FanPost

Revising Poz's 2010 Royals lineup

It's been a while since I did a FanPost here, but it's a lazy Saturday (it shouldn't be, I'm insanely busy). I noticed that Joe Posnanski posted what he thinks is the likely (not his preferred) 2010 Royals lineup by career OPS+. It makes the point he wants it to, but I thought it was worth posting a perhaps-more helpful alternative. Two problems: OPS+ isn't a very good stat (not enough weight to OBP, etc), this also misses the fact that career numbers aren't especially helpful for very old or very young players. As an alternative, I'll repost Posnanski's predicted lineup, but instead of career numbers, I'll use CHONE's projections (which have "won" most offensive-projection shootouts in recent years) and instead of career OPS +, I'll use context-netural linear weights per 150 games as projected by CHONE (far superior for measuring offensive value) and will follow that with the projected three-slash. Like Posnanski, I'm not endorsing the lineup. I'm also not arguing one way or the other about Posnanski's prediction. I just think it is interesting.

1. David DeJesus, LF: +3 (.277/349/.408)
2. Chris Getz, 2B: -7 (.275/.338/370)
3. Billy Butler, 1B: +18 (.293/.360/.457)
4. Jose Guillen, DH:-9 (.254/.309/.405)
5. Alex Gordon, 3B: +9 (.260/.347/.426)
6. Willie Bloomquist, CF: -17 (.265/.323/.351)
7. Jason Kendall, C: -25 (.247/.317/315)
8. Josh Fields RF: -1 (.247/.330/.407)
9. Yuniesky Betancourt, SS: -15 (.273/.303/.387)

 

Again, this isn't what I'd do (or what Posnanski will do).. It's his prediction plus CHONE's numbers. I'll also put down some of the likely alternatives already on the Royals' roster plus their CHONE projections.

Alberto Callaspo, 2B/OF: +3 (.286/.347/.408)
Kila Ka'aihue, 1B/DH: +7 (.243/.355/.393)
Mitch Maier, CF: -11 (.260/.324/.366)
Brayan Pena, C: 0 (.282/.326/415)
Mike Aviles, SS: -12 (.270/.305/.403)

And what the heck, here is my own proposed lineup, assuming just the players listed here to pick from. This is not dealing with jacking up player's trade value or anything, just what I'd do in a "win now" situation.  I'll just do it vs. RHP, although I think there should be different batting orders vs. RHP/LHP. If you really want to read my thoughts (at length) on the (trivial) matter of batting order construction see my series from last season (here's the article on the last season's Royals).

1. David DeJesus, LF: +3 (.277/349/.408)
2. Alberto Callaspo, RF: +3 (.286/.347/.408)
3. Kila Ka'aihue, 1B/DH: +7 (.243/.355/.393) [platoons with Josh Fields]
4. Billy Butler, 1B/DH: +18 (.293/.360/.457)
5. Alex Gordon, 3B: +9 (.260/.347/.426)
6. Brayan Pena, C: 0 (.282/.326/415)
7. Chris Getz, 2B: -7 (.275/.338/370)
8. Mike Aviles, SS: -12 (.270/.305/.403)
9. Mitch Maier, CF: -11 (.260/.324/.366)

 

Um, yeah... lipstick, pigs, etc.

This FanPost was written by a member of the Royals Review community. It does not necessarily reflect the views of the editors and writers of this site.

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