Royals Top 30 Prospects: #18-13
We now cover prospects #18-13. Some of these players (Herrera, Fortuna, and Sample for example) are in about they same place I would have ranked them last year--or perhaps they even dropped a little bit--not because their performance was bad but there is a lot of competition for spots as we move towards the top 10. That is a good sign in my opinion. Your questions and comments are, as always, welcomed.
#18--Kelvin Herrera--RHP--Age:19
| Year | Age | Tm | Lg | Lev | ERA | G | GS | IP | WHIP | H/9 | HR/9 | BB/9 | SO/9 | SO/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 18 | Burlington | APPY | Rook | 1.42 | 11 | 8 | 50.2 | 1.046 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 8.0 | 9.00 |
| 2008 | 18 | Burlington | MIDW | A | 2.13 | 3 | 1 | 12.2 | 1.184 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 3.50 |
| 2009 | 19 | Burlington | MIDW | A | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 5.0 | 0.600 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | |
| 3 Seasons | 1.22 | 26 | 15 | 111.0 | 1.045 | 7.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 8.4 | 4.68 | ||||
Herrera was a guy I picked for a breakout performance last year. Unfortunately, injury derailed his entire season save for one start. He had some kind of arm trouble, I'm not exactly sure what it was but he didn't have surgery. The Royals have a lot of pitching depth but Herrera's ceiling is as high as anyones. He doesn't have a typical pitchers frame--he's only 5'10". He has a low 90s fastball that can reach 95 with good movement. He has a pretty good curve and a good changeup--and he commands his pitches very well and gets a lot of ground balls. He turns 20 on New Year's eve so he still has plenty of time to develop. My guess is he goes back to Burlington, Iowa and joins a ridiculous rotation (Lamb, Sample, Hayenga, Herrera, Fortuna?) but he could move quickly. Keep an eye on him--the biggest question for him is health (if I knew he were 100% healthy, I would probably bump him up 5 slots)--but if he is well, he will zoom up this list.
#17--Carlos Fortuna--RHP--Age:19
| Year | Age | Tm | Lg | Lev | ERA | G | IP | WHIP | H/9 | HR/9 | BB/9 | SO/9 | SO/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 18 | Royals | ARIZ | Rook | 5.82 | 11 | 38.2 | 1.500 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 9.5 | 2.16 |
| 2009 | 19 | Burlington | APPY | Rook | 4.09 | 13 | 50.2 | 1.480 | 8.9 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 7.6 | 1.72 |
| 3 Seasons | 4.60 | 34 | 121.1 | 1.409 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 8.3 | 2.00 | ||||
Another young international signee. Fortuna won't turn 20 until right before the season starts. Like Herrera, he has a good Fastball--better velocity than Herrera but not as good command. His curve and changeup are inconsistent. As you can see, he gives up the base on ball more often than he should. Think of him as a raw high school draft pick. He will probably (as I mentioned above) be a part of a very talented Burlington, Iowa staff in 2010. Success for him will mean limiting the walks and using his stuff to put away more hitters.
#16--Tyler Sample--RHP--Age:20
| Year | Age | Tm | Lg | Lev | Aff | ERA | G | IP | WHIP | H/9 | HR/9 | BB/9 | SO/9 | SO/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 19 | Royals | ARIZ | Rook | KCR | 9.00 | 10 | 27.0 | 2.185 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 9.7 | 13.0 | 1.34 |
| 2009 | 20 | Burlington | APPY | Rook | KCR | 2.84 | 12 | 50.2 | 1.066 | 6.0 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 7.8 | 2.20 |
| 2 Seasons | 5.07 | 24 | 81.2 | 1.494 | 7.8 | 0.2 | 5.6 | 9.7 | 1.73 | |||||
The Royals picked Sample out of Cherry Creek HS in Colorado. He's a 6' 7" righty who has already had Tommy John surgery as a high school sophomore. He struggled mightily in 2008 but made big progess in 2009 as the Royals worked on fixing his mechanics. As you can see, his control improved greatly and he was much less hittable. His strikeouts dropped but I think he'll get some of those back as he puts together his delivery. Sample has an above average fastball and curve. He needs to develop an effective changeup. Did I mention the Burlington, Iowa pitching staff he could be a part of in 2010 is pretty talented?
#15--Louis Coleman--RHP--Age:23
| Year | Age | Tm | Lg | Lev | ERA | G | IP | WHIP | H/9 | HR/9 | BB/9 | SO/9 | SO/BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 23 | Wilmington | CARL | A_adv | 1.26 | 10 | 14.1 | 0.767 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 5.33 |
| 2009 | 23 | Burlington | MIDW | A | 2.45 | 4 | 7.1 | 0.409 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 7.4 | 6.00 |
| 1 Season | 1.66 | 14 | 21.2 | 0.646 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 9.1 | 5.50 | ||||
Something about KC teams and LSU. The Royals took Louis Coleman in the 5th Round of the 2009 draft. Coleman had a 2.93 ERA in his Senior season while pitching 129IP. He's a little older than most college draftees (he was a Senior pick and was even a draft eligible Sophomore). He has a good fastball/slider combo that he commands very well. He has a 3/4 delivery that makes him very tough on right handed hitters. He was practically unhitable in his professional debut showing that he can get strikeouts and ground balls. He also didn't give a homerun in his pro debut. The Royals used him in relief and fast tracked him. He could begin 2010 in AA or even AAA. If he does well there, he could be on of the first 2009 draftees to make it to the big leagues.
#14--Johnny Giavotella--2B--Age:22
| Year | Age | Tm | Lg | Lev | Aff | PA | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | SB | CS | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 20 | Burlington | MIDW | A | KCR | 310 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 25 | 34 | .299 | .355 | .421 | .776 |
| 2009 | 21 | Wilmington | CARL | A_adv | KCR | 561 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 9 | 66 | 54 | .258 | .351 | .380 | .731 |
| 2 Seasons | 871 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 78 | 36 | 16 | 91 | 88 | .273 | .352 | .395 | .748 | |||||
Johnny G. was our 2nd Round pick in 2008 out of the U. of New Orleans. He signed quickly and got in 300 ABs in High-A posting a 776 OPS. In 2009, he went to Wilmington and posted a 731 OPS--so he was worse in 2009, right? He increased his walk rate, decreased his K rate, and had the same ISP. He looks to have suffered from Wilmington's home park and a low BABIP. I'm a big believer in his bat but the biggest question is his glove. He's got decent speed so perhaps he can improve. He better because there aren't many other places for him on the diamond beyond 2B. I wouldn't be surprised to see him blow up at AA this year with a strong OBP and decent power. Some similar strengths/weaknesses to Alberto Callaspo. Another note: he was a relatively young for a college draftee so he will be just 22 to start the season.
#13--Kila Kaaihue--Age:25
| Year | Age | Tm | Lg | Lev | Aff | PA | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | SB | CS | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 21 | High Desert | CALL | A_adv | KCR | 605 | 31 | 2 | 20 | 90 | 2 | 1 | 97 | 97 | .304 | .428 | .497 | .925 |
| 2006 | 22 | Wichita | TL | AA | KCR | 395 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 73 | .199 | .303 | .300 | .602 |
| 2007 | 23 | Wilmington | CARL | A_adv | KCR | 253 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 38 | .251 | .360 | .420 | .780 |
| 2007 | 23 | Wichita | TL | AA | KCR | 288 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 40 | .246 | .359 | .447 | .806 |
| 2008 | 24 | Northwest Arkansas | TL | AA | KCR | 376 | 11 | 0 | 26 | 79 | 3 | 2 | 80 | 41 | .314 | .463 | .624 | 1.086 |
| 2008 | 24 | Omaha | PCL | AAA | KCR | 139 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 26 | .316 | .439 | .640 | 1.079 |
| 2009 | 25 | Omaha | PCL | AAA | KCR | 555 | 27 | 1 | 17 | 57 | 0 | 1 | 102 | 85 | .252 | .392 | .433 | .825 |
| 8 Seasons | 3732 | 161 | 6 | 130 | 520 | 8 | 8 | 585 | 620 | .260 | .383 | .446 | .829 | |||||
Kila was our 15th Round pick from a Hawaii high school in the 2002 draft. He had the talent to go higher but he was thought to be a touch sign. Kila's dad, Kala, played in the minor leagues for 11 seasons for several different clubs. For the first several years of his career, Kila showed he could get on base but his power was not quite where you would want a 1B/DH to be. Everything changed last year as he dominated at AA/AAA hitting a combined 37 HRs. In 2009, Kila got off to a strong start at Omaha showing the same on base skills and good power (but not quite as good as 2008). He struggled the 2nd half of the year--his power dropped--but he also was quite unlucky on ball in play in the 2nd half (BABIP of around .230).Even with the tough 2nd half, the Royals had nothing to lose by calling him up in September--but, of course, they didn't. Kila will be 26 by Opening Day 2010 and I think he will be on a major league roster for someone. Kila doesn't field well and struggles against lefties but he does get on base and have power--two things the Royals desperately need. Dayton Moore has said he is focused on pre-arbitration eligible talent--it would be nice to see him take a relatively safe gamble and give Kila a shot. The other option is to shop Kila for some other young, affordable talent. Either way, I think he helps a major league club in 2010.
4 recs |
37 comments
Comments
Good stuff.
I’m really excited about the Burlington rotation as well. Sample really had a quiet but great season last year. It took one year of work, but he seems to have gotten a few things figured out. I can see him really taking off this season.
Do the Royals want to give those guys a full season at Burlington or are they going to Hosmer plan some of them?
I wonder where Coleman fits when he makes it to the bigs? Setup guy? Just a MR guy? Or does he do the JOBA plan and become a starter half the year (and see if he has it) and then move to relief to limit his innings?
A lot of questions and some great rewards if everyone goes according to plan.
Coffee. The NEW Performance Enhancing drug for Sport's Writers. Just ask Ken Rosenthal.
by 306008 on Nov 25, 2009 12:01 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
dayton's rhetoric and reality haven't matchup in years
I don’t see a future for Kila with this team
by royalsreview on Nov 25, 2009 12:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
depressing
CHONE has Kila as the third best hitter in the organization behind Butler and (yes) Gordon.
He should at least get a shot as platoon 1B/DH next season.
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by devil_fingers on Nov 25, 2009 12:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
and the point that nwroyal makes should not be lost
he is a 0-3 player. if josh anderson can get a shot, then why not the Kila monster?
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by benfunke on Nov 25, 2009 1:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
speaking of which (sort of)
Josh Fields’s mle
.218/.295/.347
Kila’s mle
.205/.316/.329
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by benfunke on Nov 25, 2009 1:07 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
and there's your R/L DH platoon
Kila can also backup 1B (or if he’s better than Butler on D, get plenty of starts there), and Field can be the new TEahen, except RH, backing up the corners.
A Field/Hinske platoon in RF with Fiorentino and MITCH “battling” for the CF job… That’s a cheap, pretty acceptable arrangement. Better than last season.
Either that, or Dayton can follow his instincts and give Adam LaRoche multiple years.
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by devil_fingers on Nov 25, 2009 1:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It's fucking bizarre that one of the very few good, advanced prospects gets no shot on this talent-light team
I can understand him not starting the 2009 season in KC. I would have started him in Omaha too. But to not give him a single major league PA in 2009? Yet another example of unbelievable incompetence. Now, Moore has another opportunity to give Kila a real shot. He could non-tender the genuinely bad Mike Jacobs and give Kila a shot at 1B/DH. I think Moore will non-tender Jacobs (although I wouldn’t bet money on it) and then waste someone like Callaspo by putting him at DH.
What’s kind of sad and pathetic is that I think Moore is genuinely baffled by his lack of positive results as Royals GM. “I’m doing everything right, so why isn’t the team getting better?”
The immoderate moderator
by NYRoyal on Nov 25, 2009 1:07 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
i assume you're referring to The Process
obviously having a flaw (or many flaws) in the plan is a problem. but the bigger problem is that DM’s attitude is not just "I’m doing everything right, so why isn’t the team getting better?", it’s "I’m doing everything right, so why isn’t the team getting better yet?"
but we should probably save our further DM hate for another post—he suggested hypocritically—since this should be about the prospects.
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by benfunke on Nov 25, 2009 1:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Do you really want to risk this team's shot at breaking the 75-win barrier by giving Kila 400 PAs?
/snark
seriously, it’s like we’ve said before. Some decisions are difficult ot make. Running a team isn’t hard.
This decision isn’t one of the hard ones, which is what makes it so infuriating.
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by devil_fingers on Nov 25, 2009 1:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
is it because he fell in love with Jacobs?
I would have rather seen Kila up with the big boys rather than having Jacobs on the team. That was one of the biggest head scratchers of last year for me.
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
by buddyball on Nov 25, 2009 1:29 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Hadn't you heard?
Jamie Quirk assured all of the viewers that Kila had “slider bat speed”.
End of discussion.
(This was sarcasm, BTW)
Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!
by loyal2sdad on Nov 25, 2009 1:53 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
(This was sarcasm, BTW)
I don't believe you.
What the hell speed was Quirk’s bat, anyway?
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Nov 25, 2009 7:55 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
He and Clint Hurdle
were battling it out for the slow as molasses award.
by hunter s. royal on Nov 26, 2009 12:08 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
well, he does
he wasn’t lying.
baseball rules.
by doublestix on Nov 25, 2009 8:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That explains the monster SO totals I guess
All those fastballs that just whizz by him.
by kcbottom9th on Nov 25, 2009 9:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It's about tools
Dayton and his team make all of their evaluations and decisions based on scouting. Those guys look at Kila and see insufficient tools for a MLB 1B or DH. Which tools are insufficient for them? I have no idea. But they don’t like the looks of him, so he’s not worthy.
The immoderate moderator
by NYRoyal on Nov 25, 2009 7:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I know that this isn't really a perfect analogy, but
what tools were they looking at when they acquired Yuni or Farnsy?
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
by buddyball on Nov 25, 2009 9:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Farnsworth throws hard!
And remember, they saw Yuni with their own eyes, and therefore knew he was athletic and played a good SS in the field. Don’t question it.
by kcbottom9th on Nov 25, 2009 10:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yuni has a hammer and a screwdriver
and Farnsy had a nice belt sander til his dogs ate it.
by AxDxMx on Nov 26, 2009 10:23 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I guess the tools they are looking for are:
1) an inability to consistently get on base; and
2) an inability to get hitters out in high leverage situations.
Mission Accomplished!
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
by buddyball on Nov 27, 2009 10:34 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
You've got it worded slightly improperly
Whereas you see it as an inability, Dayton and Co. see it as an ability.
1) an ability to get on base, even if inconsistent; and
2) an ability to get most hitters out in high leverage situations.
Once you demonstrate a skill, you own it right?
by AxDxMx on Nov 27, 2009 9:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
hee hee
Remember that time Olivo took a walk? PWN3D!
Seriously, though, what would it hurt the Royals to make Ron Shandler their GM?
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by devil_fingers on Nov 28, 2009 11:00 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
the even came out and said they liked Yuni's "lateral movement"
maybe they meant “lack thereof”
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by benfunke on Nov 30, 2009 1:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The solution is simple: send Bloomquist to Omaha
Once he’s down there, perhaps he can form a positive opinion of Kila… Moore will take it from there
by marbotty on Nov 25, 2009 11:26 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Coleman
Other than Kila, among the guys listed here, I agree that Coleman should probably make the Royals first.
I hope no one thinks I’m advocating rushing a player – but I think this guy will be ready for a September 10 cup of coffee, and have a realistic shot at making the team as the primary setup man come 2011. Yes, I like him that much.
Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!
by loyal2sdad on Nov 25, 2009 1:55 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
More on Coleman
this is purely from a scouting perspective – but his arm angle and pitching style indicates, at least to me, that he would be very successful against right handed batters. Combine him with a good LOOGY, and even an average-at-best manager like Hillman couldn’t help getting thru the 8th and getting the ball to Soria more frequently.
Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!
by loyal2sdad on Nov 25, 2009 1:58 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
getting the ball to Soria...
it is only a dream in our powder blue eyes… On Coleman, I agree… then again Hillfart wouldn’t know how to handle the talent level.
by grudz96 on Nov 26, 2009 12:33 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Nice series
Great info for us casual fans. I have absolutely no idea why, after three 800+ OPS years in the high minors, Kila is not on the major league team. If I were him I’d call anti-Native Hawaiian racism. He should be the Royals’ starting DH or 1B in 2010.
Off-topic nitpicky complaint: OPS is the sum of two different percentages. It is not itself a percentage, it’s just a number. I therefore strongly oppose using a decimal point before a player’s OPS. There are lots of people on this site who use good grammar and punctuation; let’s start a movement!
It's pronounced Poo-ZHOLS in Catalan.
by Juancho on Nov 26, 2009 3:38 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
Kila should contact his local APIADL (Asian and Pacific Islanders Anti-Defamation League) rep and point towards those racialists in the front office. Free Kila! Free Hawaii!
by Old Man Duggan on Nov 26, 2009 11:34 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
If somebody organized a demonstration
Jesse Jackson might show up. That would be fun.
It's pronounced Poo-ZHOLS in Catalan.
by Juancho on Nov 26, 2009 12:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I Wrote In
A Sharpton/Jackson ticket in the last presidential election, hoping it would show up in the published results. Sadly, it did not.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Nov 26, 2009 4:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Why don't you try
a Moore/Hillman ticket next time Phil. That should be unique.
by hunter s. royal on Nov 26, 2009 7:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Trust the Process - they have the campaign slogan already!
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
by buddyball on Nov 26, 2009 11:31 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The decimal with OPS is just the way the table comes
I can’t change it—well, if I knew a heck of a lot more about HTML I probably could.
by nwroyal on Nov 26, 2009 1:31 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
While OPS is not a percentage,
it is the sum of two decimals. In that regard, the decimal point makes perfect sense. It is a number between 0 and 2. I think it could lose some of its obvious meaning (for casual fans or those new to the game) if you remove the decimal. The way it is, it is pretty obvious it is the addition of the two previous stats in the stat line.
by play4'ships on Nov 30, 2009 3:53 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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