Mellinger: Teahen will play second base for the Royals
Well, I guess square peg in a round hole is one way to solve a tremendous logjam.
over 3 years ago
JobDDT
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I Suggested This
Only partly facetiously two years ago.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 24, 2009 11:46 PM EST reply actions
Come on, Will. I know your first reaction to just about anything Royal is negative, but...
This is a smart, outside-the-box way to move Teahen to a position where his bat would be an asset. Can he handle the position defensively? Who knows. If not, then it was worth a try. If so, his value to the team goes up greatly.
And of course he isn’t even close to the best defensive OFer on the team. DDJ and Crisp are much, much better according to every metric and the scouts.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 24, 2009 11:53 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
So much for Hillman's Ranch retreat being nothing but a positive.
I kid, mostly.
Teahen was among the infielders down at manager Trey Hillman’s Texas ranch last week and took three groundball sessions at second base
He definitely sounds “excited”:
Teahen last played there his freshman year in college… "It’ll definitely be tough to try to perfect second base while still doing some outfield and some third base and first base, you know?" Teahen says. "But I have to do what I have to do.
If this had anything to do with the Hillman Ranch thing, then that event was definitely a positive
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 24, 2009 11:57 PM EST up reply actions
as long as he can field a ground ball
and turn a somewhat adequate double play.
I just got back from your mom's basement.
And if he can't they'll learn that in spring training, no harm done
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:38 AM EST up reply actions
changes my stance on the ranch pow wow a little bit
TPJ...you're dead to me
by billybeingbilly on Jan 25, 2009 2:05 PM EST up reply actions
In other news
Miguel Olivo will be given an audition as a leadoff hitter, and Billy Butler will be given the opportunity to earn a spot on the pitching staff as a LOOGY.
It's not THAT bad,
not even in the same league.
Stathead, Zack Greinke fan, and Rock Band 2 singer extraordinaire.
I still can't see the downside to trying this
Finally something that isn’t 1970’s style traditional baseball orthodoxy. We should be cheering that Moore/Hillman are willing to dip a toe outside the box for once.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 1:33 AM EST up reply actions
Pretty much agree.
If succeeds, it is great news. If he it doesn’t work out, back to the outfield and covering 3B once in a while.
Wholeheartedly agree with supporting the management on this, no matter who came up with the idea. Maybe they aren’t as cro-mag as some thought (me included).
I just got back from your mom's basement.
Allowing a guy who's 6'3" to play 2B is about as far outside the box as you can get
in standard baseball orthodoxy. This is a good move, even if Teahen ultimately can’t handle it.
O RLY?
Sandberg and Grich were both 6’2", and that’s just off the top of my head. 6’3" isn’t then much of a stretch.
Sarcasm™. It's the new gravy.
Have to give Moore/Hillman credit here
This breaks out of Moore’s love for “defense up the middle.” It’s unconventional thinking and shows that Moore isn’t completely locked into traditional orthodoxy. I’ll come down on Moore and Hillman when they deserve it, and they often do. But this is a good move.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 24, 2009 11:55 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
It’ll be a fine move if it works.
But I can’t think of a precedent just now. I know that Freddy Sanchez made the move from 3rd to 2nd with Pittsburgh, but he had been a utility infielder earlier in his career and had appeared often at 2nd before he became a regular there.
I agree
of course, Iwamura is about 5-6 inches shorter than Teahen, but like I said… Maybe Teahen can be Jeff Kent without the power. Or Average.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:06 AM EST up reply actions
I think it is a smart thing to try, whether it works or not
Again, there’s zero risk in trying him there in spring training.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:10 AM EST up reply actions
+!
that is one thing Spring Training should be used for – experimentation
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
I think that was two years ago
And that was his first ST as an OFer. Pretty ambitious.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:13 AM EST up reply actions
Eyes popping, jimping into the hot tub
when you read the quotes from Trey and Seitzer, did anyone else suddenly have the old SNL"Schmidt’s Gay" commercial run through you head?
um, me neither
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:13 AM EST up reply actions
I did - couldn't remember the exact name of the beer though
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
Another potential positive to this move
In addition to providing a plus bat for the position, if Teahen actually gets AB’s there, it would likely mean fewer AB’s for Bloomquist.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 24, 2009 11:59 PM EST reply actions
that would be a huge positive.
As long as Bloomquist isn’t stealing at-bats from somebody else.
I just got back from your mom's basement.
He'll be stealing them from Aviles as the backup SS.
This move almost certainly forces Pena Jr off the team!
haven't we said that about the last few moves?
I hope you’re right.
That's why we play the season on paper.
I guess it's worth a try, although he if sucked at third...
even if it just moves the question from “why are they paying Jose Guillen $12M a year to block a superior, younger player” to “if they were going to move Teahen to second, why did they trade for Callaspo and sign Wee Willie”
Hope it works
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I just appreciate their philosophical flexibility here
Give it a shot. As we both know, there is no single type for a good 2B, RF, 3B or any position. You can provide good value to your team by being great defensively at a position and below average offensively. Or you can provide the same value by being very good offensively for the position and fairly poor defensively. Or anywhere in between. Let’s just give it a shot in ST and see how he looks.
"if they were going to move Teahen to second, why did they trade for Callaspo and sign Wee Willie"
I really doubt they are looking for Teahen to be the starting 2B, but of course anything is possible. I think they are looking for ways to get him a bunch of AB’s. And if he can add 2B to the positions he plays and make him a 5-position super-utility man it just makes him that much more useful to the team. And it provides insurance if Callaspo quickly turns to crap or if he has another off-field incident.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:08 AM EST up reply actions
I'd be a lot more enthusiastic
…if CHONE didn’t project Teahen as at least 1.5 wins better than Guillen in the OF (better offensively and defensively). But I suppose they’re stuck. If someone bites on Guillen, then Teahen can move back out there full time
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:11 AM EST up reply actions
No, that would open the door for Maier
Yes, Teahen as the starting RFer (or in a platoon) makes the most sense. But if not that, then let’s see if he can handle a position up the defensive spectrum.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:14 AM EST up reply actions
It's frustrating if they aren't going to give Callaspo a real shot to start, though
I mean, he’ll be lucky to be an average player, but they did trade for him. Granted, Billy Buckner is no great shakes himself, but I don’t get trading cost-controlled talent for a guy you’re just going to sit on the bench
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:15 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
How do we know Callaspo isn't going to get a real shot to start?
They played him last year after he got back from rehab as a starter and he performed well. I would think he’s the presumptive starting 2B. Bloomy has a shot. Teahen has an outside shot. But if I were handicapping, I’d put the best odds on Callaspo.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:19 AM EST up reply actions 1 recs
yeah, i would, too
I guess this means that they’re definitely dumping German and probably TPJ, and thus see that they only have 3 MIFs on the roster
Who knows, it’s not inconceivable that Teahen would be as good or better than Callaspo at 2B.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:21 AM EST up reply actions
Yeah
Moore shopped German last offseason. He’ll likely trade him for something. TPJ will have to be released, I’d think. And, considering O and D, Teahen could be as good or better than Callaspo at 2B. Of course, he could also be worse.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:23 AM EST up reply actions
I was actually just talking defensively
given that Callaspo might be average, but he might also be horrible. But that’s why he needs to play.
I’m sort of getting excited. Maybe when all the kids were down South, some of the young ‘uns helped Trey get internet service, and late one night, Trey stumbled on Cameron’s FanGraphs series that “someone” “accidently” left bookmarked…
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:27 AM EST up reply actions
Maybe the ghost of Earl Weaver visited him
“A Christmas Carol”-style
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:29 AM EST up reply actions
I think Earl has way too much of a potty mouth to make it through Trey's protection spells and wards
and isn’t weaver alive?
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:32 AM EST up reply actions
Is Weaver still alive?
Wouldn’t he be 100 by now? I always thought of him as being old back in the early 80’s. Don’t know. Wikipedia would tell me though.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:39 AM EST up reply actions
Ok, Weaver is still alive and only 78
Maybe he could pay a visit to Trey’s ranch.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:46 AM EST up reply actions
Kinda scary
that Earl Weaver took over the Orioles when he was only 38, and retired (the first time) before he was even 55.
Sarcasm™. It's the new gravy.
ah, maybe that's your point
Grich was 6-2
Belanger was 6-1
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:34 AM EST up reply actions
If he'll sign a minor league deal
And maybe he would.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:39 AM EST up reply actions
Considering he can't cut it with the Royals,
he’d pretty much have to. Right?
I just got back from your mom's basement.
Or sign a minor league deal somewhere else
And some other team would be willing to sign him to a minor league deal as a middle IFer. If I were him, I wouldn’t want to make the change to a pitcher at his age. He actually has more of a chance of making it back to the majors as a utility IFer than as a pitcher.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:45 AM EST up reply actions
You are probably right.
I really don’t care what he does as long as he isn’t anywhere near the batter’s box at the K.
I just got back from your mom's basement.
i forgot Guillen was the worst player in baseball history
let me guess so 20 homeruns and 97 RBI mean absolutley nothing because they are poor evaluation stats
But if Guillen hits .290 like he did 3 OF THE LAST 4 YEARS PRIOR he’s a borderline All Star?
by GobbleforCyoung on Jan 27, 2009 10:32 AM EST up reply actions
To Add
Don’t laugh when you see Guillen put up 25 homeruns,100 RBI and hit .290 this year
by GobbleforCyoung on Jan 27, 2009 10:33 AM EST up reply actions
true
I’d forgotten that players generally get better and better as they hit their mid 30s.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 27, 2009 10:43 AM EST up reply actions
You need to stop forgetting that Guillen is the worst player in baseball history
I’ll do my part and keep reminding you.
But hey, as long as he can hit 25 HR’s and 100 RBI then he’s a very good player. Except, of course, that’s not true at all. I’d rather people completely ignore stats than to use just a few of them and jump to the wrong conclusions.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 27, 2009 4:40 PM EST up reply actions
it does make one scratch one's head about the Willie aquisition
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
yeah, it totally made sense until now
(eyeroll icon)
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:09 AM EST up reply actions
Maybe Bloomy was brought in because he's really good at tutoring guys to play 2B
I think that signing is finally starting to make sense.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:12 AM EST up reply actions
No idea if it will work
I’d be shocked if Teahen could manage average defense at 2B. But he could certainly end up being good enough with the bat (for the position) to carry his poor defense at the position.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:09 AM EST reply actions
“Whoops, I just realized I made some pretty terrible decisions in this offseason. Better do something weird to try to fix it!”
Kansas City Royals: your 2006 and 2007 NL Central champions!
by mazoboom on Jan 25, 2009 12:10 AM EST reply actions 1 recs
Yeah, I have to agree here
Moore deserves the blame for the bad moves he’s made this offseason. But when he does something positive, he deserves credit for that too. Or, we could just be so pissed off at Moore for having a crappy offseason that we “punish” him by ridiculing everything he does.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 11:16 AM EST up reply actions
And didn't Tom Tango write about how similar 3B and 2B were with regard to defensive skills and abilities?
I know Teahen wasn’t a good defensive 3B, but looking at multiple stats, he could handle himself there. If he can handle himself similarly at 2B, that would make him more of an asset to the team.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:11 AM EST reply actions
yeah
Dave Cameron had some good pieces on this, too (deriving from Tango)
What he found was that people who played both did similarly well at both, and they really seem to be sorted by size
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:14 AM EST up reply actions
thanks, i was just searching for that again
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:19 AM EST up reply actions
Another comment of Dave's from the comments thread
But my enitre point is that this isn’t really true. For years, we’ve heard players described as SS/2B or 3B/1B, as if those were the matched pairs. However, the 3B/2B spots have far more in common defensively than the 3B/1B spots.
I’m saying that the entire notion that 3rd baseman and 1st baseman are a matched pair is wrong.
Note to everyone, in case it hasn’t been beaten in: Alex Gordon’s offense should also be considered in that pool…
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:25 AM EST up reply actions
Having played both
I’d argue that the only difference between fielding 2B and 3B is that (barring some psychotic shift) the 2B never has to guard the line. They appear different because a lot of balls hit toward 3B don’t become data points. The only exception to that class of results is a dropped foul pop which becomes an error, but otherwise a foul grounder or a foul pop the 3B simply can’t get to don’t “count” anywhere statistically.
Counter-balancing this, however, is that In most plate appearances the 3B is able to play further off the bag than the 2B can, and as such still has plenty of opportunity to show range to his right.
Sarcasm™. It's the new gravy.
morse, did you ever read Cameron's articles on 2b/3b at fangraphs?
Not saying you “have” to or anything, but I know that you had access to the +/- numbers. It would be interesting to look at the guys he looks at who played both positions and compare their respective +/- numbers with the results he gets with UZR.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 9:18 PM EST up reply actions
if this move makes TPJ or Gload more releasable, I'm all for it
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
by buddyball on Jan 25, 2009 12:12 AM EST reply actions 1 recs
I don't think anyone should assume that Teahen is the new starting second baseman
He’s going to workout there and play there some in spring training, along with the OF, 3B and 1B. He hasn’t been named the new starting 2B. In fact, I doubt anyone is confident that he’ll be good enough to start there. They are just giving him a shot. I would imagine that they are doing this to give him another position he can play as a super-utility player, not necessarily as a starter.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:22 AM EST reply actions
Are you sure?
DM seems to “promise” players to start all over the place all the time! We’ve got 2 catchers, 4 1B, 3 2B now all thinking they’ve been promised to start!
meat
I know you are joking/exaggerating...
…but I don’t think anyone has been promised a starting job at 2B, or 1B, for that matter. And the “problem” of Moore promising this or that to players has been overblown. Basically he’s told a couple players that they’d have a chance to compete for a starting position and one (Olivo) bitched when he didn’t win the starter’s role last year. Sometimes players overreact, especially the selfish, mouthy ones.
But hey, if word comes out that Moore has promised Teahen or anyone the starting 2B job, I’ll be happy to re-evaluate.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 1:13 AM EST up reply actions
With DM's general preference for defense up the middle
I would be shocked if Teahen is the starting 2B after just one ST playing the position. Hopefully he performs well enough that he can be the regular backup and be at least as good as German with the glove.
I will say this:
This is about 1,500x better than having Teahen play first
…. or maybe they’re going to move Aviles to third, play Bloomquist at short, and put Gordon in the 3B mix
(that’s a joke, for the humorless)
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Ok, Weaver is alive and only 78
So maybe I can get him to pay Hillman a visit.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 12:40 AM EST up reply actions
A Platoon Involving
Teahen, Callaspo and Guillen would be awesome.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 25, 2009 12:25 AM EST reply actions
I had a dream about it once, my therapist is still working with me on that
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 12:28 AM EST up reply actions
Definitely an interesting
move here. If Teahen proves adequate, that will also raise his trade value.
I just got back from your mom's basement.
Mark DeRosa
6-1
I wonder what it would take to get Willie Aybar from the Rays… Above average at second and third, decent little hitter, only 25
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I want to see Guillen at second base
just because
by Royal from Queens on Jan 25, 2009 2:21 AM EST reply actions
well
highly unlikely he can handle it. but a guy who could get 250-300 AB’s from 1B/2B/3B/LF/RF is interesting.
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
If Teahen could play some 2B, that would open up some options
One of those would be some kind of semi-platoon of Callaspo and Teahen at 2B. Callaspo hits LHP better. Teahen hits RHP better. I think Teahen is going to end up getting significant time in the OF, as well as some at 3B and maybe 1B, but that would still allow him to potentially make some starts at 2B against RHP, or perhaps pinch hit for Callaspo sometimes and stay in the game at 2B.
The immoderate moderator
Yes, A Teahen/
Callaspo 2B platoon would also allow Teahen to spell Guillen in RF against a tough RHP/inevitable injury. Also, given DDJ and CC’s histories of nagging injuries, I’m sure there will be many opportunities for Teahen to play COF while DDJ/CC/Bloomers fill the CF slot. This is where Bloomers’ IF/OF versatility and Callaspo’s switch hitting give us a lot more possibilities. Callaspo is not horrible against RHP’s, and Willie can play all the OF slots acceptably as well as MIF. Does Maier have options left and is he still our best callup OF in the event of an extended stint on the DL for one of the starting OF’s?
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 25, 2009 6:01 AM EST up reply actions
I'm pretty sure Maier has at least one option year left
Maybe two.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 25, 2009 9:48 AM EST up reply actions
Teahen
is the ultimate team first player. From transforming himself from a butcher to a pretty good fielding 3rd baseman, he is rewarded by being moved to the outfield, makes himself a pretty good outfielder, and is tried at first and now 2nd.
He would be a valuable offensive asset at 2nd, and I have no doubt he could make himself into an average fielder there, in time.
Teahen has ACTUAL grit!
Perhaps catcher is next (ha ha)
I am interested in see him turn the double play
and balls to his left. I am assuming that he can get balls to his right as that is where the majority of balls where hit to him at third. It takes real guts to hang in there and turn the double play with a guy coming in hard. I played 2nd in hs and college and I can not tell you how many times I was cleated or nearly had my knee blow out.
Funny how everyone thinks that he will have to be very good defensively when the other guy Callapso is no master with the glove himself. If he is close to as good as him I say he should start bc he is a better hitter in my opinion.
I almost wonder if his size is more of an asset in turning the DP.
Maybe guys will subconsciously be a little more hesitant to crash into Teahan cause he’s bigger than your average 2B. Doubtful, but if he’s quick and athletic enough to make the turn (and he should have the arm strength) while also being a brick wall, it could make someone think twice about coming hard into him to break up the DP.
by RoyalsFanInBillings on Jan 25, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions
If one is to take this as a serious experiment, it pretty much puts to rest the 'Teahen trade push.'
I think we would have to say they plan on keeping him. Also, this and the Bloomquist signing seems to speak to the lack of confidence in Callaspo.
I'm all for it
Someone at RC asked about this a few weeks ago and at the time I thought it was retarded but I’ve had time to soak it in and couldn’t be happier with this move. Teahen definitely has more pop in his bat than Callaspo and The Spork. If it works out then KC will possibly have plus bats at 3/4 of the infield spots and hopefully washes at 1b and Catcher. I think there is a good chance of him being able to handle it. If it works then The Spork will be truly a late inning defensive substitution type which is what he should only be.
Good job GMDM and Trey !
I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.
Is a .715 OPS really a plus bat at 2B?
Average, sure. But plus is stretching it a little.
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by kcbottom9th on Jan 25, 2009 12:53 PM EST up reply actions
well that's true but I'll take average
Teahen’s bat anywhere where it is not a negative is a plus.
I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.
Average MLB 2B last three years
2006: 743 OPS
2007: 757 OPS
2008: 747 OPS
If Teahen Would
Stop trying to pull everything he’s add an easy 50 points to last year’s OPS. I think he was trying too hard to live up to COF expectations at the plate. Most of those weak grounders to 2B were attempts to pull pitches on the outer half of the plate. If he starts lining those to LF he’ll see better pitches to pull eventually. I still think a 20 HR year is not out of the question for him.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 25, 2009 4:34 PM EST up reply actions
pull everything?
looks like to me he is back to his take everything the other way swing. and then he’ll hit those weak ass grounders to 2B when he tries to hit a changeup the other way.
i dunno though.
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
He needs to pull more
his problem is he is taking everything the other way with a inside out flat plane swing. His success in 06 was when he was trying to pull everything
I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.
yes
teahen cant lift the ball in the air to rf. He rolls over everything when he tries to pull the ball.
From What I've
Seen, pitchers keep the ball away from him for the most part, and then come inside off the plate. If he could force pitchers to throw strikes on the inner half of the plate, he’d be able to pull the ball with authority. It seemed to work for Brett.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 25, 2009 8:14 PM EST up reply actions
The problem is
pitchers control him. He’s not a good enough hitter to control or worry pitchers.
meat
Eating Crab legs
and pooping his pants seemed to work for Brett. Everything seemed to work for Brett. He was a natural talent. Teahen…. not so much.
we should look at his pitch f/x stuff
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 9:19 PM EST up reply actions
Teahen's projected 2009 OPS
CHONE: .767
ZiPS: .774
Marcel: .757
Bill James: .771
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 5:53 PM EST up reply actions
Jose Guillen's projected 2009 OPS (no ZiPS yet)
CHONE .745
Marcel .742
Bill James .767
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 6:00 PM EST up reply actions
Guillen ZiPS
266/319/433
--
Dan Szymborski
dan@baseballprimer.com
by D.Szymborski on Jan 25, 2009 6:31 PM EST up reply actions
Griffey ZiPS (KC)
251/353/407
--
Dan Szymborski
dan@baseballprimer.com
by D.Szymborski on Jan 25, 2009 6:33 PM EST up reply actions
oh, and
GRIFFEY NOW
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 6:35 PM EST up reply actions
yay!
love the customer service
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 6:34 PM EST up reply actions
Does anyone remember when we were going to try Michael Tucker at 2B?
That worked well. Thankfully, Desi Releford filled the void.
Like the creativity
but a little skeptical it will work given his size and the fact that he was not a great fielding 3B to begin with. But if he is not horrible, it at least gives the team options late in games to move players around.
If This Works
We’ll definitely be a better offensive team in ’09.
C- Olivo/Buck/Pena (2 of 3)
1B- Butler/Shealy
2B- Teahen/Callaspo
3B- Gordon
SS- Aviles
LF- DeJesus
CF- Crisp
RF- Guillen
DH- Jacobs/Butler
Bench- Buck/Pena (1 of 2), Shealy/Jacobs, Callaspo/Teahen, Bloomquist
Callaspo, Teahen and Bloomquist cover enough positions to allow Jacobs and Shealey to be on the roster.
Lineups:
RHP
Crisp CF
DeJesus LF
Gordon 3B
Guillen RF
Teahen 2B
Butler 1B
Jacobs DH
Aviles SS
Pena C (I’d like to see one of Olivo/Buck moved, and I realize whoever’s left will see plenty of RHP)
LHP
Crisp CF
Callaspo 2B
Butler DH
Guillen RF
DeJesus LF
Aviles SS
Gordon 3B
Shealy 1B
Olivo C
Did I split up the lefties enough?
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
You have the 1B platoon the wrong way around
For some weird reason, Shealy sucks against lefties. Billy Crushes them.
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I Have To
Believe Shealy’s odd splits would come back to normal given enough PA’s. Gload had similar inverse splits when we got him, and his evened out a lot after last year.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=gloadro01
Please note Butler DH’s against LHP’s and bats 3rd; Jacobs sits. I’ll take Shealy’s chances against LHP over Jacobs’, and Shealy is probably our best defensive 1B.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 25, 2009 4:19 PM EST up reply actions
If you read The Book, right-handed hitters need about 2,000 PAs against LHP before we can consider their platoon split to be “personalized”
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 5:57 PM EST up reply actions
Shealy has a normalized split in the minor leagues
Still very good vs RH
1.034 vs LHP
.877 vs RHP
Billy
1.272 vs LHP
.867 vs RHP
I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.
that would make sense
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 6:31 PM EST up reply actions
Oh sure
I have no doubt he not as bad against lefties as his split indicates. I just think even allowing for a smallish sample, it is odd that he is SO bad against lefties, and actually very good against righties.
The Allard Baird of incisive internet discourse.
Given The Choice
Between Teahen and Callaspo in the field, Bloomquist probably would start. At least he bats better than TPJ.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 25, 2009 4:27 PM EST up reply actions
I was thinking they should put Bloomquist in Left
and use Teahen as a reliever. Then you could move Greinke to catcher, which would allow you to put Olivo at second. You have to look at the moves behind the moves.
I'm about to change my username to DannyDuffyfan
by jackie ballgame on Jan 25, 2009 4:42 PM EST reply actions
Did I say Greinke to catcher?
Obviously I meant Farnsworth.
I'm about to change my username to DannyDuffyfan
by jackie ballgame on Jan 25, 2009 4:42 PM EST reply actions
This is pretty cool
I think it would make Teahen a whole bunch more valuable. The trade value alone is good.
by I need more Esteban on Jan 25, 2009 5:46 PM EST reply actions
Also if it helps teahen
and we have the technology, id be happy to switch my 5’9" stature with his for him to play second base effectively. I could deal with being 6’3"
Question.
Have they/would they/should they consider Gordon at 2nd?
His bat would definitely be a plus there, Teahen is supposedly a better 3B, does that mean he will definitely be a better 2B? It just seems like Alex has more of 2nd basemen’s body, a little smaller, able to get around on the double play quicker…maybe not.
We always did feel the same, We just saw it from a different point of view, Tangled up in blue.
-Bob Dylan
Is Teahen really the better 3B?
Rany might have implied something like that back in his FRAA-fueled “Gordon can’t play 3B!!!” hysteria, but that would be about it. Even CHONE’s projections, which hate Gordon’s defense at third (I suspect i know why, but that’s a long story), see Teahen as worse. bUZR sees Gordon as better. So does the Fans Scouting Report.
Plus, I think Teahen’s arm issues alone (shoulder surgery, questionable infield throwing before that, but others with better amateur scout eyes than me) would make Gordon a better 3B candidate.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 25, 2009 10:31 PM EST up reply actions
Not bad...
Teahen should be able to handle 2B and provide the team with a good bat. If Calle gets run over by a wagon or something then we have a backup other then Bloom. I like the idea of using what you have rather than bringing in some aging vet on his last legs. Thumbs up to Moore and Hillfire for this one.
the problem is that they found a stuitable backup that we already had....
and still brought in some aging vet on his last legs…
TPJ...you're dead to me
by billybeingbilly on Jan 26, 2009 2:01 AM EST up reply actions
I am ordinarily the most positive person on this Board but...
This just really seems crazy. I actually came here to echo some of the negativity but was then shocked to read some of the nay sayers actually thinking this is positive!
I agree that Spring Training is all about experiementing and I hope this pans out, but playing SS/SB is much different than being on the corners or in the outfield. To take a guy that has never done it before at any level (that I know of) and ask that he do it competently in the Majors seems to border on fantasy.
Also, as for the love of Teahan’s bat, it seems like people forget his woeful underachivement the past two seasons and that Callaspo hit in the .300s and had an 18 game hitting streak last year. Callaspo needs to go in as number 1 in my opinion, but with Bloomquist, German, and even Teahan I suppose behind him working for the starting spot to put pressure and him and make it clear he is the best option.
To me, the best us of Teahan would be at first base and having Jacobs DH, or have Teahan platoon with Billy Butler at DH. This Teahan to second move does promise make Spring Training interesting I suppose, I can’t wait for it to get started.
So much to disagree with, so little time
This just really seems crazy. I actually came here to echo some of the negativity but was then shocked to read some of the nay sayers actually thinking this is positive!
That’s because we’re not just naysayers. We react positively to smart moves and negatively to stupid moves. This is one of the former.
To take a guy that has never done it before at any level (that I know of) and ask that he do it competently in the Majors seems to border on fantasy.
Did it border on fantasy when Iwamura moved from 3B to 2B? Have you seen any of the research discussed in this thread that shows that players tend to be as good defensively at 2B as they were at 3B? The two positions don’t require such different skills as you seem to imply. So no, it isn’t just a wild, crazy fantasy. He might be able to pull it off and he may not. But this is positive because the Royals (unlike some fans) are thinking outside the box on this one. For once the management isn’t just going by old school, traditional cookie cutter body types for positions. It appears that the Royals might be willing to sacrifice some defense for some offense at a position up the middle. And that is a very good thing.
Also, as for the love of Teahan’s bat, it seems like people forget his woeful underachivement the past two seasons and that Callaspo hit in the .300s and had an 18 game hitting streak last year.
First, Teahen actually hit pretty well in 2007. OBP counts, and it counts for a lot. His 2007 production at 2B would be a huge plus. Second, Teahen projects to be about a .770 OPS player in 2009, and that is well above average for a 2B. And having a player hit better than average for his position is very rare on the Royals in recent years. We need as many as we can get. Third, I like Callaspo and I wouldn’t mind him being the full-time starter all season, but he’s anything but a sure bet to be a decent hitter. HIs 2008 numbers are a pretty small sample size and his batting average is pretty meaningless, except to perhaps show that his high OBP might not be sustainable since it was mostly from his batting average.
To me, the best us of Teahan would be at first base and having Jacobs DH, or have Teahan platoon with Billy Butler at DH.
Wow, you want to marginalize the best young player of the group? The one with the most upside who really needs to be playing every day? Teahen at first base and Jacobs at DH would be a horrendous, Farnsworth-like mistake. Teahen shouldn’t ever get anywhere near first base. His bat just can’t carry him there and his defense isn’t enough to make up for it. He shouldn’t even be in the mix at that position. Butler must play everyday, preferably at first, but if not at DH. Jacobs should DH only and preferably in a platoon with someone like Shealy.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 26, 2009 8:20 AM EST up reply actions
Simple Probability 101 for the Dense.
OBP counts, and it counts for a lot.
Imagine two teams composed of 9 identical hitters.
Team A has a .250/.500/.250 line.
Team B has a .250/.250/.500 line.
That means that on average, Team A gets one walk and one single per four plate appearances. If you arrange that out to single-out-walk-out-single-out-walk…, what happens is that on average, you score one run every other inning. That’s 4.5 runs a game — well, you lose some runs to double plays, but you gain some runs where the second out of the inning results in runners on 2nd and 3rd, so it’s probably a wash.
Team B, on the other hand, gets one double per four plate appearances. That, my friends, is double-out-out-out…. oops, you never score a run at all there, do you? (Alternatively, it could be one single and one triple every eight plate appearances, which still doesn’t result in anything useful.)
If you change the .250s to .333s, what you get then is Team A walking three times and singling twice every six PA — walk-single-out-walk-out-single hands you a couple of runs PER INNING despite slugging only .333, and that’s still with two outs. Team B, on the other hand, doubles once every three PA, which still only comes out to about 6 runs a game with normal distribution.
And keep in mind that in both of these latter cases, you’re talking about sick-ass teams with .833 team OPS. But the team with the .500 OBP still mauls the team slugging .500.
These are, of course, very extreme examples which aren’t realistic; you couldn’t put together one-trick pony lineups like that if you tried. I’m only using them to show people who Just Don’t Get It exactly WHY OBP is more important than SLG — it’s because the team that slugs but doesn’t get on base uses up their precious outs more quickly than the other team, yet still can’t make up for it by hitting for power. Getting on base >>>> “driving in runs”.
Sarcasm™. It's the new gravy.
by jonfmorse on Jan 26, 2009 9:59 AM EST up reply actions 2 recs
Have you seen any of the research discussed in this thread that shows that players tend to be as good defensively at 2B as they were at 3B?
The articles referenced show that players who play both 2B and 3B usually play them both equally well. They do not show that infielders in general tend to be as good defensively at 2B as they are at 3B. Don’t ignore the selection criteria — if you don’t play 2B well enough to get time at the position, you don’t get time at that position, and you don’t get mentioned in those articles. This is the same phenomenon that all performance analysis in professional sports must cope with — performances that drop below a certain level are seldom allowed to continue for very long (cf. the Gload exception.
So, if nothing else, please be very cautious about accepting that material as predictive about Teahen’s success at 2B.
Good points
Don’t ignore the selection criteria — if you don’t play 2B well enough to get time at the position, you don’t get time at that position, and you don’t get mentioned in those articles.
But I think the data supports the contention that trying a 3B at 2B isn’t a wild and crazy idea like having a pitcher catch or having a punter play QB. Nor could such a trial be fairly referred to as “bordering on fantasy.”
So, if nothing else, please be very cautious about accepting that material as predictive about Teahen’s success at 2B.
I don’t think it is predictive of success, and I am not predicting success for him at 2B. In fact, several times in this thread I have said that I have no idea if he’ll be able to handle the position at even a somewhat below average level defensively. But I think the research shows that trying a 3B at 2B is reasonable and worth a shot in games that don’t count.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 26, 2009 10:25 AM EST up reply actions
Agreed.
Having a pitcher catch: not an unheard of change in career, but I suppose when it happens it happens in the low minors. Justin Knoedler is the last guy I can think of who made that switch, but his career seems to have topped out at AAA. Look for him in the Cardinals’ camp this spring after a terrible year at the plate in the PCL last year in the A’s system.
Having the punter play QB: well, how about having the QB punt? That’s common enough. Steve Spurrier comes to mind. As usual, the lower the level the more common it is to find jacks of all trades. At my son’s high school this year, for example, the quarterback did all the punting and placekicking this year after the kicker got hurt. Did a fine job; the team got as far as the state championship game for their division.
R. J. Anderson from FanGraphs chimes in, echoing the thoughts of many here.
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So much to disagree with NY Royal on, So little time
NY Royal said:
(essentially)i “I react positively to postive moves and negatively to negative moves”
My response-You are incredibily presumptous to think you know how everything in the season is going to play out simply by looking through the lense of your “geek stats” which are in many ways just as misleading at the mainstream stats that most baseball fans know. You must have been a math major because my impression is you seem to forget this game is played on the field, not on paper with bar graphs built on formulas (Yawn). Many players have big swings in production from season to season and numbers are almost never an absolute indicator of anything. Informative yes, but not to the extent to justify all your doomsday negativism.
NY Royal said “The transitions from 3B to 2B isnt that big a deal”
My reply- No stat can measure how an individual will adapt to change but most importantly we are talking about Teahan here! Remember when the Royals merely tried to move him from RF to LF? He was a total flop defensively! That lends me to believe he doesn’t adjust to change that well and makes me believe this will be a bust, but I hope I am wrong. Logically though, the differences between a LF/RF seem much more simplier to learn than changing 3B/2B.
Final point, my point on putting Teahan at 1B and DH for Jacobs was built on the presumption that we would want them both in the lineup everyday, and if so you should DH the worst fielder. I should have added that I don’t think Teahan should be an everyday player given his lackluster production, unless a miracle happens at 2nd base.
How To Spot a Math Major
Step 1 – Ask him who his favorite slugger is.
No wait, that’s how to spot a German spy during the Battle of the Bulge.
Step 1 – See if he floats.
No, that’s something else as well.
Step 1 – Ask him whether he remembers that the game is played on the field.
Yes, that’s the test. If he seems surprised or disagrees, or even if he says, “Thank you ever so much for that insight, my good man, and by the way, have you seen my slide rule?” then you have him.
agree
I’d like to just trade him. But, I’d rather have him than Gload or Bloomy or TPJ. Maybe even German.
Also, I agree with NYR on Teahen vs. Butler. Butler is/will be much better hitter than Teahen will ever dream and needs to play everyday.
meat
I really don't get the snark over this
Its worth a shot. One of Dayton’s better ideas, to be honest. Do I think it will succceed? Probably not. I doubt Teahens plays more than 10 games at 2B. But its worth a shot, and I don’t really see the downside here.
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
The snark arises not because of this particular idea or its likelihood of success but because of its odd fit with other decisions the organization has made this winter. Their level of commitment to it, with a variety of experienced second basemen already on the roster, can’t be very far from what they’d have to any of these snarky suggestions.
No risk in trying, sure, but no dependence on success either. Probably it’s time to move on to the next molehill.
Two Great reasons
to love this move:
(1) Each member of the everyday lineup now could have double-digit HR power and everyone except the 1B/DH could have double-digit SB potential.
(2) The article mentions, former KU coach Bobby Randall. Who, in addition to being my cousin [!] has one of the great exit lines of all-time. At his retirement press conference, a snarky reporter asked what it felt like to retire with one career major league home run.
Bobby’s answer: “You’ll never know.”
The tall second basemen make an interesting list, one that includes Alexei Ramirez, last year’s AL Rookie of the Year runner-up, who is expected to be the White Sox’s starting second baseman.
Also on the list is Danny Ainge, the current GM of the Celtics, and Bobby Randall, who graduated from Kansas State and coached seven seasons at Kansas.
2B vs 3B
Using the data from FanGraphs I looked at players that had at least 100 innings combined over the last 3 years at each position. Here are the results
Total players: 43
Innings at 2B: 25410
Innings at 3B: 23656
UZR/150 at 2B: -2.24
UZR/150 at 3B: -0.34
Grouped players that had more innings at 2B vice 3B:
Innings at 2B: 16008
Innings at 3B: 5438
UZR/150 at 2B: -2.21
UZR/150 at 3B: 0.89
Grouped players that had more innings at 3B vice 2B:
Innings at 2B: 6415
Innings at 3B: 15879
UZR/150 at 2B: -2.40
UZR/150 at 3B: -0.93
Looks like 2B is harder to play (about 2-3 runs of UZR/150) than 3B when comparing players that have played them both.
cool stuff
I’m not surprised, although the gap isn’t as far apart as one would have thought
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 27, 2009 6:12 PM EST up reply actions
teahan 1st base
teahan would be a great backup player, because he can play up to 4 positions. the issue is his salary is to much for him just to ride pine.and there is just no place to start him. he’s the 4th best outfielder, second best third baseman. he can’t play ss or catcher, and 1st base is already log jammed by more people than ever… so that only leaves 2nd base.. the good thing is he would be a better power hitter, than any other option at second already, so as long as his defencive skills are not that much worse than the other two players available or at least not bad enough to where he is a risk. than i think its worth the shot. but if he can’t win that spot, at his salary than he needs to go.
my bigger question is what happens at first base… we know kui goes down to minors, but jacobs and butler will be on the team, the issue there is neither are great fielders. so do they split between 1st and dh, or do you send billy down and use shealy , since he as no more options, and it doesn’t appear there is room for gload. so what happens to him, cut, trade??? and if billy makes team, does that mean we just let shealy go… he seems he just needs a real chance..
perfect world
in a perfect world i think we should have traded teahan, shealy, and gload, for minor leaguers or bullpen, got a quality free agent ss, moved aviles to second. and picked up on of the better free agent starters to compliment meche and greinke… and still stayed around the same roster salary we currently have… that being said i think there is a level of optomism that i haven’t had in a while so im excited. anyone else have thoughts?



















