Sickel's Analysis of Mike Aviles

Prior to this year Aviles' MLE were along the lines of .260/.310/.390. Let's hope he "saw the light" this year and does not regress too much. I am not sure if the production/defense combination of him and Callaspo will play...Furcal anyone?

about 1 month ago Royal Kingdom Comment 22 comments 0 recs |

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Wow, predicting a .710 OPS for Aviles next year

With or without Sickels opinion, if the Royals can’t get someone like Dunn or Burrell for a reasonable, non-albatross contract, I think they should go after Furcal. There are still significant question marks surrounding both Aviles and Callaspo. So let Furcal play SS with Aviles at 2B and Callaspo as the primary utility IF/OF. If Aviles drops off next year like Sickels thinks he will, then give Callaspo a shot at full-time duty at 2B in the second half.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 3, 2008 6:12 PM EDT 0 recs

I like Aviles glove at third better then second, he needs to play on the left side of the infield.

Go Royals!

by BabyBlues on Oct 3, 2008 7:03 PM EDT up 0 recs

He's got decent range

And that decent shortstop range would look very good at 2B. To some extent, it would be wasted at third base, where you have much less ground to cover. And one of Aviles’s problems is his throws. And it would be much easier for him to make good, accurate throws from second than third. And his bat is much more valuable to the team at a middle IF spot than at a corner spot. Plus bats at SS and 2B are much more rare than on the corners. Let’s not move him to a position where his hitting would become merely average or below average.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 3, 2008 7:51 PM EDT up 0 recs

A .710 would be below average even for a 2B

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Oct 3, 2008 8:45 PM EDT up 0 recs

Yeah, if Sickels is right, then he's no better than a German-esque utility IFer

Thankfully, I think he’s better than that.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 3, 2008 8:52 PM EDT up 0 recs

Yeah, I like Sickels, but I don't get the .710.

I mean, an age 27 breakout doesn’t necessarily mean an age 27 peak, does it? Even with the BABIP stuff, I still think that’s towards the lower end of the possibilities next year. I wouldn’t be totally shocked if Avilanceh .710ed next year, but .700 seems like the lowest end of the range. I seem him more as a .725-.750 guy.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Oct 3, 2008 9:04 PM EDT up 0 recs

Having said that

If his defense is “only” exactly average, a .710 would be above average his year for an AL SS (.694, although that includes a lot of TPJ in the sample size), and .713 last year. Not bad for the league minimum.

I wonder how much Furcal is going to want.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Oct 3, 2008 9:13 PM EDT up 0 recs

Not a bad idea

I was reading MLBTraderumors I believe cite a writer that said Furcal will likely only get a one year deal offered to him. If we offered 2-3 years, he could be ours! Bwah-ha-ha-ha!

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Oct 3, 2008 9:40 PM EDT up 0 recs

Mothers, lock up your daughters!

Seriously, they might get run down by the Royals 2008 infield.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Oct 3, 2008 9:47 PM EDT up 0 recs

2009 infield

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Oct 3, 2008 10:08 PM EDT up 0 recs

I hope the market for him is that soft

Who knows, it may be. The biggest issue is his physical condition. If the medical reports look iffy, then there’s some real risk there. If not, I think he’s a good bet to be a productive signing.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 3, 2008 9:56 PM EDT up 0 recs

The Yankees would be smart to pull it off

Furcal at SS, Jeter at CF. get two birds stoned. Still have money for Teixeira.

Won’t happen of coure.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Oct 3, 2008 9:59 PM EDT up 0 recs

The Yankees won't move Jeter off of SS until he's 40 and even then there will be a hell of a controversey in the big apple

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 3, 2008 11:23 PM EDT up 0 recs

Yeah

Am I crazy, though, or might he have a chance of being an OK CF? I always thought his main problem at SS was range side-to-side. I do think he’s a pretty smart player, his speed is pretty good, and he tracks flies pretty well.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Oct 3, 2008 11:30 PM EDT up 0 recs

I think he probably would be an ok CFer

You never know, since a lot of range is dependent on making good reads and taking the right routes, but I think he’d do fine in the OF. I think there would be a fairly steep learning curve (which we saw from Teahen in both RF last year and LF this year). He’d struggle early, make some bad reads and not look so good. But by the second half of the season, he’d probably be average or better. It’s a shame that other things often take precedence over smart baseball. He should have been moved to third base way back when Rodriguez was acquired. ARod was one of the best defensive SS’s in baseball and he had to move to 3B because nobody unseats “The Captain.” If it weren’t happening to the Yankees, it would be sad.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Oct 3, 2008 11:37 PM EDT up 0 recs