FanPost

The Big Prediction Contest - 2009

Many of you will remember that last year we had a Big Prediction Contest, which gave rise to some interesting community predictions.  Last year's top three were:

1.  Gopherballs 45 (won on tie breaker)

2.  RoyalsRetro 45

3.  kcisbetterthanstlateverything 43

Now the Big Prediction Contest is back and better than ever.  I've added prediction categories for grit, fire and veteran leadership.  Ok, not really, but that would be fun, no?  Ok, not really.

Here's the deal, cut and paste the following list and add in your predictions.  I'll record the entries and score them at the end of the season.  Will may again generously donate a RR t-shirt as a prize to the winner.  If you get every prediction right, he you might even win a RR t-shirt that he's actually blogged in (sweet!).

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record
Division finish
Runs scored
Runs allowed
Batting average
OPS
HR
ERA

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs
Doubles
Triples
Home Runs
RBI
Walks
Stolen bases
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts)
Batting average (min 125 AB)
OBP (min 125 AB)
SLG (min 125 AB)
OPS (min 125 AB)
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]

Wins
Saves
Quality starts
Holds
IP
SO
K/9 (min 40 ip)
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest)
ERA (min 40 ip)
WAR (pitcher)

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0)

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To provide a baseline, last year's Royals hitting stats can be found here and their pitching stats can be found here.  Last year's position player WAR can be found here and pitching WAR can be found here.

The unnecessarily complicated scoring works as follows:

Team:

Record
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - Off by 1, 8 pts
  - Off by 2, 5 pts
  - Off by 3, 3 pts

Division finish
  - If you get it right, 5 pts

Runs scored
  - Ifyou get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within 10 runs, 7 pts
  - If you are 11-20 off, 3 pts
  - If you are 21-30 off, 2 pts

Runs allowed
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within 10, 7 pts
  - If you are 11-20 off, 3 pts
  - If you are 21-30 off, 2 pts

Batting average
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within 5, 7 pts
  - If you are 6-7 off, 3 pts
  - If you are 8-9 off, 2 pts

OPS
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within 10, 7 pts
  - If you are 11-20 off, 3 pts
  - If you are 21-30 off, 2 pts

HR
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within 7, 7 pts
  - If you are 8-12 off, 5 pts
  - If you are 13-17 off, 3 pts

ERA
  - If you get it right, 10 pts
  - If you are within .1, 7 pts
  - If you are .11-.2 off, 5 pts
  - If you are .21-.3 off, 3 pts

Individual stat leaders
  - 2 pts for each one you get correct
  - 0.5 pt for each one where you picked the second place player in the category

The entry deadline is the first pitch of the the Royals first game.

This FanPost was written by a member of the Royals Review community. It does not necessarily reflect the views of the editors and writers of this site.

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