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DICE v2.01

I haven't yet figured out how this feature will be set up. This time I will post the numbers followed by some statistic that jumped out at me as a reason for the players success or lack thereof. This time the starters will be covered, maybe next time I will cover the relievers. All data from Royals.com and fangraphs.com.

 

Player ERA DICE
Z Greinke 1.80 3.58
G Meche 6.31 5.15
B Bannister 4.46 4.19
B Tomko 4.98 3.50
L Hochevar 4.94 3.91
R Mahay 2.65 3.24
Y Yabuta 7.31 6.44
R Ramirez 1.15 1.09
J Bale 7.63 3.40
L Nunez 2.03 2.47
J Soria 0.00 1.40
J Peralta 6.97 5.28
J Gobble 5.40 1.71
H Nomo 18.69 13.98

Zack Greinke has lowered his line drive percentage to 5% better than any earlier point in his career. It currently sits at 15.8% and as roughly 74% of line drives fall in for hits this is probably a big factor in his success. Bonus stat(s):1.12 GB/FB Ratio 1.12 second highest of his career.

Gil Meche's fastball has dropped over 1 mph from last year  and is the slowest of his career. This could explain his high HR/9 Ratio of 1.58 ( the highest of his career). Bonus stat(s): 5.72 K/9 3.35 BB/9 both worse than last year.

Brian Bannister has thrown his fastball about 5% less than last year but fangraphs is showing a cutter at 85mph as the source of that change. This could be a sign of Banny's problems as he has said that he junked his cutter a few years ago (which fangraphs seems to back up showing none over the last few years) and Posnanski has noted in his Banny Logs that  this cutter that seems to have hurt him this year. Bonus stat(s): How could I give a bonus stat on Banny and not have it be BABIP: 2.85 which is still below league average and his K/9 is  the highest of his career at 5.10.

Brett Tomko has suddenly turned into a groundball pitcher with a GB/FB Ratio of 1.84. This is by far the best of his career, but otherwise his numbers seem to be well within his career averages. Bonus stat(s): He is slightly more than doubling his career curveball percentage throwing that pitch 13.4% of the time. This is at teh expense of all of his other pitches suggesting that he isn't junking something else to throw the curve.

Luke Hochevar 4.18 BB/9 is my only complaint as it  is too high but I suspect as he gets more time it will go down. Bonus stat(s): This is not a stat at all really but I was at the last game where he pitched and I was truly impressed. He looked done a couple of times and got himself through it. I was surprised to see him back out there in the 7th but he pitched well in that frame. The walk before the homerun was the killer to me because he should have been out of the inning by then.

Bonus Player: Joakim Soria has a K/BB Ratio of 15. Bonus stat(s): 10.13 K/9 there is no point in talking about any of the hitting stats against Soria because virtually no one has even come close. Forget about walking too as his BB/9 is .68. I will leave the starter v reliever debate to others but he has to pitch more than the 60 or so innings that he is on pace for. Bonus Bonus stat(s): .38 WHIP.

 

Poll
Who should be covered next time?
Starters again
13 votes
Relievers
8 votes
Just give me the numbers and shut up.
14 votes

35 votes | Poll has closed

3 recs | Comment 11 comments

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Comments

Display:

I wonder why Banny is bringing back the cutter

I wanna know what love is, I want you to show me

by LeoBloom on May 10, 2008 2:30 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I wondered about that too.

Maybe he hasn’t and there is something else at play. I would like to find some data indicating what pitches are bing hit for line drives to see what is hurting him. I am sure he has that data but it would be cool for the rest of us to know.

Proud father of a budding Royals fan.

by Skirra on May 10, 2008 3:07 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

so can we conclude from this that bale was a little unlucky?

maybe a lot unlucky?

"So whattya say, should we clean this place up?" - Tom Cruise

by DyeFan187 on May 10, 2008 4:56 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

ditto for gobble

although ERAs for pitchers are inherently screwy

by royalsreview on May 10, 2008 4:58 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I think these numbers reflect

the article in the star that noted the limited defensive range of the outfield in particular.

Proud father of a budding Royals fan.

by Skirra on May 10, 2008 10:32 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Do you have a link to that one?

How do we not have range in the OF?

I really don't know what to say... Did the post above this signature make sense? Probably not.

by RoyalsFanInMarinerTown on May 11, 2008 6:46 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, seems like our OF has very good range

Certainly 2 out of 3 starters have good range and the 4th OFer has very good range too.

I probably disagree with you.

by NYRoyal on May 11, 2008 8:01 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah

I think our guys do a pretty good job covering the gaps.

Sorry, found that today, and needed to work it in here, somewhere.

I really don't know what to say... Did the post above this signature make sense? Probably not.

by RoyalsFanInMarinerTown on May 11, 2008 11:45 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Here it is.

The link. I also noticed it when I was looking at the team’s I also noticed on the hardball times that we have the fewest outs made out of zone in the outfield of any AL team and our fielding plus/minus is -11 which is third worst. Scroll down to fielding.

Proud father of a budding Royals fan.

by Skirra on May 12, 2008 11:22 AM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Thanks for the follow up.

It is very wierd that our range is showing as being that limited. Perhaps the adjustment with DDJ/Gator/Teahen is meant to combat that.

I really don't know what to say... Did the post above this signature make sense? Probably not.

by RoyalsFanInMarinerTown on May 12, 2008 2:52 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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