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2009 Royals Draft Review



The Royals wrap up yet another draft today.  I was pleased with the way it turned out but it was way different that what I was expecting.  The Royals did not take a HS pitcher in the top 10 rounds--I would have wagered a large sum of money that the Royals would have taken at least a couple.  But I think it shows that the best draft strategy is flexibility in what a particular draft offers you and in what other teams are or aren't taking. 

Star-divide

1st Round (12th Overall)

I wanted Grant Green but I'm okay with Crow--and perhaps starting to get a little excited.  I'm sure you've read about his 3 plus pitches, he's a Royals fan, from Mizzou, etc.  I look for him to sign soon--its in everyone's best interest--like by the end of the month and then go to Wilmington and perhaps a stop in the Arizona Fall League.  It will be interesting to see if the Royals re-work any of his delivery and/or take away his slider as he progresses through the minors

3rd Round

Again, you know we were rumored to be on Myers for our 1st pick, that he was looked at as a mid to late 1st Round pick and slid to the 3rd because of his bonus demands.  The Royals have said they will start him at C but have considered other positions for him.  His bat is good enough that he is still a very good prospect at another position.

4th Round

And so we make a little history in the 4th Round taking the 1st draft eligible freshman from a 4 year university in the 44 year history of the draft.  Chris Dwyer from Clemson has a good fastball, a very good curve and decent to good change.  He had a 5.30 ERA but his numbers look a little better than that: 75K/29BB in 73IP and 66 hits.  He was considered a late 1st Round talent.  He has a lot of leverage as he can go back to school and get drafted a couple more times if he wants to.  But if you remember one of my preview columns--this 4th round pick is the one that started day 2 so the Royals, I'm sure, talked to Dwyers' people and know what his asking price is and they plan to meet it.  Let's just hope Jason Esposito doesn't give him a call.

5th Round

The Royals took a Senior from LSU in the 5th Round--Louis Coleman.  He had a very good year at LSU going 11-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 111K/19BB in 98 IP.  BA ranked him 188th in this year's draft.  He is a Tommy John survivor who throws a sinking fb and good slider.  there is some concern about his delivery.  He has done relief and starting--so it will be interesting to see what role he pitches in for us.

6th Round

We grabbed New Mexico RHP Cole White in Round 6.  Cole was ranked the 157th best draft prospect by BA.  He had a 2.33 ERA in 39IP with 45K/28BB.  He's a reliever

7th Round

We took Missouri State LHP Buddy Bauman.  His numbers:  11-1 3.23 ERA 101-32 K-BB ratio in 86 IP.  Buddy was ranked as the 179th best draft prospect by Baseball America. 

8th Round

We took RHP Gardner Odenback from UCONN in Round 8.  He makes excellent popcorn. 

9th Round

We took C Ben Theriot from Texas State in Round 9.  He hit 341/384/518.  I don't know much else...

10th Round

We finally took another HS player in Round 10-Geoff Baldwin from Grand Junction, CO. We shall see if we are able to buy him out of his scholarship to Nebraska.  He's a big guy who has added some muscle this year and is a supposed to be a pretty good defensive 1B.

11th Round

We took SS Ryan Wood a SR from East Carolina in Round 11. The good news is that he hit 379/486/629-and East Carolina is a good baseball school.  But he's a SR and there are some big questions as to whether he can stay at SS.  But for the 11th round, I like this pick.

12th Round

In the 12th Round, we drafted Nic Wooley from William Woods U..  He went 8-1 with a 3.31 ERA in 70 IP with 89K/27BB.

13th Round

Lane Adams is an HS outfielder from Oklahoma.  He is a basketball recruit to Missiouri State--what I gather is that he is athletic and would probably take above slot money to sign.

 

Overview:

This draft breaks down to our top 3 picks: Crow, Myers and Dwyer who all have good upside and were good values who will cost above slot.  Then you have Coleman, White and Baumann who decent college draft prospects.  And then there is everyone else--a lot of college players and a few signability guys-just in case something falls through with one of the top picks.  I think we'll sign our top 6 players.  We will need to keep an eye on the International Market as I look for the Royals to sign a lot of players.  They may not sign any of the top 10 players but they will have multiple 6 figure bonuses thrown out.  I'm pleased with the way our draft went, even with missing a 2nd rounder and getting nothing for Grudz. 

I'm going to be moving to Colorado in a few days, so my life is pretty busy.  I'll probably be pretty scarce for a little bit. But I plan on getting the July Prospect Pulse up.

2 recs  |  Comment 43 comments |

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Comments

Display:

I've seen that snippet about Dwyer's being the first

draft eligible freshman from a 4-year school a few times. What’s the story? My only guesses are: mission trip; repeated 3rd and 4th grade.

Anyone know the real story?

by stuckinstl12 on Jun 11, 2009 4:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

A late starter at school

And went to prep school.

I think i read that somewhere.

by kcbottom9th on Jun 11, 2009 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i believe he repeated a grade

i though i read a comment that he repeated an grade in high school, but that’s just heresay

and then went to prep after high school

by benfunke on Jun 11, 2009 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I read that, too,

but don’t remember where.

by kcemigre on Jun 11, 2009 6:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dwyer

He started school a year later than usual – a bit of a “family tradition” since his two older sisters did the same.

In high school he repeated his junior year when he transferred to The Salisbury School, a top prep school in the northeast. It was a mutual decision between his family and the school to aid in his goal of receiving a D1 scholarship.

by deezle on Jun 12, 2009 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought I heard Piccolo this morning on the radio

Say Crow would start at AA Northwest Arkansas if he signed quickly.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 11, 2009 4:37 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Where would you put Crow and Myers on our top 20 prospects list

Assuming we sign them of course.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 11, 2009 4:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'd be tempted to put Crow #1

Just because he is so close. The other two contenders are in Low-A while Crow could potentially see KC this year.

Myers I have no idea.

by kcbottom9th on Jun 11, 2009 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Correction

One High-A, one Low-A

by kcbottom9th on Jun 11, 2009 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

maybe not Hoz, just because he is scouted as being such a great hitter

one of the best hitting prospects in many years, correct? i might guess that his supposedly enormous peak would keep him #1.

by benfunke on Jun 11, 2009 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

rankings

My two cents:

I would put Crow at #3—at least until we see what he does in pro ball—but I could see an argument for #2—more b/c Moose has struggled lately. I like Hos too much to put Crow ahead of him.

Myers would probably be around #10—behind guys like Bianchi and Gutierrez (if he ever pitches) and ahead of Giavotella

Dwyer would be around #15—behind somebody like Lough

by nwroyal on Jun 11, 2009 7:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think there was more to the strategy of drafting college arms (and hitters)

Besides being what was most abundantly available, the farm system has a ton of depth of quality young arms in the lower levels but is almost bereft of talent at the upper levels. A lot of these guys will be able to slot right into AA or even AAA by 2010.

I think the system really needed an influx of players at those levels, and in that respect the draft was a complete success.

by jsolo on Jun 11, 2009 5:04 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i also wonder if GMDM is starting to get a bit of a warm bottom

he’s starting to notice that the guys he’s based his future on aren’t getting to the big leagues to save his job any time soon. maybe some guys who are closer to the pros but may have a lower ceiling start to look more attractive.

by benfunke on Jun 11, 2009 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's probably a part of it

Especially with the hot start this year drawing extra attention to the big league team’s crappiness.

by kcbottom9th on Jun 11, 2009 5:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This was a very college heavy draft

The Royals were not the only team that went college-heavy. My guess is high school guys were asking for high bonus demands and teams were cutting their draft budgets.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 11, 2009 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think your right

I was more in hope than belief. Not that I want him fired right now, but I hope he is getting messages from above that the current performance is unnaceptable.

by kcbottom9th on Jun 11, 2009 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

i bet pressure is coming from above, but i also imagine he’s putting pressure on himself just like any of us would. a friend of mine who works for the Rays FO just goes freaking nuts when the team doesn’t perform (imagine how hard the past few years, save one, were for him) up to his expectations

by benfunke on Jun 11, 2009 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah its also a function of his HS players drafted in the beginning

being complimented by the college players drafted later. They can all be promoted at the same time. It’s a synergistic effect that will hopefully lead to a pennant in 2011.

former first rounders:

2002 superstar HS pitcher
2003 bust
2004 HS bat
2005 College bat (still arbitration eligible in 2011)
2006 College pitcher (a year removed from college)
2007 HS bat
2008 HS bat
2009 college pitcher (a year removed for college)
2010 senior college SS? (hopefully Green holds out!)

by GobbleforCyoung on Jun 11, 2009 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

so my point is

with 2003 omitted:

a HS pitcher and a HS batter in 02, 04 complimented by a college batter in 05 and a college pitcher in 06

Hit reset

two HS batters in 07 & 08 are complimented by another college pitcher in 09

Greinke and Meche will still be here too and Guillen, Jacobs, Olivo, Coco will be gone!

by GobbleforCyoung on Jun 11, 2009 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is the first time I've watched a draft in progress

and thanks to lots of you guys on here I’ve been allowed to study drafts of the past, and being sort of a thinking man I think the strategy of picking a ton of pitchers is a good idea.

And Myers?

Well look back a few years. Mitch Maier was drafted as a catcher was he not? You think we’ll ever see him catch a game in MLB?

Point being, lots of things can happen to a player getting developed in a Major League organization that are so far removed from what they have experienced up to this point in their baseball lives.

One general thing though, pitchers will stay pitchers with relatively few exceptions.

Zack, for one, may have been convertible to a position player of above replacement quality if he hadn’t had such a great bag of pitching skills.

Yeah? From what I hear, you couldn't hit water if you fell out of a f@#%ing boat.

by BillyMojo on Jun 11, 2009 5:14 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Piccolo today

Said that they may move Myers to a different position eventually, but he would start at catcher. My guess is we never see him catch at the Major League level.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 11, 2009 5:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

booooooooooo.

j/k.

but on that note, do we know why Maier was not kept at catcher? noodle arm? (didn’t cause them to move Buck somewhere else).

by benfunke on Jun 11, 2009 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know

he was a college catcher, I don’t know if that makes a difference. I imagine injury/“able to withstand the grind of catch 120+ games” is also an issue.

Buck’s arm wasn’t always bad. And anyway, despite what Dayton Moore and some fans’ obsession with Miguel Olivo (or better, hatred of John Buck) might lead you to believe, a strong throwing arm is only part of catcher defense.

But I don’t need to continue that vein — I’m sure we can all agree by now that Dayton Moore is crappy at best when it comes to evaluating the value major league position players. Just gotta hope that seriously problem doesn’t extend to the minors.

I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.

by devil_fingers on Jun 12, 2009 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i was sort of presuming that since he’s a pretty decent outfielder he’d be good defensively at catcher, but that’s not necessarily true. it’s certainly possible (though i didn’t list it as a reason) that Maier is just not a very good catcher and/or he’s a significantly better CF.

by benfunke on Jun 12, 2009 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

you’re all welcome for that insight,

Sincerely,
Captain Obvious

by benfunke on Jun 12, 2009 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maier was given a chance

at third base for a year or so before they moved him to the OF. His arm wasn’t the problem.

DH: Where's the party!
Danny: David Howard and Mike Sweeney! Go away! Guys, you're gonna wake up my Mom!

by David Howards Legacy on Jun 12, 2009 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

50th round pick

Anthony Scirrotto – Senior, RHB, SS, Penn State

Oh, wait.. he didn’t play baseball in college.. and he was signed by the Carolina Panthers

by BHWick on Jun 11, 2009 5:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

College senior

So we can draft and follow in the old school sense. And won’t make the panthers. Probably will say no to the Royals, but why not take a flyer?

by kcbottom9th on Jun 11, 2009 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This is why I emphasize

We need to draft BASEBALL PLAYERS!

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 11, 2009 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually

isn’t the deadline August 15th?

by BHWick on Jun 11, 2009 6:08 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

August 17 this year

Because the 15th is a Saturday and MLB offices are closed.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 11, 2009 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

but yeah

after the 17th, all the picks have to be signed

the deadline is still pretty dumb

then again, Allan thinks he can put on a bonus cap

by BHWick on Jun 11, 2009 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thought College seniors

could be signed up until the next draft?

Maybe i’m going crazy in my middle age, but i was certain that was the case.

by kcbottom9th on Jun 11, 2009 6:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, I think you're right.

It used to be like that, at least. Not positive if anything has changed, since then.

by rockchalk on Jun 11, 2009 8:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah...

The August deadline doesn’t apply to college seniors. (But, as pointed out in the Star today, Crow isn’t a college senior).

by kcemigre on Jun 12, 2009 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

From Andy Seiler's draft blog:

Kansas City – Wow. Love this draft. Aaron Crow and Wil Myers on day one was great, but adding Chris Dwyer (4th), Louis Coleman (5th), and Cole White (6th) are huge. They solidify this draft if they all sign. Tanner Poppe (37th) is exciting, but unsignable that far back. One through six, even missing a 2nd rounder, is probably up there on my list.

http://mlbbonusbaby.com/

by nwroyal on Jun 12, 2009 5:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

check out pgcrosschecker.com

pgcrosschecker.com

They have extensive scouting reports for almost all players taken in the 1st 10 rounds. here’s the scouting report for Cole White—our 6th Round pick—sounds like he’s got some upside.

SCOUTING PROFILE (3/31): White was drafted as a pitcher by the Chicago Cubs in 2008 out of Paris (Texas) JC-an unlikely proposition for a player who did almost everything but pitch when he attended a Texas high school. He lettered in three sports, but most of his prowess on the baseball field at the time came as a shortstop. White also had the notoriety of being a song writer of some note, and one of the tunes he wrote, Fight A Storm, was nominated for a Grammy Award. The multi-talented White also sings and plays the drums, and has played in several bands. Pitching became a priority for White only after he enrolled in junior college. White was still understandably raw in his development on the mound when drafted by the Cubs a year ago, but he has always had plenty of raw arm strength and it was almost natural for him to become a pitcher. His fastball is a steady 88-92 mph, has topped out at 95 and gets good running action to both sides of the plate, resulting in a steady stream of ground balls. White has a quick, loose, compact arm action with good extension out front, and the ball comes out of his hand easily. He is primarily a fastball pitcher and likes to challenge hitters with that pitch, but his real challenge will be to develop better secondary pitches to complement his fastball. His slider has a hard, late break while his curve is a slow, rolling three-quarters breaker, but his command of both is inconsistent and he doesn’t use them on a regular basis. Until he adds a changeup or refines his breaking stuff, he profiles only as a reliever. But he seems to thrive in end-of-game roles, and could end up singing his own song as a set-up man or even a closer.—ALLAN SIMPSON
UPDATE (5/15): While the Lobos blitzed opponents with a .363 club average and the team’s pitching staff did its best to hold opponents in check with its collective 5.26 ERA, White provided a nice change of pace to all the action going on around him. In 27 appearances as New Mexico’s closer, spanning 39 innings, he allowed just 19 hits. That’s a .144 opponent average-impressive by any standard, but downright dominating considering the way the Lobos regularly engaged in high-scoring affairs. He went 3-2, 2.33 with 28 walks and 45 strikeouts. White had an extremely quick arm with a compact arm action, and he generated heavy run and sink on his fastball at 92-93 mph. But his velocity also routinely reached 95, and peaked occasionally at 97. He became more of a pitcher this spring as he developed significantly better command of his two-pitch mix and learned to work his fastball interchangeably with his improving slider. He also quieted his delivery, but still needs to incorporate his lower half better. He showed little or no feel for a changeup, but doesn’t require a third pitch in a relief role-and he left little doubt this spring that is where his future lies.—AS

by nwroyal on Jun 12, 2009 5:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

My shadow draft FWIW

Saved for posterity for future mockery.

1 – RHP Aaron Crow, Fort Worth Cats

Great pick by the Royals. I had him slightly ahead of SS Grant Green of USC and P Shelby MIller, a high schooler out of Texas. I have slight concerns about the hitch in Crow’s delivery, but its not a huge red flag. He is close to MLB ready, has upside as a #2, possibly even an ace, and has very good command. A Greinke/Crow/Hochevar rotation for 2011 would be a pretty solid trio.

3 – OF Brian Goodwin, North Carolina HS

Goodwin is a great athlete with tremendous speed and pretty good pop. I see him a lot like Curtis Granderson although I see a lot of comparisons to Kenny Lofton. He’ll be a pretty tough sign, but I figured we can offer him a lot of money without a second round pick eating up our budget. He’s a Boras client and committed to UNC, a tough place to lure kids away from. If we fail to sign him, at least we get an extra pick next year.

4 – SS Ryan Jackson, University of Miami

Jackson is a former All-American in 2008 who just completely lost the ability to hit last year. I think the bat could come back, although he’ll probably never hit for power. Scouts think his glove is already MLB-ready, it will be his bat that keeps him from being a big leaguer. Hopefully Jackson will be the guy behind Hochevar gobbling up all those groundballs and making us forget that our defense was ever so awful.

5 – RHP Kyle Bellamy, University of Miami

I guess I really like the Canes. I’ve loved Bellamy ever since I saw him pitch in the regionals in 2008. He’s one of the premiere relievers in college baseball, with a quirky delivery that is deceptive for hitters. He throws strikes and could be a fast riser.

6 – CF Jordan Henry, University of Mississippi

Henry is an on-base machine, despite his small stature. He has pretty much no power, but makes up for it by drawing walks, burning up the basepaths and playing tremendous defense. He might be just a fourth outfielder, but if can keep drawing walks at the pro level and maintain a high average, he might just be a valuable starting center fielder.

7 – RF Jabari Blash, Miami Dade Community College

Blash is a raw prospect from the Virgin Islands who absolutely mashed junior college pitching. He has tremendous power and a good arm, although the rest of his skills are unpolished.

8 – C Carlos Ramirez, Arizona State University

A good defender, Ramirez has gotten some knocks for not having a good catcher’s body. But who cares so long as he plays defense? Ramirez hit a bit too for ASU.

9 – LHP Nick Hernandez, University of Tennessee

Hernandez throws strikes. A lot. He walked just nine batters in 83 innings in 2008. He wasn’t much worse in 2009 with 21 walks in 84 innings. He got hit around a bit though, and his ERA was not stellar. Still, a lefty with excellent command is a commodity.

10 – LHP Nick Greenwood, University of Rhode Island

Another strike thrower – 16 walks in 92 innings this year. He’ll strike guys out too, leading his conference in strikeouts in 2008. He’s just 177 pounds, so maybe bulking up can add to his velocity.

11 – LHP Ryan Sasaki, Texas HS

Lefty who can throw it in the high 80s/low 90s. Good movement on his fastball with some sinking action.

12 – CF Matt den Dekker, University of Florida

A strong athlete who plays above average defense with a solid arm. He has power potential but had a very disappointing 2009 campaign. Probably a Mitch Maier-type fourth outfielder.

13 – 1B Luke Murton, Georgia Tech

Led Tech in hitting with a .354 average, 20 home runs and 43 walks. Is already 23 so there’s not much upside there but he should be a pretty polished bat.

14 – RHP Adam Worthington, University of Illinois-Chicago

Again, I like strike-throwers. 21 walks in 95 innings with a 3.48 ERA at UIC. Just 67 walks in 223 career innings there. Just 5’10’’ and new to starting, he may have to relieve in the pros.

15 – RHP Casey Upperman, Arizona HS

Kind of a funky delivery, but can bring it in the high 80s with a hammer curve.

16 – C Diego Seastrunk, Rice University

Solid arm, but disappointing season at the plate. Had decent pop and drew a lot of walks though.

17 – SS Evan Porter, University of Nebraska-Omaha

Best hitter on a good UNO club. .424 with ten home runs and 28 walks.

18 – RHP Michael Heller, Florida HS

Nice fluid repeatable delivery that can hit 90 mph, sometimes topping out at 95. His secondary pitches are a bit below average and there are some injury concerns.

19 – RHP A.J. Griffin, University of San Diego

6’5’’ right hander posted a 3.38 ERA for USD. Formerly the closer and made just nine starts this year so he may relieve in the pros.

20 – RHP Phillip Irwin, University of Mississippi

3.84 ERA, 20 walks in 86 innings for Ole Miss. 6’3’’ 215, missed all of 2006 with injury.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 14, 2009 12:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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