Early Morning Royals Links: Royals Lurch Towards the Deadline
by Freneau on Jul 25, 2009 9:00 AM EDT
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PrintThe Matt Holliday trade further suggests what many have been saying for weeks: it's going to be a seller's market at this year's trade deadline. Of course, the Royals have very little that's tradeable and a GM in perpetual win-now mode, so, we'll see what happens.
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Quibble: there is no lurching
The Royals are heading where they’re heading without diversion, digression, deviation, or delay.
posted in another locale
Strikeouts looking as a percentage of total strikeouts:
DeJesus: 43% (23 of 53)
Crisp: 43% (10 of 23)
Bloomquist: 37% (15 of 41)
Butler: 33% (20 of 61)
League average: 26%
Teahen: 23% (18 of 78)
Jacobs: 23% (19 of 83)
Guillen: 21% (10 of 48)
Callaspo: 17% (4 of 24)
Olivo: 5% (4 of 83)
Strikes looking, as a percentage of strikes:
DeJesus: 35%
Crisp: 32%
Butler: 29%
Jacobs: 29%
League average: 28%
Bloomquist: 27%
Callaspo: 24%
Guillen: 24%
Teahen: 23%
Olivo: 16%
Strikes swinging, as a percentage of all strikes
Olivo: 33%
Teahen: 19%
Jacobs: 18%
Guillen: 16%
League average: 14%
Butler: 13%
Bloomquist: 10%
Crisp: 9%
Callaspo: 8%
DeJesus: 8%
Percentage of pitches swung at (in-play, foul, swinging strikes):
Olivo: 59%
Teahen: 50%
Bloomquist: 49%
Guillen: 48%
Callaspo: 47%
League Average: 45%
Jacobs: 44%
Butler: 43%
Crisp: 42%
DeJesus: 40%
i’d be beating a dead horse if I noted that Olivo only made contact [on] 61% [of his swings], when the league average is 80%. Olivo’s 61% makes Teahen’s 75% and Jacobs’ 74% look dazzling. Same goes for pointing out that Olivo swings at the first pitch 40% of the time.
Enough is Enough - Fire Trey Hillman
I am surprised....
that Jacobs is as close to the league average in many of those stats as he is.
there is one stat that he's not close to the league average in
BA on BIP
Jacobs: .266
League Average: .295
And Jacobs BA/BIP is actually up from last year. His strikes looking are up, strikes swinging down, first pitching swinging way down (from high 30s to 24%), pitches per PA is at 4.1 instead of 3.6 (where it was for 3 years).
58% of his PAs end with the ball in play, his lowest ever
Enough is Enough - Fire Trey Hillman
I am most disappointed that
there have been no moves in the bullpen. i believe that a message should be sent that piss-poor performance will not be tolerated. instead they seem to accept it.
i am still holding out hope that DM can redeem himself and that the recent promotions in the minors are indicative of players making progress towards the major-league roster.
having said that, i find it difficult to figure out how DM is going to be able to improve the major-league roster over the next offseason, even if he changes his way of thinking somewhat. his hands are largely tied by payroll constraints.
Kansas City Royals - rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic since 1994.
by Home Run Tony Cogan on Jul 25, 2009 5:40 PM EDT reply actions
We have to hope
that there are players still going through waivers like Nelson Cruz and Ryan Langerhans, and more importantly, that DMGM knows it and acts on it.
Also — seriously, if he hadn’t already, Guillen’s injury definitely makes him cross the “sunk cost” line. I’d love to see a comeback from him, but at this point, just getting to replacement level next year would be a comeback. They’re on the hook anyway, with no hope of getting anything back. Time to free up roster space.
Seriously, Wlad Balentien hasn’t shown much, but he’s got to pass through waivers, right? He doesn’t look like much of a hitter, but he has some power potential that he’s shown in the minors, his defense is at least average, and he’s only 25. Why not take a chance on him? Heck, he’s a Mariner. If the team is going to waste time on guys like Luis Hernandez and Ryan Freel, why not Wlad?
He’s at least as much of a bet to bounce back as YB (and at his age, probably more). He could at least be a serviceable, league-minimum 4th OF/platoon guy for the rest of the season.
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 25, 2009 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions
that's a great point
those are the types of guys we need to go for, but wasn’t cruz an all-star? what is his contract situation? can’t the teams pull them back if we claim them?
also, i don’t know if there are any rule 5 possibilities out there for this winter, either, or guys that are going to be non-tendered.
i think it can be done, but you’re right he’s got to be willing to cut his losses with guillen, and sadly my guess is that he’s either unwilling or unable to do that because of the massive contract.
i also wonder what the situation is with insurance, meaning is the team insured against a significant injury (I’m talking $$$ wise), and if so at what point does it kick in?
Kansas City Royals - rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic since 1994.
by Home Run Tony Cogan on Jul 25, 2009 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions
I meant a couple offseasons ago when Cruz was on waivers
obviously, _now_he’s an all-star… the Rangers got lucky no one claimed him.
Langerhans was on waivers this past offseason.
Wlad has little chance of being as good as even Langerhans, but why not give it a whirl? I won’t cost much if anything.
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 25, 2009 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions
insurance
I wonder about this. Somewhere else someone posted that after Albert Belle, it’s pretty much impossible to get policies like that for position playres. I would also think that Guillen’s injury would have to be shown to e career-ending.
Just WAGs, though/
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 25, 2009 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions
will carroll talked about it in one of his chats....
there are nearly no long term contracts that can be insured…pitchers or position players.
Fire Everyone
by billybeingbilly on Jul 25, 2009 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions
Stat Corner
does Ks looking and Ks swinging as % of plate appearances
I got all MLB batters this season with min 100 PAs (359 hitters). Avg. for Ks looking/PA is 4.5%.
Some notable Royals for Ks looking (ranks by rate of Ks looking).
Jacobs #63, 6.4%
DDJ #81, 5.9%
Blomquist, #102, 5.5%
Butler, #113, 5.3%
Teahen, #138, 4.9%
Guillen, #238, 3.2%
Olivo, #324, 1.6%
Yuneifi, #327, 1.6%
Bert, #344, 1.1%
As you can see, there is a
strong correlation between batter quality and K’s looking
Here are some players how K looking more than any Royal listed above this season:
Ian Stewart, #8, 10.1%
J.D. Drew, #20, 8.7%
Adam Dunn, #27, 8.0%
Ben Zobrist, #28, 7.9%
Jorge Posada, #30, 7.9%
Nick Swisher, #32, 7.8%
David Wright, #33, 7.8%
Jim Thome, #37, 7.5%
Russell Branyan, #51, 6.9%
as for lower… I think YB’s place says it all.
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
how about striking out looking
the strikes looking will tilt to guys who are known for plate patience. But i’d imagine a chunk of those hitters will have enough recognition of the zone to not stare at the third strike for 40%+ of their Ks like DDJ
Enough is Enough - Fire Trey Hillman
those are strikeouts looking
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 25, 2009 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions
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