Royals Review: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
New Blog: Sounder At Heart for Seattle Sounders Fans!

Yes, the dastardly Sox site has done something that was asked about last week when Fangraphs added wOBA -- the offensive stat we should all be using. Thanks to Sky for pointing it out and also for agreeing with me that Colin made a mistake with the 3B adjustment. The methodology isn't perfect (to be more precise one would need to judge each position in relation to league average wOBA year-to-year) but it isn't meant to be. It's rough. He has a little chart that includes adjustments for defense, but I'm not going to deal with the headache of arguing about that here (the positional adjustment thing is bad enough, sometimes). So... here are the averages Colin has, and then how some Royals (and new Royals) did in relation to those averages in 2008 -- this is retrospective, not predictive. I'm using StatCorner's version of wOBA because, among other things, it's park-adjusted (wOBA*). Some guys are listed in more than one position for obvious reasons.

C .306
Olivo .313 (+.07)
Buck .300 (-.06)

SS .326
TPJ .189 (-.137)
Avilanche .364 (+.038)

2B .335
Grudz .345 (+.010)
Callaspo .341 (+.06)
German .294 (-.041)

CF .335
DDJ .361 (+.026)
Gathright .277 (-.058)
Crisp .334 ( -.01)
MITCH .288 (-.047)

3B .335
Gordon .351 (+.016)
Teahen .315 (-.020)

RF/LF .354
Teahen .315 (-.039)
Guillen .329 (-.025)
DDJ .361 (+.07)

1B .364
Gload .304 (-.060)
Butler .326 (-.038)
Jacobs .342 (-.022)

11 months ago Newavatar_tiny devil_fingers 19 comments 2 recs  | 

Story-email Email Printer Print

Around SB Nation

Friday Afternoon Quick Hits

Nov 2009 from MLB Daily Dish - 0 comments

Twins Acquire J.J. Hardy

Nov 2009 from Over the Monster - 45 comments

Transaction Report: Me

Nov 2009 from Driveline Mechanics - 42 comments

Offseason Day 1 Quick Hits

Nov 2009 from MLB Daily Dish - 0 comments

Comments

Display:

Great stuff

I think I asked for this. Thanks for finding it.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Dec 3, 2008 2:13 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

always thinking of you, Johnny Drama

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Dec 3, 2008 2:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

You be Johnny Drama

I’ll be Turtle. Actually, I don’t much like that show and find all of the characters annoying.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Dec 3, 2008 2:41 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it's pretty lame

I love Johnny Drama though. I know, it’s hard to imagine me enjoying a loudmouth idiot… I’m not sure how Kevin Dillon does it, but he really takes the character into Bill McNeil territory. Not that Dillon is on Hartman’s level in general, but I love the guy overacting as an actor who overacts.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Dec 3, 2008 2:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No DH?

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Dec 3, 2008 3:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

2B=3B=CF is interesting and a bit surprising

I wonder how this compares to other years. But now I’m asking too much.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Dec 3, 2008 3:03 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

The Sox guy has 3B doing something else -- .345 avg

that was what Sky thinks is a mistake. One of the questionable things is that this wasn’t this year’s offensive average for each position, but is (I think) simply based on a realignment of wOBA over a certain number of ABs with Tango’s positional adjustments. So it isn’t quite what you’re looking for, I don’t think. I assume you’re looking for something like B-R’s average for each position each year.

But the difference gets into all Tango’s convoluted arguments for why 2b=3b=cf, which I admittedly don’t completely follow. One issue with doing it this way is that I don’t think he gets to those adjustments by just considering offense or defense alone, but by the talent pool of both.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Dec 3, 2008 3:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

One of the questionable things is that this wasn’t this year’s offensive average for each position, but is (I think) simply based on a realignment of wOBA over a certain number of ABs with Tango’s positional adjustments. So it isn’t quite what you’re looking for, I don’t think. I assume you’re looking for something like B-R’s average for each position each year.

Yeah, I’d really like to see the actual positional averages, as opposed to taking the overall average and running it through positional adjustments to come up with what the positional averages “should” be. In short, actual data is always better than theoretical data.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Dec 3, 2008 5:05 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't think it's that it's theoretical data

it’s just a difference way of thinking about how to evaluate a player.

It shouldn’t take me too long to generate what you’re looking for. I’ll see if I can get to it later this week.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Dec 3, 2008 7:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think it’s that it’s theoretical data
it’s just a difference way of thinking about how to evaluate a player.

Well, it is running actual data (wOBA) through a theoretical model of positional adjustment. Even though this model is based, in part, on empirical evidence, it is inherently theoretical. Therefore this model of “average wOBA by position” is inherently theoretical. It’s not worthless or baseless. They underlying theory is sound. But actual data showing the true average by position is much more valuable and would show, dare I say, the true average wOBA by position.

It shouldn’t take me too long to generate what you’re looking for. I’ll see if I can get to it later this week.

Do you have all the necessary data on every player who played SS in 2008? Or are you going to have some minimum AB’s or games at the position cutoff?

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Dec 3, 2008 7:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Couldn't you take the B-R splits by position

and plug them into the wOBA spreadsheet?

by Gopherballs on Dec 3, 2008 8:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i'm doing that right now

did someone else make a wOBA spreadsheet? The one Colin Wyers did for calculating WAR is OK, but isn’t comprehensive.

Anyone have any opinion on whether you prefer with or without reaching on error (I prefer it, because I’ve always wondered why the hittter got no credit for that) or with or without steals?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Dec 3, 2008 9:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

ok

anyone know whether on B-R, if iBBs are included in the BB total already, or if I need to subtract them from BBs to get uBBs?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Dec 3, 2008 10:17 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

he's OK, we've had "worse"

Can’t blame the guy for having opinions… undoubtedly related to both Pat Burrell and Mike Jacobs

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Dec 3, 2008 9:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'll give him an A+ for randomness and posting-on-a-whim

I’m sure he’ll be gone for good soon and will make a similar random post on a Pirates fan site.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Dec 4, 2008 12:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

we can only hope that Mike Jacobs gets traded to the Pirates to play third, too

I hope Joel at least comes by to say goodbye if/when Gload gets traded/whatever

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by devil_fingers on Dec 4, 2008 12:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I hope so too

And then I’m going to go to the SB Nation site of whatever team he lands on and wait for Joel to exglode over there.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Dec 4, 2008 12:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Kansas City Royals.
Start posting about the Royals »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
Questions about Analyzing Defense
Glencoco_small
Mike Moustakas in the AFL Futures game
Small
JT20 Dynasty League
Royalsreview_small
KU-KSU Links: Battle for Mt. Sunflower!
Small
Royals ownership...how'd it happen?
Royalsretro_small
Royals trade Mark Teahen to the White Sox for 2B Chris Getz and 3B Josh Fields
Royalsreview_small
Rays Send Aki Iwamura to Pirates for Random Prospect
Glencoco_small
One Fan's Vision for the Royals
Img_0208_2_small
World Series Poll
N1309620122_30067195_1714_small
Offseason time

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

Royalsreview_small royalsreview