Five Things Heard Regarding the Royals About Two Months Ago that Now Seem Remarkably Dated and/or Insane
- Should the Royals extend Kyle Davies long-term now, or wait until after the season?
- Mike Jacobs' OBP is at .340 after six weeks, so you guys should stop making jokes about his on-base skills.
- With the way this team is hitting, Alex Gordon may not have a place in the lineup when he comes back.
- The Royals should look into signing Ben Sheets to put them over the top for the playoffs.
- MGD: The Big Three
over 2 years ago
Matt Klaassen
62 comments
6 recs |
Comments
Signs your season plans may have gone awry
1. TPJ, Luis Hernandez, and Tug Hulett (soon to be Ryan Freel) are all on the 25 man roster – at the same time
2. Billy Butler is playing the field because he’s the best defensive option
3. MITCH is your everyday CF because Coco Crisp had not one but both arms fall off.
4. Bruce Chen, Sidney Ponson, and Horacio Ramirez have all spent time in the rotation
5. Mark Teahen is your batting cleanup.
by Top Ramen on Jul 7, 2009 12:50 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
One more to add to devil_fingers' list
Boy that Luis Hernandez Willie Bloomquist Tug Hulett Ryan Freel pickup looks terrible on the surface, but at least it gets Tony Pena Jr off of the 25-man roster
by Top Ramen on Jul 7, 2009 12:52 AM EDT reply actions 4 recs
That's good
I want to do another list, but I’ll wait until tomorrow to unleash my brilliance “unfunny sarcasm” again.
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 12:52 AM EDT up reply actions
correction
that’s great
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 12:53 AM EDT up reply actions
Well... I wouldn't give up on Davies just yet.
AAA inning pitched 19, ERA ………….0.47
Go Royals!
He Is A
Siren, luring our vessel onto the shoals.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jul 7, 2009 1:26 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
To Their Death
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jul 7, 2009 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions
Why not engage in a little...
…good-natured self-mockery and add the horrible predictions about Bloomquist to this list? He’s had a solid first half. – TL
by timlacy on Jul 7, 2009 5:54 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
so has callaspo, teahen, butler
and my god Olivo!
by GobbleforCyoung on Jul 7, 2009 9:59 AM EDT up reply actions
Despite the fact that the US Ryder cup team won six matches and made some incredibly nifty shots along the way, the liberal media is focusing only on the fact that they were routed by the Europeans for the third straight year. Many observers blame the left wing whackos for ruining the morale of the Americans and causing them to lose focus. "So once again we see the lefties ganging up on America," said talk show host Rush Limbaugh, "and distorting the truth to make the US look like the bad guys. You won’t read this in the New York Times or Newsweek, but the US won six – that’s right, six – matches last weekend and made some amazing clutch putts in the last round. You also won’t read that the best golfer in the world, Tiger Woods, is on our side, or that the US players have vastly prettier wives, or that we mopped the floor with those jerks in the Revolutionary War." "I guess we shouldn’t be surprised, though," he added. "These are the same zealots who are quick to point out that Iraq is in complete chaos yet won’t make one mention of the fact that a schoolhouse in Ramadi was repainted yesterday. Anyway, who wants a mug with my picture on it?"
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I find the revolutionary war HIGHLY relevant to my sense of political worth
especially since the US, as everyone knows, had NO European Allies of any sort during that war, no NONE at all
what is a "sense of political worth?" anyway?
and it should be the “War for Independence,” anyway, parodied-version-of-Rush Limbaugh!
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions
"Bloomquist has become a Royals fan favorite"
http://www.kansascity.com/sports/royals/story/1221990.html
There is no shortage of opinions on Bloomquist. One blogger sarcastically accused Moore of hating Royals fans when Bloomquist signed for two years and $3.1 million this past offseason.
Another wrote that the acquisition made the Royals’ offseason "a huge ball of suck."
So many strong opinions for someone the Royals intended to be a utility player all along.
He’s been doing that so far this season for the Royals, to the point that an easy Google search can kick back plenty of "apologies" in blogs and on message boards from reformed Bloomquist bashers.
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
There is one
If you type in Bloomquist apology. One, not plenty. Written on 7th May…
http://www.royalscentricity.com/2009/05/official-apology-to-willie-bloomquist.html
Ok
“When a player has one big game and it vaults his season line to .283/.333/.388 (power hitting breakout!) with terrible defense, you gotta applaud that signing.”
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
for timlacy
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions
Do you still think it was a bad signing D_F?
I think, since he is on pace for 400-500 AB’s, he is being vastly overused, but as a U, which IS how he was signed, I think he has been an upgrade over Esteban, both @ the plate, and in the field. Especially in the OF, where, while Willie isn’t a good defender he is a better defensive OF’er than Esty was…
Keepin mind $$ doesnt enter the framework of my opinion, so even though we overpaid for WeeWillie, it doesn’t matter much to me…I’d also think that Willie has somewhere in the area of the 5th-7th most ttrade value this deadline for KC (more on that later if time allows this evening…)
BOOM! ROASTED!
by GoBabies!! on Jul 7, 2009 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
he hasn't been a terrible defender
and don’t throw UZR at me right now. He’s made some good plays at SS, especially the routine plays that TPJ seems to fuck up
by GobbleforCyoung on Jul 7, 2009 10:01 AM EDT up reply actions
Why not throw UZR at you?
It’s evidence. Not conclusive. But pretty persuasive. More persuasive than “I saw him”.
I once saw Bloomquist perfectly field a tornado and squash it with his grit
Nothing from Nothing leads to... Your 2009 Kansas City Royals
by averagegatsby on Jul 7, 2009 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions 4 recs
I don't understand it completely, but you can throw it at me
compare Spork to German let’s see what happens?
Christ, you don't need a quadrophonic Blaupunkt! What you need is a curveball! In the show, everyone can hit heat.
because your viewpoint matters
We haven’t replaced GM’s with computers have we?
by GobbleforCyoung on Jul 7, 2009 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions
No
But I value some objectivity in the process.
And, since opinions are everything. I think Bloomquist looks like a crappy SS, no matter what the stats say. They just happen to agree.
"I think he has been an upgrade over Esteban, both @ the plate"
Sadly, he has not been.
Esteban German in KC:
.280/.363/.394 in 316 games = 99 OPS+
Bloomie in KC:
.284/.333/.388 in 65 games = 92 OPS+
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
nope I see not much difference, in the numbers -- what, 5 more hits and Willie's numbers are
better than Esty"s?
Christ, you don't need a quadrophonic Blaupunkt! What you need is a curveball! In the show, everyone can hit heat.
I'm sorry, you actually think Bloomquist's line is holding up for
the whole season?
Because German had an OBP thirty points higher in five times the playing time. That’s significantly better.
"Do they have people that tall in Mexico?"
by NHZ on Jul 7, 2009 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions
The point was that Willie is NOT an upgrade over Esty
And Esty’s OBA blows Willie’s away. And that’s with Willie’s uptick in walks.
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
Aaaaaaah
You are looking at Esty’s entire KC career. Look at his ‘08 #’s. I haven’t (since last year), but if memory serves, he was putrid, and showed no real signs of turning things around.
Esty was a good player in ’07, but fell off a cliff last year. Was ’08 a statistical anomaly? It might have been. Was ’07 a statistical anomaly? It might have been. But I think it is fair to say that he was trending downward…
BOOM! ROASTED!
Sure
So you should replace him on a one year deal with one of several player who can put up a .350/.380. Not a two year deal to Willie freakin Bloomquist, an utterly replaceable player.
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
WIllie has his uses, at the minimum… Two years, $3M? I think it’s a bad decision. Like the Jacobs trade, it doesn’t really kill the Royals, but at best it doesn’t really help th em, and tells us that the GM doesn’t really value players properly.
Just so we’re on the same apge I’m not into “saving money” so that Glass can get rich — I don’t want to win a flag for “most efficient payroll.” It’s more that every team (even the Yankees, to a certain extent) have to work with a budget, and so a GM who knows how to maximize that is more likely to help the team win. Guillen, Bloomquist, Farns, etc. make me think Moore isn’t great with that.
there better players were available for less money — Eckstein, Counsell
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions
Lisa needs braces!
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions
If we give up the dental plan . . .
I’ll have to pay for Lisa’s braces!
This was exactly my thought.
The Nick Greens of the world
always seem to do their thing for winning teams. I guess you could argue that they are part of the reason that the teams are winning, but I’m more talking about teams that already have an established track record of winning before the player shows up.
I’m somewhat skeptical that Ryan Ludwick would be very productive here. Sure, he may be an upgrade over Mitch Maier, but I doubt he would produce to his current level (which, by the way, is significantly lower than it was last year)
Kansas City Royals - rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic since 1994.
by Home Run Tony Cogan on Jul 7, 2009 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions
Just like how Mike Aviles went off for a winning team last year
The point about Nick Green is that he was available for free as a minor league free agent and provides at least the same (if not more) value than Bloomquist. Green is not really any better with the bat than Bloomquist, but unlike Bloomquist, he can play an average to above-average shortstop.
Bloomy made no sense in that we already had Teahen slotted at Utility (or 2B?)
And we had Tug for free (or did that happen after Bloomy signed?) Regardless, it made about as much sense to sign Bloomquist as it did to trade for Ryan Freel.
Tug was obtained after Willie
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 2:25 PM EDT up reply actions
But he was freely available anyway
Unless you think that if we didn’t have Bloomquist, someone would’ve blocked our Tug Hulett acquisition to stop us from winning the division.
"Do they have people that tall in Mexico?"
by NHZ on Jul 7, 2009 2:27 PM EDT up reply actions
maybe it was a package deal
Tug wouldn’t agree to sign unless we already had Bloomquist, thus ensuring he would never actually have to play for the ML team.
I was actually agreeing about the pointlessness of Willie
the whole Bloomquist thing was bad enough, but as I"ve sad many times, the fact that Moore was able to obtain a younger, probalby better player for “free” afterwards only pointed up how dumb the Bloomquist acquisition was
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions
The new Big Three: GMB
I’ve been busy, so I don’t have my finger on the pulse of the fanbase. I wonder if Bannister is getting proper appreciation. He’s been very good. And not fake/flukey/lucky/BABIP good.
The immoderate moderator
the fanbase has extremely high blood pressure right now.
Hope you’re getting SOME sleep.
Fuck This Team. Period.
The General Theory of Royaltivity
Doing my best
Sleeping in chunks. Avoiding the the crazed negativity of the fanbase.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jul 7, 2009 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions
The Crazed Negativity
Has missed your presence.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jul 7, 2009 5:54 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah, I keep meaning to talk about that
he has had a legit good year this year, a big departure from his lucky 2007 or his all-out-terrible 2008.
His HR/FB rate is back down under 8%, so that’s probably a bit of it, but he’s also allowing less line drives and flyballs in general. He’s done this while having about the same K rate as 2008 without the disasters, although he still has the same walk rate. Seems to be mostly his Fastball-Changup combo.
Did you see TucsonRoyal’s pitch f/x analysis on Dm a couple weeks back?
Good to see you around again.
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions
I’ve been watching the games and looking at all of Bannister’s data. I’ve been considering writing a “How good is Brian Bannister and how has he managed to be that good” article. My take is that he’s succeeding now (good FIP and tRA) by inducing the right kind of contact. His LD% is down (especially as compared to last year) and he’s getting considerably more GB’s and considerably fewer FB’s. That’s a formula that leads to a lot of pitching success.
And he’s done this by throwing different pitches. I didn’t see Tuscon’s piece at DM, but I’m sure he got into this. The BIS pitch classification data at Fangraphs is all wrong. They’ve got him throwing mostly fastballs, augmented by his slider, curve and change, which is essentially the same pitch profile as 2008. They have him throwing essentially no cutters, which isn’t true both from watching him pitch and from his statements to the media which have referenced the rebirth of his cutter. In this case, the Pitch f/x pitch classification data is more accurate. They have him throwing only 16% fastballs and mostly relying on his slider and cutter, and then mixing in his curve and change. Basically he’s decided that since his 4-seam fastball isn’t much good, he’s going to rely on pitches that move and changing speeds. And he’s doing it quite well. His slider and cutter (which are nearly indistiguishable, by eye or by Pitch f/x velocity and movement data) are genuinely good pitches and he’s making them work for him.
The real question of course is how good will Bannister be going forward; this is the “true talent level” question. ZiPS “RoS” projection has him with the FIP of a #3 SP. Statcorner’s tRA* for him is also in that range but even better. So I think he could easily be a an average #3 SP for the next few years. If he can consistently keep his GB’s up and FB’s down, then he’s somewhere in the #2-#3 SP range. And even in a down year, he’d likely be a useful, solid innings eating #4.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jul 7, 2009 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions
He's Definitely Keeping
His pitches down this year, and the change has a lot of downward movement, something his slider and curve lack. Will complained repeatedly about his pitches in the dirt the other day, but I think that’s probably a good thing. His pitches up are mostly out of the zone, and he’s using both sides of the plate. I have no data to back this up, just my aged (bespectacled) eyes.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jul 7, 2009 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions
You need to do the post where you awkwardly makeup with him
I would only add that his changeup is likely the other major key to his improvement as it has added movement this year and his heavy negative platoon split against left-handed hitters has all but disappeared (a sign of an improved changeup).
If he can maintain a K:BB close to 2:1, an average to plus groundball rate (to keep the HR/9 rate down even if his HR/FB regresses to the mean), and a modest platoon split, you have yourself at least a 1.5-2.0 WAR starter. He showed some groundball tendencies in the minors, so hopefully this can stick.
slight uptick in his swinging K rate this season
but only about 2%, is that significant?
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 7, 2009 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions
Yes
although Stat Corner shows it as 6.3%, same as last year
I thikn I'm looking at the wrong stat again
I thought Swinging Strikout Rate was the one you were talking about earlier — I’m wasn’t sure why or why not the Strikeout rate would be more important than the Strike rate. The kL% on his “Outcomes” page is 1.11% this season, and 9.38% last season.
I think I’m confused.
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 8, 2009 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions
sorry for the confusion
I read “swinging K rate” as swinging strike rate (SwStr% on the pitch results page), not swinging strikeout rate (on the outcome page). There is too much good stuff on that site — if only they could afford the BIS batted ball data. Anyway, more swinging strikeouts are good, but if he is not generating any more swings and misses, the increase in swinging strikeout rate might just be noise (he might have been unlucky last year or lucky this year). The swinging strike rate is the better indicator.
okay, that makes more sense to me
I think I misread your stuff on Davies earlier this season to be about swinging strikeout rate, which confused me, but hey, you’re usually right about these things.
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jul 8, 2009 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Fuckinear
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jul 8, 2009 2:03 AM EDT up reply actions













