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Chone Smith's defensive projections for 2009

Obviously, these are just projections, and the less time a player has, the less data there is, so the usual caveats apply about defense need at least three years to get a sense of true talents, small sample size for part time players, fielding slumps, etc.). There is also some "controversy" because he regresses to the Fans Scouting Report rather than league average, but hey, I'm just reporting. Read about the methodology here. Below are what he has for many Royals, as well as some other players "of interest." I've done it in runs @position format. At least I think the numbers represent runs. "corner" = corner outfield (all one position here, for some reason). Not sure how the got the numbers for CF for some guys, maybe they just played an inning way back when and it's still in Smith's database, or morel likely there's a formula for extrapolating what a player would do at the other outfield positions from their performance elsewhere. Infielders (primarily): Alex Gordon -9 @3B Tony Pena, Jr. +3 @SS Mike Aviles +4 @2B, +3 @3B, +5 @SS Alberto Callaspo -7 @2b, -4 @3B, -8 @SS Esteban German -15 @2B, -13 @3B, -20 @SS, -7 @corner, -23 @CF Billy Butler -4 @1B Ross Gload -1 @1B Ryan Shealy +3 @1B Mike Jacobs -8 @1B Russell Branyan -1 @1B, -5 @3B Orlando Hudson +3 @2B Rafael Furcal +2 @SS Mark Ellis +15 @2B Outfielders (primarily): David DeJesus +9 @Corner, +3 @CF Mark Teahen +2 @1B, -11 @3B, +4 @corner, -5 @center Jose Guillen, -11 @corner, -23 @center (?) Joey Gathright +11 @corner, +4 @center Mitch Maier +4 @corner, -4 @center Franklin Gutierrez +22 @corner, +19 @center Ryan Langerhans +14 @corner, +9 @center (sign him!) Matt Stairs -13 @corner, -27 @center (thanks, we needed to know whether or not to acquire Stairs to platoon in center with Gutierrez) Nick Swisher +5 @corner, -3 @center, 0 @1B Ben Francisco -2 @corner, -11 @center Adam Dunn -13 @corner, -27 @center (Stairs=Dunn) Pat Burrell -14 @corner, -28 center (Stairs>>>Burrell) Bobby Abreu -11 @corner, -24 @center I'm sure that's enough. Anyone else that interests you can be looked up. Again, remember that these are these are projections for next year, not evaluations of the last year (although past performance obviously is the main factor in the projections). Sample sizes vary greatly depending on how much time a player has played at a position, how long ago it was, how long they've been in the majors, etc. Enjoy! Discuss! Argue!

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