I recall much discussion on this site last year and in the off season regarding players the Royals were rumored to be chasing, were chasing, were on the trading block and whom other teams coveted. As well as the players many on this site advocated pursuing. I’ve been thinking that it would be interesting to see how some of the players involved in the discussion were performing this year.
Much of the talk revolved around Zack Greinke and we know that many of the Rangers’ fans if not their front office lusted after our boy. A quick search revealed this trade proposal that most RRers were quick to dismiss, but some were at least warm to.
With the additions of these three, the Royals would have to clear some room, so lets make the following assumptions:
Hurley would still have been injured in a Royals uniform, he would be replaced by a *ahem* replacement level starter.
Davis would replace Mike Jacobs and Leo Nunez would still be on the roster, the professor or Cruz would be not be here. (for this study it makes no difference as they both rest on the same WAR value, so lets just say no more Farnsworth)
Salty would replace Miguel Olivo. I believe this was Miggy’s option year, so the Royals would likely have not gotten anything in return from him.
The numbers (Thanks as always to FanGraphs for the free info.):
Replacement starter for injured Hurley: 0.0 WAR
Davis: -0.2 WAR
Salty: 0.5 WAR
Nunez: -0.2 WAR
TOTAL: 0.1 WAR
Greinke: 4.4 WAR
Jacobs: 0.3 WAR
Farnsworth: 0.2 WAR
Olivo: 0.2 WAR
TOTAL: 5.1 WAR
Net Change: -5.0 Wins…Gulp!! How would 18-32 look right now, besides “familiar”
I did not go through the financials, but it is obvious that the Royals could have saved a lot of money if the above assumption held true. Also, the injury to Hurley is just dumb luck, who knows how he would have done in KC if healthy
Its difficult to evaluate a trade 2 months in, so the usual caveats apply, but I think its safe to say that this one would have been a disaster for the Royals.