Royals Top Prospects: Overview


We've covered the Royals Top 60 Prospects. The state of the Royals Minor League system defies a one or two word synopsis.  The system is deep, young, toolsy, and risky.  They lack elite talent (at this point).  They probably rank around #10 overall in minor league systems.  Part of that is due to spending a lot of money and part of that is due to a drafts in 2007/2008 that were high school heavy and thus haven't graduated draftees to the majors yet.  One would think they should rank even higher next year since most of these players will still be in the minors and the Royals will add the #4 pick in the draft.

 

Now we'll do an overview with some different ways to break down the Royals prospects.


First, here is the Top 60 broken down by position (my list actually ended up being 60 after we took out Tug Hulett and Juan Abreu but added in Ed Cegarra and Noel Arguellles who were late additions):

 

1B

3. Eric Hosmer

14. Kila Kaaihue

2B 15. Johnny Giavotella
SS

9. Jeff Bianchi

23. Yowil Espinal

48. Pedro Nivar

52. Deivy Batista

55. Ryan Wood

3B

5. Mike Moustakas

24. Cheslor Cuthbert

36. Malcolm Culver

40. Jason Taylor

Corner OF

10. David Lough

13. Jordan Parraz

27. Tim Smith

53. Nick Van Stratten

CF

21. Hilton Richardson

25. Derrick Robinson

35. Alex Llanos

39. Geulin Beltre

45. Jerico Blanco

46. Jarrod Dyson

C

4. Wil Myers

31. Salvador Perez

37. Jose Bonilla

42. Ben Theriot

43. Manny Pina

44. Shin Jo-ho

50. Fernando Cruz

51. Sean McCauley

RHSP

2. Aaron Crow

7. Tim Melville

17. Tyler Sample

18. Carlos Fortuna

19. Kelvin Herrera

22. Blake Wood

26. Keaton Hayenga

38. Ed Cegarra

54. Eduardo Paulino

56. Matt Mitchell

60. Dylan Lindsay

RHRP

16. Louis Coleman

20. Carlos Rosa

28. Patrick Keating

29. Disco Hayes

30. Greg Holland

34. Chris Nicoll

41. Dusty Odenback

47. Cole White

48. Eric Basurto

58. Barry Bowden

LHSP

1. Mike Montgomery

6. Dan Duffy

8. Noel Arguelles

11. John Lamb

12. Chris Dwyer

32. Crawford Simmons

LHRP

33. Brandon Sisk

57. Rowdy Hardy

We are deep in LHSP, RHSP, RHRP and C (although most of the catchers are a long way off).  We have some of the best left handed depth in baseball.  We are shallow in CF and corner OF. The biggest position of need in the whole organization is CF.  It would be great if Derrick Robinson or Hilton Richardson capitalized on their tools but that looks like an uphill climb.  Just FYI there doesn't look to be a CF worth taking at #4 in the draft this year. 

 

Next we look at the approximate level that our prospects will be playing at.   Take these projections with a grain of salt as I probably was a little more aggressive with this group and a few of these guys will be down a level (especially when looking at Low-A/Short-Season).

 

Majors

14. Kila Kaaihue

20. Carlos Rosa

AAA

9. Jeff Bianchi

10. David Lough

13. Jordan Parraz

22. Blake Wood

27. Tim Smith

29. Disco Hayes

30. Greg Holland

34. Chris Nicoll

43. Manny Pina

46. Jarrod Dyson

57. Rowdy Hardy

AA

1. Mike Montgomery

2. Aaron Crow

5. Mike Moustakas

6. Dan Duffy

15. Johnny Giavotella

16. Louis Coleman

25. Derrick Robinson

33. Brandon Sisk

58. Barry Bowden

High-A

3. Eric Hosmer

7. Tim Melville

8. Noel Arguelles

28. Patrick Keating

38. Ed Cegarra

40. Jason Taylor

41. Dusty Odenback

47. Cole White

49. Eric Basurto

51. Sean McCauley

53. Nick Van Stratten

54. Eduardo Paulino

55. Ryan Wood

56. Matt Mitchell

Low-A

4. Wil Myers

11. John Lamb

12. Chris Dwyer

17. Tyler Sample

18. Carlos Fortuna

19. Kelvim Herrera

21. Hilton Richardson

23. Yowil Espinal

26. Keaton Hayenga

31. Salvador Perez

35. Alex Llanos

36. Malcolm Culver

37. Jose Bonilla

42. Ben Theriot

52. Deivy Batista

Short Season

39. Geulin Beltre

50. Fernando Cruz

Rookie

24. Cheslor Cuthbert

32. Crawford Simmons

44. Shin Jo-ho

45. Jerico Blanco

48. Pedro Nivar

60. Dylan Lindsay

 

As you can see, there isn't much help at the Majors/AAA.  There are several players listed at AAA but several have had less than a year at AA so they would need plenty of time in AAA (and could begin the year in AA if they haven't progressed much by the end of Spring Training.  From AA on down, there should be plenty of names to keep us minor league scoreboard watching during the summer.

Finally we look at how our prospects stack up vs. other prospects in the AL Central.  I'm using Kevin Goldstein's ranking with his star system.  I've bolded 5 star prospects (considered Top 30-40 in all of baseball) and italicized 4 star prospects (considered Top 100ish).  Just FYI he said that Montgomery was borderline 5 star.  I've also guessed 4 stars for Noel Arguelles for us.

Chicago Cleveland Detroit Kansas City Minnesota
1. Hudson-RHP-4stars 1.Santana-C-5stars 1.Turner-RHP-5stars 1.Montgomery-LHP-4stars 1.Hicks-CF-5stars
2. Mitchell-CF-4stars 2.Chisenhall-SS-4stars 2.Crosby-LHP-5stars 2.Crow-RHP-4stars 2.Jean-SS-5stars
3. Flowers-C-4stars 3.White-RHP-4stars 3. Jackson-CF-4stars 3.Moose-3B-4stars 3.Revere-CF-4stars
4. Danks-CF-3stars 4.Knapp-RHP-4stars 4.Sizemore-2b-4stars 4.Myers-C-4stars 4.Ramos-C-4stars
5. Viciedo-3B-3stars 5. Hagadone-LHP-4stars 5.Fields-SS-3stars 5.Melville-RHP-4stars 5.Gibson-RHP-4stars
6. Morel-3B-3stars 6.Rondon-RHP-3stars 6.Oliver-LHP-3stars 6.Arguelles-LHP-4stars? 6.Morales-OF-3stars
7. Santeliz-RHP-3stars 7. Marson-C-3stars 7.Avila-C-3stars 7.Duffy-RHP-3stars 7.Bromberg-RHP-3stars
8. Tr. Thompson-OF-3stars 8.Kipnis-OF/2B-3stars 8. Satterwhite-RHP-3 stars 8.Bianchi-SS-3stars 8.Gutierrez-RHP-3stars
9.Rodrigues-LHP-2stars 9.Carrasco-RHP-3stars 9.Ramirez-OF-3stars 9.Hosmer-1B-3stars 9.Valencia-3B-3stars
10. Holmberg-LHP-2stars 10. Brantley-OF-3stars 10.Strieby-1B-3stars 10.Dwyer-LHP-3stars 10.Benson-OF-3stars
11. CJ Retheford-2B-2stars 11.Putnam-RHP-3stars 11.Nunez-SS-3stars 11.Lamb-LHP-3stars 11.Bullock-RHP-2 stars

 

Finally, here are my Ranking done Goldstein style with my own star rankings (admittedly it maybe a little on the homer side):

1. Montgomery-LHP-5stars

2. Crow-RHP-5stars

3. Hosmer-1B-4stars

4. Myers-C-4stars

5. Moustakas-3B-4stars

6. Duffy-LHP-4stars

7. Melville-RHP-4stars

8. Arguelles-LHP-4stars

9. Bianchi-SS-3stars

10. Lough-OF-3stars

11. Lamb-LHP-3stars

I think the Royals system is right there with Cleveland for best in the AL Central--although Goldstein would probably rank Cleveland first and then bunch up KC, Detroit and Minnesota.

What the Royals desperately need in 2010 is for Hosmer and/or Moose to bounce back and for some other position player talent to step up.  They need the pitchers to stay healthy and make progress.  They need to not pointlessly promote a top prospect and avoid looking like a second class organization in providing medical care to their minor leaguers.

Hope you've enjoyed the prospect series.  It provides a little escapsim from the cold hard reality of the major league club.

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