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Royals 2008 Minor League Recap: Idaho Falls Chukars

2008 Season Recap

English parodist Max Beerbohm once said, “There is much to be said for failure.  It is more interesting than success.” 

By this logic, the 2008 Idaho Falls Chukars just enjoyed their most interesting season in their short history, as not only was their 33-43 record the 2nd worst in the Pioneer League, it was also the worst record they’ve had since they joined the Royals’ minor league system in 2004. 

Star-divide

 WHAT WENT WRONG

Now, while it would be easy to be critical of the team, I read somewhere that criticism is most effective if it is delivered in such a manner that it makes the recipient feel better about himself.  One technique, popular among communication gurus and self-help authors, is the "Criticism Sandwich," in which you sandwich a criticism in between two compliments.   

Here's how the basic structure goes:


Compliment:  "Bob, I appreciate how much of a hard worker you are."

Criticism:  "Unfortunately, your incompetence cost us the sale, and we'll have to fire you."

Compliment:  "By the way, that's a nice shirt."

Sure, Bob's intelligence has been called in to question, and he's now out of a job, but he comes away from this exchange knowing that his work ethic is appreciated and that he is recognized for having at a minimum a sociably acceptable fashion sense.   Boom, Criticism Sandwiched!

With regard to the Chukars' 2008 season, it may be in the best interests of everyone involved if we try the sandwich technique.   Let's see how this goes:

 

 Compliment:  Guess which player led the Pioneer league in OPS (1.100)?  A Chukar!

Criticism:  That Chukar was Eric Hosmer, and he only had 11 at-bats, having been denied the right to play until the final three games of the season, the result of a draft deadline snafu. The rest of the team combined to be second to last in the league in OBP and last in SLG.  The pitching, wasn't much better, as they gave up the most walks in the league, while finishing second to last in strikeouts.  And while minor league standings are more or less irrelevant, the Chukars  finished 20 games out of first, last in their division and  second to last in the league.  

Compliment:  They wore nice shirts!

See, that 33-43 record doesn't look so depressing now.   

So why were things so bad?

Aside from a few bright spots, the offense was horrendous - this was the only team in the Pioneer League to post a sub-.400 SLG, which is not altogether surprising considering they were also last in the league in homeruns.   

Clearly, the team missed Hosmer, and his presence alone may have been enough to right the ship, as he was a monster at the plate during his short stint, as half of his hits went for extra bases, and he had nearly as many walks as hits.   Even if he couldn't keep up his torrid pace, Hosmer would at the very least have displaced 1B Alberto Espinosa, who was one of the biggest OPS-sinks on the team with a Tony Pena-esque .571.  

The graduation of 2007 luminaries Anthony Seratelli, Clint Robinson and Nick Van Stratten, (all of whom posted OPS's above .900) along with the departure of Mike Moustakas, certainly didn't help matters for the team, but such is the transient nature of minor league baseball.     Even though you have to expect giant variations in performance from year to year, it doesn't necessarily erase the sting felt from going from first place in 2007 to last place in 2008. 

Variations aside, there has been one very disturbing trend for the Chukars over the last few years.  Despite the professed importance of OBP in the last few years by both Allard Baird and Dayton Moore, the team's performance in that category appears to be a bad omen for the parent club. 

 

Idaho_falls_medium

 Dayton Moore, of course, did the sensible thing by removing Jim Gambella as manager of the Chukars.   Unfortunately, he removed him by promoting him to manager of the Burlington Bees.

  Moore_medium

If Moore were President Bush, Gambella would have won the Medal of Freedom


 

 On the plus side, Gambella will be replaced by Darryl Kennedy, former manager of the Wilmington Blue Rocks, who has won four Manager of the Year awards.   Who knows if he can reverse the trend of the falling OBP, but at least he was able to keep the Blue Rocks around league average in that area.       

WHAT WENT RIGHT

Characteristic of a Dayton Moore minor league team, the Chukars led the league in stolen bases with 142.   They ran away with it, actually (no pun intended), as the next highest team mustered only 92 stolen bases.   Considering they only played 76 games, that's good for 2 stolen bases per game.  I'm not sure if that's a record or anything, but it's certainly impressive.

 

On an individual level, among the brightest spots were the performances of OF Carlos Testaand SS JJohn Alfaro 

Testa, an 18th round pick out of Belmont University, had a fantastic year, posting a .304/.395/.462 line, with 5 hrs and 12 steals.   Considering the dearth of articles written on the man on the internet, it would appear he isn't exactly generating a lot of buzz in the scouting community, but he did manage to at least make one Royals Top 60 prospects list, at number 57.

 

At least a year younger than Testa, and playing a more difficult position, John Alfaro could be an asset for the Royals somewhere down the line if his glove is as good as his bat was in 2008.  Alfaro led the team in homeruns (9), triples (5), and doubles (25) but seems to have a bit of a problem with plate discipline, as he struck out more than seven times than he walked.    He'll have to do considerably better in that category should he wish to continue his success in upper minors.

 


Observant fans will also note that catcher Salavador Perez also had an excellent season for Idaho Falls (.994 OPS) albeit in a handful of at bats (43).    Unlike Testa and Alfaro, Perez has received quite a bit of press on the internets, and has been lauded as much for his defense as his offense.  If both hold up well, he's likely to pass rather quickly through the Royals system, as there aren't really any prospects blocking his ascent.

On the pitching side, there weren't too many standouts, although there weren't too many bad performances, either.    Perhaps the most promising performance, at least relative to draft position was Blaine Hardy, who struck out 34 in 34 innings, with only 8 walks.   Hardy, as you'll recall, was a 22nd round draft pick in the 2008 draft, and may or may not be related to the greatest pitcher who has ever lived

IN SUMMARY

 

As the man said, nothing gold can stay.  So, while it may have been a bit of a rough year for the Chukars, things can always change quickly in the minors.  With a strong draft in 2009, and perhaps with a little guidance from the new manager, Idaho Falls can reclaim their rightful place as the lords of the Pioneer League.

 

 

 

 

 

3 recs  |  Comment 36 comments |

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thank goodness!!

We always did feel the same, We just saw it from a different point of view, Tangled up in blue.
-Bob Dylan

by Royal Kingdom on Feb 20, 2009 10:08 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This was fantastic:
Boom, Criticism Sandwiched!

by PopeSoria on Feb 20, 2009 11:01 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Thought Saito would do better than he did

Not that he was awful, but his control was not that great and I thought he’d be a quick riser.

Ryan Morgan was a local kid I was rooting for that pretty much couldn’t find the strike zone.

Carlos Testa should really change his name to “Tesla” because that is what I think every time I read his name.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Feb 20, 2009 11:38 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Compliment: “Bob, I appreciate how much of a hard worker you are.”

Criticism: “Unfortunately, your incompetence cost us the sale, and we’ll have to fire you.”

Compliment: “By the way, that’s a nice shirt.”

By the way that is totally wrong. The second sentence should’ve been.

Bob, we are giving you the opportunity to succeed somewhere else.

I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.

by kcscoliny on Feb 20, 2009 12:03 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Top 60 prospects?

I have trouble believing a source outside the organization could competently put together a list that size. There’s no point going beyond 30—and that’s pushing it—because very few prospects that low will ever reach bat boy status, much less major league player status.

by BrRoyal on Feb 20, 2009 1:28 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

love it

great post

I wanna know what love is, I want you to show me

by LeoBloom on Feb 20, 2009 1:35 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

the stolen bases fixation
Characteristic of a Dayton Moore minor league team, the Chukars led the league in stolen bases with 142. They ran away with it, actually (no pun intended), as the next highest team mustered only 92 stolen bases. Considering they only played 76 games, that’s good for 2 stolen bases per game. I’m not sure if that’s a record or anything, but it’s certainly impressive.

on a scale of 1-10 how important is stealing bases? in dayton’s mind, I guess its an 8

I wanna know what love is, I want you to show me

by LeoBloom on Feb 20, 2009 1:36 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

he really able to string together some wins

by putting big boppers the lineup and doing all the little things

Waiting for April.

by DC Royal on Feb 20, 2009 1:57 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I really resent the unfair implication that Dayton Moore doesn't care about OBP or strike zone judgment

It’s not like it was in great shape when he got here. If there was a problem, it would have manifested itself on the MLB level already.

Case closed.

Bringing you more-or-less replacement level analysis and commentary since sometime in 2008.

by devil_fingers on Feb 20, 2009 2:07 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

salvador perez...

had not heard of him

i wonder how Olivo will feel about this in 2011?

by royalsreview on Feb 20, 2009 2:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I don't think anyone in the 2nd year of a 3/30 contract would care either way

Bringing you more-or-less replacement level analysis and commentary since sometime in 2008.

by devil_fingers on Feb 20, 2009 2:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

bingo

of course, Brayan will be entrenched as the backup

trade perez now

by royalsreview on Feb 20, 2009 2:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I would be willing to bet $10

(granted, it’s totally counterfactula bet) that over an equal amount of playing time, (salaries not considered) that Pena was a good as Olivo, if I would get slight odds. It’s not even far from 50/50 shot. His defense might be a problem, but Olivo is merely average himself (his arm is canceled out by his issues with blocking balls, so he’s not even that much better than Buck). PECOTA says Brayan’s a bit better as a hitter (.235 projected 2009 EqA to Olivo’s .234). and CHONE says that’s Brayan is even further ahead…

For the record, CHONE actually has Pena hitting better than BUck, too. Buck’s PECOTA projection is substantially better for 2009 than either other guy at .244.

Bringing you more-or-less replacement level analysis and commentary since sometime in 2008.

by devil_fingers on Feb 20, 2009 2:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Good job, Marbot...

I covered the pitching staff last season and you are right they weren’t very good. The Royals left most of their talent from the draft in Surprise. IDF got the rehabbers and the also drafted. My guess is that 3 or 4 will move on to Burlington, Ia. I too was surprised by Saito. I expected more K’s. As for Hardy… his first two outings were disasters and thus his numbers never got back to where they should have been.

I thought that the two young catchers for the chukars were the bright spots of the team. Alfaro could be a sleeper in a position that the Royals are very weak at. I hope to see him in Burlington, Ia. next season.

by grudz96 on Feb 20, 2009 2:45 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

so in short

this is another shot at DM post.

lovely.

Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.

by doublestix on Feb 20, 2009 3:32 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

and Allard Baird, don't forget him

Seriously, it didn’t set out to be that way, it just sort of materialized. And although I made fun of Moore’s promotion of Gambella, I think it actually makes sense to bring in your best manager (Kennedy) to the lowest rung of the system, because presumably that’s where you can make the greatest impact on shaping the future of your organization.

Admittedly, I don’t know if Gambella won those awards because he was good at developing players, or because his teams won a lot, but I’m hoping he’s at least a little adept at the development side.

by marbotty on Feb 20, 2009 5:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

question

is Idaho Falls considered the lowest affiliate, or is the other RKL team? or is there no hierarchy?

by royalsreview on Feb 20, 2009 3:58 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

no

there’s two lower.

and one in the Dominican

Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.

by doublestix on Feb 20, 2009 4:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

this is emabarassing

but can someone explain to me how the Latin American baseball academies work? Do the Royals have automatic “dibs” on the players there, or do they enter the draft, or international free agency like everyone else once they graduate?

I think the concept sounds cool, but I’m just admitting that I don’t know how they operate. I"m not even making a Nationals joke here.

Bringing you more-or-less replacement level analysis and commentary since sometime in 2008.

by devil_fingers on Feb 20, 2009 4:26 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

clearly, i'm not the person to ask

my guess would be there is really no official “dibs” but that they use it as an early contact, evaluation tool

by royalsreview on Feb 20, 2009 4:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I could be totally wrong, but I recall reading somewhere...

but I think the players ‘belong’ to the organization—but of course the vast majority will never see the mainland (at least not as baseball players) but they do get a place to stay and some education.

I think the main purpose is to provide a place to develop and also get skills (culturally and educationally) for the very small group of them who will eventually play ball over here.

by nwroyal on Feb 20, 2009 4:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

from the way i understand things...

they’re just like any 18 year old high school draftee we sign in that we have their rights for six years unless we put them on the 40-man roster or they get taken in the rule 5 draft. because of their age and culture, teams keep most of these players in the acadamies thinking it better to start them out (at, often, 16 years of age) against lower level talent in an environment that is less alienating.

by 9il on Feb 21, 2009 1:40 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i'm not the person to ask either

But I could have sworn that we sign all of the guys who play for our teams there, but we just don’t pay most of them shit. i.e. if we signed a dominican kid, paid him a 2k signing bonus, he would be contractually obligated to play for us. i also don’t think there is an age limit.

It’s a lot like slavery, just without the cotton picking.

by ajblobaum on Feb 20, 2009 4:42 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Yeah I think we own the rights to the guys in our Latin American academies.

And I think those guys get paid as much or more in real terms (as compared to the cost of living there) than guys who play for the Royals in Idaho, Arizona or Burlington (NC). These guys get paid money to play a game in a place where there is a lot of poverty, so I think they have it pretty good.

The immoderate moderator

by NYRoyal on Feb 20, 2009 5:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Do you mean an upper limit?

There’s an MLB rule that teams can’t sign kids younger than 16, I believe. But, to my knowledge, there is no upper age limit for these players.

The immoderate moderator

by NYRoyal on Feb 21, 2009 1:05 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

good recap

I think our draft strategy the past couple of years—HS talent—has made the teams at Idaho Falls and Burlingtion, NC pretty bad. Most of our high draft choices will go to Surprise and then the next year, the good ones go to Burlington, Iowa. (although this year perhaps we’ll see some of our arms go from extended spring training to Idaho)

by nwroyal on Feb 20, 2009 5:01 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Marbot... I thought these guys did okay for IDF pen.

Justin Garcia
James Thompson
Colby Beach

Beach struggled early but by July he was the hottest thing on the team. I think all three will be in the Burlington, Ia. pen in April.

by grudz96 on Feb 20, 2009 11:40 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

good catch

Especially on Garcia — who had a very fine year in the pen. Not dominant, but pretty darn close. My only concern with him is that he was pretty old for the league at 23, but I would agree that he’ll likely start the year in Burlington. It’s hard not to like a 7:1 K:BB ratio.

James Thompson performance’s was akin to that of Ambiorix Burgos’ 2003 season, which is a good thing. He struck out a bit more, but also issued more free passes. If he can refine his control, he could be a really good pitcher (assuming he’s got the stuff for it.)

Not sure about Beach. Even if you account for his early struggles, the guy gave up a ton of homeruns. That could be attributed to the fact that Melaleuca Field is supposed to be a hitter’s park, but he was actually much worse away. It’s really all a crapshoot, though, especially when you’re only pitching a handful of innings. You really can’t discount anybody at this stage.

by marbotty on Feb 21, 2009 12:44 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Beach's overall numbers weren't that good.

But, he did show glimpes of dominance. I think if he can become a end of the bullpen reliever. He has the arm.

by grudz96 on Feb 22, 2009 4:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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