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Around SBN: An Explanation For Some Of The Perplexing HOF Snubs

Royals Review Community Prospect List: #3

So Mike Moustakas wins with same percentage of votes (36%) that Montgomery won with.  We now move on to #3.  I dropped David Lough from the poll since he got scant support last time.  As before, the choices are listed alphabetically and you can make your case in the comment section.

Moustakas_medium

via royals.mlblogs.com



#1--Mike Montgomery--LHP

#2--Mike Moustakas--3B

Poll
Who is the Royals #3 Prospect?
Jeff Bianchi--SS
36 votes
Aaron Crow--RHP
189 votes
Dan Duffy--LHP
38 votes
Eric Hosmer--1B
81 votes
Will Myers--C
71 votes
Other (specify in comments)
2 votes

417 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 21 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I don't get it

In my opinion, Hosmer didn’t have that bad of a year. Sure, he was promoted prematurely and did poorly at High-A as an 18 year old. Is it that big of a deal? He did well at Low-A which is where he really should have spent the whole year.

by kcdc1 on Nov 23, 2009 12:58 PM EST reply actions  

He's the kind of anti-moose

Very good approach at the plate, but the power has gone AWOL. Moose has the power, can’t get on base.

Of those two situations, i’d rather be in Hosmer’s.

by kcbottom9th on Nov 23, 2009 1:20 PM EST up reply actions  

right

hosmer has his problems slugging, but that might be temporary. it’s hard to say whether what happened to him last year (injuries, eye problems) will be lasting issues. moustakas, on the other hand, does not have a good approach at the plate and what he does at the plate is what will make or break him as a player.

by 9il on Nov 23, 2009 1:27 PM EST up reply actions  

My problem with Hosmer is his eye.

We have no answers for the big questions: Was his eyesight bad before the draft and he was just that good? Does he have some sort of degenerative eye disease that will ruin his eyesight? Did the lasik help (it’s not 100% successful)? More importantly, have the Royals answered these questions? I have a hard time believing they wouldn’t be diligent about the health of one of their big time prospects, but the FO has led many to expect the unbelievable.

by BrRoyal on Nov 23, 2009 2:18 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I'm less concerned about his lack of power

Than Moose’s lack of OBA skills. I think power can develop, especially with younger guys. But if you can’t read pitches at age 19/20, I have little hope you’ll develop that skill by age 24.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Nov 23, 2009 2:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Agreed.

However, the change in breaking pitches that I had to learn transitioning from a HS hitter to a college level hitter was unreal. So, I’m going to be patient for another year on it. It is something to be worried about though.

I used to work with an old man that told me. Son, every workplace has a dumbass, if you don't have one where you work, then I'm afraid you're it.

by Warden11 on Nov 23, 2009 6:38 PM EST up reply actions  

When I was a kid, the first time I saw a pitching machine throw a slider

I about crapped myself. I had never seen anything move so much or go so fast.

by AxDxMx on Nov 23, 2009 9:15 PM EST up reply actions  

I voted for Hosmer

and my (worthless) opinion is that he probably has a brighter future than Moustakas, but I can see why he’s slipped. Not sure how .255/.352/.385 in low-A can be considered “doing well” for a 19 year-old first baseman, particularly one picked #3. Maybe he held his own, but that’s hardly exciting. Adjusting for the park, minorleaguesplits has that as .262/.358/.393.

For comparison, when Billy Butler was 19, his park-adjusted line in A+ was .338/.409/.588. And in AA at 20 his park-adjusted line was .331/.388/507.

Who wants to bet Hosmer will be that good at 20?

I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.

Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.

by Matt Klaassen on Nov 23, 2009 2:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Hosmer needs to eat more hamburgers

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Nov 23, 2009 4:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Baconators

/fixed

I used to work with an old man that told me. Son, every workplace has a dumbass, if you don't have one where you work, then I'm afraid you're it.

by Warden11 on Nov 23, 2009 6:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I am actually taking Duffy ahead of Crow and Hosmer.

I sure Duffy could make the jump right now and help. Give me 1/2 a season on Crow and Hosmer need to turn it around.

Jeff Zimmerman - Protecting the world from RBI's and Wins from my mom's guest house.

by Jeff Zimmerman on Nov 23, 2009 1:10 PM EST reply actions  

agree

my prospect rankings are something like

1a. Duffy
1b. Montgomery
2. Will Myers
3. Crow
4. Hosmer
5. Possibly Moustakas

Of course, it’s all projection with Crow right now.

by marbotty on Nov 24, 2009 9:33 PM EST up reply actions  

I went with Duffy...

Duffy has a proven track record at several levels. Crow has a brief stint at the AFL. I agree with Jeff that I need to see Hosey and AC perform like 1st round draft choices for at least a half season before I give them any higher marks.

by grudz96 on Nov 23, 2009 3:55 PM EST reply actions  

after Montgomery at #1

Crow at #2 was the easiest decision I made in putting my list together.

baseball rules.

by doublestix on Nov 23, 2009 4:45 PM EST reply actions  

I'm still most excited for Bianchi

an above average major league SS – to dream, the impossible dream……..

"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell

by buddyball on Nov 24, 2009 3:50 PM EST reply actions  

Will Myers for #3

heck, I’d argue for him at #2. Moose hasn’t been impressive at all since he’s been drafted. Sure he’s still young but I can’t in my good conscious project a Mike Jacobs as the #2 prospect in any farm system besides maybe Detroit’s.

Mourning Guy Carbonneau...
Royals obscure player to watch in ST: Lenny DiNardo

by playingwithfire on Nov 24, 2009 6:33 PM EST reply actions  

oh, Crow

Don’t think he can cut it as a starter in the AL, RP are easy to find.

Mourning Guy Carbonneau...
Royals obscure player to watch in ST: Lenny DiNardo

by playingwithfire on Nov 24, 2009 6:34 PM EST up reply actions  

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