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Willie Bloomquist's Weird Power Surge Explained, Again

Willie Bloomquist has four homers this season because he's playing more than he ever has and he's trying to. He's failing at everything else: getting singles, getting on base, whatever. But he's succeeding in hitting more homers than ever. He's Willie the flyball man.

And it's worked. He hits one home run a month now. Oh the glories.

Willie Bloomquist homered again last tonight, his fourth of the season. When Dayton Moore signed Bloomquist this offseason, one of the main knocks against him was that he simply did not have enough power to be an everyday player. In 2008, Bloomquist managed just one extra base hit (a double) in 192 plate appearances. So with four home runs has Willie proved us all wrong?

Star-divide

Yes and no.

First of all, let's not go crazy here. Bloomquist, after all, is still slugging .358 the morning after one of his rare home runs. The lowest total of any regular player on the team. He still has a strange inability to hit doubles (5), which makes his modest homer surge all the more curious. Yes, he has seven triples, but so does the despised David DeJesus, who also has seventeen more doubles and four more homers than the Saint. Overall, a huge explanation of what is going on here is the mere fact that Bloomquist is playing more than he ever has before. He has 333 PAs this season, fifty more than his previous career high (283 in 2006) and we're still in mid-August. Willie's slugged around .330 three times in his career, and he's essentially a wall-scraping homer better than that this season.

Actually, what stands out as the odd season in the annals of St. Willie Bloomquist the Beloved, is not 2009, when he muscled up and carried the Royals to a glorious season, but 2008, when he actually did something well at the plate for the first time in his career. In 2008, Bloomquist posted a .377 OBP, a number he had never even remotely sniffed before. Don't worry, as a Royal in 2009, he's back to an unacceptable .303.

Would you be stunned to see that a Royal has a collapsing walk rate?

 

Here's Willie's walk rate data. (Note that in 2002 he only played in fifteen games.)

1066_of_season_full_3_20090812_medium

via www.fangraphs.com

In 2008, Bloomquist walked in 13.2% of his PAs. In 2009, that number was 6.4%. As such, he's actually still behind last season's walk total of 25, despite an additional 140 PAs.

Bloomquist is a frustrating player to many people not just because he's overrated, but because he seemingly is unwilling to take advantage of the one thing he's good at, stealing bases. He won't (or can't) walk much, and only once in his career has he been an actual "OBP guy". No, he's an out-machine. Moreover, he's a flyball hitter, which is precisely what he shouldn't be. Of course, he tags up well from second, so he's still a smart player, but a guy with plus speed and minus power should not be flying out lazily to right twice a game. Yet here we are.

In 2009, Willie's flyball rate is up.

1066_of_season_full_9_20090812_medium

via www.fangraphs.com

Bloomy's FB% this season is 32.3%, his highest total since 2006. In some ways, you might consider him Mike Jacobs without the power.

As I've written about before with Bloomquist, I just don't understand why this is so hard. He's an all-batting average guy, but he doesn't even hit for a high batting average! He's batting .257. He has never hit .280. Forget that it's an empty .257, because for the parties in question that doesn't matter. .257!

Yes, Willie can play a variety of positions. Well, play in the sense that he can be positioned in a variety of positions (his overall defensive numbers are still bad). However, despite four flyball homers, 2009 is not even his career season. His wOBA this season is .299, right in line with his other campaigns save one. In 2008, Willie actually was an OBP guy, and he posted a vaguely kinda sorta almost acceptable wOBA of .321.

If we must have Willie Bloomquist, bring back the flukish 2008 edition.


4 recs  |  Comment 36 comments |

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bad nickname

equals bad karma. Let’s quit calling him Bloomy. Look what it has done for “Banny,” after all.

Here is the most enlightening statistic vis a vis Mr. Bloomquist’s home run totals: Mark Teahen only has five more of them. Think about that one.

StonewallPDS

by StonewallPDS on Aug 13, 2009 11:44 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Teahen is 70 points higher in slugging.

Really, anything under .400 probably isn’t acceptable unless you steal 200 bases.

by AxDxMx on Aug 13, 2009 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

perhaps

or just a bunch if singles

Carlos Guillen, the Latino Nick Punto - BouJouma
Please takeyour latte circle jerk to another thread. -WU
babies are young and under team control for at least 12 years -Billyok
i heard kenny williams' mother bought a lottery ticket and lost so kenny williams traded his mother - Billyok

by The_Fan on Aug 13, 2009 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's Not Bloomy

It’s Bloomers. I’ve had a good look at him for years being in Sailorboy Land, and he’s not a bad 25th man. He rarely should start, and never should see 200 PA’s in a season.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Aug 13, 2009 11:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Process this

2009 v RHP: 259/281/357 638 OPS

Career v RHP: 255/306/310 616 OPS

This makes him the perfect no. 2 hitter against right-handed pitchers.

by Gopherballs on Aug 13, 2009 11:59 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

even better

RHH Willie Bloomquist vs. LHP, career: .273/.338/.362 .700 OPS

LHH David DeJesus vs. LHP, career: .268/.332/.369 .701 OPS

I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.

Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.

by devil_fingers on Aug 13, 2009 11:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Signed,

Trey Hillman.

"Do they have people that tall in Mexico?"

by NHZ on Aug 14, 2009 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe you do...

but saying Mark Teahen < Willie Bloomquist in ANY situation is just off.

"Do they have people that tall in Mexico?"

by NHZ on Aug 14, 2009 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And I think pea prices in China are too high!

I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.

Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.

by devil_fingers on Aug 14, 2009 3:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Epic fail

on the reply link here. My bad.

"Do they have people that tall in Mexico?"

by NHZ on Aug 15, 2009 10:05 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Which home/road split is weirder

Willie Bloomquist: 2 triples at home, 5 triples on the road (while the rest of the team has 27 triples at home and 11 on the road).

Mike Jacobs: 11 doubles at home, 1 double on the road (while the rest of the team has 109 doubles at home and 86 on the road)

Graduate with a B.S. from the Dayton Moore School of Stats Analysis

by BHWick on Aug 13, 2009 12:19 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yes

but Bloomquists name is bloomquist BLOOMQUIST

Carlos Guillen, the Latino Nick Punto - BouJouma
Please takeyour latte circle jerk to another thread. -WU
babies are young and under team control for at least 12 years -Billyok
i heard kenny williams' mother bought a lottery ticket and lost so kenny williams traded his mother - Billyok

by The_Fan on Aug 13, 2009 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

at least

it seems that Hillman may finally be starting to play him vs lefties only. With both Anderson and Maier available, there really is no reason for Willie to be starting against a RH anymore.

Actually, I wish they would find a different platoon RH batter than Willie, but I guess we have zero OF prospects available to look at.

Saddest part of this whole thing – Bloomquist will be back next season, and does anybody trust Hillman to not overplay him? I could live with Bloomquist as a true utility player, i.e., a guy getting say 150 PAs for the season – but playing him this much is either stupid, desperate, or both.

Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!

by loyal2sdad on Aug 13, 2009 12:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

a good mix

when he came here, he came as a super UT guy, and Hillman just likes playing him. Its going to be interesting to see who DM throws money this offseason

Carlos Guillen, the Latino Nick Punto - BouJouma
Please takeyour latte circle jerk to another thread. -WU
babies are young and under team control for at least 12 years -Billyok
i heard kenny williams' mother bought a lottery ticket and lost so kenny williams traded his mother - Billyok

by The_Fan on Aug 13, 2009 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry, I must correct your grammar
there really is no reason for Willie to be starting against a RH anymore.

Hopes fade once again from blue to red. Go New Chiefs!!

by kabrink on Aug 14, 2009 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ooh, useful!

“In some ways, you might consider him Mike Jacobs without the power.”

by sterlingice on Aug 13, 2009 12:52 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

333 PA's

so he’s only half evil

Phase 1: Assemble expensive, below average players
Phase 2: ?
Phase 3: CHAMPIONSHIP!
-RoyalsRetro

by ratherfantastic on Aug 13, 2009 12:54 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

the irony of Willie's attempted "power" surge

Is that Kaufman, while pretty neutral as far as scoring goes, depresses HR/FB rate, but is favorable to balls in play.

In other words, Willie’s power plan is fighting against his home park would recommend to him.

I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.

Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.

by devil_fingers on Aug 13, 2009 1:03 PM EDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

You are reading this wrong!

What that actually says, is that if Willie Boom-Boom played in Texas he would be a 25 HR monster. He’s being shafted by the K!

by kcbottom9th on Aug 13, 2009 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i hadn't realized this
In 2008 … wOBA of .321.

so in his career year, he was still well below average. i’ve always felt like Willie had the opportunity to really contribute if he hit reasonably well and kept some sort of decent OBP, but after seeing that i realize i have been wrong all along.

"The life of a (Royals) fan must be lived forward but can only be understood backward" -- Kierkegaard (more or less)

by benfunke on Aug 13, 2009 1:16 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Willie being Willie

I thought last year he was perhaps coming to grips with what he is and approached hitting accordingly. He had only 1 XBH because he seemed to accept doinking singles and working some walks was the best approach for his skillset. And hey he parlayed it into a decent OBP and a two year contract. Now he’s back to his old tricks.

I wonder is there a portion of the KC fanbase that showers a level of adulation upon him that his performance simply doesn’t justify? The grit, the hustle, the Willyness if you will, seems to create faithful disciples. The Bloomybots here always had the “he’s never gotten a real chance to play” card to fall back on. Now he’s playing quite a bit………

Mike Scioscia is fat.

by Big Jared on Aug 13, 2009 4:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That portion of the fanbase that showers adulation upon him

Apparently, this consists entirely of the front office and the KC media. Informed fans, such as those who read and post here, think otherwise.

Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!

by loyal2sdad on Aug 13, 2009 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Earlier on he did have a ton of supporters,

now I’m hearing more “wow, he’s down to .260? He was at .300”

People are realizing that he isn’t a good offensive player.

He can get 4, NOT 5.

by Warden11 on Aug 13, 2009 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

First impressions linger

He dropped below .300 May 25. It’s been a month now since he’s seen .280.

Extremis malis extrema Soria.

by 2X2L on Aug 13, 2009 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What's odd to me

is this constant tooling on Willie Bloomquist and nary a word ever about the loathsome failings of Mark Teahan. I know it’s in vogue to hammer the recent pickups and taboo to say a bad work about Mark, but come one. Would you really rather have Teahan at the plate in a situation with runners in position? Me, I’ll take Willie in that scenario every time.

by LaFLamme on Aug 13, 2009 9:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Seriously?

I don’t even know what to say to that. Teahen is batting 23 points better than Bloomy, 33 points better in OBP. In 98 more PAs, Teahen has 37 XBHs to Willie’s 16. Teahen is basically league average with an OPS+ of 101, while Bloomquist has a 76. In high, medium, and low leverage situations Teahen outperforms Bloomy in OPS by at least 64 points (in medium and low that number is around 100 points).

I’m sorry, but the stats do not even suggest Bloomy is better than, or even the equal of Teahen.

And he’s been here since goddamn 2005, learn to spell his goddamn name. TeahEn. There is no Teahan on the Royals.

by AxDxMx on Aug 14, 2009 2:52 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Looks like you knew what to say after all.

I’m no big TeahEn fan myself, but I totally agree with you. Bloomquist needs to sit on the bench. I still can’t believe he’s “a better CF than DDJ” (paranormalphrase of GMDM)

Hopes fade once again from blue to red. Go New Chiefs!!

by kabrink on Aug 14, 2009 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey, now...

I despise the Moore/Hillman monstrosity as much as the next time.

by LaFLamme on Aug 13, 2009 9:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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