my early "Dan Cortes Award" nominees
The Dan Cortes Award is a new award given out to the prospect who rises from the depth of basically nobodies (in other words, guys who aren't typically aren't considered top 20 or 25 prospects) and develop into a good or very good prospect.
Previous winners:
2007: Daniel Cortes, RHP (DUH!)
2008: Kila Ka'aihue, 1B
doublestix's candidates
Keaton Hayenga | RHP | 20-years-old | 6-foot-4, 200 pounds
Acquired - 31st Round, 2007 | '08 Level - Did not play
Hayenga was drafted in 2007, but has not pitched in an official game yet. He tore his labrum in his throwing arm sliding into a base during late in his senior season of high school. The injury dashed his chances of being selected where projected -- in the top 3 rounds of the MLB draft. Also a standout basketball star, most scouts believed he would head to Washington State. The Royals took a chance though in the 31st round, and convinced him to sign with a nice chunk of change ($300,000). Labrum surguries are tough to come back from, and some don't come back from them at all. He was finally allowed to throw again this summer, and was highly impressive this fall when fully healthy. Hayenga was racing his fastball up to 95 and 96 MPH, along with a curveball and a changeup. Control was spotty as expected coming back from a major shoulder surgery. As a former basketball player, he's extremely athletic on the mound and shows relatively clean mechanics. He'll likely end up in Burlington, NC or Idaho Falls next year as they continue to baby his arm, but an impressive showing could land him in the top 10 or 15 prospects next year. Also, I wouldn't say he's really a nobody (I have him at #25, Royals Corner at #24, and Baseball America at #30), but he will have a great chance at shooting up next year.
Brent Fisher | LHP | 21-years-old | 6-foot-2, 190 pounds
Acquired - 7th Round, 2005 | '08 Level - AZL Royals/Bur. Royals/Bur. Bees
Doesn't it seem like Fisher has been around FOREVER? He dominated the AZL league in 2005 and 2006 and was poised for a quick rise starting in 2007. Then, injuries hit. They always do it seems like. Killed most of Fisher's 2007 and 2008, but came back at the end of this past year and ended on a very solid note. Just seems weird that he's still only 21-years-old. Anyways, Fisher shows a low-90's "invisiball" (fastball) and hammer curve with excellent deception (thus the name invisiball) and work-in-progress changeup. He doesn't really fit the exact definition of this award, but given how far he has fallen, I think he fits the bill. He'll likely be in an excellent rotation with guys like Danny Duffy, Dan Gutierrez, and Ed Cegarra at Wilmington.
Bryan Paukovits | RHP | 21-years-old | 6-foot-7, 240 pounds
Acquired - 44th Round, 2006 | '08 Level - DNP: Tommy John Surgery
The Royals drafted Paukovits twice, both as a draft-and-follow candidate, in 2005 and in 2006. They signed him on the final day of the draft-and-follow period before the draft in 2007 to a decent sized bonus ($150,000). He had a decent debut with the Burlington Royals, but missed all of 2008 with Tommy John surgery. I have no idea on his rehab, so this is kind of a shot in the dark. When on though he has a fastball that runs up to 95 from a huge frame, and a curveball that showed a lot of a promise. Could be a true come out a nowhere guy.
Hilton Richardson | CF | 20-years-old | 6-foot-3, 215 pounds
Acquired - 7th Round, 2007 | '08 Level - DNP: Burlington Royals
Richardson was a 7th round pick last year, your typical raw, toolsy outfielder that needs work. This guy has some pretty serious tools though, he's very quick on the base paths, like a faster version of Mark Teahen. He's also big and has some power, although it hasn't shown up in games yet as he continues to refine his hitting. He's capable of playing CF now with his speed, might have to move to a corner if he gets too big, but that isn't a problem yet. Will need to continue to work on his "mechanics" in the outfield to improve. I don't know if he's ready for full season yet, but his skills are improving, and if they keep improving he might get a ticket to the Midwest League next year.
Some other candidates:
Fernando Cruz, 3B - Pathetic offensive stats the past couple years but scouts still LOVE him and his projection. Very young and pretty good defensively.
John Lamb, LHP - 5th round pick last year, hasn't pitched yet due to slow recovery from car crash during senior season of ball. Earns inevitable Tom Glavine comps.
Kyle Martin, SS - Good power for middle infielder and has decent glove at all infield positions. Could he be the next Aviles? Maybe.
I may have forgot some, i just decided to do this randomly.
3 recs |
46 comments
Comments
I like Hayenga
Labrum injuries are tough, but coming back from them is becoming commonplace. That’s not to say that he’ll come back 100% or that he would have panned out even if he’d never been injured. But I do like hearing that his fastball post-injury is getting into the mid-90’s.
It would also be nice to have Fisher come back and show something. That Wilmington rotation really is going to be a monster.
The immoderate moderator
by NYRoyal on Feb 5, 2009 7:22 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
hayenga
it’s interesting, in high school according to BA his fastball topped at 93, and now he’s throwing even faster after a very serious shoulder injury. he might be the Dan Gutierrez of 2008. Gutierrez was getting some pub and late helium in the fall of 2007 after he looked good in instructs, and it’s pretty much the same story here.
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
by doublestix on Feb 5, 2009 6:38 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
He had a year to lift with nothing but his lower half and core
That alone will add 5 mph to a HS kid with a good body who never really worked out seriously with weights.
That's why we play the season on paper.
by 306008 on Feb 5, 2009 7:50 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
good point
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
by doublestix on Feb 5, 2009 7:53 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
hayenga
Hayenga in HS was a specimen. Known more for his basketball. He was the Washington Basketball Coaches association 4A player of the year. Extremely athletic, most watching him would have assumed he was headed to Div 1 for basketball. Many of us still kind of wish he had. It was too bad about the labrum, but I thought that might get him playing hoops for WSU – no luck.
In terms of quality of kid, Keaton’s a great kid – does everything you could want. He’s a no nonsense driven athlete, with huge springs in his legs and tough as nails on the backboards, with some dunks we haven’t seen since he graduated. He was fun to watch. (yes, I still wish he were playing hoops… but hope the baseball thing works out for him.)
Anyway, I don’t know Cortes or his award, but a healthy Hayenga will impress. I remember the game he pitched at our high school. Must have been 30 scouts there. He came in in the middle of the game and shut Inglemoor down for 4 innings – 9 or 10 K’s. We had some good players, Biel was drafted and couldn’t touch him that day.
by WARoyal on Feb 14, 2009 11:33 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
If he is healthy
I would go with Jeff Bianchi. Injuries have derailed him, but he put up decent numbers in Wilmington and is definitely flying under the radar.
He played in a massive pitcher-friendly park last year and the disparity between his home/road splits were ridiculous (Home: .314/.335/.534, Road: .193/.245/.344). This year he’ll be moving to a hitter-friendly league and I think he’s going to breakout.
Waiting for April.
by DC Royal on Feb 5, 2009 10:31 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I think they are planning on leaving him in Wilmington to play SS.
A second trip through should go well for him though and hopefully moves to AA later in the season. You have his Home/Road splits reversed. He hit attrociously at home and rocked on the road.
I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.
by kcscoliny on Feb 5, 2009 11:38 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
thanks for the correction
Are they moving him back to SS? Last season he played most of his games at 2B
Waiting for April.
by DC Royal on Feb 5, 2009 12:53 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That's the rumor
I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.
by kcscoliny on Feb 5, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That's really interesting to think about
He had a back injury… what’s the normal recovery on those? Two years before you are back to the player before? You play the whole time, but you’re not who you were for a while.
That's why we play the season on paper.
by 306008 on Feb 5, 2009 7:51 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
John Flanagan 20yr old
Out of the Top 30 guys but projectable size 6’5-6’6 lefty with a high 80’s low 90’s fastballs with alot of movement(goin by PG). Flanagan performed decent at Rookie ball Burlington.
43K-14Bb-36H 45.2 IP
I assume he goes to Burlington, IA this year.
Also another pitcher to lookout for would be Chase Hentges. Like Duffy he experienced a late growth spurt and should start to fill out that 6’5 frame.
It’s tough to pick a hitter off the radar. I would probably pick Gio to move the quickest/most this year but he is #11 according to BA and probably doesn’t really fit the Cortes/Kila mold. I found it interesting that BA didn’t rank Bianchi in the Top 31. I’ll pick someone with alot of pop and good size Travis Jones. As a 50th round pick and no where to be found on any of the list hopefully his raw power will translate. I’ve heard he has a cannon for an arm as well.
Richardson and Martin seem like solid picks as well. Richardson is a stud athlete that has all the tools to perform well. I read that he really struggled in Burlington N.C. and considered going back to college. Martin has major pop in his bat and can handle the middle infield. He is older for his levels so far and probably could handle AA. The better hitting environment combined with his raw power could be a good combination even if the competition is better.
Wilmington will be an interesting environment for Moose.
One other thing Callis has the biggest mancrush on Hosmer ever. I hope he turns out to be everything Callis thinks he is because if he does then we will be talking about the next Mark Texeira.
I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.
by kcscoliny on Feb 5, 2009 11:32 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
re: all this
Flanagan…I think he’s a sinker/slider lefty. needs to develop changeup some more, but could be a #3/#4 type innings eater or maybe a solid lefty out of the bullpen. 3/4 delivery, tough on left-handed batters.
Hentges is a good pick also. i forgot about him but i’d definitely add him.
Richardson…he’s taking classes at a community college in Arizona. which is why he moved to the AZL from Burlington at the very end of the year. superb athlete though as you said, might be a late bloomer type.
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
by doublestix on Feb 5, 2009 6:36 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
We've got to get Richardson's confidence up
He’s probably had some growing pains and is getting to the point where things will fall into place. It’s like the adjustment period some kids go through from HS to college.
That's why we play the season on paper.
by 306008 on Feb 5, 2009 7:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Dan Cortes
“My Dad is Better than Your Dad” was pure genius…
by wentToARoyalsGameBeforeRR on Feb 5, 2009 2:56 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Dan Cortes was the number 17 (or 19) prospect in the White Sox system according to BA at the time of the trade
by MtRoyals on Feb 5, 2009 6:47 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
was he?
I remember he was ranked #30 on the KC top 30 in the 2007 handbook.
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
by doublestix on Feb 5, 2009 7:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
For all the comments on this guy
I really don’t know a whole lot about him. Someone needs to do a prospect analysis on him. Get real in depth.
That's why we play the season on paper.
by 306008 on Feb 5, 2009 7:55 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
According to the 2006 BA Prospect Handbook
In the White Sox system:
18. Tyler Lumsden
23. Daniel Cortes
Here’s what BA had to say about Cortes back then:
San Diego State baseball coach Tony Gwynn thought he had found a sleeper recruit in Cortes. But after signing his letter of intent, Cortes grew three inches to 6-foot-5 and saw his fastball velocity jump by 5 mph. That got him drafted in the seventh round last June, and he signed for $115,000. Internally, the White Sox compare him to Jon Garland. Like Garland, Cortes has a long, lanky pitcher’s body and has polished a curveball to go with his fastball which parks at 88-91 mph and peaks at 94. Chicago believes his velocity will increase as he continues to develop physically, which could make him a real steal. A good student, he’s extremely coachable, which will help him in his attempt to pick up a changeup. He has the maturity to handle a jump to low Class A at age 19.
At the time, BA was evaluating him basically on his tools and high school performance, as he only had 38 post-draft innings pitched.
The immoderate moderator
by NYRoyal on Feb 5, 2009 8:15 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Cortes = Definition of "projectable"
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
by doublestix on Feb 5, 2009 8:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
From what you’ve read/heard, how much did Cortes’s change improve in 2008? Do you think it can or will ever become an average offering? I’m just trying to figure out if it is likely that he’ll become a major league starter. You don’t need three good pitches to become a major league starting pitcher. But if you have two plus pitches and a third pitch which is ok, you can become a good major league starter (as long as your control is passable).
The immoderate moderator
by NYRoyal on Feb 5, 2009 8:31 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
it showed signs of getting better
the best report I have seen was from Jason Grey of ESPN scouts inc. he was saying he was occasionally flashing a changeup with good fade in the fall league. i think it could be average with more time, but likely not better.
more important will be control/command. keeping the ball down. balls will fly out in Omaha if he doesn’t improve.
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
by doublestix on Feb 5, 2009 8:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Didn't he get roughed up nearly everytime out in the fall league?
That's why we play the season on paper.
by 306008 on Feb 6, 2009 8:46 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
yes, just about
that’s an extreme hitters league. needs to keep the ball DOWN.
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
by doublestix on Feb 6, 2009 1:39 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I thought I heard that the Royals were using the fall league for him to work on his changeup, so he was throwing it a lot, much more than normal. Forcing a pitcher to use his third pitch a lot so he could practice it may be good for his development, but would explain his poor results.
The immoderate moderator
by NYRoyal on Feb 6, 2009 3:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That's what I heard too.
I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.
by kcscoliny on Feb 6, 2009 3:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I heard the same
But I was hoping that he would still have a little more success… Oh well. We’ll see what happens
That's why we play the season on paper.
by 306008 on Feb 7, 2009 8:40 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
These things take time.
That’s what fall leagues are for. It’s better that he started using the change in game situations in the AFL than in Omaha this summer.
WTF, self?
by minda33 on Feb 7, 2009 11:52 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, any pitcher who is throwing his third pitch a lot more than usual isn't going to have good stats
Hopefully this helped develop the pitch and he’ll take another step forward in 2009. Apparently he’s going to start the season in NWA. I hope it doesn’t take long to get him to Omaha.
The immoderate moderator
by NYRoyal on Feb 8, 2009 11:38 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That means I'll get to go watch him in Springfield!!
The best part about our lower minors is that we don’t have to rush guys… like before.
That's why we play the season on paper.
by 306008 on Feb 8, 2009 11:54 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'd vote Rowdy Hardy
but he’s not sneaking up on anyone
Bringing you more-or-less replacement level analysis and commentary since sometime in 2008.
by devil_fingers on Feb 5, 2009 10:06 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
i almost included him
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
by doublestix on Feb 6, 2009 1:27 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Great post
I have no idea how you guys know all this stuff. The only guy I have any kind of opinion on is Fisher, who I remember really wowing everyone at rookie ball. Has it really been four years since then already? Time is going by at Ludicrous Speed.
I'm about to change my username to DannyDuffyfan
by jackie ballgame on Feb 6, 2009 11:30 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
David Lough
Some great names already brought up. I’ll add David Lough into the mix (although i don’t know if he is far enough below the radar). He really came on strong the 2nd half of the year (as did almost everyone at Burlington).
by nwroyal on Feb 6, 2009 11:46 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
+1
definitely. I didn’t add him because he’s already in most people’s top 15’s, but he could definitely move up next year as he continues to add skills to his tools.
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
by doublestix on Feb 6, 2009 1:41 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
What about Alex Gordon's cousin
Jake Kuebler?
by playingwithfire on Feb 7, 2009 10:27 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
He struggled. I thought they drafted him to be a pitcher. I was kind of surprised he was playing 3b.
I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.
by kcscoliny on Feb 7, 2009 10:55 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think they did but he balked at the idea
So they let him move and maybe he’ll realize that they have an idea of what they are talking about…
Same thing with our #8… malcom or something like that… he didn’t want to pitch so they let him play 2B and he was awful.
That's why we play the season on paper.
by 306008 on Feb 8, 2009 11:55 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Lough
Agree. Love his IsoP spike in the last two months of the year while maintaining a good K rate at the plate. My pick to really jump up the charts this year.
by taj4444 on Feb 7, 2009 10:29 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
idaho falls
bryan casey, ivor hodgson and carlo testa all put up good years, have decent tools and are certainly under the radar.
by 9il on Feb 8, 2009 3:34 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
jacob rodriguez
he’s another guy i like. good velocity, gets plenty of strikeouts, however it seems like they will only use him as a reliever.
by 9il on Feb 8, 2009 3:39 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
+1
have heard some good things about Hodgson specifically.
Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.
by doublestix on Feb 8, 2009 3:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
ray liotta
he’s now my favorite for the “dan cortes award”. i forsee hodgson, testa, and rodriguez all turning out to be decent prospects, but i think liotta may be the guy who could jump from “acknowledged” to top prospect. i’m not sure what his stuff is like because most of the reports i’ve read are prior to his injury and his time with the royals, but he’s a big lefty putting up good numbers in his time since recovery. of course there are sample size issues, but it’s nice to point out his 82%!!!!!! groundball rate in wilmington last year. he is rather old for ending the year in hi-A, but i think if we’re talking about him at the end of the season, we’ll be writing him into the royals future rotation.
by 9il on Feb 15, 2009 2:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
ray liotta
Ray is a good choice. Hodgeson, Hayenga, Paukovits are all good pitching choices (although I doubt Paukovits will be game ready anytime soon).
Liotta looked good in AZ at the end of rehab, but hard to tell much with the competition he was facing.
by hazben on Feb 16, 2009 9:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
















