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2010:  Reality

There are currently a lot of posts about the 2010 Royals and the roster moves they can make to compete next year.  I just want to say that most of them are misguided and nothing more than wishful thinking.

Star-divide

My main objections to these post are with the following claims.

  • "The Royals can cut or trade Jose Guillen" No we cannot.  He's owed a ridiculous $12 Million next year.  Nobody else is going to pay his salary, much less give us any prospects for the pleasure.  It's just not going to happen.
  • "The Royals should trade David DeJesus"  Why in the world would we trade one of our best players who has a very favorable contract?  Apparently these KC fans under-value DDJ.  He's very dependable, durable and, dare I say, consistent.  Since June, he's hitting .306/.377/.464/.841.  He had a bad start to the season but c'mon, we need him on this team.
  • "The Royals will sign some free agents this off-season"  Actually the Royals will probably reduce payroll this off-season -- I'd say in the neighborhood of $5 Million.  I fully expect the Royals to turn to cheaper (ie internal) options for next years' roster.  Say goodbye to two of Coco Crisp, Mike Jacobs and Miguel Olivo (probably Crisp and Jacobs) and hello to some minor leaguers.  Same for the bullpen.  Expect Glass to be pacing himself in 2010 and pooling resources for 2011 when the Jose Guillen debacle is finally off the books. 

Let this be a reality check.  I think the tighter budget will actually help Moore.  There will be no more 2yr/$9MM contracts this off-season.  If Moore thinks the Royals can contend in 2010, Glass is putting a stop to that with the payroll reduction.  Even though 2009 started and ended well, there's no reason to think we can contend in 2010.  I'm glad that Glass realizes this even if some fans and Dayton Moore don't. 

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He’s very dependable, durable and, dare I say, consistent.

yes, you can depend on davey to be terrible on the bases.

durable?…really?

consistent in the incredible rate at which he can inject ‘ya know’ into his interviews

putting aside my davey hatred, it makes no sense to keep him around. He’s decent and he’s relatively cheap. He’s also likely on the downslide. He has no value on this team unless you’re really concerned about 72 wins instead of 70 in 2010. He could have some value to a contender though….and he could bring us some value for the 2011-2017 years when we’re hopefully competing consistently.

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Sep 23, 2009 5:35 PM EDT reply actions  

if you're going to use the 72 wins argument

you can justify getting rid of everyone. I know you hate DDJ and that’s fine. But the Royals need someone on offense besides Billy Butler and I think DDJ is good for that.

The Alex Gordon era - www.number4thesmirk.com

by CollininCalifornia on Sep 23, 2009 6:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Because the target date for contention (for most RR readers from what I've gathered)

is 2011-12. By that time, DDJ’s value will most likely be much lower than it is now. Ship him for a couple of AA guys who will be around for that year.

I used to work with an old man that told me. Son, every workplace has a dumbass, if you don't have one where you work, then I'm afraid you're it.

by Warden11 on Sep 23, 2009 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Those AA guys

Aren’t ever going to be worth what DDJ brings in value. No one’s going to give top-flight can’t miss prospects for DDJ, and anything less isn’t worth losing him.

If you look closely, it really says "CentralChamps2012."

by CentralChamps2009 on Sep 25, 2009 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

4 years down the road, the AA player could easily be worth what DDJ is worth.

Not to mention, DDJ could be an 8 WAR player next year and the Royals still won’t make the playoffs. Might as well get some help for the future.

I honestly don’t get what’s so hard to understand about that.

I used to work with an old man that told me. Son, every workplace has a dumbass, if you don't have one where you work, then I'm afraid you're it.

by Warden11 on Sep 25, 2009 5:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

it must be difficult....

the $5 million man…dm…cant figure it out

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Sep 26, 2009 6:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rather than replacing Jamey Wright in the bullpen

I think Disco Hayes is better suited to replacing Dayton Moore in the Front Office.

I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at Driveline Mechanics.

Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.

by Matt Klaassen on Sep 26, 2009 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Guillen can be cut

Something tells me Glass frowns on a wasted $12M though. Best case scenario, he starts hot and we trade him and pay a signifcant portion of his salary. Is that likely? I’d say it’s probably 1 in a million.

by AxDxMx on Sep 23, 2009 7:10 PM EDT reply actions  

What will happen

We’ll bring back most everyone, trade Teahen for a crappy center fielder, sign a vet, over the hill starting pitcher like Brandon Backe, or maybe a reclamation project like Daniel Cabrera, and Dayton will think we’re pretty close to contending if we stay healthy.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Sep 24, 2009 11:54 AM EDT reply actions  

Mark Teahen for Gary Matthews Jr.

Make it happen Dayton!

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Sep 24, 2009 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

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