The Big Prediction Contest - 2009

by Scott McKinney on Apr 6, 2009 5:10 PM EDT

Many of you will remember that last year we had a Big Prediction Contest, which gave rise to some interesting community predictions. Last year's top three were:

1. Gopherballs 45 (won on tie breaker)

2. RoyalsRetro 45

3. kcisbetterthanstlateverything 43

Now the Big Prediction Contest is back and better than ever. I've added prediction categories for grit, fire and veteran leadership. Ok, not really, but that would be fun, no? Ok, not really.

Here's the deal, cut and paste the following list and add in your predictions. I'll record the entries and score them at the end of the season. Will may again generously donate a RR t-shirt as a prize to the winner. If you get every prediction right, he you might even win a RR t-shirt that he's actually blogged in (sweet!).

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record
Division finish
Runs scored
Runs allowed
Batting average
OPS
HR
ERA

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs
Doubles
Triples
Home Runs
RBI
Walks
Stolen bases
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts)
Batting average (min 125 AB)
OBP (min 125 AB)
SLG (min 125 AB)
OPS (min 125 AB)
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]

Wins
Saves
Quality starts
Holds
IP
SO
K/9 (min 40 ip)
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest)
ERA (min 40 ip)
WAR (pitcher)

Tie breaker - how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

To provide a baseline, last year's Royals hitting stats can be found here and their pitching stats can be found here. Last year's position player WAR can be found here and pitching WAR can be found here.

The unnecessarily complicated scoring works as follows:

Team:

Record
- If you get it right, 10 pts
- Off by 1, 8 pts
- Off by 2, 5 pts
- Off by 3, 3 pts

Division finish
- If you get it right, 5 pts

Runs scored
- Ifyou get it right, 10 pts
- If you are within 10 runs, 7 pts
- If you are 11-20 off, 3 pts
- If you are 21-30 off, 2 pts

Runs allowed
- If you get it right, 10 pts
- If you are within 10, 7 pts
- If you are 11-20 off, 3 pts
- If you are 21-30 off, 2 pts

Batting average
- If you get it right, 10 pts
- If you are within 5, 7 pts
- If you are 6-7 off, 3 pts
- If you are 8-9 off, 2 pts

OPS
- If you get it right, 10 pts
- If you are within 10, 7 pts
- If you are 11-20 off, 3 pts
- If you are 21-30 off, 2 pts

HR
- If you get it right, 10 pts
- If you are within 7, 7 pts
- If you are 8-12 off, 5 pts
- If you are 13-17 off, 3 pts

ERA
- If you get it right, 10 pts
- If you are within .1, 7 pts
- If you are .11-.2 off, 5 pts
- If you are .21-.3 off, 3 pts

Individual stat leaders
- 2 pts for each one you get correct
- 0.5 pt for each one where you picked the second place player in the category

The entry deadline is the first pitch of the the Royals first game.

Tweet Comment 77 comments | 3 recs |

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Comments

here are mine

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record – 90
Division finish – 1st
Runs scored – 800
Runs allowed – 700
Batting average – .280
OPS – .850
HR- 144
ERA- 4.00

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs- buck
Doubles- guillen
Triples- crisp
Home Runs- jacobs
RBI- jacobs
Walks- bloomquist
Stolen bases- maier
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts)- DDJ
Batting average (min 125 AB) – Buck
OBP (min 125 AB) – Bloomy
SLG (min 125 AB)- DDJ
OPS (min 125 AB)- Olivo
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] Guillen

Wins- Davies
Saves- Farnsworth
Quality starts- Ho-Ram
Holds- Farnsworth
IP- Ponson
SO- Bannister
K/9 (min 40 ip)- Bannister
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Farnsworth
ERA (min 40 ip) – Yabuta
WAR (pitcher)- ~~Nomo Ponson Odie~~ Ho-Ram

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 0

by Freneau on Apr 3, 2009 6:10 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs

Kudos for going with the all-sarcasm prediction

I guess you don’t want to win a shirt you’ve already worn.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 3, 2009 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions

might as well have fun losing

and i’m really excited about yabuta

by Freneau on Apr 3, 2009 8:19 PM EDT up reply actions

It sounded like anger-induced snark

And I think when I average the predictions, I’m going to have to exclude yours.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 3, 2009 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions

ok here are mine

Record 86-76
Division finish 2
Runs scored 750
Runs allowed 730
Batting average .268
OPS .755
HR 135
ERA 4.48

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Crisp
Doubles DDJ
Triples Crisp
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Guillen
Walks Gordon
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Crisp
Batting average (min 125 AB) DDJ
OBP (min 125 AB) DDJ
SLG (min 125 AB) Butler
OPS (min 125 AB) DDJ
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]
DDJ

Wins Meche
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Cruz
IP Meche
SO Grinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Grinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) 2

Go Royals!

by BabyBlues on Apr 3, 2009 6:26 PM EDT reply actions

Picks

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record 85-77
Division finish 2
Runs scored 775
Runs allowed 715
Batting average 289
OPS 792
HR 150
ERA 4.20

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Crisp
Doubles DeJesus
Triples DeJesus
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Guillen
Walks Teahen
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB) Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) Guillen
SLG (min 125 AB) Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]
Teahen (2nd base)

Wins Grienke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Grienke
Holds Cruz
IP Meche
SO Grienke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Farnsworth
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Grienke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 3

by TXroyal on Apr 3, 2009 7:07 PM EDT reply actions

Here we go

Record: 79-83
Division finish: 3rd
Runs scored: 728
Runs allowed: 773
Batting average: .268
OBP: .322
SLG: .413
OPS: .735 (needed previous two to add together)
HR: 131
ERA: 4.47

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: Coco Crisp
Doubles: Alex Gordon
Triples: David DeJesus
Home Runs: Alex Gordon
RBI: Mike Jacobs
Walks: Alex Gordon
Stolen bases: Coco Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Willie Bloomquist
Batting average (min 125 AB): David DeJesus
OBP (min 125 AB): Kila Ka’aihue (in a handful over 125)
SLG (min 125 AB): Kila Ka’aihue
OPS (min 125 AB): Kila Ka’aihue
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]: David DeJesus

Wins: Zack Greinke
Saves: Joakim Soria
Quality starts: Zack Greinke
Holds: Juan Cruz
IP: Zack Greinke
SO: Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Joakim Soria
ERA (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
WAR (pitcher): Zack Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) – 6.0

Get treated. Royally.

by Royals Nation on Apr 3, 2009 8:54 PM EDT reply actions

That looks a lot like mine is going to be

…except for the bold Kila predictions.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 3, 2009 9:04 PM EDT up reply actions

Runs: Aviles
Doubles: Gordon
Triples: Gordon
Home Runs: Jacobs
RBI: JoGui
Walks: Gordon
Stolen bases: Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Crisp
Batting average (min 125 AB): Aviles
OBP (min 125 AB): Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB): Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB): Gordon
WAR (position player) : Aviles

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Cruz <-this is a stupid stat
IP Greinke
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Meche!
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Greinke
ERA (min 40 ip) Greinke
WAR (pitcher) Greinke

royals finish 2 games out.

I refuse to set up a signature....DAMMIT

by RoyalPug on Apr 3, 2009 9:43 PM EDT reply actions

Record 87-75
Division Finish 1
Runs Scored 769
Runs Allowed 718
Batting Average .273
OPS .760
HR 173
ERA 4.42

Runs Aviles
Doubles Gordon
Triples Teahen
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Jacobs
Walks Gordon
Stolen Bases Crisp
Stolen Base % Gordon
Batting Average Aviles
OBP Dejesus
SLG Jacobs
OBP Gordon
WAR Gordon

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quatlity Starts Greinke
Holds Cruz
IP Meche
SO Greinke
K/9 Greinke
BB/9 Greinke
ERA Greinke
WAR Greinke

by SK on Apr 3, 2009 10:25 PM EDT reply actions

Pulling them out of my wannabe butt

This involved a lot of manipulation on my part for it for it to not be too pessimistic. Seriously. I just went with my gut, finally, on some things. And, as the moives put it, my guts have sh-t for brains.

Record 78-84
Division finish 4th
Runs scored 762
Runs allowed 795
Batting average .266
OPS .742
HR 148
ERA 4.67

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs David DeJesus
Doubles Alex Gordon
Triples David DeJesus
Home Runs Mike Jacobs
RBI Jose Guillen
Walks Alex Gordon
Stolen bases CoCo Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Alex Gordon
Batting average (min 125 AB) Billy Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) David DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB) Mike Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Billy Butler
WAR (position player) Alex Gordon

Wins Zack/ch Grei/ienke
Saves Joakim Soria
Quality starts Gil Meche
Holds Juan Cruz
IP Gil Meche
SO Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Juan Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Zack Greinke
ERA (min 40 ip) Joakim Soria
WAR (pitcher) Zack Greinke

Tie breaker — games out: 9

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by Matt Klaassen on Apr 3, 2009 10:35 PM EDT reply actions

let me know if I missed anything.

if I change my mind can I post a new one before the first game?

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by Matt Klaassen on Apr 3, 2009 10:35 PM EDT up reply actions

Yeah, you can change. But if you do so, please do it as a reply to your original prediction post.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 3, 2009 10:37 PM EDT up reply actions

oh, one thing

is the contest going to use WAR as listed at FanGraphs as the “official” one? I only ask because it’s sort of an “open source” thing that people could add up using the basic concepts, but with different replacement levels, part adjustments, defensive stats, with or without baserunning, GDP stuff, etc. In fact, it wouldn’t shock me if THT implemented a version of it very soon, for example… In principle, anyone could.

My main point is just to ask for clarification for all of us: is FanGraphs’ version of WAR official? And on what date, as they might update things inthe weeks following the season, as they did this past offseason.

Bringing you more-or-less replacement level analysis and commentary to Driveline Mechanics and elsewhere since sometime in 2008.

by Matt Klaassen on Apr 3, 2009 10:51 PM EDT reply actions

Good question

I’m going to go with the Fangraphs version. As far as the date, it will be whenever I run the numbers, which will likely be within one week of the end of the regular season.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 3, 2009 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record — 89-73
Division finish — 1st
Runs scored — 821
Runs allowed — 740
Batting average — .279
OPS — .762
HR — 161
ERA — 4.11

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs — Coco Crisp
Doubles — Alex Gordon
Triples — Mark Teahen
Home Runs — Mike Jacobs
RBI — Jose Guillen
Walks — Alex Gordon
Stolen bases — Coco Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) — Mark Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB) — Billy Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) — Alex Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB) — Mike Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) — Alex Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] — Alex Gordon

Wins — Gil Meche
Saves — Joakim Soria
Quality starts — Zack Greinke
Holds — Juan Cruz
IP — Gil Meche
SO — Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) — Juan Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) — Joakim Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) — Joakim Soria
WAR (pitcher) — Zack Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) — 0

Bloomquist. God? Or just an illusion? You be the judge.

by focs on Apr 4, 2009 12:01 AM EDT reply actions

Mines...

Record 80-82
Division finish 3rd
Runs scored 735
Runs allowed 765
Batting average .266
OPS .745
HR 131
ERA 4.46

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Coco
Doubles Gordon
Triples Coco
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Guillen
Walks Gordon
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Gordon
Batting average (min 125 AB) DeJesus
OBP (min 125 AB) DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB) Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB)
WAR (position player) Gordon

Wins Meche
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Cruz
IP Greinke
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) 8

I hereby resign from this post.

by Home Run Tony Cogan on Apr 4, 2009 12:09 AM EDT reply actions

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record 85-79
Division finish 2nd
Runs scored 818
Runs allowed 756
Batting average .271
OPS .730
HR 162
ERA 4.21

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs CoCo
Doubles Aviles
Triples CoCo
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Guillen
Walks CoCo
Stolen bases CoCo
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Aviles
Batting average (min 125 AB) Aviles
OBP (min 125 AB) CoCo
SLG (min 125 AB) Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Jacobs
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]
CoCo
Wins Grienke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Grienke
Holds Cruz
IP Grienke
SO Grienke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Cruz
WAR (pitcher) Farnsworth (JK) Real pick —→ Grienke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) 2.5

Everyone's recruits look better than ours.

by 306008 on Apr 4, 2009 9:17 AM EDT reply actions

164 games?

Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.

by doublestix on Apr 4, 2009 11:18 PM EDT up reply actions

Maybe a 3-way tie will require two tiebreakers

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 5, 2009 1:17 AM EDT up reply actions

OK, no clue whatsoever

Record 82-80
Division finish 3
Runs scored 740
Runs allowed 770
Batting average .270
OPS .750
HR 150
ERA 4.5

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Coco
Doubles DDJ
Triples Coco
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Jacobs
Walks ~~TPJ~~ Coco
Stolen bases Coco
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB) Aviles
OBP (min 125 AB) DDJ
SLG (min 125 AB) Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] DDJ

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds ~~Farnsworth~~ Cruz
IP Greinke
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish?

The General Theory of Royaltivity

by kabrink on Apr 4, 2009 12:32 PM EDT reply actions

oops tie breaker = 8

The General Theory of Royaltivity

by kabrink on Apr 4, 2009 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions

here goes:

Record 82-80
Division finish 3rd
Runs scored 780
Runs allowed 765
Batting average 266
OPS 738
HR 160
ERA 4.30

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs:Crisp
Double: Butler
Triples: Teahen
Home Runs: Jacobs
RBI: Butler
Walks:Gordon
Stolen bases: Gordon
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Bloomquist
Batting average (min 125 AB): Butler
OBP (min 125 AB): Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB): Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB): Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]: Gordon

Wins: Greinke
Saves: Soria
Quality starts: Greinke
Holds: Cruz
IP: Greinke
SO: Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Soria
ERA (min 40 ip): Bale
WAR (pitcher): Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) 6

by nwroyal on Apr 4, 2009 12:40 PM EDT reply actions

oops--can I make a change

Stolen Bases was supposed to be Crisp, not Gordon. But I understand if the judges hole me to what I put originally—I let the pressure get to me.

by nwroyal on Apr 4, 2009 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions

changes are fine....before the deadline

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 5, 2009 1:18 AM EDT up reply actions

Remind me in October about this

Record – 84
Division finish – 3rd
Runs scored – 785
Runs allowed – 755
Batting average – .268
OPS – .780
HR- 165
ERA- 4.00

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs- Crisp
Doubles- Gordon
Triples- Crisp
Home Runs- Jacobs
RBI- Jacobs
Walks- Gordon
Stolen bases- Coco Crispies
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts)- Crisp
Batting average (min 125 AB) – Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) – Butler
SLG (min 125 AB)- Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB)- Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] Coco Crisp

Wins- Greinke
Saves- Soria
Quality starts- Meche
Holds- Juan Cruz
IP- Meche
SO- Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip)- Juan Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) – Soria
WAR (pitcher)- Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 3

by Royal from Queens on Apr 4, 2009 3:07 PM EDT reply actions

10-3

It’s interesting that we are currently scoring 10-3 (with RR’s presumed sarcastic entry) on the above .500 side. I guess we are optimistic homers. I think I’m being pretty optimistic with my 82 wins.

The General Theory of Royaltivity

by kabrink on Apr 4, 2009 3:57 PM EDT reply actions

I think my 78 is getting more optimistic by the hour

I just didn’t want to do “72”

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by Matt Klaassen on Apr 4, 2009 5:45 PM EDT up reply actions

One more very important bench role choice and the Royals record could free-fall

Forget the numbers, the Royals will fail on principle!

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 5, 2009 1:19 AM EDT up reply actions

No, actually

that’s based on some of the stuff I was doing with BaseRuns-based estimators and the different projections systems.

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by Matt Klaassen on Apr 5, 2009 2:26 AM EDT up reply actions

So the earlier numbers you ran came up with 78-79 wins and now with a BaseRuns-based estimator, it comes out to something like 72 wins? It’s odd that they would be so different. Either one of those methods is poor, or it shows that the conversion from player projections to team win totals is pretty unreliable.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 5, 2009 2:49 AM EDT up reply actions

NY why are you calling out RR so much

I’ve never seen him really stop and call you an “elitest know it all”, but you constantly call him a snarky pessimist.

The numbers I have seen projected are all below .500, so how can you say that the fan prediction numbers with fans picking above .500 be anything than the fact that this is a website where Royals fans come, and those fans obviously want the royals to win.

And the comments like “One more very important bench role choice and the Royals record could free-fall” are so misguided. The point was not that the decision might cause a free fall, but it might cost a game or two. Remember TPJ had one of the lowest win shares in history last season. RR never claimed that it was a world ending decision, but rather that he felt it was not the right one! You were critical of the nonexistent hyperbole in his post, when in actuality your comments are full of over the top jabs back at RR.

At least Wally Joyner's not on the team....

by tcon125 on Apr 5, 2009 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions

Was this comment related to the above comments?

I wasn’t “calling out” RR or even discussing anything with him. I wasn’t even "calling out " d_f. With regard to RR, d_f or anybody, most of us are snarky in our own ways, me included. RR has provided his share this offseason. He snarks, I respond with snark; it’s all good.

The numbers I have seen projected are all below .500, so how can you say that the fan prediction numbers with fans picking above .500 be anything than the fact that this is a website where Royals fans come, and those fans obviously want the royals to win.

I don’t know what this means. I don’t think I criticized any prediction except for joking about RR’s entirely non-serious prediction above.

And the comments like "One more very important bench role choice and the Royals record could free-fall" are so misguided. The point was not that the decision might cause a free fall, but it might cost a game or two

It is exactly my point that this decision should not be expected to cost the Royals even as much as one game. Perhaps one game (but not two) if he got a lot of playing time. But in a bench role (even one which is more than just defensive replacement), he wouldn’t likely cost the Royals even one full game.

RR never claimed that it was a world ending decision, but rather that he felt it was not the right one! You were critical of the nonexistent hyperbole in his post, when in actuality your comments are full of over the top jabs back at RR.

First of all, if he needs defending, RR can defend himself quite well. Second, I was critical of the snark and hyperbole in his many posts reacting to many recent decisions. If you think he just commented that he didn’t think these were the right decisions, then you must have missed a couple dozen of his posts.

Regardless, this is much ado about nothing. RR is going to speak his mind, as am I. We all share our thoughts. Sometimes we’re snarky. Sometimes we’re snarky about each other. And so it goes.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 6, 2009 8:50 AM EDT up reply actions

Snark is the circle of blog life.

The General Theory of Royaltivity

by kabrink on Apr 6, 2009 8:49 PM EDT up reply actions

It makes the blogosphere go 'round

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 6, 2009 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions

Ok....

Record: 82-80
Division finish: 2nd
Runs scored: 759
Runs allowed: 764
Batting average: .273
OBP: .329
SLG: .438
OPS: .767
HR: 127
ERA: 4.36

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: David DeJesus (only because Crisp will get hurt)
Doubles: Alex Gordon
Triples: David DeJesus
Home Runs: Mike Jacobs
RBI: Jose Guilen
Walks: Alex Gordon
Stolen bases: Coco Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Alex Gordon
Batting average (min 125 AB): Billy Butler
OBP (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB): Jose Guilen
OPS (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]: David DeJesus

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) – 4.0

I'd rather be watching baseball.

by Sisquatch Kids on Apr 4, 2009 7:34 PM EDT reply actions

going out on a limb so i might win

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record: 88-74
Division finish: 1st
Runs scored: 802
Runs allowed: 755
Batting average: .274
OPS: .762
HR: 163
ERA: 4.20

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: Coco Crisp
Doubles: Alex Gordon
Triples: Coco Crisp
Home Runs: Mike Jacobs
RBI: Alex Gordon
Walks: Alex Gordon
Stolen bases: Coco Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Coco Crisp
Batting average (min 125 AB): Coco Crisp
OBP (min 125 AB): Coco Crisp
SLG (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon
WAR (position player): Alex Gordon

Wins: Zack Greinke
Saves: Joakim Soria
Quality starts: Zack Greinke
Holds: Kyle Farnsworth
IP: Zack Greinke
SO: Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Juan Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Joakim Soria
ERA (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
WAR (pitcher): Zack Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 0

Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.

by doublestix on Apr 4, 2009 11:18 PM EDT reply actions

Record 86-76
Division finish 2
Runs scored 781
Runs allowed 724
Batting average .279
OPS .778
HR 161
ERA 4.22

Runs Crisp
Doubles Gordon
Triples DDJ
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Butler
Walks Teahen
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Crisp
Batting average (min 125 AB) Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB) Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]
Teahen (2nd base)

Wins Grienke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Cruz
IP Meche
SO Grienke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Grienke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 2

by FretFriendly on Apr 5, 2009 3:05 AM EDT reply actions

Record 80-82
Division finish 3rd
Runs scored 750
Runs allowed 790
Batting average 272
OPS 755
HR 150
ERA 4.62

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Crisp
Doubles Gordon
Triples DDJ
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Butler
Walks Crisp
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Crisp
Batting average (min 125 AB) DDJ
OBP (min 125 AB) Crisp
SLG (min 125 AB) Butler
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] DDJ

Wins Zack
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Cruz
IP Meche
SO Zack
K/9 (min 40 ip) Zack
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Zack
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Zack

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) 7

by Steve Hovley on Apr 5, 2009 6:08 AM EDT reply actions

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record 82-80
Division finish 3rd
Runs scored 750
Runs allowed 775
Batting average .265
OPS 745
HR 152
ERA 4.55

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs DeJesus
Doubles Gordon
Triples Teahen
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Guillen
Walks Teahen
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB) Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) Teahen
SLG (min 125 AB) Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] Gordon

Wins Grienke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Grienke
Holds Cruz
IP Meche
SO Grienke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Grienke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 5

This space for rent.

by jonfmorse on Apr 5, 2009 6:12 AM EDT reply actions

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record 73-89
Division finish 4th
Runs scored 718
Runs allowed 790
Batting average .271
OPS .736
HR 130
ERA 4.51

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: Crisp
Doubles: Teahen
Triples: Dejesus
Home Runs: Jacobs
RBI : Guillen
Walks: Gordon
Stolen bases: Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) : Gordon
Batting average (min 125 AB): Aviles
OBP (min 125 AB): Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB): Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) :Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]

Wins: Meche
Saves: Soria
Quality starts: Greinke
Holds: Mahay
IP: Greinke
SO: Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Greinke
ERA (min 40 ip) : Soria
WAR (pitcher): Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) 15

by KHAZAD on Apr 5, 2009 7:34 AM EDT reply actions

Sorry-

My batting WAR was Gordon

by KHAZAD on Apr 5, 2009 7:35 AM EDT up reply actions

heeere goes

Record 73
Division finish 4
Runs scored 700
Runs allowed 740
Batting average .269
OPS .720
HR 128
ERA 4.67

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Crisp
Doubles Dejesus
Triples Crisp
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Guillen
Walks Gordon
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB) Dejesus
OBP (min 125 AB) Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB) Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Dejesus
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]
Dejesus

Wins Zaq Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Zaq Greinke
Holds Farns
IP Meche
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Greinke
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Bannister
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0)

18 (indians win 91)

At least Wally Joyner's not on the team....

by tcon125 on Apr 5, 2009 4:41 PM EDT reply actions

Mine

Record: 79-83
Division Finish: 3rd
Runs Allowed: 777
Runs Scored: 749
BA: .274
OPS: .787
HR: 177
ERA: 4.34

Runs: Coco Crisp
Doubles: Mark Teahen
Triples: Mark Teahen
Home Runs: Mike Jacobs
RBI: Mark Teahen
Walks: Alex Gordon
Stolen Bases: Coco Crisp
Stolen Base %: Mark Teahen
BA: Mark Teahen
OBP: Alex Gordon
SLG: Mike Jacobs
OPS: Mark Teahen
WAR: Mark Teahen

Wins: Davies
Saves: Soria
Quality Starts: Davies
Holds: Cruz
IP: Meche
K: Greinke
K/9: Cruz
BB/9: Soria
ERA: Soria
WAR: Davies

Games back: 9

by howserfan2 on Apr 5, 2009 4:55 PM EDT reply actions

Big Prediction Contest - Justin Andrew Anderson

Justin Andrew Anderson – Zubudubu@yahoo.com

Record: 81-81
Division finish: 2nd
Runs scored: 745
Runs allowed: 745
Batting average: .271
OPS: .328
HR: 139
ERA: 4.38

Runs: Crisp
Doubles: Guilen
Triples: Dejejus
Home Runs: Guilen
RBI: Guilen
Walks: Gordon
Stolen bases: Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Aviles
Batting average (min 125 AB): Butler
OBP (min 125 AB): Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB): Guilen
OPS (min 125 AB): Gordon
WAR (position player): Dejesus

Wins: Meche
Saves: Soria
Quality starts: Meche
Holds: Cruz
IP: Meche
SO: Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip): Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Soria
ERA (min 40 ip): Soria
WAR (pitcher): Meche

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 5.5

by Zubudubu on Apr 5, 2009 5:11 PM EDT reply actions

Record 86-76
Division finish 2nd
Runs scored 780
Runs allowed 746
Batting average .274
OPS .740
HR 160
ERA 4.40

Runs Crisp
Doubles Gordon
Triples Teahen
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Jacobs
Walks Gordon
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) DeJesus
Batting average (min 125 AB) Teahen
OBP (min 125 AB) Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB) Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]
Teahen

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Cruz
IP Greinke
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) 2

by AxDxMx on Apr 5, 2009 8:42 PM EDT reply actions

HoRam was tempting but I went with Greinke for WAR leader

Record 76-86
Division finish 4th
Runs scored 739
Runs allowed 781
Batting average 271
OPS 730
HR 131
ERA 4.55

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs DDJ
Doubles Gordon
Triples DDJ
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Gordon
Walks Gordon
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Bloomquist
Batting average (min 125 AB) Callaspo
OBP (min 125 AB) DDJ
SLG (min 125 AB) Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] Gordon

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Greinke
Holds Cruz
IP Greinke
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Greinke
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 12

by Gopherballs on Apr 5, 2009 9:58 PM EDT reply actions

How many chances do you think Gordon is going to have to drive in Guillen and Jacobs?

Bringing you more-or-less replacement level analysis and commentary to Driveline Mechanics and elsewhere since sometime in 2008.

by Matt Klaassen on Apr 5, 2009 10:09 PM EDT up reply actions

Only for maybe a month

Trey never met a lineup he could not shuffle, and if I am right that Gordon leads the team in OPS, Gordon will settle somewhere in 3-5.

But I do have a fear that after Jim Wong turns his memo later today, Trey will bat Gordon lead off.

by Gopherballs on Apr 6, 2009 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions

I would be thrilled

although my own suggestions are somewhat different.

Are you referring to the Mellinger interview about Wong letting him know what’s up no the intertubez?

Bringing you more-or-less replacement level analysis and commentary to Driveline Mechanics and elsewhere since sometime in 2008.

by Matt Klaassen on Apr 6, 2009 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions

because it's older, and I was chuckling about that just last night for some reason

Bringing you more-or-less replacement level analysis and commentary to Driveline Mechanics and elsewhere since sometime in 2008.

by Matt Klaassen on Apr 6, 2009 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions

No, just borrowing your running joke about the organization listening to Jim Wong

by Gopherballs on Apr 6, 2009 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions

yep

Record 78-84
Division finish 3rd
Runs scored 720
Runs allowed 745
Batting average .254
OPS .750
HR 140
ERA 4.45

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Crisp
Doubles Gordon
Triples DeJesus
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Gordon
Walks Butler
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Aviles
Batting average (min 125 AB) Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) Crisp
SLG (min 125 AB) Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] Gordon

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Mahay
IP Meche
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Meche
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Greinke
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Meche

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 8

Blown Save

by BlownSave on Apr 6, 2009 12:42 AM EDT reply actions

Record 85-77
Division finish 2
Runs scored 760
Runs allowed 703
Batting average .275
OPS .777
HR 139
ERA 4.44

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Covelli Crisp
Doubles Billy Butler
Triples Crisp
Home Runs Mike Jacobs
RBI Jose Guillen
Walks Alex Gordon
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Willie Bloomquist
Batting average (min 125 AB) Willie Bloomquist
OBP (min 125 AB) David DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB) Mike Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Alex Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] Mike Aviles

Wins Zack/h Greinke
Saves Joachim Soria
Quality starts Greinke
Holds Juan Cruz
IP Greinke
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Juan Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) John Bale
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 1

by BrRoyal on Apr 6, 2009 8:29 AM EDT reply actions

Here it is...I need XXL please

Record: 81-81
Division finish: 3rd
Runs scored: 770
Runs allowed: 770
Batting average: .268
OBP: .328
SLG: .412
OPS: .740
HR: 131
ERA: 4.43

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: David Dejesus
Doubles: Alex Gordon
Triples: David DeJesus
Home Runs: Mike Jacobs
RBI: Jose Guilen
Walks: Alex Gordon
Stolen bases: Coco Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Willie Bloomquist
Batting average (min 125 AB): David DeJesus
OBP (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB): Mike Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]: David DeJesus

Wins: Zack Greinke
Saves: Joakim Soria
Quality starts: Zack Greinke
Holds: Juan Cruz
IP: Zack Greinke
SO: Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Juan Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Joakim Soria
ERA (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
WAR (pitcher): Zack Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) – 7.0

We always did feel the same, We just saw it from a different point of view, Tangled up in blue.
-Bob Dylan

by Royal Kingdom on Apr 6, 2009 9:28 AM EDT reply actions

Record: 78-84
Division finish: 3rd
Runs scored: 735
Runs allowed: 769
Batting average: .263
OBP: .324
SLG: .415
OPS: .739
HR: 129
ERA: 4.51

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: Coco Crisp
Doubles: David DeJesus
Triples: Crisp
Home Runs: Jose Guillen
RBI: Jose Guillen
Walks: Alex Gordon
Stolen bases: Coco Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Crisp
Batting average (min 125 AB): David DeJesus
OBP (min 125 AB): David DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]: David DeJesus

Wins: Zack Greinke
Saves: Joakim Soria
Quality starts: Zack Greinke
Holds: Juan Cruz
IP: Gil Meche
SO: Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Juan Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Joakim Soria
ERA (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
WAR (pitcher): Zack Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) – 8.0

"Now…put that in your [BLEEP]ing pipe and smoke it." -Hal McRae

by Sweep_the_Leg on Apr 6, 2009 10:55 AM EDT reply actions

Record: 79-83
Division finish 3rd
Runs scored 732
Runs allowed 757
Batting average .272
OPS .739
HR 162
ERA 4.41

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Crisp
Doubles Gordon
Triples DeJesus
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Guillen
Walks Gordon
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Bloomquist
Batting average (min 125 AB) DeJesus
OBP (min 125 AB) DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB) Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Butler
WAR (position player) Aviles

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Greinke
Holds Cruz
IP Greinke
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 8

by Top Ramen on Apr 6, 2009 11:24 AM EDT reply actions

My picks. I am feeling a bit down about the team right now but I tried to be a bit peppy while filling this out.

Record – 82-80
Division finish – 3rd
Runs scored – 730
Runs allowed – 730
Batting average – .279
OPS – .738
HR – 125
ERA – 4.50

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs – DDJ
Doubles – Butler
Triples – Crisp
Home Runs – Gordon
RBI – Gordon
Walks – Gordon
Stolen bases – Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) – Callaspo
Batting average (min 125 AB) – Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) – Teahen
SLG (min 125 AB) – Shealy
OPS (min 125 AB) – Shealy
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] Shealy

Wins – Meche
Saves – Soria
Quality starts – Meche
Holds – Cruz
IP – Meche
SO – Greike
K/9 (min 40 ip) – Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) – Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) – Soria
WAR (pitcher) – Meche

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) – Seven

www.rockchalktalk.com for pretty good KU baseball coverage

by James Quinn on Apr 6, 2009 11:56 AM EDT reply actions

It could happen, but it won't

Record – 84-78
Division finish – 3rd
Runs scored – 761
Runs allowed – 727
Batting average – .272
OPS – .744
HR – 177
ERA – 4.41

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs – DeJesus
Doubles – Gordon
Triples – Crisp
Home Runs – Jacobs
RBI – Guillen
Walks – Gordon
Stolen bases – Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) – Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB) – DeJesus
OBP (min 125 AB) – Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB) – Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) – Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] – Dejesus

Wins – Meche
Saves – Soria
Quality starts – Greinke
Holds – Mahay
IP – Greinke
SO – Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) – Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) – Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) – Soria
WAR (pitcher) – Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) – 6.0

by racf on Apr 6, 2009 1:07 PM EDT reply actions

Record-80-82
Division finish-4th
Runs scored-748
Runs allowed-752
Batting average-.268
OPS-.735
HR-138
ERA-4.58

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name)

Runs-Coco
Doubles-Gordon
Triples-Coco
Home Runs-Jacobs
RBI-Gordon
Walks-Gordon
Stolen bases-Coco
Stolen base percentage(min. 10 SB attempts)-Gordon
Batting average (min 125 AB)-Butler
OBP (min 125 AB)-DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB)-Gordon
OPS (min 125 AB)-Gordon
WAR (position player)-Gordon

Wins-Greinke
Saves-Soria
Quality starts-Greinke
Holds-Cruz
IP-Greinke
SO-Greinke
K/9 (min 40ip)-Cruz
BB/9 (min 40ip) (lowest)-Soria
ERA (min 40 ip)-Soria
WAR (pitcher)-Greinke

Tie breaker-how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0) -8

by hunter s. royal on Apr 6, 2009 1:14 PM EDT reply actions

Record 79 – 83
Division finish 4th
Runs scored 735
Runs allowed 731
Batting average .265
OPS .745
HR 143
ERA 4.43

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Crisp
Doubles Aviles
Triples DeJesus
Home Runs Gordon
RBI Jacobs
Walks Gordon
Stolen bases Crisp
SB% Teahen
BA DeJesus
OBP Butler
SLG Jacobs
OPS Butler
WAR Aviles
Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Cruz
IP Meche
SO Greinke
K/9 Farnsworth
BB/9 Soria
ERA Soria
WAR (pitcher) Soria

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish?
they will finish 9 games out of first

Are you telling me Jesus Christ cant hit a curve ball?

by averagegatsby on Apr 6, 2009 1:29 PM EDT reply actions

Here goes nothing

Record 82-80
Div finish = 3rd
RS = 769
RA = 750
Avg = 271
OPS = 747
HR = 145
ERA = 4.32

R = DDJ
2B = DDJ
3B = Teahen
HR = Jacobs
RBI = Guillen
W = DDJ
SB = Crisp
SB % = Teahen
Avg = Butler
OBP = Gordon
SLG = Jacobs
OPS = Gordon
WAR = Gordon

W = Greinke
SV = Soria
QS = Greinke
H = Cruz
IP = Meche
K = Greinke
K/9 = Farnsworth
W/9 = Soria
ERA = Soria
WAR + Greinke

Tiebreaker = 10 games out of 1st

Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!

by loyal2sdad on Apr 6, 2009 2:23 PM EDT reply actions

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record 80-82
Div finish = 3rd
RS = 744
RA = 756
Batting average – .268
OPS – .731
HR – 157
ERA – 4.54

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs – Coco
Doubles – Butler
Triples – Coco
Home Runs – Jacobs
RBI – Butler
Walks – DeJesus
Stolen bases – Coco
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) – Bloomquist
Batting average (min 125 AB) – Callaspo
OBP (min 125 AB) – DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB) – Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) – Butler
WAR (position player) – Butler

Wins – Greinke
Saves – Soria
Quality starts – Greinke
Holds – Cruz
IP – Greinke
SO – Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) – Tejada
BB/9 (min 40 ip) – Waechter
ERA (min 40 ip) – Soria
WAR (pitcher) – Greinke

Tie breaker – 9

BOOM! ROASTED!

by GoBabies!! on Apr 6, 2009 2:46 PM EDT reply actions

So hard to be objective with your own team:

Record: 82-80
Division finish: 3rd
Runs scored: 760
Runs allowed: 730
Batting average: .270
OPS: .745
HR: 145
ERA: 4.35

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: Crisp
Doubles: Gordon
Triples: Crisp
Home Runs: Jacobs
RBI: Gordon
Walks: Gordon
Stolen bases: Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Gordon
Batting average (min 125 AB): Butler
OBP (min 125 AB): Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB): Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB): Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]: Gordon

Wins: Greinke
Saves: Soria
Quality starts: Greinke
Holds: Cruz
IP: Meche
SO: Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Greinke
ERA (min 40 ip): Soria
WAR (pitcher): Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 5

by jsolo on Apr 6, 2009 5:33 PM EDT reply actions

gordon? steals?

by Freneau on Apr 6, 2009 11:07 PM EDT up reply actions

SB%

He does have a 79% career SB%. I’m not sure, but that’s probably the best on the team (at least of anyone who might have 10 SB attempts this year).

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 6, 2009 11:36 PM EDT up reply actions

that's what I voted for, too

he was 9 for 11 last season.. CHONE an 80%.success rate.

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by Matt Klaassen on Apr 7, 2009 12:42 AM EDT up reply actions

Yeah, tough call

If he gets 10 SBs then he might lead in %, but I figure he’ll be on base more this season so his chance at 10+ is higher than previous seasons.

by jsolo on Apr 7, 2009 6:55 PM EDT up reply actions

yokay...

Record: 85-77
Division finish: 2nd
Runs scored: 800
Runs allowed: 710
Batting average: .268
OPS: .778
HR: 155
ERA: 4.42

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: Crisp
Doubles: Butler
Triples: Crisp
Home Runs: Gordon
RBI: Gordon
Walks: Gordon
Stolen bases: Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Gordon
Batting average (min 125 AB): Butler
OBP (min 125 AB): Butler
SLG (min 125 AB): Guillen
OPS (min 125 AB): Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]: Gordon

Wins: Greinke
Saves: Soria
Quality starts: Greinke
Holds: Mahay
IP: Greinke
SO: Greinke
K/9 (min 40): Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Soria
ERA (min 40 ip): Soria
WAR (pitcher): Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0): 2

by billexgordler on Apr 6, 2009 5:51 PM EDT reply actions

Record: 82-80
Division Finish: 3rd
Runs Scored: 760
Runs Allowed: 758
BA: .270
OBP: .329
SLG: .425
OPS: 754
HR: 150
ERA: 4.39

Runs: Coco Crisp
Doubles: Mike Aviles
Triples: Coco Crisp
Home Runs: Alex Gordon
RBI: Jose Guillen
Walks: Alex Gordon
SB: Coco
SB percentage (min. 10 attempts): Mark Teahen
BA: Billy Butler
OBP: Alex Gordon
SLG: Mike Jacobs
OPS: Alex Gordon
WAR: Alex Gordon

Wins: Gil Meche
Saves: Joakim Soria
Quality Starts: Zack Greinke
Holds: Juan Cruz
IP: Greinke
SO: Greinke
K/9: Juan Cruz
BB/9: Soria
ERA: Soria
WAR: Greinke

Tie Breaker: 4

remaining positive at all costs

by LimaTime10 on Apr 6, 2009 6:28 PM EDT reply actions

Here we go

Record 83-79
Division finish 2nd
Runs scored 790
Runs allowed 715
Batting average .270
OPS .745
HR 132
ERA

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Crisp
Doubles Gordon
Triples Teahen
Home Runs Gordon
RBI Gordon
Walks Gordon
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Teahen
Batting average (min 125 AB) Butler
OBP (min 125 AB) Butler
SLG (min 125 AB) Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]
Gordon

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Greinke
Holds Cruz
IP Greinke
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Greinke
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Greinke

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? (if you think the Royals will be first in the division, pick 0)

Reviewing the best in NW Music Acts @ http://www.nwmusicblog.com

by RoyalsFanInMarinerTown on Apr 6, 2009 10:28 PM EDT reply actions

Whoops...

Team ERA = 4.43

Reviewing the best in NW Music Acts @ http://www.nwmusicblog.com

by RoyalsFanInMarinerTown on Apr 6, 2009 10:30 PM EDT up reply actions

Predict the following team stats (give a number):

Record 81-81
Division finish 3rd
Runs scored 785
Runs allowed 779
Batting average .273
OPS .735
HR 154
ERA 4.40

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs DDJ
Doubles Alex Gordon
Triples Crisp
Home Runs Mike Jacobs
RBI Jose Guillen
Walks Alex Gordon
Stolen bases Coco Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Mike Aviles
Batting average (min 125 AB) Mike Aviles
OBP (min 125 AB) Alex Gordon
SLG (min 125 AB) Mike Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Alex Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] Mike Aviles

Wins Zack
Saves Soria
Quality starts Zack
Holds Mahay
IP Zack
SO Zack
K/9 (min 40 ip) Juan Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Planet Zack

Tie breaker – how many games out of first will the Royals finish? 8

I don't know how to put this but I'm kind of a big deal.

by kcscoliny on Apr 6, 2009 10:57 PM EDT reply actions

All predictions wrong or your money back!

Record: 78-84
Division finish: 4th
Runs scored: 739
Runs allowed: 804
Batting average: .264
OPS: .725
HR: 145
ERA: 4.64

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: David DeJesus
Doubles: Alex Gordon
Triples: Coco Crisp
Home Runs: Mike Jacobs
RBI: Mike Jacobs
Walks: David DeJesus
Stolen bases: Coco Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Alex Gordon
Batting average (min 125 AB): Coco Crisp
OBP (min 125 AB): David DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB): Mike Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB): Alex Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]: Alex Gordon

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Apr 7, 2009 10:06 AM EDT reply actions

Mine

Record 79-83
Division finish 4th
Runs scored 730
Runs allowed 750
Batting average .272
OPS .735
HR 144
ERA 4.39

Runs Crisp
Doubles Gordon
Triples Crisp
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Gordon
Walks Gordon
Stolen bases Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Gordon
Batting average (min 125 AB) DeJesus
OBP (min 125 AB) DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB) Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Gordon
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] Gordon

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Greinke
Holds Cruz
IP Greinke
SO Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip) Cruz
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Greinke

Tie breaker – 9 games back

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Apr 7, 2009 1:31 PM EDT reply actions

just in time

Record: 77-85
Division finish: 4th
Runs scored: 740
Runs allowed: 803
Batting average: .265
OPS: .732
HR: 143
ERA: 4.68

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs: Coco Crisp
Doubles: Alex Gordon
Triples: Coco Crisp
Home Runs: Mike Jacobs
RBI: Mike Jacobs
Walks: David DeJesus
Stolen bases: Coco Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts): Alex Gordon
Batting average (min 125 AB): Coco Crisp
OBP (min 125 AB): David DeJesus
SLG (min 125 AB): Mike Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB): Mike Jacobs
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense]: DDJ

Wins: Zack Greinke
Saves: Joakim Soria
Quality starts: Zack Greinke
Holds: Juan Cruz
IP: Zack Greinke
SO: Zack Greinke
K/9 (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest): Juan Cruz
ERA (min 40 ip): Joakim Soria
WAR (pitcher): Zack Greinke

by marbotty on Apr 7, 2009 1:34 PM EDT reply actions

Under the Wire

Record 84 – 78
Division finish 2nd
Runs scored 780
Runs allowed 770
Batting average .265
OPS .730
HR 134
ERA 4.78

Predict who will lead the Royals in the following stat categories (give a name):

Runs Crisp
Doubles Gordon
Triples Dejesus
Home Runs Jacobs
RBI Gordon
Walks Gordon
Stolen bases Coco Crisp
Stolen base percentage (min. 10 SB attempts) Teahan
Batting average (min 125 AB) Dejesus
OBP (min 125 AB) Dejesus
SLG (min 125 AB) Jacobs
OPS (min 125 AB) Jacobs
WAR (position player) [this is a total value stat which includes both offense and defense] Dejesus

Wins Greinke
Saves Soria
Quality starts Meche
Holds Cruz
IP Greinke
SO Meche
K/9 (min 40 ip) Soria
BB/9 (min 40 ip) (lowest) Soria
ERA (min 40 ip) Soria
WAR (pitcher) Greinke