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What if we had signed Vlad?

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Since it appears to be my lot in life to shake up the boring consensus at Royals Review, I ask: What would the analysis here have been if we'd signed Guerrero? Does the risk-reward scenario change? Or is he just another guy keeping fill-in-the-blank outfielder in AAA or on the bench? Or does his history---contrary to Pods' history---make the deal seem better? - TL