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Flooding the Market: 1B/DH-Types Abound

One development last offseason was that many good hitting but defensively challenged players – or "1B/DH-types" – found a weak market for their services and had to take contracts well below what they would have received in previous years (Adam Dunn, Pat Burrell, Bobby Abreu, etc.). The Royals, however, were unable to take advantage, as they preemptively filled their one open 1B/DH spot by surrendering Leo Nunez to Florida instead of waiting for the Marlins to formally non-tender Mike Jacobs.

This offseason, potential free agent 1B/DH-types will again be plentiful. Here is the list according to Cots (which includes a few "OF" and "3B" whose defense or health are so bad that they really should only DH anymore):

 

Star-divide

Bobby Abreu
Hank Blalock
Russell Branyan
Carlos Delgado
Jason Giambi
Troy Glaus
Ross Gload
Ken Griffey Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero
Aubrey Huff
Nick Johnson
Adam LaRoche
Hideki Matusi
Robb Quinlan
Gary Sheffield
Matt Stairs
Mike Sweeney
Jim Thome
Chad Tracy

 

This list does not include other 1B/DH-types who potentially could be available in trade (Milton Bradley, Lyle Overbay, Pat Burrell) or as non-tenders (Casey Kotchman, Jack Cust, our own Mike Jacobs).

Even accounting for a few players such as Griffey, Stairs, or Sweeney who might retire voluntarily (or involuntarily like Mark Grudzielanek or Kenny Lofton), it quickly becomes apparent that there will be more of these players available than there will be full-time jobs available. As last year showed, this creates a situation where contracts can become downright reasonable.

This offseason may not play out exactly like last offseason with the hysteria over the economy downgraded to level yellow, but teams are still going to be cautious with big contracts. And it is also clear that more teams are properly evaluating defense, so teams as a whole are moving closer to paying defensive-challenged hitters to their actual worth.

The moral of the story is that while it may take more than $5 million to sign Bobby Abreu this offseason, a team should be able to sign a decent hitter to DH or play 1B without spending much money and without a long-term commitment. It is debatable whether the Royals should look to an add a 1B/DH-type (actually, it is several debates, including one about a certain Hawaiian prospect coming off a disappointing year, one about looking for free talent, and one about Jose Guillen – if he is not told to report to spring training in Alaska and promptly set adrift on an ice flow with a $12 million check, he enters the year as the presumptive DH). But if the Royals decide to seek out a 1B/DH-type, the key is patience.

So in other words, Dayton, please keep that 4 year/$50 million offer sheet to Aubrey Huff off your fax machine.

0 recs  |  Comment 14 comments

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My first choices would be...

Ross Gload, Mike Sweeney and Matt Stairs.

by djk royal on Sep 10, 2009 2:44 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

With all the pluses he bring

I guess it would asking too much for him to turn a smooth 3-1. One can dream though…

by PopeSoria on Sep 10, 2009 6:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It depends a lot on

Who gets the most attention but I think it might be worth it to eat Guillen’s salary, non-tender Jacobs, and sign a decent veteran who will put up consistent numbers and get on base as long as he’s cheap.

I’m not very good at estimating demand, but Nick Johnson and Adam Laroche are both people that I would want on my team. Some guy named Mike Sweeney is a cheap roster-filling guy who could get the job done as well but I wouldn’t start a guy like him over Kaaihue or Butler.

I guess given the choice between Kaaihue at league minimum, Sweeney at ~1 million, or Laroche/Johnson at 8,9,10 million a year I’d rather see what the young guy who can take walks has.

Pecota, watch over us.

by castille on Sep 10, 2009 6:50 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Does He Still

Own a glove?

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Sep 11, 2009 1:03 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Jakers, That Is.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Sep 11, 2009 1:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yes, he keeps his chaw in it

"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell

by buddyball on Sep 12, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nick Johnson

I’d like to see Dayton try to swing a deal with Nick Johnson. I suspect he will be avialable for a one or two year deal for not too much money.

And, kill me now, if the Cubs would trade two years of Milton Bradley for $20M for one year of Jose Guillen at $12M I would like to see that deal completed. Might I add, kill me now.

If mistake contracts are going to be handed out to players in that list I wouldn’t be surprised to see Guerrero and Blalock the proud recepients.

www.rockchalktalk.com for pretty good KU baseball coverage

by James Quinn on Sep 11, 2009 4:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

despite thw bad press

Even in a down year for him, bradley has been decent. The fans ire should be directed at soriano.

Bradley and john are strikingly similar as oft-injured guys who can seeming OBP .380+ in their sleep.

I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.

Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.

by devil_fingers on Sep 12, 2009 3:19 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

I think Dayton Moore is much more attracted by slugging percentage than on base percentage, Willie Bloomquist and Bog-O-Crap-Centerfielders signings aside.

God, Adam Dunn would have really helped the team this year. If the Royals hadn’t taken on Jacobs and Jacobs early in the off-season signing him in January would have been a possiblity. That is the “what might have been” that really kills me from this off season.

The more recent “what might have been” that is still smarting. Dayton Moore DID NOT put in a waiver claim on Matt Murton a few weeks ago. What the hell was that about?!?! Really, what the hell made him look at Matt Murton and Josh Anderson and think, “yeah, Anderson is better. Let’s stick with him going forward.”

www.rockchalktalk.com for pretty good KU baseball coverage

by James Quinn on Sep 14, 2009 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

above should have read

“If the Royals hadn’t taken on Jacobs and CRISP early in the off-season signing him in January would have been a possiblity.”

www.rockchalktalk.com for pretty good KU baseball coverage

by James Quinn on Sep 14, 2009 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Its not Justin Huber

But I just noticed former Royals farmhand Randy Ruiz has a .875 OPS in 91 PAs with Toronto. He has seven home runs already, almost half of Mike Jacobs total. Oh and he was a minor league FA. There are guys like this available every winter for free.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Sep 11, 2009 11:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

A couple of years from now,

you will be able to insert “Kila Ka’ahuie” for Randy Ruiz. Just not for the Royals.

I used to work with an old man that told me. Son, every workplace has a dumbass, if you don't have one where you work, then I'm afraid you're it.

by Warden11 on Sep 12, 2009 1:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thome

I would like them to sign Thome to DH and provide some leadership in the clubhouse. He would show these young guys how a big leaguer conducts business and carries himself. Don’t even mention the name of cancers like Bradley and Sheffield who would set us back another 10 years. Nick Johnson might be ok.

by lotlizard29 on Sep 21, 2009 12:01 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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