A different look at the Royals hitting so far

How often you get on, and how far you go.

How often you get on can be measured with OBP. If you're content with the status quo, you can use slugging percentage to measure how far someone goes. But you overlook walks and HBP that way.

Instead, you could use Expected Bases, where the formula is (TB+BB+HBP)/(AB+BB+HBP+SF)

The current Royals leader in EB is Miguel Olivo with .539. Which means that every time he goes up, you can expect .539 bases. And in contrast to that number, his OBP is .285. The runnerup is John Buck, who has an EB of .510. The runnerup amongst non-DL players is Mark Teahen with .495 EB.

The rankings (EB, Times on Base, 1B, XBH, BB, HB)

Miguel Olivo: .539, 55, 26, 23, 2, 4
John Buck: .510, 30, 9, 10, 11, 0
Mark Teahen: .495, 103, 52, 26, 21, 4
Brayan Pena: .488, 15, 9, 4, 2, 0
Billy Butler: .488, 103, 52, 29, 22, 0
Alberto Callaspo: .486, 100, 51, 27, 21, 1
Mike Jacobs: .477, 80, 31, 22, 25, 2
Coco Crisp: .464, 71, 25, 16, 29
Jose Guillen: .460, 83, 41, 16, 21, 5
David DeJesus: .446, 91, 42, 27, 20, 2
Mitch Maier: .415, 42, 18, 9, 14, 1
Willie Bloomquist: .401, 65, 40, 9, 16, 0
Alex Gordon: .385, 7, 1, 1, 3, 2
Mike Aviles: .272, 26, 17, 5, 4, 0
Luis Hernandez: .208, 10, 8, 0, 2, 0
Tony Pena, Jr: .167, 6, 3, 1, 2, 0
Tug Hulett: .071, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0


Several notes on this list.

1) Yes, our 1/2 hitters are on the lower half of this list. It's a wonder how we don't score more often.

2) Billy Butler is turning into quite the offensive force. It'd be nice if some of his doubles came with men on base.

3) The only regular with a lower XBH percentage per PA than Jose Guillen: Willie Bloomquist

4) A team of 9 TPJ's would be expected to amass 4.5 bases (through hits or walks) per 27 outs.

5) Mark Teahen and Alberto Callaspo are turning into extra base threats, so it'd be nice if they were in the position to at least get knocked in by other batters (say Teahen batting in front of Butler).

6) Jose Guillen sure did turn into a pumpkin quickly. A guy without any XBH results gets to be in the middle of the order every day. Because if he isn't, he throws chairs, and scares Trey Hillman.

7) The big difference between Teahen and Butler: HBPs

This team's lineup suffers from a massive dysfunction, and perhaps the Mustache will figure out one day to put his best hitters in the position to make things happen.

This FanPost was written by a member of the Royals Review community. It does not necessarily reflect the views of the editors and writers of this site.

SB Nation Featured Video
Log In Sign Up

Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Royals Review

You must be a member of Royals Review to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Royals Review. You should read them.

Join Royals Review

You must be a member of Royals Review to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Royals Review. You should read them.




Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.