Peralta and the bullpen situation
How great is it to read stories about what is happening on the field than off? Bob Dutton's article on Joel Peralta was good.
http://www.kansascity.com/sports/royals/story/505439.html
I am thinking about these things. What are your thoughts on:
- I was surprised to see Peralta had more innings as a KC reliever than anyone in last 15 years with 87 2/3 last year. Only Guerrier from Twins had more.
- What is the danger of Peralta having arm trouble this season with that kind of a workload?
- Peralta is the kind of underrated bullpen type that every winning team has and needs. Takes the ball, doesn't complain about his role, and provides leadership for others. Is Peralta a lock for the 2008 pen even though he has an option left?
- The bullpen depth in KC has me optimistic - I believe the locks are Soria, Mahay, Yabuta, Gobble, Bale and Peralta. If KC goes with 11 man staff, that leaves everyone else out including Leo Nunez (out of options) who could be a stud in a 1-2 inning role. How will KC use its depth in the pen?
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Peralta
He also seems to be a big goofball, from the clips I've see on Royals Insider.
by RoyalsRetro on Feb 26, 2008 10:28 AM EST 0 recs
Goofball
by Shooter on
Feb 26, 2008 2:03 PM EST
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I also seem to recall
by RoyalsRetro on
Feb 26, 2008 2:08 PM EST
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All indications thus far
Soria
Mahay
Yabuta
Peralta
Gobble
Nunez (out of options)
Bale
by DC Royal on Feb 26, 2008 10:40 AM EST 0 recs
Agree
by lordbyronk on
Feb 26, 2008 11:00 AM EST
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Agree on Nunez
by RoyalsRetro on
Feb 26, 2008 11:07 AM EST
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Nunez has the fastball and the moxie
Right now his secondary pitches are average at best.
Intriguing thought though. If McClure can work with him on developing an out-pitch slider or new pitch such as a cutter or splitter I think Nunez could definitely be an effective closer.
by DC Royal on
Feb 26, 2008 11:46 AM EST
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Don't forget....
by MooseTacos25 on Feb 26, 2008 10:44 AM EST 0 recs
I thought Trey or Dayton said
Maybe Nunez or Bale becomes the fifth starter, then?
by cmkeller on Feb 26, 2008 11:13 AM EST 0 recs
I thought it was
by RoyalsRetro on
Feb 26, 2008 11:42 AM EST
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All this depth...
by Lee on Feb 26, 2008 11:25 AM EST 0 recs
Pitching depth is never unnecessary
by NYRoyal on
Feb 26, 2008 2:40 PM EST
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agreed
Especially if said team already has several players who could feel the need signed veteran fills.
by Lee on
Feb 26, 2008 5:52 PM EST
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True
by NYRoyal on
Feb 26, 2008 5:56 PM EST
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So is Ryan Braun expendable?
by cmkeller on Feb 26, 2008 1:23 PM EST 0 recs
Is he out of options?
by RoyalsRetro on
Feb 26, 2008 1:39 PM EST
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Braun and Musser
by NYRoyal on
Feb 26, 2008 2:41 PM EST
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Wow that is disturbing.
And I'm going out and saying it right now: If John Bale makes the team and Nunez doesn't pass through waivers, DM has made a pretty crappy error in judgement. Nunez, as a non-starter last year, logged 14 1/3 innings and had a 16:2 K:BB ratio. He didn't walk anyone in 10 1/3 innings in September. That is what a potentially dominant reliever looks like. If Bale is retained because he is on a one year money deal and Nunez is stuck on waivers, I'm gonna be pissed.
My hopes for the pen:
CL: Soria
SU: Mahay/Yabuta
MR: Peralta, Nunez, Yobble
LR: Bale/Ducky
First up: Musser
Next up: Braun, even though he has been terrible, I hold out this strange hope that he'll just turn it around.
After that: Ducky the magnificent
by ajblobaum on
Feb 26, 2008 3:47 PM EST
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Disturbing?
by NYRoyal on
Feb 26, 2008 3:51 PM EST
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What I found disturbing
by ajblobaum on
Feb 26, 2008 4:08 PM EST
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Gotcha
by NYRoyal on
Feb 26, 2008 4:44 PM EST
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I'm definitely with you on Nunez
I was a bit disappointed to see Nunez get "traded" for Bradley last summer. I think he's easily the most underrated Royal in the bullpen, by the fans and front office alike.
by Royals Nation on
Feb 26, 2008 7:01 PM EST
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Nunez's delivery
by NYRoyal on
Feb 26, 2008 7:13 PM EST
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food for thought
http://baseball.bornbybits.com/plots/Johan_Santana.html
Don't know if that means anything, and I have no idea what methodology they use to arrive at their numbers, but it's certainly more positive than negative.
by marbotty on
Feb 27, 2008 8:44 AM EST
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And his top 3 comps at BP are
- Steve Ridzik
- Joe Presko
- Kazuhito Tadano
by NYRoyal on
Feb 27, 2008 12:00 PM EST
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You probably have heard of Tadano
by Gopherballs on
Feb 27, 2008 12:06 PM EST
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who hasn't heard of steve ridzik?
Those were the 11 finest innings Philadelphia may have ever seen, with Ridzik nearly posting the team low ERA at 2.45 (just being edged out by the team's closer.)
And Joe Presko?
Why, I created my ATM pincode based on his BB/K
ratio in 1954. (41/36, btw.)
Speaking of the finest 11 innings ever pitched, Presko's 11 in 1957 were the finest the Tigers may have ever seen, posting a team low ERA at 1.64 and leading Detroit to a historic 78-76 record.
by marbotty on
Feb 28, 2008 3:47 AM EST
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This will work itself out
And, if everybody does manage to stay healthy, there's always the "mild strain" or "tired arm" that seems to crop up whenever you need it
: )
by loyal2s dad on Feb 26, 2008 3:36 PM EST 0 recs
Totally agree
Braun, Duckworth and Musser could make several rosters out of ST but it won't be in KC. They'll provide bullpen depth. A couple of other guys who could fill a role in the bullpen are Kyle Davies and Carlos Rosa. In 2008, Davies seemed to have those starts that for first 3 innings - no problems. Then, the wheels came off. Rosa has been impressing KC brass in ST and could be a surprise in the middle of the year.
Just don't see KC using Hochevar in the middle relief role with the amount of passable pitchers in the organization. Even Dusty Hughes or Matt Wright could fill a 12 man on the staff role.
I look for a trade near the end of ST with out of options guys like Huber or Costa and one of our pitchers for minor league depth. Don't think that Gobble and a Huber/Shealy/Costa type will fetch a big league regular. KC has plenty of bench types with German, Gathright, Callaspo, Maier, TPJ and Gload. KC could use more position player depth in minors - it is a shortage that goes through entire system.
by daveyork on
Feb 26, 2008 4:33 PM EST
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I really think Hochevar will go to Omaha
by NYRoyal on
Feb 26, 2008 4:46 PM EST
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On the other hand,
Just another spring training fluff piece, or, dare we hope, a harbinger of a meteoric rookie campaign for Luke? (We can hope, can't we?)
by loyal2s dad on Feb 26, 2008 5:51 PM EST 0 recs
It could happen
by NYRoyal on
Feb 26, 2008 5:57 PM EST
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Mid season callup is my prediction
by daveyork on
Feb 26, 2008 6:16 PM EST
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Hard not to be excited about the future rotation
Greinke
Bannister
Hochevar
Soria
With Cortes, Pimental, Rosa and others providing potentially meaningful depth.
This really shows that the Royals shouldn't be in the market for a free agent starting pitcher next offseason.
by NYRoyal on
Feb 26, 2008 6:20 PM EST
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I probably don't disagree with you.
by KC Chris on
Feb 26, 2008 6:35 PM EST
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DLR
I would bet we try to slip him through waivers. I can't see there being that much interest in him. If we lose him, oh well.
by RoyalsRetro on Feb 27, 2008 11:19 AM EST 0 recs
Waivers
De La Rosa has some value because he's a lefty with good stuff who certainly isn't over the hill. I could see a lot of teams being interested him as a lefty reliever who still has some SP possibility. But, right now he's a marginal major leaguer without options, so we'd get a marginal player back in return. Frankly, I like his odds of making the roster as the fifth starter. If he doesn't work out in that role, then he can move to the bullpen, with one of the relievers taking his place in the rotation (perhaps Bale, Nunez or Hochevar if he starts the season in the pen). And then De La Rosa fails in the bullpen, he can be DFA'd (waived, traded, released or outrighted to the minors if he can clear waivers).
by NYRoyal on
Feb 27, 2008 12:06 PM EST
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There are two kinds of waivers
DLR isn't over the hill, but he has a pretty good record of failure in MLB and he's not young enough that he's likely to improve. He's 27, the age where most pitchers have either figured it out or not.
My guess is he probably makes the team as a fifth starter, flames out and then is demoted to Omaha, clearing waivers. But if he fails to make this team, I have no problem with that. To paraphrase Bob McClure, we're not here to teach guys how to throw strikes. We've moved past the era of waiting for guys to figure things out. He's had his chance and its time to move on, we have too many other good pitching prospects to get a look at.
I think I see DLR the way you see Huber ;)
by RoyalsRetro on
Feb 27, 2008 1:12 PM EST
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DFA
by NYRoyal on
Feb 27, 2008 1:28 PM EST
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Well regardless
(1) Put DLR on the roster, even though he hasn't shown much of an ability to throw strikes and get guys out in a significant amount of MLB innings
(2) Trade DLR, for which I can't see much interest in anyone giving up much of anything of value for such a player
(3) Expose DLR to waivers. If someone claims him, we can either let them have him or retract him, upon which we'd have to keep him on our roster (see point 1) or if there is no interest, we can ship him to Omaha to work things out.
I guess I see #1 as being the most likely scenario, but I'll be surprised if he's still on the roster by Memorial Day
by RoyalsRetro on
Feb 27, 2008 1:43 PM EST
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Waivers
by Gopherballs on
Feb 28, 2008 12:45 PM EST
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It also comes down to
In my mind, this is yet another indictment of Moore's roster management. We have a guy who will make 1/3 of what Tomko makes, is left handed, and has had a 9 start stretch that was better than anything Tomko put up last year.
Giving Maroth an NRI at least makes some sense, in hoping he can get some of his mediocrity back. Giving Tomko 3 million for 5 starts of average pitching and then getting lit up in the next 4 seems to be a waste of scant resources and a roster spot.
by ajblobaum on Feb 27, 2008 3:07 PM EST 0 recs
Can't disagree more
Thank god Moore made it less likely that two of those guys would make the rotation. I'd much rather have Tomko in the rotation than two of those guys. Tomko's recent history (you have to look beyond just 2007) and his peripherals point to a pitcher with a better chance to have an ERA around 5 than any of the other pitchers you mentioned. For what it's worth, I think every major projection system backs me up on that.
If you're saying that the downside of the Tomko signing is that maybe De La Rosa won't make the team if he's not pitching well in spring training, then I don't see that as much of a loss. But if DLR is pitching well in spring training, then I think he'll definitely make the team. I don't want Hudson, Davies or Bale anywhere near the rotation. I don't know why anyone would.
And, if Tomko flames out in the rotation, it's not the end of the world. He can go the bullpen and be easily replaced in the rotation.
We have a guy who will make 1/3 of what Tomko makes, is left handed, and has had a 9 start stretch that was better than anything Tomko put up last year.
You have to look beyond simply a 9-start stretch for DLR and you have to look beyond simply 2007 for Tomko or any player. I think Tomko is better than De La Rosa, but if DLR is actually pitching well, there is definitely room on the roster for him.
The addition of Maroth made the likelihood even more slim that DLR isn't stuck on waivers.
Are you saying that Maroth's minor league contract makes it more likely or less likely that we'll end up dumping De La Rosa? In reality, his NRI, and Nomo's and Tsao's has absolutely no effect on De La Rosa's position on the club. None whatsoever.
by NYRoyal on
Feb 27, 2008 3:42 PM EST
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Agree whole-heartedly on Tomko, DLR, etc.
Moving to the rotation of course will bring his numbers down somewhat, and he is not a long-term solution, but he could project as a decent short-term starter who could post a 4.75-5.00 FIP until Hochevar is ready or someone else better comes along. Bale throws left-handed, mixes in four pitches for strikes (including a change to keep right-handed hitters off balance), showed no platoon split, gets ground balls with his sinker (43.4% GB%), showed strong peripherals (9.5 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, K/BB 2.47, 2.78 FIP), and is generally liked by the various projection systems.
by Gopherballs on
Feb 28, 2008 12:36 PM EST
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Agreed
Tomko, with his good stuff, might be a more effective reliever.
by RoyalsRetro on
Feb 28, 2008 12:47 PM EST
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Bale
I'm not entirely down on him, but he is mostly an unknown quantity. It is hard for me to rely on a sample size of 40 IP. That is a very small statistical set which makes it hard for me or any projection system to draw good conclusions. His MLB career doesn't offer a much larger statistical sample and much of it is from several years ago. Of course we have his Japanese numbers, but it's hard to say how they translate to MLB.
What I saw was a good fastball and some iffy secondary pitches. That looks like the profile of a good reliever, not a starter. I think his K/9 would drop significantly as a starting pitcher. Bale, might do well as a starter, or at least well enough. I'm just not optimistic about him.
by NYRoyal on
Feb 28, 2008 2:53 PM EST
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Thanks, that's a fair assessment
2005 53.1 IP (0 GS), 4.26 ERA, 9.2 K/9, 3.0 BB/9
2006 43 IP (5 GS), 4.20 ERA, 7.5 K/9, 3.1 BB/9
Of course, with Hochevar having gone all spring without allowing even one baserunner, I think we should forget about Bale and pencil Hochevar in for the April 2 start at Comerica.
by Gopherballs on
Feb 28, 2008 3:32 PM EST
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True!
But seriously, the fact that Bale is an unknown, doesn't that already give him a leg up on de la Rosa, who largely is known? He's been given a substantial amount of MLB time, and hasn't shown much ability. I'd give Bale a spot over DLR at this point.
by RoyalsRetro on
Feb 28, 2008 4:54 PM EST
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It depends on your goal
If the Royals only goal for 2008 was maximizing the win total, then you might be right. But the Royals are still rebuilding. While wins are important, that isn't all this season is about. This is not going to be playoff year for the Royals, so some of this season is going to be about auditioning and developing young players. Maybe guys like Bale and Gload will give the Royals 1 or 2 more wins this eason...maybe. But I'd still rather give significant playing time to guys like De La Rosa and Shealy in the hopes that they can realize some of their potential. For those two players, this is their decision year. Either they show something or they are gone. So we have to play them. They still have potential to be decent major league players. They can only realize that potential if they play.
by NYRoyal on
Feb 28, 2008 4:59 PM EST
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If contending next year is the goal
If Bale proves himself an adequate starter this year, the Royals could keep him in the rotation next year in order to prevent the team from (a) making a big mistake in signing next year's version of Carlos Silva, (b) spending $3 million on next year's version of Tomko, or (c) rushing Cortes into the rotation.
DLR already has 41 major league starts and 274 innings, and given so little that he has shown, I have no problem writing him out of the rotation equation.
by Gopherballs on
Feb 28, 2008 6:55 PM EST
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Bale, etc.
Actually, Bale was a free agent signing with some service time under his belt, so I think he'll be a free agent after 2008.
And at this point, he appears more likely to help the 2009 Royals than DLR.
And DLR needs some more playing time this year to see for sure if that is the case. It makes no sense to just give up DLR's talent. I don't know if he necessarily needs starts, but he needs innings to show if he can succeed in some role.
by NYRoyal on
Feb 28, 2008 7:15 PM EST
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Bale's MLB service time is 2.016
by Gopherballs on
Feb 28, 2008 8:59 PM EST
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Perhaps
by NYRoyal on
Feb 28, 2008 9:19 PM EST
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When do you pull the plug on DLR?
I think we know how good DLR is at this point. Its not all that good. I'm all for giving him another shot, since its not like we have five solid starters. But I am very pessimistic he'll figure it out, and he should be on a very short leash.
I'd be much more optimistic on Bale.
by RoyalsRetro on
Feb 28, 2008 10:33 PM EST
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I'd give DLR one more season
It's not like the Royals are chock full of good, young, talented pitchers. We need to give guys like DLR and Davies some kind of shot and not just dump them. We need to see this year (a non-contending year) if they can turn it around. So, give them a look, give them some starts and give them some relief innings to see, finally, what we have in them.
What's the harm? One or two fewer wins? Slowing the development of John Bale? First, at Bale's age, he's not developing anymore. He is what he is. Second, after 40 IP last year, Bale shouldn't be starting for a full season anyway. It would overstress his arm. There is room in this rotation for Bale, Tomko, DLR, and others to get some starts (especially if someone spends some time on the DL).
by NYRoyal on
Feb 28, 2008 10:50 PM EST
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