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The Big Prediction Contest

Nyroyal3a_tiny by NYRoyal on

Many fan sites have big multiple prediction contests and since we like making predictions and competing against each other, I thought we should have one as well.  Here's the deal, cut and paste the following list and add in your predictions.  I'll record the entries and score them at the end of the season.  Will has generously donated a RR t-shirt as a prize to the winner  

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record
Runs scored
Runs allowed
Batting average
OPS
HR
ERA

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs
Doubles
Triples
Home Runs
RBI
Walks
Stolen bases
Batting average (min 125 AB)
OBP (min 125 AB)
SLG (min 125 AB)
OPS (min 125 AB)

Wins
Saves
Quality starts
Holds
IP
SO
K/9 (min 40 ip)
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest)
ERA (min 40 ip)

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?

To provide a baseline, last year's Royals hitting stats can be found here:

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/Statistics/Team/playerstats?team=kan

And last year's pitching stats:

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/Statistics/Team/playerstats?team=kan&pagetype=pitching&seasonY ear=2007

The unnecessarily complicated scoring works as follows:

Team:

Record
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - Off by 1, 8 pts
  - Off by 2, 5 pts
  - Off by 3, 3 pts

Runs scored
  - Ifyou get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within 10 runs, 7 pts
  - If you are 11-20 off, 3 pts
  - If you are 21-30 off, 2 pts

Runs allowed
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within 10, 7 pts
  - If you are 11-20 off, 3 pts
  - If you are 21-30 off, 2 pts

Batting average
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within 3, 7 pts
  - If you are 4-5 off, 3 pts
  - If you are 6-7 off, 2 pts

OPS
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within 10, 7 pts
  - If you are 11-20 off, 3 pts
  - If you are 21-30 off, 2 pts

HR
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within 7, 7 pts
  - If you are 8-12 off, 5 pts
  - If you are 13-17 off, 3 pts

ERA
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within .1, 7 pts
  - If you are .11-.2 off, 5 pts
  - If you are .21-.3 off, 3 pts

Individual stat leaders
  - 1 pt for each one you get correct

The entry deadline is the first pitch of the the Royals first game.

1 recs | Comment 73 comments

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My predictions
Record -- 82-80
Runs scored -- 755
Runs allowed -- 735
Batting average -- .270
OPS -- .745
HR -- 145
ERA -- 4.37

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs - Gathright
Doubles - Teahen
Triples - Gathright
Home Runs - Guillen
RBI - Butler
Walks - Butler
Strikeouts - Gordon
Stolen bases - Gathright
Batting average - Butler
OBP - Butler
SLG - Guillen
OPS - Butler

Wins - Greinke
Saves - Soria
Quality starts - Meche
Holds - Yabuta
IP - Meche
SO - Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) - Greinke
BB/9 (min 40 ip) - Bannister
ERA - Greinke

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?

9

Finally coming back to the 'K'!!!! I'm going to be there 7/11/08, vs the SEA Mariners, of course!

by RoyalsFanInMarinerTown on Mar 20, 2008 2:28 PM EDT   0 recs

doublestix predictions
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record: 80-82
Runs scored: 760
Runs allowed: 765
Batting average: .270
OPS: .755
HR: 152
ERA: 4.29

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: David DeJesus
Doubles: Alex Gordon
Triples: David DeJesus
Home Runs: Jose Guillen
RBI: Alex Gordon
Walks: David DeJesus
Strikeouts: Mark Teahen
Stolen bases: Joey Gathright
Batting average: David DeJesus
OBP: David DeJesus
SLG: Alex Gordon
OPS: Alex Gordon

Wins: Zack Greinke
Saves: Joakim Soria
Quality starts: Zack Greinke
Holds: Jimmy Gobble (Ron Mahay if Gobble is traded before season starts)
IP: Gil Meche
SO: Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
ERA: Joakim Soria

by doublestix on Mar 20, 2008 2:30 PM EDT   0 recs

oops
Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?

11

by doublestix on Mar 20, 2008 2:31 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Cleveland
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record 78-84
Runs scored 740
Runs allowed 770
Batting average .265
OPS .750
HR 145
ERA 4.43

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs DeJesus
Doubles Butler
Triples Teahen
Home Runs Guillen
RBI Butler
Walks DeJesus
Strikeouts Pena Jr.
Stolen bases Gordon
Batting average (min 150 AB) Gload
OBP (min 125 AB) DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB) Guillen
OPS (min 125 AB) Butler

Wins Meche
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Mahay
IP Meche
SO Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip) Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) Bannister
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 12

by Cleveland on Mar 20, 2008 2:43 PM EDT   0 recs

k
Record 80W, 82L
Runs scored  762
Runs allowed  750
Batting average  .267
OPS   .745
HR  130
ERA  4.28

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs    DeJesus  
Doubles  Butler
Triples  DeJesus
Home Runs  Gordon
RBI  Butler
Walks  DeJesus
Strikeouts Gordon
Stolen bases  Teahen/Gathright tied
Batting average  Gathright
OBP   DeJesus
SLG  Guillen
OPS  Butler

Wins  Meche
Saves  Soria
Quality starts  Meche
Holds   Yabuta
IP   Meche
SO  Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip)  Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip)  Tomko
ERA   Greinke

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?  17

You should have a minimum number of ABs for the hitting % categories.

Yoda

by Yoda on Mar 20, 2008 2:51 PM EDT   0 recs

Yes
I realized I didn't put those minimums in shortly after I posted it.  I hope I didn't screw anything else up.  Turns out when you create this many categories, there are a lot of variables to consider.
I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 20, 2008 2:55 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Here were my official P2C predictions!
Record:  75-87
Runs scored:  736
Runs allowed:  794
Batting average:  .265
OPS:  .724
HR:  139 (huge leap from last year)
ERA:  4.59

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs:  David DeJesus
Doubles:  Billy Butler
Triples:  David DeJesus
Home Runs:  Alex Gordon
RBI:  Jose Guillen
Walks:  David DeJesus
Strikeouts:  Alex Gordon
Stolen bases:  Joey Gathright
Batting average (min 150 AB):  Alberto Callaspo
OBP (min 125 AB):  Esteban German
SLG (min 125 AB):  Alex Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB):  Alex Gordon

Wins:  Zack Greinke
Saves:  Joakim Soria
Quality starts:  Gil Meche
Holds:  Jimmy Gobble
IP:  Zack Greinke
SO:  Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip):  Yazuhiko Yabuta
BB/9 (min 40 ip):  Brett Tomko (I know...)
ERA (min 40 ip):  Joakim Soria

How many games out will the R's finish?:  20

Become a member of Royals Nation!

by Royals Nation on Mar 20, 2008 2:56 PM EDT   0 recs

Mine
Team:

Record 80-82
Runs scored 755
Runs allowed 765
BA 272
OPS 763
HR 137

Individual leaders:

Runs DeJesus
Doubles Teahen
Triples
Home Runs Guillen
RBI Guillen
Walks DeJesus
Strikeouts Gordon
Stolen bases Teahen
Batting average Butler
OBP DeJesus
SLG Guillen
OPS Guillen

Wins Meche
Saves Soria
Quality Starts Bannister
Holds Yabuta
IP Meche
SO Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip) Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) Greinke
ERA Meche

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 10

I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 20, 2008 3:16 PM EDT   0 recs

And
Triples: Teahen
I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 20, 2008 3:19 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Thanks
You'd think the guy who put together this contest would at least know how to fill out all of the categories.  Apparently not.

Team ERA: 4.38

I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 21, 2008 5:05 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I'm changing my ERA prediction to Soria

I guess I was thinking starting pitcher. But with a 40 ip minimum, I think it will be Soria.

I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 30, 2008 2:30 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

RoyalsRetro's Lock of the Week
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record 74-88
Runs scored: 750
Runs allowed: 810
Batting average: .269
OPS: .720
HR: 135
ERA: 4.65

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: DeJesus
Doubles: Gordon
Triples: Gordon
Home Runs: Gordon
RBI: Gordon
Walks: DeJesus
Strikeouts: Gordon
Stolen bases: Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB): Callaspo
OBP (min 125 AB): DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB): Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB): Gordon

Wins: Meche
Saves: Soria
Quality starts: Meche
Holds: Peralta
IP: Meche
SO: Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip): Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip): Soria
ERA (min 40 ip): Soria

Games Back: 22

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Mar 20, 2008 3:44 PM EDT   0 recs

mine
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record 73-89
Runs scored 744
Runs allowed 833
Batting average .271
OPS .717
HR 122
ERA 4.76

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs DeJesus
Doubles Butler
Triples Teahen
Home Runs Butler
RBI Butler
Walks DeJesus
Strikeouts Gordon
Stolen bases Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB) Gload
OBP (min 125 AB) DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB) Butler
OPS (min 125 AB) Butler

Wins Meche
Saves Soria
Quality starts Greinke
Holds Gobble
IP Meche
SO Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip) Gobble
BB/9 (min 40 ip) Bale
ERA (min 40 ip) Gobble

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?

24

Hillman, you're on notice.

by FireBell on Mar 20, 2008 3:56 PM EDT   0 recs

Here's mine
Predict the following team stats (give a number):
Record: 81-81
Runs scored: 768
Runs allowed: 758
Batting average: .269
OPS: .738
HR: 134
ERA: 4.46

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: DeJesus
Doubles: Butler
Triples: DeJesus
Home Runs: Guillen
RBI: Butler
Walks: Butler
Strikeouts: Teahen
Stolen bases: DeJesus
Batting average (min 125 AB): Butler
OBP (min 125 AB): Butler
SLG (min 125 AB): Guillen
OPS (min 125 AB): Butler
Wins: Meche
Saves: Soria
Quality starts: Meche
Holds: Gobble
IP: Meche
SO: Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip): Greinke
ERA (min 40 ip): Soria

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?
11

I'd rather be watching baseball.

by Sisquatch Kids on Mar 20, 2008 4:25 PM EDT   0 recs

I'll play
Record -- 74-88
Runs scored -- 725
Runs allowed -- 795
Batting average -- .265
OPS -- .730
HR -- 138
ERA -- 4.46

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs - DeJesus
Doubles - Butler
Triples - Gathright
Home Runs - Guillen
RBI - Butler
Walks - Butler
Strikeouts - Teahen
Stolen bases - Gathright
Batting average - Butler
OBP - Butler
SLG - Guillen
OPS - Butler

Wins - Meche
Saves - Soria
Quality starts - Meche
Holds - Mahay
IP - Meche
SO - Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) - Greinke
BB/9 (min 40 ip) - Greinke
ERA - Soria

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?

16

by Billex Gordler on Mar 20, 2008 4:27 PM EDT   0 recs

My predictions
Record 82-80
Runs scored 760
Runs allowed 800
Batting average .286
OPS .700
HR 140
ERA 4.80

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Callaspo
Doubles Butler
Triples Gathright
Home Runs Butler
RBI Guillen
Walks DeJesus
Strikeouts Pena
Stolen bases Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB) Callaspo
OBP (min 125 AB) Callaspo
SLG (min 125 AB) Butler
OPS (min 125 AB) Butler

Wins Meche
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Peralta
IP Meche
SO Grienke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) Tomko
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 20

Sign Alex Gordon to a life time contract!!!

by eboston on Mar 20, 2008 4:29 PM EDT   0 recs

82-80 and 20 games out?
Who do you have wining so many games?  Just curious.

by KC Chris on Mar 20, 2008 4:43 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Detroit
is going to score like a million runs or something this year. If they make a move to help their pitching a little more they are my pick to win the Series.
Sign Alex Gordon to a life time contract!!!

by eboston on Mar 21, 2008 10:21 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

2008 Royals Predictions
Record: 77-85
Runs scored: 766
Runs allowed: 793
Batting average: .272
OPS: .741
HR: 144
ERA: 4.55

Runs: DDJ
Doubles: Gordon
Triples: DDJ
Home Runs: Gordon
RBI: Butler
Walks: DDJ
Strikeouts: Teahen
Stolen bases: Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB): Butler
OBP (min 125 AB): DDJ
SLG (min 125 AB): Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB): Gordon

Wins: Meche
Saves: Soria
Quality starts: Bannister
Holds: Peralta
IP: Meche
SO: Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip): Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip): highest BB/9: Tomko; lowest:Soria
ERA (min 40 ip): Yabuta

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?: 19

If I had a rocket ship, I'd never want to land.

by dman126 on Mar 20, 2008 5:13 PM EDT   0 recs

Clarification
Individual "leaders" means the best in each statistical category.  So, the BB/9 leader would be the pitcher with the lowest BB/9.
I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 20, 2008 5:14 PM EDT   0 recs

Sittin's Entry (Go Drake!)
Record: 79-83
Runs scored: 803
Runs allowed: 799
Batting Average: .270
OPS: .750
HR: 143
ERA: 4.69

Runs: DJ
Doubles: Butler
Triples: Callaspo
HR: Gordon
RBI: Butler
Ks: Teahen
SB: Gathright
Batting Avereage: Butler
OBP: DJ
SLG: Butler
OPS: Butler

Wins: Tomko w/ 15 (kidding) Greinke
Saves: Soria
Quality Starts: Meche
Holds: Mahay
IP: Meche
K: Greinke
K/9: Soria
BB/9: Banny
ERA: Soria

Tie Breaker:  15 games out

Relax, all right? Don't try to strike everybody out. Strikeouts are boring! Besides that, they're fascist. Throw some ground balls - it's more democratic.

by SittinByTheFoulPole on Mar 20, 2008 5:35 PM EDT   0 recs

mine
record: 83-79
runs scored: 800
runs allowed: 766
avg: .288
OPS: 780
HR: 138
ERA: 4.80

runs: Teahn
doubles: Gload
triples: Gath
hrs: Gord
rbis: Gord
Ks:Gord
SB: Gath
BA: Gload
OBP: Gord
SLG: Gord
OPS: Gord

Wins: Mechr
Savs: Soria
Quality: Meche
Holds: Yabuta
IP: Meche
K: Meche
K/9: Mahay
BB/9: Gobble
ERA: Greinke

I wanna know what love is, I want you to show me

by LeoBloom on Mar 21, 2008 10:12 AM EDT   0 recs

tirebreaker

10 games out

I wanna know what love is, I want you to show me

by LeoBloom on Mar 30, 2008 7:46 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Predictions
Record = 78-84
Runs scored = 764
Runs allowed = 794
Batting average = .272
OPS = .740
HR = 135
ERA = 4.35

Runs = DeJesus
Doubles = Butler
Triples = Teahen
Home Runs = Guillen
RBI = Guillen
Walks = DeJesus
Strikeouts = Teahen
Stolen bases = Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB) = Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) = Gathright
SLG (min 125 AB) = Guillen
OPS (min 125 AB) = Butler

Wins = Meche
Saves = Soria
Quality starts = Bannister
Holds = Yabuta
IP = Meche
SO = Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) = Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) = Bannister
ERA (min 40 ip) = Soria

by MileHighKCfan on Mar 21, 2008 10:54 AM EDT   0 recs

contest
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record- 79-83
Runs scored- 747
Runs allowed- 755
Batting average- .268
OPS- .720
HR- 130
ERA - 4.72

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs- Dejesus
Doubles- Butler
Triples- Dejesus
Home Runs- Guillen
RBI- Butler
Walks- Dejesus
Strikeouts- Teahen
Stolen bases- Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB)-Butler
OBP (min 125 AB)- Callaspo
SLG (min 125 AB)-Guillen
OPS (min 125 AB)- Butler

Wins - Meche
Saves- Soria
Quality starts-Meche
Holds- Mahay
IP- Meche
SO- Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip)- Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip)- Soria
ERA (min 40 ip)-Soria

Tiebreaker - 17

by I need more Esteban on Mar 21, 2008 4:21 PM EDT   0 recs

here we go
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record- 73 wins
Runs scored- 729
Runs allowed- 789
Batting average- .280
OPS- .770
HR- 116
ERA- 4.70

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs- DDJ
Doubles- Guillen
Triples- DDJ
Home Runs- Guillen
RBI- Guillen
Walks- Gordon
Strikeouts- Gordon
Stolen bases- Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB)- DDJ
OBP (min 125 AB)- DDJ
SLG (min 125 AB)- Guillen
OPS (min 125 AB)- Guillen

Wins- Greinke
Saves- Soria
Quality starts- greinke
Holds- Mahay
IP- Meche
SO- Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip)- Mahay
BB/9 (min 40 ip)- Soria
ERA (min 40 ip)- Soria

by FlintHillsRoyal on Mar 21, 2008 7:34 PM EDT   0 recs

Predictions
Am I correct in assuming that for negative stats like bb/9 (for pitchers) or Ks (for hitters) we're predicting the Royals player who has the best season, i.e. the hitter with the fewest strikeouts? Reading through the answers so far, it isn't clear that everyone's on the same page. Anyway, here are my predictions.

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record: 86-76
Runs scored: 810
Runs allowed: 730
Batting average: .273
OPS: .760
HR: 145
ERA: 4.30

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: David DeJesus
Doubles: Billy Butler
Triples: Mark Teahen
Home Runs: Alex Gordon
RBI: Alex Gordon
Walks: David DeJesus
Strikeouts: Mark Grudzielanek
Stolen bases: Joey Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB): Billy Butler
OBP (min 125 AB): David DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon

Wins: Gil Meche
Saves: Joaikim Soria
Quality starts: Brian Bannister
Holds: Jimmy Gobble
IP: Gil Meche
SO: Zack Grienke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Zack Grienke
BB/9 (min 40 ip): Brian Bannister
ERA (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria

Tie breaker - 7

by Melchizedek on Mar 21, 2008 11:03 PM EDT   0 recs

Yeah, that wasn't clear
I attempted to clarify in a comment above that the "leader" for BB/9 was the pitcher with the lowest BB/9 who met the IP minimum.  Unfortunately, for hitter's strikeouts, I actually intended it to be the batter with the most strikeouts.  But that is inconsistent with the rest of the individual "leaders" because it isn't the player who is best in that category.  Instead of trying to fix it after so many people have already given their predictions, I'm just going to excise this prediction from the contest.  

So, BB/9 for pitchers is in.  It is the lowest BB/9 for pitchers with at least 40 ip.  But hitter's K's are out entirely.

I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 22, 2008 1:33 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

here we go...
Record:  78-84
Runs Scored:  753
Runs Allowed:  765
Batting Average:  .271
OPS:  .765
HR:  135
ERA:  4.38

Runs:  DeJesus
Doubles:  Gordon
Triples:  DeJesus
HRs:  Gordon
RBIs:  Gordon
BOB:  DeJesus
SB:  DeJesus
BA:  Butler
OBP:  Teahen
SLG:  Guillen
OPS:  Butler

Wins:  Meche
Saves:  Soria
Quality Starts:  Meche
Holds:  Mahay
IP:  Meche
SO:  Greinke
K/9:  Soria
BB/9:  Bannister
ERA:  Soria

14 games out of first

Don't be lonesome for your heroes. Be your own hero.

by PhattStairs on Mar 22, 2008 10:01 AM EDT   0 recs

guess we added a category in there...
Strikeouts:  Gordon
Don't be lonesome for your heroes. Be your own hero.

by PhattStairs on Mar 22, 2008 7:07 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

predictions
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record- 74-88
Runs scored- 745
Runs allowed- 785
Batting average- .264
OPS- .748
HR- 119
ERA- 4.55

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs- DeJesus
Doubles- Gordon
Triples- Gordon
Home Runs- Butler
RBI-Butler
Walks-Butler
Stolen bases-Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB)-Butler
OBP (min 125 AB)-Butler
SLG (min 125 AB)-Guillen
OPS (min 125 AB)-Butler

Wins-Greinke
Saves-Soria
Quality starts-Meche
Holds-Gobble
IP-Meche
SO-Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip)-Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest)-Soria
ERA (min 40 ip)-Soria

Never giving up on your team is what makes you a good fan.

by kcisbetterthanstlateverything on Mar 22, 2008 12:53 PM EDT   0 recs

yep
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record: 67-95
Runs scored: 790
Runs allowed: 840
Batting average: .262
OPS: .753
HR: 134
ERA:4.69

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs - Mark Teahen
Doubles - Alex Gordon
Triples - Mark Teahen
Home Runs - Billy Butler
RBI - Billy Butler
Walks - David DeJesus
Stolen bases - Mark Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB) - Billy Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) - Mark Teahen
SLG (min 125 AB) - Billy Butler
OPS (min 125 AB) - Billy Butler

Wins - Zack Greinke
Saves - Joakim Soria
Quality starts - Zack Greinke
Holds - Joel Peralta
IP - Gil Meche
SO - Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) - Zack Greinke
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) - Brian Bannister
ERA (min 40 ip) - Joakim Soria

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 29.5

I'm really good at being wrong... sometimes.

by BlownSave on Mar 23, 2008 6:04 AM EDT   0 recs

Wow
You're not a fan of our ability win 1-run games, are you? Not many teams finish 28 games under .500 and are only outscored by 50 runs.

by Melchizedek on Mar 25, 2008 11:56 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I'm not sure he's a fan of the Royals at all
67 wins?  That's a joke.  Not funny, but it's a joke.
I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 26, 2008 12:12 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Actually
67-95 is only 14 games under .500, it's a 28 game difference in wins and losses.

by MileHighKCfan on Mar 26, 2008 12:37 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Nomenclature
I've seen it both ways.

by Melchizedek on Mar 28, 2008 3:48 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

me
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record- 85-77
Runs scored- 800
Runs allowed- 770
Batting average- 280
OPS- 799
HR- 135
ERA- 4.66

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs= DDJ
Doubles- Gordon
Triples- Teahen
Home Runs- Butler
RBI- Butler
Walks- Butler
Stolen bases- Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB)- Teahen
OBP (min 125 AB)- Teahen
SLG (min 125 AB)- Butler
OPS (min 125 AB)- Butler

Wins- Meche
Saves- Yabuta
Quality starts- Greinke
Holds- Mahay
IP- Meche
SO- Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip)- Mahay
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest)- Soria
ERA (min 40 ip)- Gobble

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?
10

"So whattya say, should we clean this place up?" - Tom Cruise

by DyeFan187 on Mar 23, 2008 1:40 PM EDT   0 recs

the test
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record- 82-80
Runs scored- 800
Runs allowed- 780
Batting average- .281
OPS. 788
HR- 123
ERA- 4.66

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs- DeJesus
Doubles- Gordon
Triples- Teahen
Home Runs- Butler
RBI- Gordon
Walks- Gordon
Stolen bases- Dejesus
Batting average (min 125 AB)- Gload
OBP (min 125 AB)- Butler
SLG (min 125 AB)- Butler
OPS (min 125 AB)- Butler

Wins- Greinke
Saves- Soria
Quality starts- Greinke
Holds- Mahay
IP- Meche
SO- Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip)- Mahay
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest)- Soria
ERA (min 40 ip)- Soria

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 9

by test on Mar 24, 2008 3:00 PM EDT   0 recs

Here goes nothing
Team:

Record 79-83
RS 750
RA 765
Avg .265
OPS .730
HR 119
ERA 4.41

Individuals:

Runs DeJesus
Doubles Teahen
Triples DeJesus
Homeruns Butler
RBI Guillen
Walks DeJesus
Stolen Bases Gathright
Avg Butler
Slug % Butler
OPS Butler

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality Starts Greinke
Holds Gobble
IP Meche
Strikeouts Greinke
K/9  Soria
BB/9  Bannister
ERA  Soria

Tiebreaker 15 games out of first

by loyal2s dad on Mar 24, 2008 3:27 PM EDT   0 recs

Looks like I forgot
OBP individual leader.

I'll go with DeJesus.

by loyal2s dad on Mar 24, 2008 3:32 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

i will win
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record- 85-77
Runs scored- 810
Runs allowed- 780
Batting average- .281
OPS- .780 (had to look up what this was)
HR- 134
ERA- 4.77

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs- David
Doubles- Guillen
Triples- David
Home Runs- Gordon
RBI- Guillen
Walks- Butler
Stolen bases- David
Batting average (min 125 AB)- David
OBP (min 125 AB)- Teahen
SLG (min 125 AB)- Butler
OPS (min 125 AB)- Gordon

Wins- Meche
Saves- Soria
Quality starts- Bannister
Holds- Mahay
IP- Meche
SO- Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip)- Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest)- Gobble
ERA (min 40 ip)- Mahay

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 8

by Dani Woodward on Mar 24, 2008 5:11 PM EDT   0 recs

:D
Record - 86-76
Runs scored - 806
Runs allowed - 761
Batting average - .282  
OPS - .741
HR - 136
ERA - 3.94

Runs - David Dejesus
Doubles - Alex Gordon
Triples - Mark Teahen
Home Runs - Alex Gordon
RBI - Jose Guillen
Walks - Billy Butler
Stolen bases - Joey Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB)- Billy Butler
OBP (min 125 AB)- Billy Butler
SLG (min 125 AB)- Alex Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB)- Alex Gordon

Wins - Gil Meche
Saves - Joakim Soria
Quality starts - Gil Meche
Holds - Yasuhiko Yabuta
IP - Meche
SO - Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip)- Zack Greinke
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) - Joakim Soria
ERA (min 40 ip)- Joakim Soria

I love life. Life = Royals

by focs on Mar 28, 2008 2:20 AM EDT   0 recs

My shot
Record 78-84
Runs scored-776
Runs allowed-733
Batting average-270
OPS-752
HR-143
ERA-4.31

Runs-Godon
Doubles-Butler
Triples-Teahen
Home Runs-Gordon
RBI-Guillen
Walks-Butler
Stolen bases-Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB)-Callaspo
OBP (min 125 AB)-Butler
SLG (min 125 AB)-Gordon   
OPS (min 125 AB)-Butler

Wins-Meche
Saves-Soria
Quality starts-Greinke
Holds-Yabuta
IP-Meche
SO-Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip)-Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest)-Bannister
ERA (min 40 ip)-Mahay

by wildthang on Mar 28, 2008 4:50 AM EDT   0 recs

just in time
Team:

Record 79-83
Runs scored 765
Runs allowed 790
BA 268
OPS 756
HR 141
ERA 4.68

Individual leaders:

Runs DeJesus
Doubles Gordon
Triples DeJesus
Home Runs Butler
RBI Guillen
Walks DeJesus
Strikeouts Gordon
Stolen bases Gathright
Batting average Butler
OBP DeJesus
SLG Butler
OPS Butler

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality Starts Greinke
Holds Gobbles
IP Meche
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) Greinke
ERA Soria

This space intentionally left blank.

by marbotty on Mar 28, 2008 7:49 AM EDT   0 recs

Butler is good
Record  77-85
Runs scored  742
Runs allowed 769
Batting average 268
OPS 740
HR 125
ERA 4.55
Runs  DeJesus
Doubles  Butler
Triples DeJesus
Home Runs Gordon
RBI Butler
Walks DeJesus
Stolen bases Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB) Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) Butler
SLG (min 125 AB) Butler
OPS (min 125 AB)  Butler
Wins  Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Greinke
Holds Gobble
IP Meche
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Peralta
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 15

by Gopherballs on Mar 28, 2008 12:57 PM EDT   0 recs

A couple notes
  • Where's Will's prediction?
  • I'm pleasantly surprised how high some of these win totals are.  When I think about RR, bastion of positivity isn't exactly something that comes to mind (for the record, neither does bastion of negativity).  Not that I believe anyone is wrong, but it's an encouraging sign that the consensus among an educated fanbase is so optimistic.  Makes my 75-87 prediction look gloomy & doomy.
Become a member of Royals Nation!

by Royals Nation on Mar 28, 2008 1:46 PM EDT   0 recs

Back Again
Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record: 78-84
Runs scored: 747
Runs allowed: 747
Batting average: .288
OPS: .758
HR: 140
ERA: 4.48

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: DDJ
Doubles: Butler
Triples: Pena
Home Runs: Gordon
RBI: Guillen
Walks: Butler
Stolen bases: Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB): Butler
OBP (min 125 AB): DDJ
SLG (min 125 AB): Bulter
OPS (min 125 AB): Butler

Wins: Meche
Saves: Soria
Quality starts: Meche
Holds: Yabuta
IP: Meche
SO: Grienke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Bannister
ERA (min 40 ip): Grienke

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?
20

by BrRoyal on Mar 28, 2008 5:38 PM EDT   0 recs

30 entries so far

Nothing so far from Will (royalsreview), JQ, NHZ, Grudz, loyal2theroyals, royaldaddy and some other regulars.

And some neglected to include anything for the tiebreaker: LeoBloom, FlintHillsRoyal, kcisbetterthanstlateverything, focs, thedude925, and marbotty.

I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 29, 2008 12:26 PM EDT   0 recs

here we go...

Record :: 81-81
Runs scored :: 770
Runs allowed : 730
Batting average :: 275
OPS :: 760
HR :: 127
ERA :: 4.63

Runs :: DeJesus
Doubles :: Butler
Triples :: Teahen
Home Runs :: Guillen
RBI :: Guillen
Walks :: DeJesus
Stolen bases :: Gator
Batting average (min 125 AB) :: Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) :: DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB) :: Guillen
OPS (min 125 AB) :: Butler

Wins :: Meche
Saves :: Soria
Quality starts :: Meche
Holds :: Ramirez
IP :: Meche
SO :: Grienke
K/9 (min 40 ip) :: Grienke
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) :: Banny
ERA (min 40 ip) :: Meche

Tiebreaker :: 15 games out of first

by rockchalk on Mar 29, 2008 3:27 PM EDT   0 recs

but at last,

here it is:

Record: 77-85
Runs scored 770
Runs allowed: 761
BA: .277
OPS: .745
HR: 137
ERA: 4.69

Runs: David DeJesus
Doubles: Mark Teahen
Triples: Mark Teahen
Home Runs: Jose Guillen
RBI: Billy Butler
Walks: Billy Butler
Strikeouts: Alex Gordon
Stolen bases: Joey Gathright
Batting average: Billy Butler
OBP: Billy Butler
SLG: Alex Gordon
OPS: Billy Butler

Wins: Gil Mecher
Saves: Joakim Soria
Quality starts: Gil Meche
Holds : Jimmy Gobble
IP: Gil Meche
SO: Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
ERA: Joakim Soria

by royaldaddy on Mar 30, 2008 2:10 AM EDT   0 recs

I forgot tie breaker

How about 14 games out

by royaldaddy on Mar 30, 2008 2:11 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

here are mine

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record- 79-83
Runs scored- 770
Runs allowed- 790
Batting average- .277
OPS- 760
HR- 131
ERA- 4.50

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs- DeJesus
Doubles- Gordon
Triples- DeJesus
Home Runs- Butler
RBI- Guillen
Walks- DeJesus
Stolen bases- Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB)- Gload
OBP (min 125 AB)- DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB)- Butler
OPS (min 125 AB)- Butler

Wins- Greinke
Saves- Soria
Quality starts- greinke
Holds- Mahay
IP- Meche
SO- greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip)- Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest)- Bannister
ERA (min 40 ip)- Greinke

tie breaker- 12 games out

by royalsreview on Mar 30, 2008 7:45 PM EDT   0 recs

here we go......

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record 77 - 85
Runs scored 776
Runs allowed 792
Batting average .282
OPS 7.62
HR 131
ERA 4.62

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs DeJesus
Doubles Gordon
Triples Teahen
Home Runs Guillen
RBI Guillen
Walks Butler
Stolen bases Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB) Teahen
OBP (min 125 AB) DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB) Guillen
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon

Wins Meche
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Gobble
IP Meche
SO Grienke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Grienke
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?

14

by kcinstl on Mar 30, 2008 8:36 PM EDT   0 recs

lets see here...

Record 79-83
Runs scored 755
Runs allowed 750
Batting average .280
OPS .750
HR 138
ERA 4.45

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs DeJesus
Doubles Butler
Triples DeJesus
Home Runs Butler
RBI Guillen
Walks Butler
Stolen bases Gathright
Batting average (min 125 AB) Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) Butler
SLG (min 125 AB) Butler
OPS (min 125 AB) Butler

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Greinke
Holds Peralta
IP Meche
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish?15

by Trumanroyal on Mar 31, 2008 1:17 AM EDT   0 recs

tiebreaker -- oh, 14

This space intentionally left blank.

by marbotty on Mar 31, 2008 7:19 AM EDT   0 recs

Get ready for a heaping load of truth!

Just to say it out front, It is spring and I’ll go with my heart.
Record – 82-80
Runs scored - 780
Runs allowed - 770
Batting average - .272
OPS - .735
HR - 140
ERA – 4.40
Runs – DeJesus (100)
Doubles – Gordon (37)
Triples – Teahen (4)
Home Runs – Godon (23)
RBI – Emil Brown, or maybe Teahen. (90)
Walks – No one, or Butler. (72)
Stolen bases – Callaspo (18)
Batting average (min 125 AB) – Butler (.294)
OBP (min 125 AB) – Callaspo (.371)
SLG (min 125 AB) – Butler (.485)
OPS (min 125 AB) – Butler (.840)
Wins – Meche (16)
Saves – Soria (33)
Quality starts – Meche (24)
Holds – Gobble (20)
IP – Meche (205)
SO – Meche (160)
K/9 (min 40 ip) – Grenkie (8.2)
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) – Bannister (2.2)
ERA (min 40 ip) – Soria (2.60)
A few other predictions. Grudz will give way to Callaspo at 2B this year. He probably will be traded. I’ll miss him. Buck will not improve. Teahen and DeJesus will show nice improvement in power and average respectively. Shealy will have benched Gload by the All-Star break. Pena will regress. Meche and Bannister will be solid. Bale will start all year and do well. Tomko will be fine as well but probably will not break 150 innings. Hochevar will be in the rotation by June.
Oh yeah, and Guillen will be marginally better than Emil Brown.

Rock Chalk Talk for pretty good KU baseball coverage

by James Quinn on Mar 31, 2008 11:03 AM EDT   0 recs

Tiebreaker

15 games?

I think the Royals have a shot at third place. I don't think they will finish in 5th this year.

Rock Chalk Talk for pretty good KU baseball coverage

by James Quinn on Mar 31, 2008 11:14 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

And Fukudome = .350/.450/.550 :)

I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 31, 2008 11:45 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Oh, don't play with me.

All year I am going to be looking at Fukudome's numbers and Gullen's and wallowing in regret. Of this I am sure. I expect around the all-star break a lot of people will look at Guillen's numbers and Emil Brown's and wonder why Dayton Moore thought Guillen was worth $30+M more than Emil.

But then again, maybe I will be proved wrong. But in my three years of following the Royals I have never been so sure of any past transacation as I am today that signing Guillen was a pretty substatial mistake.

Rock Chalk Talk for pretty good KU baseball coverage

by James Quinn on Mar 31, 2008 12:02 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Of all of the things I'm sure

I'm sure of nothing more than the fact that Guillen will be much, much better than Brown.

In order for this to be a huge mistake, Guillen's stats would have to suddenly fall off a cliff. I don't know how you can be certain that he's going to suddenly be a much different player.

I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on Mar 31, 2008 12:15 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

when you say "better than Brown"...

Do you mean better than Brown 2005-06, Brown 2007, or Brown 2008?

There's no question he'll be better than Brown 2007. But I'm not convinced that he'll be much better than 2005-06. Brown 2008 is a mystery, but I think he'll certainly improve over last year.

In fact, as of this minute he's almost winning the triple crown. (Long live the sample size!)

This space intentionally left blank.

by marbotty on Mar 31, 2008 12:24 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs