially and his production was abysmal, and he only has another year (two at most) to start hitting his peak. Gutierrez’s career MLB line produces an OPS+ that is a full 15 points higher than Gutierrez’s. A DDJ-Gutierrez-Guillen lineup would be atrocious from an OBP standpoint.

Also, that Gutierrez has one more peak year ahead of him is negated, or at least signficantly mitigated, by the fact that he is under club control for one less year than Francisco.

by DarthYoshi on Oct 26, 2008 7:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We have an age and sample size problem here
Gutierrez’s career MLB line produces an OPS+ that is a full 15 points higher than Gutierrez’s.

I assume that first “Gutierrez” was supposed to be Francisco. Francisco has all of 509 MLB at bats. That’s not even a complete season of full-time duty. I think it is hard to draw meaningful conclusions from only one season’s worth of data (or less than one). And I think it is a mistake to equate all major league experience, regardless of age. Francisco’s MLB career .329 OBP came from ages 25-26. Gutierrez’s carer .308 OBP came from ages 22-25 (mostly 24-25). And if you just look at his age 24-25 years, his OBP was .311. In short, if you leave Gutierrez in AAA until he’s 25, his major league numbers would look better. Given their ages and minor league track record, I find it difficult to argue that Francisco is going to have a better next few years than Gutierrez.

Francisco is maybe the better hitter by a little. Maybe. Gutierrez is a much, much better defender, and younger. Perhaps most importantly, Gutierrez is a realistic CFer, while Francisco is not. To me, the choice is clear.

Also, that Gutierrez has one more peak year ahead of him is negated, or at least signficantly mitigated, by the fact that he is under club control for one less year than Francisco.

I don’t see it that way. For Francisco, that one additional year is going to be in his 30’s when he’s a few years past his peak. Since I think we’re talking about players who are only pretty good and no better than that (this goes for Teahen, Francisco and Gutierrez), I don’t think I’m too excited about the chance to have these guys for their age 31 season. They are all limited players, none of which is likely to be average hitters for a corner position. I’d much rather have 4 years of Gutierrez in CF than 5 years of Francisco in RF.

francisco .329 25-26

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 7:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've come to agree with y'all on Gutierrez's defense

but I don’t think calling them similar hitters is accurate. It isn’t just OBP, Francisco has shown a greater potential for power as well. Gutierrez’s SLG is about as abysmal as his OBP. Sure, Francisco has one extra year of experience, but he has a track record of fairly consistent production throughout his career, minors and majors. Gutierrez simply does not.

Again: the more and more I read about Gutierrez’s defensive metrics, the more I am willing to concede he seems to be the better player overall. But I disagree with putting him and Francisco in the same camp offensively.

by DarthYoshi on Oct 26, 2008 8:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not sure about their respective offenses, either

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 8:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

but I don’t think calling them similar hitters is accurate. It isn’t just OBP, Francisco has shown a greater potential for power as well. Gutierrez’s SLG is about as abysmal as his OBP. Sure, Francisco has one extra year of experience, but he has a track record of fairly consistent production throughout his career, minors and majors. Gutierrez simply does not.

In AAA, Francisco’s Isolated Power is only about 10 points higher than Gutierrez. In the majors, the difference is greater, but again, can we really take a lot of meaning from 500 AB’s?

But I disagree with putting him and Francisco in the same camp offensively.

Why? Because of Francisco’s one good partial year of hitting in the majors? Because their minor league stats (when you compare same age and same level) are very, very similar.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 8:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

what about body type?

Would that be a good reason?

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A good reason for what?

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

this isn't going anywhere good

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

power projection.

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 27, 2008 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They have similar bodies

Gutierrez is an inch taller, IIRC, and Francisco is just a little heavier. I guess Gutierrez has a bit more room to fill out. I don’t think the small difference in their bodies amounts to much.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

THAT's what I was looking for

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I personally think Teahen has at least as much chance ot play CF as Francisco

although I see that I disagree with NYRoyal re: Teahen vs. Gutierrez in CF. Viva la differance!

Teahen’s metrics (insert “all defensive metrics should be taken with a grain of salt” line here) are all over the place - UZR had him as the third best defensive RF in the AL in 2007 at +10 runs- although Guterriez, was the best at +20 or so, iirc. Some have him below average this year and last. Maybe this just reflects him being jerked around defensively the last two years.

Who knows with Teahen — I have given up on the guy a number of times, but I just can’t quit him. I know this is unfair to DMGM, but I guess that, despite questionable draft strategy, I see Shapiro and the Indians in general (Woolner!) as being way ahead of the Royals in terms of overall position player evaluation.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

How Far Is

Crowe from the bigs? For some reason I like the idea of taking a flyer on potential.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Oct 26, 2008 7:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

he split time between AA and AAA ball this year

He put together a decent line in AA ball. His AAA line wasn’t as good. He could probably use another year in the minors.

by DarthYoshi on Oct 26, 2008 7:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Unfortunately, his potential is limited

He isn’t a great, high-ceiling prospect. He didn’t make it to AAA until age 24. That’s not a good sign. He’s an ok prospect. Quite frankly, I think he’s most likely going to end up as a Teahen/Francisco/Gutierrez quality player.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 7:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

TEAHEN TO SECOND NOW

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 8:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've Suggested It

As a last option.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Oct 26, 2008 8:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

by the way(here I got again)

If Dayton can’t pull this off, but still wants some better OF — Ryan Langerhans is/was available for free earlier. Geez, he’s even a former Brave! Yeah, he’s older (28), and hasn’t hit that well (although not as bad as you’d think — was OK in Washington this year, inconsistent playing time since his early Atlanta days), but his defense profiles as a poor man’s Gutierrez — studly in the corners, at least average in center. If they don’t think Mitch can cut it and they figure out that Gathright sucks, he’d be a good budget 4th OF.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 7:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Seen him recently?

Langerhans is pretty bad man.
Good defender though.

by Royal from Queens on Oct 26, 2008 7:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hmmm

I liked his .380 OBP this year (small sample size) and his .350 OBP in 2006. Given his great defense, he sounds like a 4th OFer upgrade to me. And the price is right.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 7:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he's the white endy chavez

the minor subplot around the time of the nerdy Mark Ellis brouhaha

Tango liked my joke it was unprecendented for a Gritty White Guy like Ellis to give the “Athletic Black Guy” discount and still retain Gritty White Guy Status. If the O-Dog gets the Gritty White Guy Bonus, the universe may explode.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 8:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Are you buddy-buddy with Tom now?

Soon you’ll be palling around with terrorists.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 8:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know...

Not really… I l ike reading over there, and I’ve posted a few times… but those guys are way, way beyond my abiilties… learned a lot, though.

Pretty funny how there seem to be “rungs” of the sabermetric ladder… Or better yet, concentric circles. The Tango/MGL crowd is in the center, and look down on the others, even if they don’t mean to (and, hey, maybe they should — everything they write that my tiny brain understands has been pretty convincing). The best stats people at BP, THT, and others like Symborski may be in this, but are more ikely in the next circle. Then third circle out are the BP “writers” like Sheehan and Karhl, also maybe Neyer, whom the “inner circle” likes, but occasionally gets really angry with and savages from time to time.

Or, more likely, I’m full of crap.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 8:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What they do in games?

With all the numbers in the thread, who LOOKED like the better player?
I mean I know for a fact Guittierez was nice with the defense. I don’t need stats to tell me that, although its good to know I’m not crazy in analyzing the defensive skill.

I personally can’t remember the approaches Guitierez or Francisco had. Does anyone remember what they saw at the plate from those two?

by Royal from Queens on Oct 26, 2008 7:51 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd trade Teahen for any of 'em and be cool with it

You can throw as many stats as you want at me, but that’s the way I feel.

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 8:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Prepare to be bonked in the head with wOBA

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 8:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you'd trade him for used pitching machine

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 8:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I might

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 8:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Migrating over here from Let’s Go Tribe, where we have a similar, if slightly upside down thread.

First, how was Teahen’s defense at 3B? My sense is not good, but I’d appreciate your thoughts.

Regarding the Tribe outfielders, my thought is that Gutierrez is far and away the best of these guys. It is unclear what kind of a hitter he’s going to be (pretty good in 2007, terrible the first half of 2008, pretty good in the second half of 2008), but he is an elite defender. By several metrics, he was one the best defensive OFer in the game last year and his value would be improved even more by a switch to CF. Francisco is a major league 4th OFer. Defense is serviceable, but not good at the corners, more of a wildcard in CF. Good contact hitter, though, with ok gap power. Crowe has regularly been injured and aside from a few short hot flashes, hasn’t done much other than hit singles.

by APV on Oct 26, 2008 8:07 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Just agreeing with my LGT countryman: Gutierrez could have a lot of value for the Indians as a reserve CF and a platoon partner for Choo. I’m not sure Gutierrez for Teahen is equal value. If you want an accurate picture of Francisco, take a look at his second-half 2008 numbers, not his early summer hot stretch. I would never get him as a regular starter if I could help it, let alone a full-time CF. And Crowe … you can have him. Lots of luck.

by fleerdon on Oct 26, 2008 8:11 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

First, how was Teahen’s defense at 3B? My sense is not good, but I’d appreciate your thoughts.

I always thought his defensive skills at 3B looked pretty good. The advanced defensive metrics say he was crap. I think he basically handles what is hit to him pretty well, but his range isn’t so good. He isn’t going to make a lot of mistakes, but he also isn’t going to get to much at the edge of his zone or out of his zone.

What do you think of a trade of Teahen for Gutierrez? Fair? Unfair to the Indians?

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 8:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

unfair to the Indians, but I have an admitted mancrush on Gutierrez’s defense

by APV on Oct 26, 2008 8:13 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

adding…Gutz has the best skill (his defense) of any of the players in this discussion, and he manifests it at a high value position (CF).

by APV on Oct 26, 2008 8:14 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I guess it depends how much the Indians want Teahen as their third baseman

That’s the only reason the trade makes sense for the Indians at all.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 8:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like Gutierrez, too

as you can hopefully tell from above.

Doesn’t seem to be much of a sample at CF, though. Maybe the best defensive RF in baseball, however.

It’s nice to have people from another SN site come in here and not pull the expected “well Teahen’s OK but if u want Francisco your going to have 2 throw in Butler.”

I won’t mention any names, though…

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gutz hasn’t played much CF because of this guy named Sizemore. But trust me, scouts and his minor league performance suggest he would be an awesome defensive CFer.

by APV on Oct 26, 2008 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

his offense worries me a bit

if he loses a step or two on defense, he could easily turn into Jose Guillen without the power.

Still, as you see from above, I really, really like him. Was hoping Cleveland would sour on his bat and sell low as a 4th OF/platoon guy/backup CF to the Royals. Should’ve figured Shapiro is to smart for that.

Can’t wait until the Royals get some computers in their offices.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have to say, I’ll be shocked if Gutz was traded straight up for Teahen. Cleveland has some pretty smart guys in the front office and I think they realize the value of Gutz’s defense. Either of the other two make a lot more sense.

by APV on Oct 26, 2008 8:29 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Gutierrez is the OF version of Mark Ellis

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 8:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

maybe…although Gutierrez was once projected as a big-time power guy and for awhile in 2007 actually looked like he was going to follow through on that projection. He can hit moonshot homeruns.

by APV on Oct 26, 2008 8:52 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

You know that was supposed to be a big compliment, right?

I thought the S. S. Mark Ellis left port from letsgotribe?

Ellis has hit 10 more homers the last two years than FGut (yeah, playing time, so on and so forth).

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 8:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's what I remembered

I couldn’t even get it to dock here, although I guess Beane sunk it to begin with

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 9:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

saw it already

I think the Royals deserved Ellis more, since Allard “I may be stupid, but at at least I didn’t sign Jose Guillen for 3/36” Baird drafted him (I think, maybe it was Robinson.

Maybe that means they deserved him less.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that was you...

awesome

I guess you still have Asdrubal… what’s with the warlock name?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 9:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

his brother i think. got cut off in northern italy when they ran out of elephants

Anti-Ben Fran before it was cool.

by Gradyforpresident on Oct 27, 2008 12:38 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

shot this guy now...!!

If you want Grienke…. what do you think would be fair? Do you have the prospects to get him? (seriously, I’m interested)

And what is your opinion on Grienke? Ace now? Future ace? Overrated?

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think he's participating in my joke

remember all the Rangers guys who thought that Texas should be able to get Greinke without giving up Davis as part of the package?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you are probably right

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 8:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Who said its selling low?

They’d be getting their replacement for Casey Blake! Corner IF and OFextrodinaire

by Royal from Queens on Oct 26, 2008 8:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Selling low

….meaning that they are selling their player (Gutierrez) when he is at low value (now) rather than when he had a higher value (after the 2007 season).

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

alright relax

It’s something called a joke

by Royal from Queens on Oct 26, 2008 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just trying to help

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 9:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The difference is

They have more of a glut of OFers since the Sabathia trade, and they really want a new 3B.

by BrRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 8:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

only if we can immediately turn Teahen around for two prospects equivalent to Carlos Santana and John Meloan

by APV on Oct 26, 2008 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

NEVER…underestimate the power of Mark Shapiro!

…besides I bet we can get Seattle and LA (dodgers) in a bidding war over Teahen.

by world dictator on Oct 26, 2008 8:35 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I joined from LGT to rec this.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 26, 2008 9:40 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

how come things turn green with just 2 recs here?

by APV on Oct 26, 2008 10:02 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Because that is how the boss set it here

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

because our boss rules!!

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

and yours sucks....

that’s what she said!

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 28, 2008 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don’t hold our superior humor against them. if you’re a fan of any Cleveland team developing a sense of humor is mandatory.

by world dictator on Oct 26, 2008 10:16 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

woh…just one rec

by APV on Oct 26, 2008 10:17 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

We rec comments very sparingly around here

Here, one rec on a comment is a lot (and often more than it deserves).

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We rec if someone suggests a good beer. And I like it that way.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 26, 2008 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Culture clash

With these kinds of fundamental differences, I don’t know if Royals fans will ever be able to relate to Indians fans. Can’t we all just get along?

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:31 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Depends, what kind of beer do you like?

by world dictator on Oct 26, 2008 10:31 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Sure. Rec for no hard feelings.

Get green up in this mother.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 26, 2008 11:00 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

after a little rethinking

Teahen for Gutierrez would be an enormous steal for us. He’s an elite defender wherever you put him in the outfield, and he has offensive upside (second half stats!).

I’d even throw in a little something extra to get him, not a lot, but a little.

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 8:42 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Gordon

bad attitude — sometimes he doesn’t even swing, and then he just WALKS to first base, as if he deserved a BASE because of the BALLS he took… I’m not sure what it’s called. Lazy Guy’s discount, I think.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 8:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

When I said above that it would take Gutierrez+, I was thinking of him merely as a corner OFer. Since he can play CF, and probably play it well, that changes a lot. I’d be happy to take Gutierrez for Teahen straight up. They can have a throw-in if necessary (Blake Johnson, Paulo Orlando, Mario Lisson).

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 8:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But Orlando will be +40 in CF!

Even if he bottoms out at his collapse rate of .280/.360/.480, that’s still pretty good.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 9:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Giving up Paulo would hurt

…but sometimes you have to take the big risks.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We Gave So

Much to get him, we must not give him up for less.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Oct 27, 2008 1:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Pujols!!!!!!1!!!11!1!11!!

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 27, 2008 2:09 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Pessimist

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 9:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

WTF

So, I read for weeks that Teahen may wind up being a non-tender candidate. But suddenly Crowe or Francisco or Gutierrez are not fair value in return. Are you kidding? If anything, I think the Royals would need to pitch in another player to land Gutierrez, who is one of the better OF defensively in the whole game. If Gutz offense comes around he could end up being a star. I think Teahen for Crowe or Francisco, straight up, is more than fair.

by MickS on Oct 26, 2008 9:16 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

No, of course he's not a non-tender candidate

Where have you been reading this for weeks? He’s a good value for the money. Not a great player. Not an average corner OFer. But a good player, and particularly a nice value at 3B.

But suddenly Crowe or Francisco or Gutierrez are not fair value in return. Are you kidding?

Neither Francisco nor Crowe would be a fair value straight up. Don’t even get me started on Crowe. He’s not even a particularly good prospect. He’s an ok prospect and that’s about it. Francisco has decent numbers in 500 MLB at bats and he’s the same age as Teahen. Neither is a great hitter. Neither is a bad hitter. Neither is or will be an average hitting corner OFer. They are very similar. But Teahen has at least had a season where he performed at a considerably higher level. One of the reasons this wouldn’t be a good deal for the Royals is that it doesn’t help us a bit. It is a trade of one sub-par corner OFer for another. That doesn’t help us. It helps the Indians by giving you a 3B. The Royals would need to fill a position of need with an upgrade. So Gutierrez who can play CF would make sense. I think Teahen plus a throw-in for Gutierrez would be fair. And by throw-in I mean a decent prospect, but certainly not a top 10.

I think Teahen for Crowe or Francisco, straight up, is more than fair.

I think that is rampant homerism.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t want to speak for the Royals front office but I suspect their thoughts about Fransisco being an upgrade on Teahen go something like this:

- Fransisco is cheaper than Teahen
- Fransisco plays better defense than Teahen
- Fransisco can play a decent CF
- Fransisco is just as good offensively as Teahen right now
- Fransisco strikes out a lot less than Teahen
- Fransisco could potentially be better, and more consistent, than Teahen

I base the last sentence on the fact that while Teahen had a great year in 2006, his productivity has gone down every year since. Bottomline, there’s a potential upside for both teams in a Teahen for Fransisco trade but they’re both gambling to a certain degree.

I can see why you want Franklin over Fransisco, he’s a somewhat proven commodity because of his defense, but I don’t think Fransisco for Teahen would be a horrible trade for the Royals.

by world dictator on Oct 26, 2008 10:42 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I don't think it would be horrible either

But I think it would be rearranging the deck chairs, instead of actually improving the team. And since Teahen can play 3B, there will be other suitors as well. I’m not saying someone is going to offer the Royals a great young player, but there’s no reason at this point to sell Teahen for essentially the same player, who plays the same position, roughly at the same level, who is the same age.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is largely how we feel about Teahen, I think. While Teahen would save us some money over a FA we could probably get Casey Blake to come back for pretty cheap.

What we’d all actually like is to get a, you know, a good third basemen. Just like I’m sure you guys would prefer to get something better than Francisco or Gutz who are each sort of ok but not actually good.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I’m not sure what the market is for a player who OPS’ed .715 last year. I’m not being a smartass, I’m just genuinely wondering what the value of “the better prospect” you’ll get for Teahen is.

I sort of understand where you’re coming from regarding rearranging deck chairs. But BenFran is definetely a potential upgrade over Teahen. It doesn’t have the “wow factor” and I doubt it’s meant to win the division next year, but it is a solid upgrade IMO.

by world dictator on Oct 26, 2008 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I don’t think any GM evaluates talent by looking at only one season of stats.

. But BenFran is definetely a potential upgrade over Teahen.

Potentially, yes. And there is also potential that Teahen will perform better than Francisco (he’s done it before).

but it is a solid upgrade IMO.

Would anyone be surprised if Francisco had a 90 OPS+ next year? I wouldn’t. I’m just saying his improvement and upgrade over Teahen’s career numbers is anything but assured.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am in fact predicting that Ben Francisco will have 90 OPS+ next year.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

even i’ll agree to this

Anti-Ben Fran before it was cool.

by Gradyforpresident on Oct 27, 2008 12:41 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Note to RR people: just read his signature.

by Voltaire on Oct 27, 2008 12:45 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

i just wish i would have bet you something on ben fran

Anti-Ben Fran before it was cool.

by Gradyforpresident on Oct 27, 2008 12:47 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I will man up to being dead wrong.

by Voltaire on Oct 27, 2008 12:48 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I don’t think any GM evaluates talent by looking at only one season of stats.

Is three years a good sample size to look at? Mark Teahen:

OPS:
2006: 874
2007: 763
2008: 715

That’s what we call a downward regression.

Look I think we agree on the nuts and bolts but you’re missing the big picture, IMO. I am by no means telling you that BenFran is going to come into Kansas City and rock your faces off. I’m also not saying he’s a guarantee to produce the same very respectable numbers he put up this year. My point is that there’s an almost an equal chance that BenFran puts up the same numbers he did last years vs Teahen rebounding. (Personally I think there’s a bit of a better chance for BenFran putting up similar numbers) But its a gamble on both sides.

But at the very least, if BenFran sucks to the tune of .715 OPS in 2009, he’ll do it cheaper, with better defense, and less strike outs.

by world dictator on Oct 26, 2008 11:03 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

That’s what we call a downward regression.

Yes, I see the trendline. I also know that his value does not equal a .715 OPS player. You may think he’s really just a .715 OPS player, but I doubt most GM’s see it that way. Nor should they.
 My point is that there’s an almost an equal chance that BenFran puts up the same numbers he did last years vs

Teahen rebounding. (Personally I think there’s a bit of a better chance for BenFran putting up similar numbers) But its a gamble on both sides.

Why gamble at all? Teahen is going to hit better than .715 OPS next year. You can count on that. If they are going to trade Teahen, they should do it for some area of need, not for the same player.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Couldn't agree more NY

I’ve been reading all this and just wanting someone to say: This trade means nothing!

OK, I realize it’s the World Series and we all wish that our teams were there instead (wait, I wish the Royals could’ve been in some sort of race) and there is nothing to talk about. Based on stats, this seems like we are talking about trading the same guy. Guys who had upside, are souring on the fans now, but we still have a glimmer of hope that they will turn it around.

I guess this is where GM’s make their money. Who will be the one to pick the guy that actually turns it around? Will they turn it around at all? This seems like a change of scenery type of trade and I guess the excitement comes from getting a new player. I’m pretty sure everyone agrees that this is not something to turn our team around.

Does anyone else have the fear that we will trade Teahen and he will “figure it out” somewhere else? I don’t know if I’m the only one.

by I need more Esteban on Oct 27, 2008 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not much fear

I don’t think Francisco or Teahen are going to ever have a big breakout (probably they’ve already head whatever breakout they are ever going to have). Of all of the players mentioned, I think Gutierrez is the most likely to eventually have a significant breakout season and go from being a mediocre player to a genuinely good one.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I find all of your points compelling. Except for the ones without warrants, analysis, or evidence. IE all of them :-)

by world dictator on Oct 28, 2008 1:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fransisco can play a decent CF

I would like to take huge issue with this statement.

by Voltaire on Oct 26, 2008 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

he can't?

Or less than decent?

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would sooner rip my eyes out than watch him attempt to play center field. Unless he’s doing it for another team. Then I’d tune in for the lolz.

by Voltaire on Oct 26, 2008 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I think defensive reviews on BenFran are mixed. I tend to lean closer to Voltaire.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 26, 2008 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I have seen Francisco get some pretty bad jumps and take some brutal routes on fly balls.

However, he does have a really good arm.

by woodsmeister on Oct 27, 2008 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Sounds a bit like Emil Brown

and that’s actually not a put down.. Well, Emil’s a bench guy now, but recently I went back and ran some numbers on his 2005 and 2006 seasons for the Royals. We joke around here about Emil, but I was shocked at what I found once I used wOBA and UZR… basically, Emil was a better than a 4 WAR OF in each of those seasons.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

am I being mocked?

I’ve got two half-done posts in the pipe that I’m too burned out to finish, but I’ll get to it later… I was going to use it as an excuse to figure out how to homebrew, via a baseruns spreadsheet, linear weights analysis of player value, then use it on Emil just to make sure. I’ll probably just use woBA and UZr… Seriously, though, if someone knew they could sign a guy and he would put up 2006 Emil Brown, he’d be worth at least $20 million on today’s market… I’m not kidding. That’s really messed up…

Gotta hand it to Allard on that one.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

OK....

Once I get my “Gold Glove DHs, 2008” and “The Physics of the Importence: Luck, Power, and the 2008 Royals” done and published, I’ll do something. Maybe we can collab and you can make it funnier…

I just looked at my chart…. A 4 WAR player (and Emil may have been better than that) would get something like 2/38,3/56, 4/72 these days, depending on age. I dunno, maybe he would get knocked down for being in his 30s…so 1/17, 2/33, 3/48, 4/60.

Note that I am not saying that anyone in their right mind would have resigned Emil for that. Just that a player without the failed prospect baggage but with the “4 WAR” numbers would get.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think that is rampant homerism.

I don’t think he’s an Indians fan necessarily. He doesn’t talk like he is, and he’s not even registered at LetsGoTribe.

by Jay on Oct 26, 2008 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Then keep Teahen

Who cares? You guys are the hopeless homers.

by MickS on Oct 26, 2008 9:40 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Right on

That jerk NYroyal.

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 9:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Uh oh, it looks like fan trade negotiations have broken down

Next time you want to play around with the trade value of players, look at some stats and also consider the position(s) the players play.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 9:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

From rotoworld.com

"The Royals and Indians are discussing a deal that would send Mark Teahen to Cleveland for Franklin Gutierrez, Ben Francisco or Trevor Crowe.

We’re surprised that the Indians would opt to settle for Teahen at third base when he’s put up OPSs of 763 and 715 the last two years. And it’s not like his triple crown stats are any better. He’s also average at best defensively. The Indians can afford to spare an outfielder, but if they’re going to bother trading for a third baseman rather than move Johnny Peralta to the position, they should attempt to do better."

by MickS on Oct 26, 2008 9:44 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

Shapiro will never win his fantasy league that way!

Wait… is the Al Central 5×5 or head to head?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 26, 2008 9:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

6x6!!!1!!1!!!!1

They also count OBP!

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 9:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rotoworld knows all

Good lord. You’re serious, Mick?

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 9:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just heard about this

Initial thoughts:

(1) Gutierrez is the only one that would make me want to do the trade.

(2) Seems like kind of a lateral move – mediocre hitter for mediocre hitter

(3) I don’t understand why this franchise is so hell bent on moving DJ to left.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 26, 2008 9:54 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That Gutierrez would be a good CFer makes it interesting

The tools and stats make it appear that Gutierrez would be a good defensive CFer. And I think his hitting would be sufficient for CF as well (with the potential to be a plus for the position). If DeJesus is slowing, and therefore his defense is getting worse, then I don’t mind upgrading CF defense (with someone who can hit for the position) and moving DJ to a corner position.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yea, I think Franklin in CF would be great defensively

And thusly, DJ in leftfield would be a defensive upgrade. But it also probably hurts us offensively to move DJ from center to left and replace him in center with someone not quite as good. I guess beggars can’t be choosy. Hopefully a DJ/Franklin outfield opens the way for the Royals to acquire a defensively-challenged third corner OF like Dunn or Burrell, provided they can move JoGui.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 26, 2008 10:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t understand why this franchise is so hell bent on moving DJ to left.

I don’t get it either. Then again, I don’t/didn’t understand:

1) Butler for Yuniesky Betancourt (fell through, thank Xenu)
2) J. P. Howell for Joey Gathright
3) Gload acquisition
4) Gload extension
5) Gload starting

what’s the possible link?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If you were trying to make me laugh, you have suceeded

“Trey, is that your wife? That oatmeal needs some brown sugar…”

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hi. LGT in the house.

We don’t know who Mick S is, if that wasn’t clear.

I know you guys are going to look at things from your perspective but it Franklin’s ability in the OF cannot be overstated. He has far and away the best single skill of anyone involved in the discussion and, for that reason, I doubt he’s actually on the table.

Most metrics seem to agree (and if there’s one thing the Indians’ FO keeps up on, it’s metrics) that Gutierrez is one of the best, if not the very best, defensive RFs in the majors. Most scouts also seem to agree that he could be the best CF in the majors if he played there. In short, he’s Coco Crisp with a cannon.

I don’t really love Teahen but I’d be fine with Francisco for him; it seems like two very similar players except that Teahen can play 3B. I guess the added value for the Royals is saving cash on BFran? Or maybe it’s just some kind of challenge trade?

I hope Teahen isn’t out big solution at third.

Is Butler really on the market? I saw on that on rotoworld or something.

How about Shoppach, Sowers, Crowe, and Kelvin de la Cruz for Butler and Greinke?

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:30 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

I have no problem giving up Butler...

Grienke however… that’s another beast…

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What's fair in your opinion for Butler?

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, what I wrote up there is probably a start.

Straight up for Butler? I don’t know. Off the top of my head you guys probably want pitching, middle infield, and catching right?

I’d do Shoppach for Butler probably. Maybe Shoppach plus a B-B+ prospect.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:38 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Hmmm....

answer to our catching question and more… hmmmm… very tempting…

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

really?

I mean, I know Butler doesn’t have a position, but the kid is 22-23. Let’s wait till he get’s his man strength before we are shopping him for a player at one of the least important offensive positions.

by I need more Esteban on Oct 27, 2008 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

KC needs a decent corner outfielder more

Unfortunately, contracts preclude Dayton from replacing the worst one by far. that dang Allard Baird!

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:56 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know you guys are going to look at things from your perspective but it Franklin’s ability in the OF cannot be overstated. He has far and away the best single skill of anyone involved in the discussion and, for that reason, I doubt he’s actually on the table.

Not all skills are created equal. Franklin is great defensively, but also has a career OPS+ of 86. Teahen isn’t nearly as good defensively, but has a career OPS+ of 98 and can play (and has played) all four corner positions.

I don’t really love Teahen but I’d be fine with Francisco for him; it seems like two very similar players except that Teahen can play 3B. I guess the added value for the Royals is saving cash on BFran? Or maybe it’s just some kind of challenge trade?

I just don’t see how this helps the Royals. It’s not an unfair deal, it just isn’t a net positive for the Royals.

Is Butler really on the market? I saw on that on rotoworld or something.

No one in the organization is saying that. It’s guesswork. Some think the GM doesn’t like him, but there is no real evidence of that, and certainly nothing he’s said supports that.

How about Shoppach, Sowers, Crowe, and Kelvin de la Cruz for Butler and Greinke?

Don’t take this the wrong way, but are you serious?

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hmm, maybe I’m not serious. Shoppach is pretty coveted in some circles.

How about Shoppach, Sowers, Crowe, Gutierrez and David Huff?

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I wouldn't give you Greinke alone for that package

Greinke is a current ace with his best years still ahead of him. It is going to take a monster package to get him. A handful of mediocre players do not add up to one great player. I like Shoppach. Sowers is, IMO, awful. Crowe is a mediocre prospect. I like Gutierrez, but his hitting doesn’t exactly blow you away.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

what about LaPorta?

Is that attainable?

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

there is the answer on ZG then.

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No LaPorta

No Grienke…

of course it’ll take LaPorta and a few others to get ZG

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

For Greinke? Probably. If the Indians’ FO liked Greinke, which I doubt they do because they are pretty obsessed with “make-up” I think they’d do that.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:46 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Certainly not straight up

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I can’t even tell who we each think wouldn’t do this straight up. Operating in another fandom is dizzying.

LaPorta has a pretty solid chance of becoming…Billy Butler! And we’ve come full circle.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

i'm dizzy now.

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LaPorta has a lot of upside

Greinke has a lot of upside, and a good performance history.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It’s that versus ZG’s, what, 3 years of service left and LaPorta’s 6 or whatever.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Service time does count

However, no one would consider a trade of a current young, cheap ace for a prospect a fair trade.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought it was two years of ZG before FA

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:57 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You actually probably could have gotten LaPorta during the season.

From the Brewers.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 26, 2008 11:11 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

totally redundant with Jose Guillen, Ross Gload, and Ryan Shealy

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, I don’t really think that’s a handful of mediocre players. Shoppach has a lot of value and Huff is a top 30 prospect or around there I’m guessing. The other guys are definitely very mediocre.

Shoppach, Huff, Beau Mills, Aaron Laffey and Gutierrez?

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

WD

What do you think of ZG personally?

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Greinke has the possibility to be Peavy

without the injury concern….that is my optimistic view, of course.

by I need more Esteban on Oct 27, 2008 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And he's pitching in a better league

and not in the most favorable pitcher’s park in baseball

I like Peavey, but put him in context

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're in the ballpark

I’d have to learn more about the prospects

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think that’s probably where Shap would want Dayton to start (wanting that package) and then Shap would try to get Huff or Laffey dropped out of it for a couple of other guys.

But, as I said, I don’t think Shap would want much to do with Greinke.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:50 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Please stop, you’re making me nervous. Not that Greinke isn’t awesome.

That’s just a lot of names to process losing at once.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 26, 2008 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

You’ll notice who never makes it onto my “To Trade” lists.

Our giant Canadian killing machine.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Speak not his name. The Central can’t know what hit them.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 26, 2008 11:11 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

are you drunk

Anti-Ben Fran before it was cool.

by Gradyforpresident on Oct 27, 2008 12:44 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Please explain to me how Shoppach and Huff are mediocre players?

by world dictator on Oct 26, 2008 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Shoppach is better than mediocre

But he’s also not a great impact player. He’s an above average 28 year old catcher. With how many years of team control left? And I’ll readily admit that I’m not familar with Huff.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Three years left.

Huff will probably be a top-ten ranked pitching prospect. He blew through Double-A in a few months and then pitched even better in Triple-A. First-rounder from a couple years ago, had injury problems in his first pro season, so it sort of seemed like he came out of nowhere this year.

by Jay on Oct 26, 2008 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I like kelly Shoppach

but He’s sort of a rich man’s John Buck, you know what i mean? Yeah, he’s better than Buck… but Buck had 15 homers in the first couple months of the season last year. So it’s not hard to imagine him putting up something like Shoppach’s career year 2008.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We really overvalue our own players on LGT.

by Voltaire on Oct 26, 2008 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Shhh, Volatire. I’m negotiating.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:42 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Crowe is teh awesome.

by Voltaire on Oct 26, 2008 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Switch hitter FTW.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 26, 2008 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Butler being shopped

probably came from the news earlier this year that Moore tried to trade Butler for Yuniesky Betancourt during his first offseason but Bavasi turned the deal down.

That, plus the insinuation that he was sent down for “attitude/maturity” problems rather than the inability to drive the ball.

by Top Ramen on Oct 26, 2008 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

All you guys want is Yuniesky Betancourt?

Hold on, we’ll just trade for Yuniesky Betancourt and then you can have him.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Is Dellucci old enough? I KNEW there was a reason we held on to him for this long.

by world dictator on Oct 26, 2008 10:53 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

He's your card to get Kemp, Ethier, or both

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:00 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We’re still digesting Santana and Meloan.

by Voltaire on Oct 27, 2008 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I always liked Meloan

But he doesn’t appear to be improving his control problems.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’d give him a full season in the Indians system before I draw any conclusions. Hopefully his AAA season will be better.

by world dictator on Oct 28, 2008 2:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Does the Indians system have a magical effect over their pitching prospects' control?

You must have a great Roving Control Instuctor.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 28, 2008 2:07 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Its this thing called coaching. You may have heard of it.

I’m not saying the Indians are going to magically make Meloan better over night but each team teaches their own team philosophy. Some players click with some systems better than others. Some players click better with certain coaches versus others.

All I’m saying is that I’d give the Indians staff a chance to work with him before I draw conclusions.

by world dictator on Oct 28, 2008 2:11 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The only conclusions I have drawn are about how he has performed so far in his professional career. I didn’t exactly write him off as a non-prospect. I just said he has control problems which don’t appear to be getting better. He does and they don’t. Can that change in the future? Sure. Is it likely to? Hard to say. Most pitchers with serious control problems aren’t just one good coach away from having good control.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 28, 2008 2:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sure. I think what WD was getting at is that a lot of our major-leaguers are good at throwing strikes and this has usually been credited to Carl Willis and the coaching staff. Whether that’s just true or we happen to have a lot of strike-throwers I don’t know.

But I’m the wrong guy to ask about Meloan. I have an unbridled biased opinion saying he’s going to be closing by the summer and will never give the job up.

Could the whole starting gig last year have affected his control a bit? I’d like him to get full-on back into reliever mode and see what happens.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Coaching

I tend to think that scouting has more to do with having a lot of strike throwers than coaching. Maybe Willis is due some credit; I know we think very highly of McClure over here. But scouting and signing guys who throw a lot of strikes (that miss bats) would tend to give you more consistently good pitching than trying to figure out and fix what’s wrong with Ricky Vaughn. And not every player interacts well with coaching.

In Meloan’s case, I’d give him a little longer before saying he has control issues (drawing conclusions on only 9 1/3 MLB innings?). His minor league and college numbers are very promising. And he’s what 24 or so? I would guess that the Indians FO is not worried about him.

Don't Stop Believing!

by KC Chris on Oct 28, 2008 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And neither am I.

And not every player interacts well with coaching.

See: Cliff Lee.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

See: Zack Greinke and Guy Hansen

Don't Stop Believing!

by KC Chris on Oct 28, 2008 11:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Really, is that ZG’s book in your parts? I wasn’t aware of that. Does that seem real or just perceived by the press?

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

tough to coach? not tough to coach?

the only “real” evidence I know of is that he had some psychiatric issues a couple years back. In my opinion, all the evidence is that those are straightened out. If he’s only psychiatric meds (probably, I would guess) I have a hard time believing he’s the only elite player in the major leagues who is.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 28, 2008 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I understand and am aware of the psychiatric issues, but I’m not sure if what you’re saying is there’s a link to some kind of perceived un-coachability.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

no, I agree

I hadn’t heard anything about uncoachability. Well, maybe I heard something about it, but it was right before Zack went on leave, so (and I’m totally speculating — use a salt lick there) I’m assuming that any coachability issues were really symptoms of the deeper problem.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 28, 2008 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That makes more sense.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Zack was a mess

just before going on leave. He had been quoted as saying he was throwing a BP session as hard as physically possible in hopes that his arm would blow out.

I didn’t mean it as uncoachable, just coaches and pitchers clash sometimes, regardless of why.

Don't Stop Believing!

by KC Chris on Oct 28, 2008 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah, it wasn't about uncoachability

it was just that Hansen kept trying to tinker with a 22-23 year old’s mechanics, move him around the rubber, etc…

Don't Stop Believing!

by KC Chris on Oct 28, 2008 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that was a few years ago when Betencourt was highly regarded

Since then we’ve found out his offense and defense actually suck.

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 10:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't see anyone in the Indians organization

That I would give up for Grienke. Except Grady Sizemore. And that ain’t happening.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 26, 2008 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

even then, I wouldn't do Sizemore for Grienke

ZG is an ACE.. A – C – E ACE! (Volleyball chant for you there…)

Sizemore is an All Star caliber CF… pitching beats good hitting everyday.

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I love Zack

but Grady Sizemore was the best position player in the AL this year, and probably will be neck-and-neck with A-Rod every year until A-Rod’s decline (A-Rod would have been right there with him if not for missing the first few weeks).

I’m not worried, though. Paulo Orlando just needs a bit more seasoning…

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

how the hell did this turn into a Zack and Butler thread???

That’s not happening.

The Teahen trade is.

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 10:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

you really think the Teahan deal will get done?

I asked what they’d give for ZG or Butler … my bad.

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

you gotta find out what the division thinks of your players!! :0

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think he's saying that the Royals would easily deal Teahen

They wouldn’t hesitate to move him. However, Greinke is nearly untouchable.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yes...

I don’t really care that it turned into this thread actually, but DM is not trading a #1 starter within the division unless the deal is just so ridiculous you can’t turn it down.

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 10:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

ZG for Buerhle, A. J. and Josh Fields

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

and I was actually asking him if he really thought that the deal would be done...

It’s like that ESPN commercial where everyone finishes each other’s…

….sentences?

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 11:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry. We once had a guy come from Athletics Nation and ask who we would want for Grady Sizemore.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:53 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

lol.

GLOAD FOR SIZEMORE!. DO IT DM.

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 10:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

don't you love these discussions that turn into trade negotiations between blog nerds?

I’m so glad we can confirm the Bissinger/Costas stereotype.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:03 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd throw in a prospect with Teahen to get Gutierrez

But no one in the Royals top 10.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 10:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

no one in the top 25.

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 11:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i don’t think they are considered prospects at that point

by APV on Oct 26, 2008 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Give them Josh Judy!

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Rec'd

simply for a decent nickname for Gutierrez. Franklin Gutierrez is merely an underrated defensive outfielder with some upside. Gootz, on the other hand, is awesome.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:04 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sorry sir.

The rec button has been overused. It will now self destruct in 10….9….

dadgumindiansguys.

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 27, 2008 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

The only reason I don't want to trade Teahen

is that it pretty much guarantees Ross Gload will get 200+ ABs next year.

I was hoping management would find a corner OF, dump Gload, and put Teahen as the utility 1B/3B/COF/emergency CF

by Top Ramen on Oct 26, 2008 10:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hawk Harrelson loves Ross Gload.

Just saying.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 10:56 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

That too

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rowdy Hardy is playing on the Surprise Rafters with a bunch of Indians. We’re practically fans of the same team.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Teahen + Hardy for Gutierrez

If you’ll agree to do the deal right now, I’ll tell you Hardy’s fastball velocity right after the papers are signed.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 11:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You can’t fool me. We have a guy named Randy Newsom and him and Rowdy Hardy probably hang out on the weekends.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Pitchers with 80 mph fastballs are fun

He could dominate in Japan.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Newsom also throws submarine.

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

How. Did. I. Not. Know. This.

by Voltaire on Oct 26, 2008 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

the element of surprise

I thought you were a pitching fan?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:05 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am

I just wish he didn’t throw so hard. If his fastball topped out at 70, I’d really get interested in him.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 10:09 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I heard Rowdy added 40 pounds of muscle and he was throwing 96 at instructs!!!

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 26, 2008 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he added 40 pounds of muscle, he’d have a decent shot of throwing 86.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 26, 2008 11:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

(insert joke about Jose Guillen’s “penetrating veteran influence” or something)

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

another bad call by the way in the WS....

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 26, 2008 11:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Aw hell, LGT. Two guys have a civil, topical discussion with us and now we’re laying around like those friends of friends who end up at your place when everybody comes over after the bar closes and ask if it’s okay to toke up on your futon and you weren’t going to eat all those cookies your mom mailed you anyway, were you?

Oh, and sorry about the shower, man, we’ll fix that in the a.m.

by fleerdon on Oct 26, 2008 11:31 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

“Hold on. My hands just went oppo.”

by afh4 on Oct 26, 2008 11:52 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

This may be the best thread

I’ve ever been to busy to participate in.

Sarcasm™. It's the new gravy.

by jonfmorse on Oct 27, 2008 12:32 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think I like the Royals now.

by Voltaire on Oct 27, 2008 12:35 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Why are all the indians guys rec'd?

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 27, 2008 1:02 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

That's like showing up at Kauffman in Cards gear.

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 27, 2008 1:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've been wondering the same thing

It’s a disease…must….rec’d….306008’s….post.

by I need more Esteban on Oct 27, 2008 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We'uns Joads Ain't

Likin’ to much; get offa my land.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Oct 27, 2008 2:20 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I could swear I see something in Teahen's swing

that says if he leaves the Royals he’ll hit .280/.360/.550 with about 40 HRs that year. None of the names intrigues me really. Trevor Crowe was interesting 2 years ago as a leadoff speedy guy type before he stopped hitting at higher levels. Guitierrez is a borderline average corner outfield that’s not THAT young and same goes for Franklin. I might give up Teahen for one of Francisco or Gutierrez but we sure as hell shouldn’t give up extra for those. Noting the state of the farm some low minors bat or some middle/high minors middle infielder would be welcome.

by playingwithfire on Oct 27, 2008 3:51 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I have three answers

1. I think the goal of the offseason is to improve the team, period. Anything that increases the difference between the Royals Runs Scored and Runs Allowed is a good thing.

2. Moving DeJesus to LF and Gutierrez to CF improves the OF’s offense and defense.

3. It’s going to be very hard to get a significant offensive upgrade from trading Teahen. Not every move is going to end up getting the Royals an impact bat. But I wouldn’t turn my nose up at even small upgrades.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Does #2 really apply to the offense?

Sure the defense should get better with a trade for Gutierrez (even with Guillen out there),

but how does replacing a career OPS+ 98 with a career OPS+ 86 make the offense better?

by Top Ramen on Oct 27, 2008 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's the point, though

preventing a run on defense helps the run differential as much as scoring one on offense. Gutierrez didn’t hit well at all this year, but metrics still have his defensive value as good enough to be a league-average player. it’s a net gain.

Of course, if you don’t buy that particular evaluation of Gutierrez’s defense, then the stituation is different. That’s the line of thinking: you have to look at a player as a whole. Yeah, Adam Dunn is probably an awesome 40-50 runs above replacement as a hitter, but once you account for playing left field (-7.5 run adjustment) and being horrible at it (-20, at best), he’s more like an above average player than a great one.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:27 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sure the defense should get better with a trade for Gutierrez (even with Guillen out there), but how does replacing a career OPS+ 98 with a career OPS+ 86 make the offense better?

First, I think Gutierrez will be better than an 86 OPS+ going forward. With his tools and his youth, I see improvement as likely. Second, I think having a great defensive CFer in there who can hit ok will change how Hillman uses players in the OF. So I think the offensive comparison isn’t just DeJesus-Teahen-Guillen vs. DeJesus-Gutierrez-Guillen. Because this is how Hillman really used the Royals OFers:

Guillen 598 AB
Teahen 572
DeJesus 518
Gathright/Maier 370

I think if you put Gutierrez on the team, that speedy, good defense 4th OFer gets less playing time. Decrease the AB’s from offensive crap like Gathright/Maier and replace it with Gutierrez and you have an overall offensive upgrade.

I don’t expect a huge upgrade from trading Teahen, but this trade seems more like rearranging the deck chairs while ignoring the $12M hole in the side of the ship.

I know that this trade wouldn’t do anything about Guillen, but so what? If the Royals traded Esteban German for Jonathan Meloan, that wouldn’t do anything about Guillen, but it would still be a good trade. Whether the Royals do anything about Guillen (who knows if they can), Teahen-for-Gutierrez is a trade which would likely make the Royals a better team.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I could buy that

I didn’t realize just how awful the offense we got from Gator and MITCH was until I just checked b-r.

370 ABs split between a 59 OPS+ and a 72 OPS+. Ugh….

Add in another 225 ABs of 7 OPS+ and 388 ABs of 79 OPS+ from Pena and Gload, and the Royals gave over 1000 ABs to guys who were worse than Gutierrez last year. Sad.

————————————————————————-

With that said though, I wish they could find a way to make this deal by trading some of the excess ‘currency of baseball’ we have in the low minors, keep Teahen, and dump Gload. Probably not going to happen though.

by Top Ramen on Oct 27, 2008 10:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

One reason I'm happy to trade Teahen

This is his second arbitration year and he’ll be making $3-3.5M. I think he’s a good value for the money. But after 2009, he’ll probably be making closer to $5M. Unless his hitting improves a lot (and by that I mean improves a lot over his career averages), he’d be a non-tender candidate. I think this is a good time to trade him.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would rather have DDJ in CF and Guit in LF....

I read what the indians guys said about gouging out their eyes so they didn’t have to watch him out there…. It seems like JoGui could play CF at K if we’re just going to throw guys out there….

Don't forget to send your broken maples to the US Forest Service.

by 306008 on Oct 27, 2008 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You got your players confused.

Gutierrez is a good fielder, it was Ben Francisco who is the slightly better hitter, that would be really bad in center.

Go Royals!

by BabyBlues on Oct 27, 2008 1:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And I agree with #1 and #3

I don’t expect a huge upgrade from trading Teahen, but this trade seems more like rearranging the deck chairs while ignoring the $12M hole in the side of the ship.

by Top Ramen on Oct 27, 2008 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

a run saved is a run earned

DMGM probably hasn’t read Moneyball, much less the Hidden Game of Baseball or a THT annual. Perhaps Ben Franklin would be a good place to start.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I taught the Autobiography of Ben Franklin last year

my students hated it

HATED IT

of course, it was in “old english” so what should I have expected

by Will McDonald on Oct 27, 2008 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I didn’t like Autobiography of Ben Franklin either when I was in school, but that was primarily because I thought he made up 80% of it.

by woodsmeister on Oct 27, 2008 2:21 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

it is pretty inauthentic & artifical

which to me was interesting

not so much them, oh well

by Will McDonald on Oct 27, 2008 2:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

never read any, ashamed to say

just know the dumb sayings. Probably smarter than I think. talked to a woman once who was desparately trying to get tenure at Rutgers in history, I think. She was trying to get a publisher for her book (dissertation-derived, of course, ‘cause Xenu knows we can’t have scholars who don’t turn their dissertation into a book that no one will read) on, and I’m not making this up — the influence of Ben Franklin’s thought on late 19th century liberal Judaism.

I’m afraid to look her up to see how that turned out. She seemed smart and informed, just shows what BS the university profession has turned out to be.

that’s right: Academia: even phonier that A-Rod.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

(I should say that I think A-Rod's the best player in the AL [Puhols is the best int he NL])

just acknowledging that he’s a phony. COuldn’t think of a better example. Jeter’s too boring to be a phony.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

its more warped than phony

but then again, I’m six months from being a failed phd-er, so that would be my perspective

by Will McDonald on Oct 27, 2008 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sounds like you're a shoo-in

it just takes a year or two. Depends on what time of year you finish. But you got research grants and stuff, right? That and teaching experience really helps.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're at Iowa, right?

I thought they had a good rep.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah.. How's DC treating you

are you a national’s guy or a Orioles guy for your, um, “road team”

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

GRADY SIZEMORE FOR JIMMY GOBBLE!!!

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 27, 2008 9:47 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

jimmy gobble is everything wrong with professional baseball today

repeating your own jokes = cool

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:08 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Likely,

the Royals are wanting Guittierez, the Indians are saying take Francisco instead, and that’s why the teams are still merely in talks instead of a deal being consumated.

I have no problem with trading Teahen, but like NYRoyal, I want the deal to actually improve the team, so for me, it should be Guittierez or bust. Yes, I’d be willing to throw in a prospect with Teahen, if need be.

One interesting thing about the move, from the Royals point of view, that hasn’t been discussed much here, is that the Royals already had a HUGE disparity with their offensive platoon splits as a team, and this deal would do nothing but make that disparity even larger. (Doesn’t mean I wouldn’t still do it). I think this probably means GMDM has other potential moves in mind to do after this deal is consumated – hopefully to acquire a big lefty bat. (Dunn)

Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!

by loyal2sdad on Oct 27, 2008 10:30 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

That’s how I interpreted the deal going down — Royals have apparently wanted Gutierrez for a while (I’d like to think it’s because of his defense, but as RR notes, it’s probably for other reasons), but the Indians are probably the smartest org in the division, so that’s not going to happen easy. Hence the Francisco offer.

I also agree that switching out Teahen for Francisco is a parallel move. I dunno, it’s all rumors, but thinking about the allegedly aborted Jacobs trade, DMGM should be trying to trade a minor league pitcher for an outfielder, not another crappy first baseman/DH. As I said elsewhere, I realize that the Guillen deal has him boxed in, but hopefully he can trade him at some point next year. If he could get Francisco or someone like him for an appropriate pitcher (which the org supposedly has in spades now), that guy should split time with Teahen or Teahen could move to super utility until Guillen gets moved.

Francisco’s hardly a star, and not really a league average player. then again he’s cheap, and I really do think that, even putting money aside, that Francisco-DDJ-Teahen is a better OF when you account for offense and defense than either Francisco-DDJ-Guillen or Teahen-DDJ-Guillen.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Please explain
Royals have apparently wanted Gutierrez for a while (I’d like to think it’s because of his defense, but as RR notes, it’s probably for other reasons)

Wait, I thought one of the key Moore stereotypes was that he likes speedy, good defense, players who are long on tools and short on results. So if his defense isn’t a big part of why Moore would want him, what is it? Is he a born again Christian? Was he in the Braves organization once?

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 10:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It was when we were talking with RR about Gutierrez

and I was saying that I wished Moore had pulled it off last year because of “Gootz’s” defense, and RR said that its more likely because of his tools. Or something. Personally, at this point the process doesn’t concern me as much as the results.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's odd
I was saying that I wished Moore had pulled it off last year because of "Gootz’s" defense, and RR said that its more likely because of his tools.

His tools… His best tools are his defensive tools. So if you are acquiring him for his tools, aren’t you acquiring him for his defense? Certainly not just his defense, but mostly his defense. With some people (certainly RR included), Moore simply can’t win no matter what he does. Moore gets bashed for acquiring speedy, toolsy, good defense players and then when it is pointed out that good defense actually counts and measurably improves the team, then Moore isn’t going after the player because of his defense, it is because of some other tool….like heart or grit or…something.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just think RR was in a "mood"

That’s fine with me (not that it should matter if it wasn’t fine with me). It’s a fan site. I also admit to finding it funny most of the time even if I don’t always agree with it, but your mileage obviously varies.

I don’t want to get into this now, but this offseason is going to be interesting to watch. I think (or hope) that I’ve praised DMGM (or should it be GMDM? I’m never quite sure) for his pretty incredible nose for pitching talent. I’m not saying that Meche sucked (and I freely admit that I know much less about pitcher than I do about hitters — and I’m not bragging on my knowledge of hitters), but I just don’t see what was in his previous seasons that would indicate he would be this good. As in another thread, he’s been a huge value.

Arguably, though, that isn’t even he most impressive thing with pitching, since, let’s face it, anyone can throw money around (although you have to know who to throw it at). Soria from Rule 5 is obviously a great pickup, but Ramirez (as you know) was also great. Even if Banny only give the team 2007 and Davies is never better than this year, those are great trades for what it cost. And so on.

I say that as a preface to noting that I’ve been less than impressed with his choice of position players (this leaves minor leagues and draft aside), to say the least. I’m trying to withold judgment. I think it’s generous to do so, given that we’re so quick to praise his pitching acquisitions. And, yes, I know that the idea was to acquire a bunch of pitching and then use it to acquire hitting. So we’ll have to see. But right now, the only position player DMGM’s acquired through the draft or FA that has a shot to be a league-average is Callaspo, and I think that’s hardly a done deal. Other than maybe Shealy, the rest of the guys (outside of Gathright and TPJ’s career year double fluke last year) are all around replacement level.

I know that he’s just gotten here, but I think the mulligan is about used up. Trading ml pitchers and stuff for position players who don’t work out isn’t the end of the world, as long as you aren’t depending on those players for much. Even if the Gload trade made sense for money reasons, extending him shows bad judgement. Jose Guillen could have been a decent player, but the contract shows a poor understanding of exactly what he was worth, and moreover, how overpaying for him would effect the Royals in the future.

Again, I’m not calling for DMGM to be fired. He’s good with pitching, and has rebuilt the minors (although he’s certainly had more resources than his predecessor in that regard, so let’s not go nuts). But he needs to show something more with regard to his judgments of position players, because more of the same won’t cut it if the Royals want to have a chance to win before Hosmer and Moustakas break out.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 11:06 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We're in complete agreement
but I just don’t see what was in his previous seasons that would indicate he would be this good.

I think you know the answer to that and perhaps it was implied in the statement. It wasn’t his statistical record that indicated he would become this good. It was his tools. It was the scouts and FO people evaluating his tools. And it was probably also McClure’s help a little. It certainly looks like Moore and his people are good at scouting pitchers. Even when the stats don’t necessarily point to it, they can spot talent. It also looks like they aren’t so good at scouting hitters. But I’m looking foward to seeing more data points.

I think all, or the vast majority of us, are in agreement that Moore has not shown that he or his people are any good at scouting, evaluating and acquiring position players. My only caveat is that there really aren’t many data points for us to evaluate Moore here. Basically there have been a handful of minor moves and one big one. So far the data isn’t good. Hopefully the picture will be more appealling when there is more data.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

not much to add other than you’re right about the scouts.That makes sense.

I should also add that I always forget that Meche is just 29. Seems like he was in Seattle forever, constantly not living up to expectations.

It is true that pitchers generally peak later than position players?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I should also add that I always forget that Meche is just 29. Seems like he was in Seattle forever, constantly not living up to expectations.

He was one of those top prospects who starts in the majors early (20). Too early, and too many innings too early which led to his surgery and losing a season at age.

It is true that pitchers generally peak later than position players?

I’m not sure if the peak year is much different for pitchers (it might be, I just don’t recall having read that). But pitchers do have a different peak-plateau than position players. As you know, position players hit their peak somewhere in their mid-to-late 20’s and then usually experience a plateau through their early 30’s (some decline over that period, but not a lot, hence "plateau"). Pitchers however tend to have a much longer plateau, often continuing to be very effective through their mid-thirties. Position players often fall off a cliff at age 34 or 35. Pitchers tend to see a more gradual decline until their late 30’s. Velocity does drop throughout the 30’s (starting early in that decade). So one of the keys to continued success is learning how to succeed without dominant velocity. Thankfully, Meche has decent control and a good pitch complement. Velocity is important, but he doesn’t rely on blowing batters away with his fastball. And he’s a smart pitcher with a good pitching coach; I think that will help him as he goes through his velocity decline.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not worried

barring injury (and if he will get hurt next year, there’s going to be some understandable [if not necessarily justifiable] second-guessing about the last start or two this year), even a normal rate of decline starting next year means he’ll more than outearn his contract. He’ll be 32-33, so, if the current regime is still intact, I’m guess 5/120 to the Dodgers.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes, age is one of the key reasons that was a good contract

He was one of the rare FA’s in his 20’s. So the Royals were getting a bunch of peak years and only a little decline.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cf. my post on the payroll thread

if he turns into a league average pitcher for the rest of the contract, the Royals still made off like bandits.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think Moore is going to go balls out to fill every hole for 2009

That would require trading a hell of a lot of prospects to get all of the Royals missing pieces. The Royals aren’t close enough to contention for me to worry yet about how big the team’s platoon splits are. They just need better players, period.

hopefully to acquire a big lefty bat. (Dunn)

Have you seen devil_fingers and Gopherballs numbers on how many runs guys like Dunn and Burrell give up on defense and how that severely limits their value? Their hitting is a big positive. Their fielding is a big and measurable negative. They are still valuable players, but they aren’t worth nearly what they’ll cost, unless one of them shockingly slips through the cracks and doesn’t get a big offer from anyone. I’ve completely jumped off of the Dunn and Burrell bandwagon unless they come a lot cheaper than anyone expects.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It is A way to go

Not THE way to go. And you have to make sure you’re talking about someone who is really saving a lot of runs. And that doesn’t mean some low minors schlub.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's true that it's no good overpaying for a guy

who gives up a run for every three he creates

On the other hand, playing a guy who is +25 on defense (very few in the majors this year, although Chase Utley was between +20 and +35 runs on defense, depending on your source) but is 30 runs under replacement level (about what TPJ projects to over the year) on offense doesn’t do much good…

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

There you go

The bottom is that hitting and defense are both important. A great hitter can make up for bad defense. A truly great fielder can make up for being a below average hitter. In order to evaluate any position player, you have to account for the value of his defense and the value of his defense. You can’t ignore a hitter’s defense and you can’t ignore a defender’s hitting. They have to be accounted for and weighed appropriately.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

True

But I’d be happy to take his .266/.318/.472 2007 season in CF for the Royals in 2009. Or, more likely, something like .270/.330/.465.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 5:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

crap, i'd take that in a heart beat with his defense

could bat 6th or 7th…play elite defense. what’s not to like there.

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 27, 2008 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

BTW, the above is not my prediction for him as a Royal

That was just a realistic upside possibility for 2009. Without marrying myself to a prediction, I would think that something like .265/.325/.425 is most likely. Projecting his SLG is by far the hardest. There is a wide range of possibilities there.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

.266/.318/.472

That would be great, but at this point, realistically, that’s about his ceiling, and I’d be pleasantly surprised if it were one he approach regularly playing full-time. PrOPS has its limitations (and fast guys like Gutierrez do seem to fall through the cracks), but it really doesn’t like Franky. Fortunately he’s pretty young, so there’s time to grow, but although there’s both speed and power potential, I don’t think he has the contact skills against righties, nor the patience, to approach DDJ’s offensive levels. Hence the need for him to +10 on defense regularly. And also I I think Langerhans would be a good cheap pickup for a 4th OF.

But “u never know.”

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think his BA and OBP can and will eventually surpass that

That may well be his SLG ceiling though.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 28, 2008 12:51 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he's +19 cf, as those dang chone defensive projections say (insert all the qualifications)

then he barely has to be an above replacement level hitter to be a league average player… so yeah, I’m getting excited. even though it was all al complete lie.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 28, 2008 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dunn would DH for me

Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!

by loyal2sdad on Oct 27, 2008 12:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ok, but I don't think Dunn would be interested in that

Dunn wants to play the OF and isn’t exactly excited about becoming someones first baseman. Given that, how excited do you think he’d be to come to KC to DH. That move might work on paper, but there’s no reason to believe Dunn would be interested in it. Realistically, that idea is a non-starter.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Even if he repeats his best year next year (big assumption, given his last three)

and assuming that Butler plays first well enough so that there’s a DH spot open, then Dunn is worth 3/48 or 4/56 in this market (3.5 WAR in 2009). My off-the-cuff projection has him not being quite that good. More like 3/40 or 4/50. I still think that might be high on his actual market value. I love Adam Dunn — he’s like Matt Stairs on ster — well, that image doesn’ twork anymore. Anyway, I’m not sure paying market value (and given all the homers, I bet Dunn gets overpaid) is a good strategy for the Royals, as it is risky, especiallly on a small budget. And that would be true even if they hadn’t paid at least 150% of Jose Guillen’s 2008 market value.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Speaking of GMDM and position player acquisitions

I mostly agree with NY and devil fingers in that Moore hasn’t done very well in this area – but I think he should get some credit for nearly obtaining Milton Bradley for Leo Nunez. That would have been a good deal for the Royals.

Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!

by loyal2sdad on Oct 27, 2008 12:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Except that it only would have been a 2-month rental of Bradley

Given that the Royals weren’t acquiring him for a stretch run, I don’t know what use there would have been in that. I guess they could have tried to negotiate an extension with him, but I don’t see him at that point foregoing free agency so that he can play longer with the Royals. I would have hated giving away years of Nunez for two months of Bradley.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I should have added that

yes, acquiring him in 07 may have led to signing him to a contract for 08 and beyond.

No guarantee he would have been interested – but plenty of successful organizations employ this tactic. The Cardinals, for example, have traded for guys in their walk years and then successfully leveraged that into a favorable negotiating stance during their upcoming free agency. They did that with McGwire, and I believe with Larry Walker as well.

Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!

by loyal2sdad on Oct 27, 2008 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Would have been better off signing Bradley for the $5 million like the Rangers

Let’s put it this way — even injured, Mark Grudzelaniak, was worth more than that this year.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

According to an Indians beat writer on 810 today

And I am getting this second hand from Royals Scout, but according to this Clevelander, the Indians want Teahen pretty bad, and the Royals have their pick of the three outfielders.

So I wouldn’t be surprised to see a Teahen for Gutierrez swap a week after the World Series.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 27, 2008 2:38 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Nice

I choose not to believe any rumor until it becomes a reality, but if this is true, it is nice to see the Indians appearing to be the more motivated party here. I like Teahen-for-Gutierrez a lot. Not because it is a big upgrade, but because it is a clear upgrade in the short-term with some more upside in the long-term, and it saves money, and it adds service time.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I won't be pissed if it's the other guys

but Gutierrez is the best pick. We’ll see what happens. Personally, I think Teahen went from being overrated to underrated in about 2 months, which sucks. And, frankly, I’m still not sure that Gutierrez is an upgrade overall, even on Teahen. Depends on his CF defense (his best numbers so far are in right, although they are as good or better than Ichiro’s best, so it’s the equivalent of a +12 CF) and if he can start hitting a bit better…

Probably won’t happen, but it would still wouldn’t surprise me if Teahen became a .280/.360/.460 hitter with average D at third or above average D in the OF… Nothing special on offense, but frankly I think Teahen has at least as good a chance to do that as Gutierrez.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If the Royals trade Teahen straight up for Crowe, I'll eat my shoe

Even if Moore was in love with Crowe, Teahen’s value is greater than a non-top 10 prospect. Theoretically it could be Crowe+, but definitely not straight up. But since we love our Dayton Moore stereotypes, doesn’t he definitely go with the speedier, toolsier, plus defense player? Don’t we stand by our knee-jerk stereotypes around here?

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No way its Crowe

He walks too much and clogs the bases.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 27, 2008 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yea, but the motivation could be

simply dumping teahen as part of greater shakeup

by Will McDonald on Oct 27, 2008 2:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Either it is a move which helps the team or it isn't

We can only guess at the motivation. Teahen for Gutierrez helps the team. It makes the Royals better overall in the short-term and with more promise for the long-term.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Positional adjustment

If you look at this trade in the perspective of the next few years, and that this would mean trading a 4-corners guy for a CFer, then doesn’t Gutierrez have more value than Teahen…particularly when you consider Teahen only has 2 more years of team control and that those years will cost roughly $3M and $5M respectively.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree that it's a good trade

especially in the short-term, and probably in the long-term, for reasons you mentioned. I’m just talking about a “gut feeling” (and I assume DMGM doesn’t go by those) that Teahen will be a late bloomer — more than a four corners guy, but an above average player with well-rounded skills.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok

I can’t argue with your gut. I just don’t see it. I see him as a 94-100 OPS+ guy for the rest of his career, which could be very long, particularly in the NL.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good idea

Last person who argued with my gut…. um…

let’s just say it didn’t end well.

I guess I think the skills Teahen needs most develop a little later. But it’s silly to wait for them while paying him $3-4 million a year, and Gutierrez is an undervalued guy.

I’m also a bit taken aback that the Indians would want Teahen so bad. They aren’t perfect, but they seem to be able to evaluate players pretty well… That’s part of the “gut.”

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My gut tells me that the Indians FO doesn't value defense appropriately

If what they want him for is to be their 3B (and that’s the only reason the trade makes sense for them), then they either don’t know Teahen’s defensive stats at 3B or they don’t care about them (or don’t buy into them). I think scouts like Teahen’s defense at 3B. The defensive metrics hate his defense at 3B, particularly his last full season as a 3B, where he was one of the worst in baseball. I think the scouts are talking louder than the stats on this one.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

maybe... but I thought they were one of the more sabermetric offices in the game?

all that “Diamond View” stuff.

Yeah, UZR does’t like Teahen at third (loves him in RF). I think he was actually -20 in 2005, -14 in 2006, or the other way around.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That is their reputation

But even the more stat-friendly front offices utilize tools-based analysis and scouting too. I can’t see how the stats can support wanting him to be their 3B unless they’ve got some private, proprietary fielding metrics which are better than anything we have access to.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe they're using FRAA (in "Newman" voice: Woolner!)

it has Jose Guillen as a league average defender this year…

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good point

There may be better defensive metrics out there than UZR and Dewan’s +/- (something secret and proprietary, or something in-house), but I doubt it. We know there are worse. And maybe their GM just has a gut feeling about Teahen too. That happens.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've read

that most teams have their own proprietary defensive systems — I’d assume this would be the more “advanced” teams like OAK and TB. I’d guess St. Louis uses UZR, since MGL worked for them (and UZR is no longer public domain as a result, if I’m not mistaken).

I was mostly joking, though. Woolner’s super-smart. No way they use FRAA. It’s best as a historical tool, but no way would a smart team use it for analysis now. Or a dumb team. A dumb team doesn’t use defensive stats, and a smart team would know not to use FRAA.

I can’t believe BP doesn’t use a PBP defensive stat. It’s really stupid, given how cutting edge they are/were. Doesn’t Dan Fox have one he developed?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought Fox joined the Pirates front office

Dewan has Teahen as +4 at 3B in 2006 (-2 in 166 innings this year).

by Gopherballs on Oct 27, 2008 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's right, I forgot

What are Dewan’s numbers for Gordon the last two years? UZR had him at +4 (runs) last year.

Justin Inaz has him +4.5 runs last year, and -13.5 this year. At least last year, though, just was “averaging” STATS and BIS zonr ratings. I need to ask him about it, because when I converted RZR/OOZ this year, I got -18.4 runs for Gordon (assuming .8 conversion to runs), which wasn’t a surprise, but also got something similar last year. I’m pretty sure I did it right.

If Teahen really can play league-average 3rd base defense, then the Indians might be getting a better deal than we thought. If it actually happens, that is. I think last year’s numbers from Teahen are closer to his true talent than this year, and if so, then he’d be around a league-average offensive 3B, too. Not a bad pull for a guy like Gutierrez — who I like, but is not really a league average player without +10 defense in center, or +20 in the corners.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We hired the VORP dude. I’m blanking on the name.

by Voltaire on Oct 27, 2008 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Keith Woolner

My point is that while it is clear that the Indians front office clearly values statistical analysis highly, they (and every other FO) also utilize the tools-based analysis (scouts). Even in Oakland and Boston, it isn’t just about the stats.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, Woolner

when I emailed to congratulate him, I asked him to get Choo up in the majors as I had drafted him on my fantasy team. He jokingly said he’d see what he could do. Later that season, Choo got hurt. So I cut him for someone else.

This year, the guy in first picked him up at a waiver draft, and, well, you know the rest.

Damn you Woolner! To the ends of the earth I will chase thee! I’m glad you messed up and VORP undervalues walks!!!11

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think so too

I see him becoming a valuable bench player on a contender a la Matt Stairs or Eric Hinske at say age 35 or so.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 27, 2008 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Matt Stairs was still stuck in the minors/Japan at Teahen's age

Of course, none of he guys discussed here will ever be as good as Matt Stairs in his “prime” (which was actually the second half of what should have been his prime).

And no, I’m not joking. In his early 30s, Stairs could f-in smack the ball around.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think he is and will continue to be a valuable bench player

And that’s exactly what the Royals don’t need. If they can flip him for a cheaper, younger, CFer (for the present and future), I’m all for it.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My thoughts exactly

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 27, 2008 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Typically when trade talks involving the Indians are denied, they’re more or less true.

by world dictator on Oct 28, 2008 2:07 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

One good thing is that

this almost has to block a Jeff Francouer acquisition, right?

RIGHT????

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Are you kidding?

Francy is a former Brave. Former Brave. That trumps everything. He’ll be a Royal by Dec. 1.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Do you know which beat writer? If it’s Paul Hoynes, he’s a windbag. Ocker too. Take it with a grain of salt.

Which is really me saying, boy I hope that’s not true.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 27, 2008 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

jeezy creezy, I disappear for a 14-ish hour span and look what happens...

I definitely don’t have enough time to plow through all of these new responses. I will say two things, though:

1. I have been convinced of the value of Gutierrez’s defense, and would be fine getting him for Teahen.

2. Whoever started rec’ing every other post made by anyone with pro-Indian sympathies is a complete tool.

That is all.

by DarthYoshi on Oct 27, 2008 2:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

it wasn't me

I think it was one of the visitors. I think we need to be accepting of blog denizens from another culture.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

it isn't so much that the rec'ing was very pro-Indian in nature...

…but it was how many posts got rec’d despite a complete lack of insight in said posts.

I am quite happy to tolerate fans of other teams here.

by DarthYoshi on Oct 27, 2008 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I just think that's their "blog culture"

I didn’t say I liked it. I don’t like [insert some cultural idiosyncrasy here], either, but I live and let live.

Anyway, I was trying to make a stupid joke about “blog cultures” and multiculturalism stuff. not very successful, it appears.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

loved the titles

I’m also biased because one of them joined here just to rec one of my posts.

They also didn’t realize that one rec turns comments green here — it’s 3 or 5 over here. We just don’t rec comments like they do.

it’s like female circumcision

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

3 recs leading to a highlight = female circumcision

You’ll burn in hell for that one.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

We actually did that on purpose.

It just freaking blows our minds that one rec makes everything go green.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 27, 2008 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

It must have been a disorienting experience to post here

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Personally, I enjoyed you guys on this thread

we can commiserate about the loss of Ellis together. Although him going to one team or another would have torn the AL Central SBNation blogs apart.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m not going to lie and say I’m glad we didn’t get him, then. But this fragile alliance remains.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 27, 2008 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

So, what's better, batting average or BA w/ RiSP?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 2:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

RBI!!!!

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 27, 2008 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Game Winning RBI

Is the greatest stat of all time; its power of analysis was so great it was banned. It almost made playing the games unnecessary.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Oct 28, 2008 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Top Three Posters Who I Wish Come Back More Often

1) Joel
2) billybutlerformvp
3) Stat Ninja

I think Ninja’s still out there. I’m really not completely joking about these guys… good times. Stat Ninja is a smart guy. Very… …different… opinions of baseall analysis, but always interesting

but even more seriously, what happend to kscoliny? I never had a problem with him. Disagreed a lot, but he’s fun. He’d be ALL OVER this thread,too… I’m sorry he missed it.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

kscoliny

Some people leave fan sites/blogs during the offseason (or only come around sparingly in the offseason). I assume that is what is going on with him. There weren’t any blowouts or bannings that I know of.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Let's say Teahen-for-Gutierrez goes down

Doesn’t this make DeJesus more tradable? Without any good CF option behind him, the Royals really couldn’t afford to trade DeJesus. But if they acquire Gutierrez, they can trade DeJesus to some team who needs/wants a cheap, good CFer. Perhaps the Royals could pick up a good, young, corner OFer for him. Doesn’t this seem like a reasonable possible follow-up to the T-for-G trade?

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:18 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

FRENCHY NOW

Just kidding… but this does take us back to my Swisher fantasies from a few weeks back.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kenny has shown interest in DeJesus in the past

Well, actually he’s been rumored to have shown interest. I don’t think that would happen, but he probably would like to acquire a CFer, and that FO doesn’t look too closely at stats. I would guess that is doubly true for defense.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought they had an AGM who is supposed to be stats-based guy (Hahn)

but who knows. Swisher is exactly what the Royals need. I’m not sure if he’s actually More valuble than DDJ if DDJ is paying Center… but in left, probably. Swisher is historically around +10 in the corners. Doesn’t quite have the platoon split the Royals “need,” but he’s not horrible again RHP or anything. I like the idea of him hitting between DDJ and Gordon against RHP, but of course, if the Royals trade DDJ to get him… then they are down to one guy who smokes RHP (Gordon), one guy who’s decent against them (Swisher), one guy who better start hitting them (Butler), and a bunch of other guys. Still, that’s not a reason to make the decision.

This is a big part of why the Guillen thing drives me nuts — he’s the worst guy out there, in any combination, and yet he’s the most unmovable.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Every FO has a stat guy

Even the Royals (I don’t think he’s an assistant GM, but they may well have one or more assistant GM’s who are stat-friendly for all I know).

Again, as I said earlier, I don’t think the Royals should be worrying about team platoon splits at this point. They need to be acquiring good players, period. When they get closer to contention, they can worry more about that kind of balance. Talent first, balance later.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

JIN WONG

yeah, I agree with the splits thing

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not convinced that this means they are even considering moving DDJ

Depending on what you all think about Gathright and Maier, I think it might be best to keep DeJesus around. I like the added versatility – in case Guittierez gets hurt or needs an occasional day off, DDJ can move over to CF, without the drop off in offense that Gathright or Maier would represent.

Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!

by loyal2sdad on Oct 27, 2008 5:05 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I have no idea if they are interested in trading DeJesus

But if the Royals could trade him for a good, young corner OFer, I’d do it in a second (provided the Gutierrez deal goes down first).

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 27, 2008 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well from kcroyals.com

dayton moore said this is untrue.

“Not only have I not been discussing it, but it’s a flat-out lie and you can print that,” Moore said

by teahen24 on Oct 27, 2008 8:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Interesting

He sounds really pissed in that article. When Moore first took the GM job, there was talk about how the usual front office sources “clammed up” for fear of losing their jobs…he evidently has zero tolerance for leaks. I’m sure that there have been talks but he won’t confirm them.

by cookierojas73 on Oct 27, 2008 8:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm surprised he got that mad

but maybe he was serious when he said all those nice things about Teahen in one of the year-end interviews. I think it was the one with JoePo. I assumed it was just the usual GM propaganda (not necessarily a bad thing) and a clever attempt to ingratiate himself to JoPo, sort of like the sudden regularity with which “on base percentage” cropped up (of course, as much as I like Gutierrez, trading Teahen for him doesn’t exactly scream “we’re going to be taking a lot of pitches next year.” Don’t freak out, I’m just making a small, irrelevant point.)

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 9:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

maybe

he might be telling the truth, but it also may be that he just wants to respect the fact that trades can’t be announced during the world series. maybe he’s trying to get some leverage in the deal by going public.

i guess we’ll say. I’d guess some dialog went on at some point seeing as Dutton’s sources from the Royals AND Indians said there was talk about it. maybe this will escalate again during the GM meetings or something.

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 27, 2008 9:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I dunno

Dutton and the Star in general have always had it in for the Royals, especially DMGM, It seems like their is negative garbge stories and constant criticisms of DMGM from those guys. Lighten up for once! Didn’t anyone over there notice, between all the constant talk about Guillen low on-base percentage and his bad UZRs, that he hit 20 homers and drove in 97 runs? When’s someone going to mention that? How about a feel-good story about Mike Aviles?

Stop mockraking Dutton, Mellinger, and Flanagan. Just try seeing it from the naive fan’s point of view for once. Why not just take Moore at his word? Why do you always have to try to dig deeper?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thank Xenu that Kaegel followed the question about the Teahen trade

by getting to the bottom of the Jacobs trade rumor.

What’s that? He didn’t?

Oh.

by Top Ramen on Oct 27, 2008 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

them's pretty strong words

“a flat out lie”. Why would he be so demonstrative, if then later a deal actually happened? I’m not saying one way or the other, just thinking that if a deal then happened he’d lose some credibility, no?

I hereby resign from this post.

by Home Run Tony Cogan on Oct 27, 2008 10:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Nick Saban!

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 27, 2008 10:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wouldn’t it be funny if the Royals and the Indians were discussing a trade involving some other player.

by world dictator on Oct 28, 2008 2:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

…They wouldn’t let me customize it with the #4.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 9:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ouch! Not totally unbelievable, though

1) Gordon went to college
2) Gordon was drafted by the prior regimes, who also brought in hangers on like David DeJesus, Billy Butler, Mark Grudzelaniak, and Zack Greinke.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 28, 2008 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Okay, sold. We’ll take all of them.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

revenge!

<img src=“http://img204.imageshack.us/my.php?image=prodeo2.jpg][IMG]”http://img204.imageshack.us/img204/9401/prodeo2.th.jpg" target="_blank">http://img204.imageshack.us/img204/9401/prodeo2.th.jpg[/IMG][/URL][URL=http://g.imageshack.us/thpix.php][IMG]http://img204.imageshack.us/images/thpix.gif"/>

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 28, 2008 8:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

we'll try again

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 28, 2008 8:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

again!

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 28, 2008 8:23 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

it worked!

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 28, 2008 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

tremendous

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 28, 2008 9:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have no doubt you will sign him when he’s 33 or something.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 10:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Then hit the game winning HR in game 7 of the 2017 world series

And go into the HOF as a Royal.

Rowdy Hardy Fan Club member.

by doublestix on Oct 28, 2008 11:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

One thing is for sure: Shapiro will deny he was ever in talks with the Royals after the trade after it happens. This is the guy who flatly stated the Indians were having no discussions about moving the AAA club to Columbus at noon, and a deal was announced at 2 PM.

by Voltaire on Oct 28, 2008 12:33 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't want Teahen to go to Cleveland

because he still has a chance to go back to 2006 form. Please GMDM, don’t trade Teahen. Look at the lost air time CrownVision will have without “The Mark Teahen Show!”

My name is Finlay, and I love to fight!

by Finlay on Oct 28, 2008 9:46 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If there's one thing I've taken away from this thread

It’s that Let’sGoTribe posters love to use the rec button

This space intentionally left blank.

by marbotty on Oct 28, 2008 10:05 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

I’m only saying this because I think unfortunately this was lost on some people, but we don’t really rec that often.

Recs are like fire. A powerful tool that can create wonders, but dangerous if misused.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

isn't that a line from "Caveman?"

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 28, 2008 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If it is I profusely apologize for ever unintentionally referencing that show. Godawful.

Such a departure from the commercials.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

ugh... no, never saw that show

I mean the movie from about 25 years ago starrign Oliva Newton-John and Ringo Starr.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 28, 2008 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not familiar with it. Although it sounds roughly as appealing as the show. Are you sure you don’t mean Encino Man?

For my money the only caveman worth quoting is Unfrozen Caveman Lawyer.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1 on Phil Hartman

NO, not Encino Man. I’m really old. Old enough to hate Pauly Shore.

Although he’s no Carrot Top.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Oct 28, 2008 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t know how old you have to be to hate Pauly Shore. Young people hate him too.

Steel Nick

by nickjs21 on Oct 28, 2008 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

ah

then i appreciate the ironic rec’ing

This space intentionally left blank.

by marbotty on Oct 29, 2008 3:09 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Kansas City Royals.
Start posting about the Royals »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

Cbs_fantasy_baseball_promo

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
Royals 2009 review and 2010 manifesto

Recent FanPosts

New-kaufmann-stadium_small
Lineup vs. Rox (3/21) - 3:05 CT
Mst_small
POLL: Kyle Davies
7026_small
Who is this year's Ross Gload?
New-kaufmann-stadium_small
Split-Squad Lineups vs. Cubs and Brewers (3/20) - Both at 3:05 CT
Small
SB Nation Survey + Chance to donate $500 to a charity of this community's choice
Royalsreview_small
Completely Open Friday Fun Thread In Which I Will Also Answer Your Questions Should You Have Them
Small
Game at Fenway
Royalsreview_small
Help Me Out With Spammers
Royals40_small
A line-up that doesn't suck
New-kaufmann-stadium_small
Game 13 vs. Padres (3/17) - 3:05 CT

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

SBNation.com Recent Stories

Chicago Cubs pitcher Angel Guzman, center, rubs the head of teammate Carlos Marmol, left, while chatting with Marmol and manager Lou Piniella, right, on the first day of baseball spring training Thursday, Feb. 18, 2010, in Mesa, Ariz. (AP Photo/Paul Connors)

SB Nation's 2010 MLB Previews: Chicago Cubs, Seeking Redemption

New York Mets starting pitchers Mike Pelfrey, left, Johan Santana, center, and Oliver Perez watch as teammates take part in drills during spring training baseball Saturday, Feb. 27, 2010, in Port St. Lucie, Fla. (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)

SB Nation's 2010 MLB Previews: New York Mets, The High Cost Of Low Expectations

Washington Nationals pitcher Stephen Strasburg throws during the second inning of  a spring training baseball game against the Detroit Tigers Tuesday, March 9, 2010 in Viera, Fla. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

Nationals Send Stephen Strasburg To Double-A Despite Impressive Spring

More from SBNation.com >


Managers

Royalsreview_small Will McDonald