What I see in the list is the significant lack of depth outside of pitching. With the premium positions of CF and SS, we really have no depth at all. And wow, we are really lacking in depth at 2B too. It’s been said many times we lack great hitting prospects and that we really lack a lot of stars. Lets hope Derrick Robinson will really break out and post some decent numbers this year in AA. With Hilton Richardson lets also hope he figures things out. After all, he has been in rookie ball for 3 yrs now, so lets hope he can break out and move through the system faster than he has.

Tyler Holt is someone that should be available in the second round. If he is
we should definitely take him. He’s known for having outstanding plate discipline, he sported a .517 OBP last year for the Seminoles, and from what I’ve read plays a very good CF.

where I’d assume you’d put him, making for an even more interesting Bees team next season.

in NW Arkansas next season.

nwroyal, You’ve done an awesome job with this series and this post is a great wrapup.

You don’t have Jarrod Dyson playing either!! I’m high on him & don’t understand why he is so low on the list & why no one gives him credit for last yr?

A 633 OPS at AA at age 25 doesn’t scream “prospect” very loudly.

I understand that he brings other skills, and that the Royals’ player evaluators are all about tools over results – but still…

I am thinking most about the young pitchers like K. Herrera, Cegerra and Mitchell. Herrera was a guy I was really excited about for for 2010 but didn’t really get any action. If he could come back at where he was before the injury, the minor league pitching gets even stronger. Rotation with the Bees could be Lamb, Fortuna, Sample, Hayenga, Herrera or Dwyer.

While I like the potential pitching staff of Melville, Arguelles, Cegerra, and some of the relievers, their everyday lineup just doesn’t do much for me. With players that are ranked 40’s and up, that is usually an organizational type. Hosmer will anchor the lineup but going into 2010, I’m more than concerned. Taylor, Van Stratten, R. Wood and McCauley just don’t do much for me. I see the starting OF as Ortiz, Van Stratten and Norris. Is there any chance that Theriot might see time with the Blue Rocks since he was a college catcher? With Myers and Perez at Burlington, that position is full.

Another question – KC signed an Indy league guy named Frost who is an infielder. Is there any scouting on him? I would see him teaming with R. Wood as middle infielders with Blue Rocks.

I have several post about Dyson/CF Prospects in the middle of all these comments so I am consolidating them in this post.

My main point is Dyson is WAY to low on this list & far better than the prospects listed ahead of him!! This list has Dyson as the 46th overall prospect & the 6th best CF prospect when I believe his Tools & Results demonstrate that Dyson is the #1 CF prospect and in the 15-25 overall prospect range!! The positives out way the negatives w/ Dyson. Negatives, has no power, light on the 2Bs, not getting any younger. Positives, will play MLB premium position (CF), plus arm, plus base stealer, solid on-base, solid batting avg & solid defender. Dyson has 4 out of 5 tools & its perceivable that Dyson has not reached his potential unlike possibly D. Robinson. I envision his tools similar to Coco Crisp BUT w/ a GREAT arm! I read in Baseball America that Dyson had the best arm in the Texas League & in the Royals system if you look at his OF assist it backs up the article. Also, I think the fact that Dyson was drafted in the 50th round out of CC might have made Dyson work harder at his game. On the other hand, it might be possible that Robinson has relied on pure athleticism to much bc Robinson was a 3rd or 4th rounder w/ hype while turning down a Florida Football scholarship. I predict if Dyson gets off to a good start he will for sure be called up this yr & might be our 2011 starting CF.

Compare the #s below & notice Levels, ABs, Avgs, BB/K, & specifically Assists/Errors!!
Below are the Career Minor League Total #s for the top 3 CF Prospects:

AGE: ___________ 25yrs _ 21yrs _________ 22yrs
HIGHEST ________ AA _______ R (3yrs) _______ A adv
LEVEL:

AB: _____________ 801 ______ 607 __________ 1615

BA : ____________ .270 ______ .247 __________ .243
OBP: ___________ .343 ______ .323 __________ .307
SLG: ___________ .325 ______ .354 __________ .318

SB/CS: _________ 107/24 ____ 44/16 _________ 186/61
BB/SO: _________ 84/170 ____ 58/185 ________ 143/342

GAMES/Fld%: ____ 139/.977 _ 108/.948______ 274/.973
A/E: ____________ 25/6 ______ 3/9 ___________ 13/17

Let’s contrast the current CF crop with the best CF ever developed by the organization (Beltran):

career minor league stats: 267/345/432
53 SB/20 CS
147 BB/ 287 K

As you can see, the main difference statistically between Beltran and the 3 candidates we are discussing is the isolated slugging percentage.

Now, let’s look at one other significant difference:

Beltran reached A+ at age 20
Beltran reached AA at age 21
Betran reached the majors at age 22

Never underestimate the importance of age when looking at a player development curve.

PRS, you compared Dyson to Coco Crisp (but with an arm).

Here are Crisp’s minor league stats:

299/374/411
149 SB/51 CS
189 BB/ 227 K

In addition, Crisp reached A+ at age 21, reached AA and AAA at age 22, and was playing regularly in the majors at age 23.

Significantly better OBP and SLG than Dyson in the minors, as well as significantly better plate discipline.

Again, I’m not slamming on Dyson – he very well could be a better defender than Crisp, for example – but I just don’t see him as that good a prospect overall.

I am in agreement with nwroyal, in that CF appears to be woefully thin in this organization.

are in AA…. that makes me smile considering i live in springfield and i can watch the future

that DDJ can play center. That’s not a problem this year. He has proven in the past that he can do it, and if his performance has dropped off a bit, it’s still better than anything the Royals can dredge out of the muck of 4-A centerfielders. Oh, by the way, he also gets on base and can hit a little. Keep him in center and find some fat guys who can hit to play the corners.

for putting this all together in one place. I too watch the minors system and think we have some thin areas but some areas that we can be proud of. Im scared of all the attention on moose and hosmer. Honestly they havnt lived up to the standard….. YET, they might yet but also they havnt yet. I really like the development of dyson and parraz, parraz had a second half that was on fire with men in scoring position. Myers looks good leave him alone at catcher, a catcher that can is good both defensively and can hit is a very huge plus. Im excited about the future and think we are STILL 2012 away from bringing up the big group of youngster that will matter.