FanPost

Royals batters contributing more or fewer runs than preseason projections

My table is a little garbled, but here's what I'm after: players' wOBA for the season (Fangraphs) versus their Zips projection (again, Fangraphs), then convert that into Runs Above Replacement (with positional adjustments per THE BOOK) per at bat (wRAR/AB -- actually abreviated wR/AB in the table to save on width).  With an At-Bat-measure of how hitters have performed relative to their projections, I can look at how many runs they have actually contributed in the number of at-bats they have gotten (wcRAR -- actually abbreviated wcR in the table) above what a replacement-level player would have.

According to what I've come up with, 7 players are hitting better than their projected wOBA, and 8 are hitting worse -- which is actually overall better than I expected.  But, those 7 have over-performed projections of runs contributed by about 10 runs, while the slackers have under-performed projections of runs contributed by just over 24 runs.

 

Name

AB

wOBA

Proj

diff

 

wR/AB

Proj

diff

 

wcR

Proj

diff

Alberto Callaspo

174

0.344

0.325

0.019

0.006

-0.010

0.017

1.1

-1.816

2.875

Willie Bloomquist

95

0.346

0.319

0.027

0.015

-0.008

0.023

1.5

-0.774

2.230

Coco Crisp

163

0.339

0.325

0.014

0.009

-0.003

0.012

1.5

-0.478

1.984

Jose Guillen

137

0.349

0.337

0.012

0.003

-0.008

0.010

0.4

-1.028

1.430

John Buck

84

0.331

0.317

0.014

0.010

-0.002

0.012

0.8

-0.201

1.023

Mitch Maier

58

0.327

0.318

0.009

-0.001

-0.009

0.008

-0.1

-0.523

0.454

Mark Teahen

185

0.346

0.344

0.002

0.008

0.006

0.002

1.4

1.126

0.322

Luis Hernandez

23

0.237

0.248

-0.011

-0.079

-0.070

-0.010

-1.8

-1.608

-0.220

Billy Butler

180

0.338

0.341

-0.003

-0.014

-0.012

-0.003

-2.5

-2.074

-0.470

Miguel Olivo

114

0.301

0.306

-0.005

-0.016

-0.012

-0.004

-1.9

-1.363

-0.496

Mike Jacobs

164

0.334

0.342

-0.008

-0.021

-0.014

-0.007

-3.5

-2.362

-1.141

Alex Gordon

21

0.261

0.346

-0.085

-0.066

0.008

-0.074

-1.4

0.164

-1.552

Tony Pena

17

0.090

0.246

-0.156

-0.207

-0.072

-0.136

-3.5

-1.218

-2.306

David DeJesus

183

0.292

0.337

-0.045

-0.047

-0.008

-0.039

-8.5

-1.373

-7.161

Mike Aviles

120

0.206

0.312

-0.106

-0.106

-0.014

-0.092

-12.8

-1.709

-11.061

This FanPost was written by a member of the Royals Review community. It does not necessarily reflect the views of the editors and writers of this site.

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