Royals Review: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: NFL Week One: Previews and Predictions for all 15 games

Game 116 Open Thread - Twins (63-51) at Royals (53-62)

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals, Aug 8, 2008 8:10 PM EDT


Hiram Kyle Davies makes his 69th career start tonight, and his 24th as a Royal. Proudly sporting a league average --right on the dot actually, his ERA of 4.41 is exactly league average -- for the first time in his career, Davies is enjoying a brief resurgence after a serious rough patch that itself was a correction after a fluky start.

Cheerleaders-1_medium

via www.hiram.edu

 

Davies in 2008:

-First four starts: 1.46 ERA

-Starts five through eight: 9.35 ERA

-Starts nine through twelve: 3.80 ERA

The thing is, if you look at his peripherals, he doesn't look much different than last season, when he posted a satanic 6.66 ERA with the Royals. In some areas, they're actually worse:

2007 2008
K/9 7.20 4.55
K/BB 1.54 1.33
BAA .304 .298
HR/9 1.80 1.14

Despite being something that true aficionados of the game are supposed to scoff at as rally-killers and inelegant displays of national innocence destroying brutishness, home runs have this really annoying linkage to runs. If you watch the game long enough you'll begin to notice something strange: every time a guy hits a homer, a run scores. It's like, uncanny or something. Sure, they may not terrify the pitcher quite like having a fast guy on the basepaths -- distractions! -- but they are pretty dern bad.

In his 2007 stint as a Royal, Davies gave up 10 homers in just fifty innings pitched. He's been a tick better this year at avoiding HRs, and along with his strange Bannifification, he's seen his ERA go down.

Oh, the Twins counter with Kevin Slowey.

0 recs  |  Comment 274 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

If by smoke and mirror you mean consistently in the strikezone

Every fight is a food fight when you’re a cannibal.
-- Demetri Martin

by kcscoliny on Aug 8, 2008 6:09 PM EDT reply actions  

For the record, Davies ERA is the product of smoke and mirrors as well

Perhaps “house of cards” is the better metaphor for it.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Aug 8, 2008 6:12 PM EDT reply actions  

5 of his 8 HRs allowed have been solo shots

2 have been 2-run and one was 3-run

this may be a tick lucky as well, i can’t remember what the average is

by Will McDonald on Aug 8, 2008 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

He's the poster child for BABIP luck

xBABIP .357
actual BABIP .314

Unless he starts missing bats more often, the bill is going to come due for Davies.

This is just my opinion. I could easily be wrong.

by NYRoyal on Aug 8, 2008 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

But BABIP is a smoke-and-mirrors stat!!!!111

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 6:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd say 'house of cards' is more appropriate...

smoke and mirrors has a track record of working.

by Bart41 on Aug 8, 2008 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Davies

If Davies qualified among AL starters, he would rank 3rd to last in the AL in line drive rate (23.7% LD%), 6th worst in groundball rate (36.5% GB%), tied for 4th worst in srikeout to walk ratio (1.33 K/BB), 8th worst in strikeout rate (4.55 K/9), 11th worst in walk rate (3.41 BB/9), and 7th worst in FIP (4.83).

If Davies is still in the rotation come next opening day, something went wrong during the offseason.

by Gopherballs on Aug 8, 2008 6:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Did I just see a Royal in a Brett Favre jersey?

I had my headphones on and I didn’t hear if it was Guillen or German

by BHWick on Aug 8, 2008 7:25 PM EDT reply actions  

Lineups

Aviles (SS)
Teahen (RF)
DeJesus (CF)
Guillen (LF)
Butler (DH)
Gordon (3B)
Olivo©
Gload (1B)
German (2B)

Span (RF)
Punto
Mauer©
Morneau
Kubel
Young (LF)
Harris (3B)
Everett (SS)
Gomez (CF)

by BHWick on Aug 8, 2008 7:40 PM EDT reply actions  

Didn't realize Olivo was a copyrighted name

Nice to see DJ back. And Hoagie in the field. Although I wonder how badly any boos from the fans will hurt his feelings,

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Aug 8, 2008 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Olivo and Mauer are the sole property of Major League Baseball

and may not be reused, reproduced, or retransmitted in any form without express written consent.

by Porcus on Aug 8, 2008 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I know fair use and all

but how is it fair that the Twins get to use Mauer and the Royals only get to use Olivo?

by Gopherballs on Aug 8, 2008 7:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Split

Says Davies has a 3.41 ERA in innings 1-3, 5.59 in innings 4-6

I think Hiram has a future in the pen.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Aug 8, 2008 8:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Don't forget

He’s also a darn good AAA pitcher.

by KCScuba on Aug 8, 2008 8:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1.

I think he could be a pretty good long man out of the pen. He could unleash his stuff more, most likely creating more K’s, and his lack of general control wouldn’t be as big of an issue.

by rockchalk on Aug 8, 2008 8:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Horam and Tejada

Are evidence that crappy starters can become decent relievers.

At least for a short time.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Aug 8, 2008 8:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cubbies beat the redturds today...

That puts STL 7 games out now…Hopefully Mil, Fl, or even the Mets take the wildcard.

Let's Go Blues!

by powderbluesfor08 on Aug 8, 2008 8:11 PM EDT reply actions  

O the paegentry of the Olympics!

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Aug 8, 2008 8:16 PM EDT reply actions  

Nope

Nor the ceremonial “beating of the political dissident”

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Aug 8, 2008 8:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Re-Enactment Of

Tiananmen Square was thrilling; why did that guy get run over by a tank?

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Aug 8, 2008 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Apropos nada...

When are the Royals going to go to the directly-behind-the-pitcher camera angle from the outfield? it’s so much better than the off-center angle. you can see the pitches SO much clearer. balls and strikes are more obvious, the movement shows up better…

by billexgordler on Aug 8, 2008 8:19 PM EDT reply actions  

I see the batting order makes sense

Is Hillman here or not?

I like that Gordon, who has the best OBP on the team against righties (.381, yes, that’s even better than DDJ), is batting after two guys who have sub-.270 OBPs against righties this season.

Daveball?

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 8:25 PM EDT reply actions  

2008 pre-game OBP of tonight's starters vs. righties

A Gordon .381
D DeJesus .379
M Olivo .346
R Gload .337
M Teahen .326
M Aviles .311
E German .293
B. Butler .292
J Guillen .266

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 8:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

kubel blows

i guarantee a double play here

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 8:27 PM EDT reply actions  

srsly?

.872 OPS vs. righties this year

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

CHAD PENNINGTON NOW!!!

oh wait… wrong kansas city team… sorry fellas.

where tpj happens.

by blue bandwagon on Aug 8, 2008 8:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Setting up the DP with Gomez!

(Who’s only real skill is speed)

Super-genius

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Of course he gets the strike out

46 pitches through 2 innings baby

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

He's just TOYING with the Twins

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 8:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Where did that come from?

And why wait ‘til the bases are loaded?

Hiram actually looked like a pitcher there.

by Big Guy on Aug 8, 2008 8:39 PM EDT reply actions  

a shitty hitter does that

reminds me of how we make mediocre pitchers look like sandy koufax!

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 8:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Jose with the plate patience

He knows he’s being called out!

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 8:42 PM EDT reply actions  

Spoke too soon

still… three balls before the obligatory ground out. Progress for a young player. If he was 32 or something, I’d be worried.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 8:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

i say a little prayer each night...

that in 2010, jose guillen is our fifth most dangerous hitter.

i'm just not sure what that means.

by billexgordler on Aug 8, 2008 8:46 PM EDT reply actions  

According to OPS, he's currently side with Grudz for 5th

And that’s not counting Tupman and Greinke!

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 8:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

how is it . . .

that we make

slowey

look like pedro martinez circa 1999?????

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 8:47 PM EDT reply actions  

Nick Punto freakin' sucks

Throwing him one down the middle is better than putting 2 on with no out for Mauer / Morneau, jesus christ

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 8:53 PM EDT reply actions  

Boom

Shocking

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 8:55 PM EDT reply actions  

This game plan, I don't understand it

You can only throw so many fastballs on the outer half until they just start whacking them the other way. Wait a minute

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 8:58 PM EDT reply actions  

Not good mike, not good

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 8:59 PM EDT reply actions  

??? for us Gameday folks

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 9:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

On a 3-0 count...

Young swung at a pitch that was well out of the stirke zone so Ryan said that “for any other hitter othen than Delmon Young in the major leagues that would have been ball four.”

by djk royal on Aug 8, 2008 9:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

aviles now?

and TPJ FOREVER!

where tpj happens.

by blue bandwagon on Aug 8, 2008 9:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Oh right davies,
the bases emptied, better load em up again.

by cfizzle on Aug 8, 2008 9:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Clogging the bases = sound strategy against the "old school" twins

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 9:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

ummm . . . . . . .

we only wanted 2 and 1/3 from davies tonight . . . . . .

righ?????

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 9:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Hey, if it was Ramon Ramirez, we'd all be THRILLED to get 2 1/3

you need to step back and

be consistent

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 9:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

we quit already

our ability to give up early and roll over and die is unparalleled

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 9:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Peralta?

I know we don’t have a lot of options, but hasn’t Joel been voted most likely to give up a home run when he inherits runners?

by Big Guy on Aug 8, 2008 9:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Good point

but it is Brendan Harris. It’s the quite movable stone versus the very stoppable object.

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 9:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Something like that

Although your movable object held up just fine.

by Big Guy on Aug 8, 2008 9:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

LOL

I’m not sure which was which. Who won? Harris gets on base, but Joel doesn’t give up the homer…

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 9:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

I thought the bases were loaded.

So I overstated.

We can call it a draw for now…

by Big Guy on Aug 8, 2008 9:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Walking Delmon Young

many have tried…

“and failed?”

“and DIED!”

OMG Banny. FWIW I am only crdtng u w/3 runs allwd bc of DDJ OMFG

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 8, 2008 9:03 PM EDT reply actions  

I love our pitching staff

The twins lineup SUCKS. Mauer is good, Morneau is good, Kubel is good, everybody for the most part SUCKS. YOU CAN THROW THESE GUYS STRIKES

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 9:06 PM EDT reply actions  

lol at gomez...

hey the end of the inning. neat-o

where tpj happens.

by blue bandwagon on Aug 8, 2008 9:09 PM EDT reply actions  

We're Nearing The

End of the HKD starting pitcher experiment. I think he has closer potential.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Aug 8, 2008 9:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Problem is

he’s not doing much worse (any?) than Banny or Hoch. Someone has to pitch. Right now, I don’t trust any of the three to be a long term option; only Hoch can reasonably be expected to improve a great deal from where he’s at.

by Big Guy on Aug 8, 2008 9:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rosa Now!!!!

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Aug 8, 2008 9:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

One Out Of

Nine ain’t bad.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Aug 8, 2008 9:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

exgloadsion

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 9:13 PM EDT reply actions  

slowey is 7-8 with a 4.21 era

i thought he was 22-0 with a 0.63 era for a minute there

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 9:13 PM EDT reply actions  

He's A HOF

Lock if he only pitched to us.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Aug 8, 2008 9:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Germy Was Hosed

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Aug 8, 2008 9:15 PM EDT reply actions  

single'em to death

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 9:17 PM EDT reply actions  

Another BABIP hit

For Aviles!

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Aug 8, 2008 9:18 PM EDT reply actions  

GOod job mark, just a great job

Thank god we have such a pro in the 3 hole

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 9:19 PM EDT reply actions  

FWIW

He’s actually batting 2nd. That just means he’s “crafty” with the bat. Unfortunately, we were asking him to hit someone in. Not so good at that.

by Big Guy on Aug 8, 2008 9:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

We caught a pop-up!!!!

The winds of change are blowing…

by Big Guy on Aug 8, 2008 9:24 PM EDT reply actions  

Another incredibly weak inning

Past 3 games this offense has just looked horrible

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 9:37 PM EDT reply actions  

but the previous 2 games

were arguably the best in their history…

by Bart41 on Aug 8, 2008 9:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well done Russ

Brutal game for the O

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 9:49 PM EDT reply actions  

How many fastballs right down the pipe have we turned into outs today

SLowey isn’t exactly making million dollar pitches here.

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 9:52 PM EDT reply actions  

autooooomatic

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 10:17 PM EDT reply actions  

TIE IT UP HOAGY U CAN DEW IT

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 10:17 PM EDT reply actions  

Can't we scratch most of the lineup

and have

DeJesus
Aviles
DeJesus
Aviles
DeJesus
Aviles
DeJesus
Aviles
DeJesus

instead?

by Porcus on Aug 8, 2008 10:20 PM EDT reply actions  

alex vs a lefty

how can this not end well

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 10:27 PM EDT reply actions  

and the pitch . . .

and with a mighty swing of his lumber, alex gordon bears a new legend – the worthless pop fly choke job.

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 10:29 PM EDT reply actions  

piece of shit down the middle popped up

well done sir

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 10:30 PM EDT reply actions  

gload - 1st pitch - out

there should be a $1,000 fine for every first pitch out made . . . brutal

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 10:42 PM EDT reply actions  

8 pitch inning?

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 10:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Kila Monster

.394 BA .487 OBP .848 SLG KILANOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Every fight is a food fight when you’re a cannibal.
-- Demetri Martin

by kcscoliny on Aug 8, 2008 10:43 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm watching Ian Kennedy pitch for the Yankees

Sweet mother of unimpressive. This is the guy they wouldn’t trade for Santana? WTF.

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 10:44 PM EDT reply actions  

PINCH HIT!!!!

MITCH MAIER TIME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 10:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Why god,why must teahen bat

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 10:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Pinch hit buck plz

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 10:50 PM EDT reply actions  

BASE HIT ONE TIME BABY

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 10:52 PM EDT reply actions  

right down the fucking middle

are you kidding me

winning records follow good bullpens

by slayor on Aug 8, 2008 10:56 PM EDT reply actions  

right down the middle

you’ve got to be fucking kidding me.

teahen is TERRIBLE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 10:56 PM EDT reply actions  

92 Ks in 2008

how many of them are Ks looking?

by BHWick on Aug 8, 2008 10:58 PM EDT reply actions  

92 k's in the beginning of august . . . .

and less than 10 homers and lower than .245 avg – in other words – he FUCKING SUCKS!!!

by royalstern05 on Aug 8, 2008 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

No he doesn't he's much better than Mitch Maier

Every fight is a food fight when you’re a cannibal.
-- Demetri Martin

by kcscoliny on Aug 8, 2008 11:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Kansas City Royals.
Start posting about the Royals »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

Connect_with_facebook

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Rollinsliar_small
The fall and future of Jason IronMan Kendall
Royalsretro_small
The 100 Greatest Royals of All-Time - #28 Tom Gordon

Recent FanPosts

Dayton_small
All Questions Answered Thread
4-_wil_myers_small
Royals Review Community Prospect Rankings Who's #10?
4-_wil_myers_small
Royals Review Community Prospect Rankings Who's #9?
Steve_balboni_pose_small
The Song of Kendall
Royconrad_fullthrottle_small
25 for 25: Royals
4-_wil_myers_small
Royals Review Community Prospect Rankings Who's #8?
Downtown-kansas-city-skyline_small
Wilson Betemit and his place in the Process
Small
Royals HRs vs LH pitchers

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

SBNation.com Recent Stories

Toronto Blue Jays' Jose Bautista, left, Detroit Tigers catcher Alex Avila, center, and home plate umpire Jerry Crawford watch Bautista's solo home run during fourth inning of a  baseball game in Toronto Friday, Aug. 27, 2010. Bautista's home run was his league-leading 42nd of the season. (AP Photo/The Canadian Press, Darren Calabrese)

Five Numbers: Jose Bautista's Other League-Leading Statistic, Oakland's Magnificent Infield Defense, And More

ANAHEIM CA - SEPTEMBER 08:  Jeff Mathis #5 of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim is mobbed by teammates after hitting a  walk off sacrifice fly to score Torri Hunter form third base against the Cleveland Indians in the 16th inning on September 8 2010 at Angel Stadium in Anaheim California.   The Angels won 4-3 in 16 innings.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)

Mathis' 16th-Inning Sac Fly Lifts Angels Over Indians 4-3

Philadelphia Phillies' Jimmy Rollins, left, slides into home to score past the tag of Florida Marlins catcher Brad Davis on a single by Carlos Ruiz in the third inning of a baseball game, Wednesday, Sept. 8, 2010, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum) +2 updates

Phils Top Marlins 10-6, Jimmy Rollins Leaves Game With 'Hamstring Tightness'

More from SBNation.com >


Managers

Cimg0036_small Will McDonald

Editors

Dayton_small Jeff Zimmerman