Who won the election prediction contest?

by Scott McKinney on Nov 5, 2008 4:54 PM EST

With respect, this isn't of a great deal of importance, but what else do we have to do? Complain about the next "Royals are interested in Player X" rumor? Anyway, there are no clear metrics for determining the winner of this little prediction contest. But I think there were 3 clear finalists. The semi-final election results were:

Obama +6.3

364 Electoral votes (wins North Carolina but not Missouri)

McCain concession speech starts at 11:16 EST

and your finalists:

DarthYoshi

Obama +5 points

338 Electoral votes

11:20 pm EST

RoyalRetro

Obama +6

352 Electoral votes

10:30 EST

KCBear

Obama +7.3%

364 Electoral votes

11:36 ET

All three were pretty close on each prediction. Of the three, Retro was closest on popular vote margin. KCBear nailed the electoral vote. DarthYoshi was only a few minutes off on the concession speech time.

Poll

Who won the election prediction contest?

DarthYoshi

4 votes

RoyalRetro

6 votes

KCBear

21 votes

Who gives a #@!%? Send the t-shirt to John McCain. He needs some cheering up.

2 votes

Who givs a #@!%? Send the t-shirt to Sarah Palin. She needs more down to earth, Joe Six-Pack clothes.

11 votes

44 votes | Poll has closed

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Comments

how did Nebraska's split vote turn out?

has that been resolved?

by Freneau on Nov 5, 2008 5:04 PM EST reply actions

Good question

An erroneous report came out late last night that it had been called for Obama, but it was too early. More returns came in, tipping the balance more towards McCain. I think McCain ended up winning it, but I haven’t seen anything official yet. That district is made up of two counties. Obama won the more populous one by a little. McCain won the less populous one buy a lot. So it is close.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by Scott McKinney on Nov 5, 2008 5:24 PM EST up reply actions

Will Missouri have a recount?

I mean, technically they’re within the margin of error, but since it doesn’t matter, they won’t go through with it, right?

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Nov 5, 2008 6:08 PM EST up reply actions

I think it would make sense for both Missouri and North Carolina to forget about a recount

Those things are expensive. When it affects the outcome of the election, then it is worth it. When it doesn’t, then just give it to the guy who got one more vote. Obama can take N.C. and McCain can take Missouri.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by Scott McKinney on Nov 5, 2008 6:20 PM EST up reply actions

EVERY VOTE COUNTS!

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Nov 6, 2008 10:32 AM EST up reply actions

Not when using the Electoral College.

Don't Stop Believing!

by KC Chris on Nov 6, 2008 10:46 AM EST up reply actions

District 2 voted for Obama, so he got one electoral vote from Nebraska

Nebraska pride

The concept of progress acts as a protective mechanism to shield us from the terrors of the future. - Collected sayings of Muad'Dib

by buddyball on Nov 11, 2008 10:10 PM EST up reply actions

retro & kcbear seem slightly more worthy

although i’m having a hard time wrapping my feeble mind around three contestants/ three categories

by Freneau on Nov 5, 2008 5:05 PM EST reply actions

All bow down to my powers of prognostication

For my next trick, I predict the Royals trade Billy Butler for Yunieski Betancourt, Mark Teahen for Wily Taveres, sign David Ecsktiein, and finish 113-59.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Nov 5, 2008 5:22 PM EST reply actions

If you get that right too, I'm going to build an alter to you

All hail Retro. You’re out-messiahing the Obamessiah.

Very well done on the popular vote (which according to my most recent check is actually about 6.2 now, with 538 projecting that it will get up to about 6.3 based on the outstanding precincts). I was done in by my over-exuberant enthusiasm yet again. However Obama did even better on electoral vote than I predicted.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by Scott McKinney on Nov 5, 2008 5:26 PM EST up reply actions