FanPost

Can you stand one more German post?

A friend of mine, who is a season ticket holder, has been having a friendly "debate" with me off and on over the last two seasons about German.

Basically, he is in the "German will wear down if he plays every day" camp, while I argue that we should find out how much of his 390+ career OBP he might indeed be able to maintain if he played every day.

Anyway, I've been promising to take a look at this statistically, so here it is:

I started by looking at game log for German for every game in the 06 and 07 season. I divided each game in to one of two categories:

Category "S" - Games in which German had 3 plate appearances in the prior game, and at least 3 plate appearances in the current game.

Category "R" - All other games

What I was trying to do was test the supposition - how does German perform when playing in more than a reserve ("R") role, and how does he perform when he plays ever day ("S"). You might argue with my method, but, to quote Brian McNamee, it is what it is.

A broad overview - these categorical assignments result in approximately equal sample sizes for each category, and for each year. There was a fairly large difference in 06, but 07 was virtually the same.

I'll post the results, using the standard avg/obp/slg method, and in addition will show ABs to give everybody a feel for the sample sizes. Here it is:

06 - S: 293/379/413  160 ABs
06 - R: 370/453/521  119 ABs

07 - S: 267/341/385  161 ABs
07 - R: 262/349/369  187 ABs

06+07 - S: 280/360/399   321 ABs
06+07 - R: 304/390/428   306 ABs

There may be a drop off when he plays regularly, but take a look at that "S" combined line again. Surely that should have merited a shot at playing every day on the Royals somewhere, especially considering how poor the team has been.

This FanPost was written by a member of the Royals Review community. It does not necessarily reflect the views of the editors and writers of this site.

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