Your Podsednik Contract Update
Per multiple sources, the Podsednik contract is a one year deal, with an option for a second. Unclear on what kind of option and how much money at this point. However, according to Mellinger, the option is "complicated".
Um, ok.
You can probably guess my reaction, although if we escape with only a one year commitment here, I'm happy. At this point, I'm more bummed for Mitch Maier than anything else. Consider it the scrub cycle: I root for these guys at the beginning, when they really need a break to have careers and truly cash in, and when they're at a point age wise when they might surprise a little. Podzilla was that guy six or seven years ago. Not now.
(And read Matt's take now at fangraphs, if you haven't already.)
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I can't wait to see what absurd incentives are in this
$25,000 for World Series MVP
$50,000 for Gold Glove
$75,000 for Top Ten MVP balloting
$15,000 per stolen base
$20,000 per Web Gem
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
don't forget $10,000 for playing time incentives reached
at 37, 38, 49, 59, 78, 98, 101, 152, 178, 201, 253, 254, 300, 301, 333, 409, 417, 510, 798 plate appearances
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 4:45 PM EST up reply actions
trust the process
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 6:42 PM EST up reply actions
No way is Omar winning!
Did you not read the post? DF posted very clearly that he is behind!
Nice post by the way DF. I was unaware of the contest but am fully aware now!
Coffee. The NEW Performance Enhancing drug for Sport's Writers. Just ask Ken Rosenthal.
Let's Trust the Contest
there’s PLENTY of offseason left
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 7:13 PM EST up reply actions
Minaya just needs to stay close...
you know he’s gonna trade Fmart, Mejjia and Niese for a SP when they’re 9 games back on May 20
Fire Everyone
by billybeingbilly on Jan 8, 2010 9:12 PM EST up reply actions
CLUTCH!
Make it be Meche
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 9:34 PM EST up reply actions
let's wait and see how much money Delgado and Molina get
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 7:17 PM EST up reply actions
What if we just scale up Dayton's transactions?
because you know he’d outspend Minaya for them if he could.
true
Just like any comparison, we need to adjust for context.
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 8:01 PM EST up reply actions
Holy crap
we signed a guy who actually had an OPS+ over 100 once (and an OPS+ of 98 last year)
and an OPS+ of 77 from 2004 to 2008. Par for the course
Ralph Wiggum would be a better GM than Dayton Moore
Is there any update on the "speedy outfielder" DM mentoned last night?
I mean, he couldn’t have been talking about Podsednik, could he?
by Black and Gold on Jan 8, 2010 4:47 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
I'm guessing Usain Bolt
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
by RoyalsRetro on Jan 8, 2010 5:37 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
I'm guessing the "complicated option"
Is that it vests into a 7yr/$49m deal if the Royals are at any point above .500. If they are, then as we all know, we have a talented team on our hands, whatever the final record, and it makes sense to lock up talent before the bastard Yankees swoop in.
Via Ken Rosenthal on Twitter (does it feel strange to anyone else to get news from there?):
Podsednik – 1 yr., 1.75M plus inctvs that could bring him to 2M. 2M club option for ’11 plus inctvs that he can void with 525 PAs in 2010.
Contract wise, that’s not too bad. Here’s to hoping DM is getting a bit better at not completely overpaying.
He can void it if he plays a lot?
Weird.
And we can probably take $2m to the bank in Daytonomics. Awful.
Well, if he plays a lot...
and therefore presumably plays well (by the Royals’ standards at least), then Pods can void the CLUB option at $2M+ incentives to become a FA again after the 2010 season. Makes sense to me.
Then Dayton can give him a completely ridiculous, long-term contract after Pods’ agent convinces Dayton that there are “at least” 3 other straw-teams that are willing to go 3/$15M on Scotty.
"Now…put that in your [BLEEP]ing pipe and smoke it." -Hal McRae
"I was doing this when BJ was in his father's nutsack." -Renzo Gracie
by Sweep_the_Leg on Jan 8, 2010 5:21 PM EST up reply actions
Scotty Pods is a privilege.....
not a right……and don’t forget it.
Turning Kool-Aid to Jesus Juice since 2009.
by Discodave on Jan 8, 2010 5:02 PM EST reply actions 3 recs
I'm guessing that the option is a team option that allows them to buyout Pods ...
… if the Royals obtain a suckier ex-Mariner or ex-Brave. Plus a player option that allows him to reup with the Royals for 2011 if he is traded to the White Sox and they subsequently release him.
BTW
Maier’s 2009 OPS+ was 78. Maier is turning 28 in 2010.
But Maier was never a World Series winning White Sox like Podsednik.
How the hell Podsednik condensed 2/3rds of his HRs over 882 games into 308 games with the Brewers is weird. 21 HRs in 308 games, 14 HRs in the other 574 games
Ralph Wiggum would be a better GM than Dayton Moore
When you consider this
The slow rate is 1 HR per 41 games, and the fast rate is 1 per 14.7 games, it seems odd because he’s hitting them at a rate roughly 2.5 times faster, but the fact that the numbers are so low may mean it’s just random noise.
Then again I see Kabrink’s “NL?” post, and I have to think that that is part of it.
I'm happy with the signing.
At least between Podsednik, Anderson, and Maier, we have a chance for centerfield to be productive—-offensively and defensively—-this year provided everyone stays healthy. – TL
uh
I don’t think 3 guys who are going to produce sub-80 OPS+ will add up to be productive offensively
Ralph Wiggum would be a better GM than Dayton Moore
by BHWick on Jan 8, 2010 5:26 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
There's just no way...
…you can say this for sure. You have two young guys with potential and one older guy who produces when he stays healthy. So, your numbers really do mean little.
Fixed for ya
one older guy who produces when he stays healthy young.
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
by RoyalsRetro on Jan 8, 2010 5:38 PM EST up reply actions 2 recs
Mitch Maier is approaching his peak year after a 78 OPS+ over 397 PA.
Anderson is also approaching his peak year, with a career OPS+ of 69, and an OPS+ of 78 over the last two years.
As noted above, Podsednik has an OPS+ of 77 from 2004 to 2007. Podsednik’s peak year was 2003 and he has drawn a salary since then based on being a fast white guy who is popular.
The only way that you can pull the “Podsednik will be worth it when he’s healthy” card is if you think that a 34 year old centerfielder in this stadium with this training staff is going to stay healthy. It’s not like he keeps having fluke injuries, the injuries are a result of how he plays the game.
Oh yeah, Maier and Anderson are turning 28 in 2010. And hell, perhaps their best year won’t be 2010. What if Maier totally bombs in 2010 and we find that his peak was 2009?
Ralph Wiggum would be a better GM than Dayton Moore
We got a whole new training staff
BTW, it’s pronounced Dr. Frawnk-en-schteeen.
Air Cassel - approved for takeoff
Always in motion is the future.
-- Yoda
by kabrink on Jan 8, 2010 6:42 PM EST up reply actions 2 recs
What happen to Dr. Nick?

Will Ebners Hit Parade, Pain TV; Channel 32; All the time! (PDT)
by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on Jan 8, 2010 6:50 PM EST up reply actions
maier and anderson are not that young
Fire Everyone
by billybeingbilly on Jan 8, 2010 6:15 PM EST up reply actions
Everyone say hello
to timlacy the TROLL.
You always run contrary to popular opinion here, and you’re rarely right. You’d think you’d learn.
I admit to being a bit nasty to tim sometimes
but let’s all take a deep breathe here
Not a moderator here or anything, and I’m not singling you out AxDxMx, but I’d like to think we can all be cool.
Although it’s hard when we’re all being SO UNFAIR to a great baseball executive.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 6:46 PM EST up reply actions
I'm not really being mean
If I came off that way, I’m sorry tim.
It’s nice to have your own thoughts and go against the flow sometimes, timlacy just seems to do it all the time.
Boo the xxx ADM guy.
ISD. 3 days for disrespect.
Coffee. The NEW Performance Enhancing drug for Sport's Writers. Just ask Ken Rosenthal.
I'll be working all weekend anyways.
I just get tired of seeing him parrot the company line.
this year provided everyone stays healthy
Yes, injuries were the problem, most definitely.
i'm all for TL saying whatever he wants
and i’d generally agree that having three decent options in CF would be a good thing. my disagreement is that two of them are not very good, and those same two are overpaid. Maier would be my choice for full-time, and the other two are just expensive/useless backups that stand to rob Maier of PT. If the team needed wins, then 3 guys have a better chance at doing well than 1, but the team doesn’t need wins, it needs production in the long run.
Conversation b/t Special baseball operations consultant Zapp Brannigan and GM Dayton Moore: "...but paper covers rock and rock crushes scissors...we have a conundrum. Get me some paper, a rock, and some scissors."
by SagehenMacGyver47 on Jan 8, 2010 7:39 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Without The Injuries
We coulda been contenders......for 3rd place........maybe
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 8, 2010 8:53 PM EST up reply actions
It seems like the only time I come here lately
Is to feel some sympathy whenever Dayton Moore makes another horrible signing.
Can we start the Fire Dayton Pool yet? I’m going with November 10, 2011.
Also, we are now one former Royal (and free agent!) away from reconstruction the 2006 White Sox outfield.
Twitter: awolfson0
He'll be fired after this season.
No way he survives after losing 100 with a Cy Young winner on the team. Dayton will be canned as soon as the 2010 World Series finishes crowning Jack Z, and to a lesser extent the Mariners, champion of the universe.
it's really, really hard to lose 100 games
Dayton should be fired ASAP, but if you’re hoping for that… well, even last season’s team had bad luck. Consisten tlow-70s win totals shouldn’t save a guy’s job, of course, but lose 100 is a monumental task.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 6:47 PM EST up reply actions
And yet, the Royals are so good at losing 100
2010 Quick Projection using 2009 as a guide:
DeJesus, Callaspo, Butler, Gordon (2.5 WAR jump!) = 3 WAR x 4 = 12
Instead of going negative, everyone else = 0 WAR
Greinke = 8
Banny, Hochevar, Meche, Davies (or whoever starts, ie Tejeda), Soria = 2 each x 5 = 10
Everyone else = 0.
That’s 30 WAR, and we lost 4.3 in Buck, Olivo, and Crisp.
The Book says 38 WAR is average in the AL, so the Royals are 8 wins below average by that. So assuming “average” is 81-81, that means replacement is 43 wins + 30 WAR = 73 wins. Yet, last year, the Royals only won 65. Take away Buck, Olivo, and Crisp’s 4.3 WAR and the Royals definitely lost 100. So basically, I think the Royals true talent lies somewhere in the middle. But that won’t be the case if Getz plays over Callaspo and Fields plays over Gordon. Then you are looking at 24-26 WAR (assuming they are 1 WAR players), and you are staring at least 100 square in the face at 67-69 projected wins. It doesn’t take much luck to slide that, and the Royals always have plenty of bad luck to spare.
Royals hitters in 2009 = 6.9 WAR
Royals pitchers in 2009 = 19.9 WAR
Total = 27 WAR
Projects to: 70 Wins – 5 games bad luck = 65 wins.
The biggest difference between 2009 and 2010? My projection that Gordon will be at least as valuable as Butler at 3 WAR, which accounts for almost all of the difference between 2009 and 2010.
I know this is rambling. I apologize.
Don't forget
A Pool would be to guess when he WILL get fired, not when we think he should. That’s why I feel shaky going with anything before the end of the 2011 season. The excuses for 2010 are already made.
Twitter: awolfson0
I think Dayton and Trey
both get canned after the Royals lose a hundred games in 2010. Glass used to run Wal-Mart, right? He’s results-oriented to a fault, right? He is the personification of American corporateness, is he not? There’s no way any competitive company would keep on a CEO and a VP of operations with the terrible results of the Treyton management team.
Either that, or Glass is someone who is tremendously successful in one field but who can’t find his ass with both hands when he tries another one. Michael Jordan went from being a great basketball player to an unsuccessful baseball player. Mussolini was a terrific populist demagogue who found military leadership just wasn’t his thing. Ezra Pound was a famous poet who wasn’t much good at political propaganda. William Shatner was a fine actor who never should have embarked on a singing career. ( http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NN3MGN899yE ). John Holmes was an outstanding porn star who found himself in over his head when he tried out a life of crime. (No video available.)
It's pronounced Poo-ZHOLS in Catalan.
Sadly,
going with an outfield of Podsednik in LF, Maier in CF, and DDJ in RF would actually have a chance to outproduce the more likely 2010 cofiguration of DDJ in LF, Pod in CF, and Guillen in RF, with Maier in Omaha.
Mr Glass, this is a pro sports team, not a retail store - run it like one!
Yeah, if he wants to play 3 CFers out there
then I like this move. Unfortunately, it will be just like you said, and the defense will be ugly except for LF.
i would expect maier in RF
with DDJ LF and Old Man Pods in CF (MITCH has the best arm iirc)
Conversation b/t Special baseball operations consultant Zapp Brannigan and GM Dayton Moore: "...but paper covers rock and rock crushes scissors...we have a conundrum. Get me some paper, a rock, and some scissors."
by SagehenMacGyver47 on Jan 8, 2010 7:41 PM EST up reply actions
Came home from a hard day at work to find this gem of a signing...
YYYYYYYYYEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
My excitement could not be contained by this page...
SSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Does this picture help represent your excitement?
I know it does mine.

Will Ebners Hit Parade, Pain TV; Channel 32; All the time! (PDT)
by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on Jan 8, 2010 6:41 PM EST up reply actions
I wonder if ratherfantastic takes the offseason off or if he has been driven off?
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 6:42 PM EST up reply actions
I think I've seen him over at RMN perhaps as recently as yesterday
Will Ebners Hit Parade, Pain TV; Channel 32; All the time! (PDT)
by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on Jan 8, 2010 6:44 PM EST up reply actions
awesome
Will Ebners Hit Parade, Pain TV; Channel 32; All the time! (PDT)
by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on Jan 8, 2010 6:46 PM EST up reply actions
now, if this move opens up a 3 team deal where we trade away Callaspo and DDJ and get more White Sox bench bats
Ralph Wiggum would be a better GM than Dayton Moore
Omar Vizquel and Brent Lillibridge here we come
what and awesome trio of SSes we have
Lillibridge is, naturally, an inevitability
![]()
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 8:03 PM EST up reply actions
I can see them getting bailed out by an injury
Otherwise yeah, no way they decline it
Twitter: awolfson0
we'll renegotiate and
give him 2011 guaranteed and a 2012 option
Ralph Wiggum would be a better GM than Dayton Moore
Forgotten in all this
after the Royals release Betancourt after 2011, MITCH will be traded to the the Twins for Brendan Harris. While MITCH has a few decent years as a league-minimum 1 WAR 4th OF, Harris (who will be in arb years for the Royals, of course) will bounce around 2B, SS, and the 3B for the Royalsfor a season, put up sub-replacement level numbers with putrid offense and defense, and, in the grand traditoin of Joey Gathright and MIke Jacobs, be released.
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
well, it's sort of like the St. Louis dilemma
they needed to sign Holliday in order to convince Pujols they were comitted to winning, but will that mean that they don’t have enough left to resign Pujols?
We needed to sign Jason Benchdall (clever!) in order to show Willie BallGame we’re commited to winning, but will there be enough money left.
Maybe, but it’s going to make the decision on whether to offer Alex arb in 2010-11 pretty tough.
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jan 8, 2010 9:52 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
no, we need to trade for Costa
another average fielder, no power bat in the line-up
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
Trey Can't Fill
Out a lineup card with Ka’aihue on it…….literally.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 8, 2010 10:28 PM EST up reply actions
3 team deal
Maier to Omaha, Kaaihue to Japan, and we’ll get a crappy relief pitcher from Japan
Ralph Wiggum would be a better GM than Dayton Moore
Yasahiko Returns!
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 8, 2010 10:29 PM EST up reply actions
Not as bad as the Kendall deal
but that’s not saying much. Maybe I’m just getting numb to horrible deals. This team is going to be awful next year. Anybody who thinks 100 loses is a stretch is crazy. This very easily could be the worst team in the league next year.
Yes, I'm still alive. Sorry to disappoint you.
Tonight
The Star posts a story where DM says DDJ could be moved back to CF and Pods could be LF. Moving DDJ back to CF might be smart but that means we signed Pods to play LF which makes the move even worse (if that is even possible).
yeah
brilliant… just a year ago, DDJ definitely “couldn’t stick at CF”, now they’re moving him back for Scott Freaking Podsednik
Let’s just trust the—
screw it
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jan 9, 2010 12:42 AM EST up reply actions
Let's just trust the regression to mean
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 9, 2010 4:58 AM EST up reply actions
I just figured out the plan.
4 outfielders. Like slow pitch softball. No shortstop. As compared to putting Yuni at short, what’s the difference?
by Black and Gold on Jan 9, 2010 12:50 AM EST up reply actions
leaving royals for mariners
hi you all
i am sick of it. terrible thinking, and a lot of terrible baseball.
i have put myself through enough hell for the last 25 years. Screw this! I am now going to become a Mariners fan. Dr. Z makes the moves that make sense…i need sanity, not the insanity of the Royales on McDonald-type fast food cheese.
love you all….jump off this ship as soon as you can – we’re all pathetic for having been on it for so long.
Good riddance
As soon as the M’s have a couple of bad seasons you’ll be jumping onto the next bandwagon. Please don’t come back.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 9, 2010 10:47 AM EST up reply actions
did you want some attention with that statment?
Or were you just hoping we would all say …. “don’t leave!” We need you!
Coffee. The NEW Performance Enhancing drug for Sport's Writers. Just ask Ken Rosenthal.
I've been a Royals fan for 34 years
and I actually tried once, during one of the 100 loss seasons (05 or 06 maybe) to give it up. Stopping reading websites, stopped paying attention to the games, etc. Tried to follow the Cubs, who I generally like. It lasted about 2 weeks. Ive got too much time and history invested in this franchise. No matter how many games they lose and how many Jason Kendall’s they sign, I’ll still be a fan. It’s a curse.
by Black and Gold on Jan 9, 2010 1:34 PM EST up reply actions
I feel you man
I’ve tried this before, and I keep on coming back…but so much of my adult life has been scarred by this losing. I just moved to Boston, and I hear tales of how it was before they finally won. I feel like those old Boston fans…I need to jump or at least avoid Royals until they are good.
NYRoyal – you are an ass. I remember how you used to worship the ground of DM and defend him at every turn, and then you had to put your foot in your mouth. You are not just ass in fact, you are an ornery ass. My guess is you are one of those assholes who is responsible for the gentrification of the city, and feels no qualms about it.
I Am Gentrifying
Nikiski as I post. Deal with it.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 10, 2010 11:00 PM EST up reply actions
Would you just shut up and leave already?
. I remember how you used to worship the ground of DM and defend him at every turn
No, you don’t. I never worshipped him. I liked the good moves and disliked the bad moves, period.
Now, since you’ve quit the Royals you should go. Calling me an ass and an asshole will get you suspended, so no one will have to deal with your pathetic half-assed “fandom”.
The immoderate moderator
by Scott McKinney on Jan 10, 2010 11:30 PM EST up reply actions
GMDM Deserved The
Chance to dig his own grave. It appears he may have done so already. He’s a few scoops from completion. The farm could rescue him, but I’m not holding my breath.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jan 11, 2010 1:34 AM EST up reply actions
This is a much crappier signing than I had thought
$1 million for Podsednik for one year might make some sense if you really had a hole in your squad, and needed a backup outfielder who could play center, and you had some room in the budget. $1.75 million makes absolutely no sense for any team, much less the Royals, who already have too many mediocre overpaid players.
And what are the incentives going to be? Five grand for every game he doesn’t make an error? Two thousand for hitting the ball out of the infield? Five hundred for showing up to practice on time?
Guess I shouldn’t take my disgust out on the player; it’s not his fault Moore signed him to a stupid contract. Good for him. He’s a marginal guy just trying to hang on, and at least he’ll probably bust his ass, which is more fun to watch than José Guillén not giving a shit.
It's pronounced Poo-ZHOLS in Catalan.
So our lineup for next year is:
C Kendall
1B Butler
2B Callaspo
SS Betancourt
3B Gordon
RF Guillén
CF Podsednik
LF DeJesus
DH Bloomquist
God, that’s a bad team.
It's pronounced Poo-ZHOLS in Catalan.
OK, it's more likely to be
1B Callaspo
2B Getz
DH Butler
which doesn’t make it much better.
It's pronounced Poo-ZHOLS in Catalan.
Your 7-8-9-1-2 hitters:
Getz – Kendall – Betancourt – Podsednik – Bloomquist
on DDJ off days (or if he gets traded), add Brian Anderson to the mix your 6 hitter.
Unless I'm wrong...
My Twitter feed
You know what's really sad?
Podsednik is probably the Royals’ sixth-best non-pitcher, after Butler, DeJesus, Callaspo, Gordon. and Getz.
It's pronounced Poo-ZHOLS in Catalan.
so, we upgraded the talent level on the team!
it goes down as a win for GMDM!
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
This is true...
Hopefully he has a year like last year and hits .300.
I don’t get it… we aren’t happy with Callaspo and his .300 year because of his defense so we bring in another .300 hitter who is average at best according to the metrics… did I miss something here?
Coffee. The NEW Performance Enhancing drug for Sport's Writers. Just ask Ken Rosenthal.
Be prepared for a lot of this:
“Farnsworth delivers…fastball…it’s a looping line drive to right …Guillén coming in, now backpedaling …and the ball sails over his head…Podsednik trips over him and it bounces into the corner …now Guillén up with the ball and throws to second… there’s nobody there and two runs are in … now Betancourt has the ball behind third base … the throw reaches Kendall too late to get Stairs… and it’s scored an inside-the-park home run.”
It's pronounced Poo-ZHOLS in Catalan.
The $1.5m salary difference for one
The extra win over replacement for two.
The 50 point difference in OPS (In a Podsednik career year) for three.
The .30 point BABIP difference for three (Pods: .341, Callaspo: .311) and the fact that Podsednik’s mysteriously shot up over previous years, and Callapo’s didn’t.
Batting average is a lousy talent evaluator for four.
BTW, I love the current website subtitle
Moore’s front office as a guerilla theater performance piece actually makes sense.
The immoderate moderator
What question could possibly be formulated for which the answer is "Scott Podsednik + an opton year as an OF regular"?
Seriously? How sorry is to be in a situation in which that is even remotely possible?
I don't have a problem with this pick up.
Pods will probably be our second best outfielder behind DDJ. If he hits .300 and steals 20 plus bases that would be an upgrade, albeit a small one, from last season CF. We could do worse, and have many times before, with an outfield of DDJ, Pods, and Mitch. Pods was relatively cheap and it is only for one year with an option. It is a much better deal than the Kendall/Farnsworth/Guillen signings.
And why is that a better choice to make than picking up a guy who is more likely to have value at the trade deadline?
You can’t just look at one decision by itself and determine whether it is a good decision. You need to also look at the other options that were available.
Let’s say you’ve got runners on second and third, two out, down one run, and the pitcher due up. Willie Bloomquist and Billy Butler are on the bench. You don’t get a pass if you send up Bloomquist just because that’s better than sending the pitcher up to the plate.
It’s the same thing here – and with Kendall. It’s not that the deals are huge cripplers. They’re small deals. The fervor of the comments here isn’t about those deals. It’s about the the thinking that goes into them.
And the frustration of being a fan of a team that persistently, repeatedly, and blatantly shows that their approach to building a successful club is quite different from what you believe in.
1) Mitch “MITCH” Maier is better than Podsednik. That is not a compliment to MITCH. Mitch might bit worse as a hitter, but while MITCH is probably around average defensively in center, Podsednik is around average defensively in LEFT — that’s about 10 runs/season difference.
2) Scott Posednik hit .304 last season for the first time since 2003, although he did his .290 in… wait for it… 2005! To put it in perspective, he hit .253 in 2008 for the Rockies, who play in the biggest BABIP park in baseball.
3) Scott Podsednik steals a lot of bases. He also gets caught a lot. According to BP’s EQSBR, here is how many runs above/below average Podsednik has added to his team with his SB/CS abilities over the last five years:
2009 -2.09
2008 +0.93
2007 -0.21
2006 -1.90
2005 +0.35
That’s right… over the last five years, Podsednik’s basestealing has hurt his teams far more than it has helped them.
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by Matt Klaassen on Jan 9, 2010 2:10 PM EST up reply actions
i'd expect mitch to field better AND hit better
Pods is a good bet to post a sub .700 OPS again, Mitch is a good bet to post a super .700 OPS. After all, Pods cleared .700 for the first time in 5 seasons last year, despite playing in Colorado and Milwaukee for five seasons.
In other words, 2009 has fluke written all over it. I think CHONE’s actually too generous in its assignment of a .271/.328/.349 line for 2010. (It’s not too far off from what will likely happen, though.) CHONE has Mitch hitting very slightly worse, but I’m much more optimistic.
Mitch is a pretty terrible hitter
but he’s also 28, whereas Pods is 34 had a good year with the bat in 2009 fueld by … wait for it… his highest BABIP since 2005 at an unsustainable (given his LD%) ~.340… Coincidentally, 2005 was also the last time pre-2009 that Pods was above replacement level.
Keep in mind that Pods had a couple years in Colorado for some horrible years, too, one of the most BABIP-friendly parks in the league.
MITCH is probably 10 runs better than Podsednik defensively over a full season.
For whatever it’s worth, my projection “system” spits out roughly equal offensive projections for MITCH and Pods for 2010.
MITCH: .256/.338/.362, .313 wOBA, -8/150
Pods: .269/.324/.384, .313 wOBA, -8/150
I'm not a sabermetrician, but I do play one at FanGraphs.
Can't get enough of me? Check out my Twitter feed.
by Matt Klaassen on Jan 11, 2010 10:56 AM EST up reply actions
don't forget
that RF is actually going to be Guillen. Sshhhhh, stop! No, it doesn’t have to make sense. It just is.
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