2010 Player Projections - Mitch Maier

by Jeff Zimmerman on Mar 24, 2010 10:00 AM EDT

It has been a while since I have posted one of these and I will try to knock out a few before Opening Day. With Will's discussion on Mitch Maier, I will piggy back him.

Standard Projections

Season	Type	G	PA	H	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	SB	CS	AVG
2010	Bill James	101	318	78	54	17	2	5	25	50	7	3	0.266
2010	CHONE	137	485	116	84	23	3	6	38	86	7	4	0.262
2010	Marcel		408	92	67	16	3	6	38	75	7	3	0.257
2010	Zips		485	120	88	22	3	7	35	83	9	4	0.268
2010	All Fans (19)	105	416	100	75	18	2	5	38	70	9	2	0.265
2010	Other Fans (5)	93	376	88	71	12	1	4	33	65	7	2	0.257
2010	Team Fans (14)	109	431	104	76	21	2	6	40	72	9	2	0.266

Advanced Projections
Season	Type	BB/K	OBP	SLG	OPS	BABIP	wRC	wRAA	wOBA
2010	Bill James	0.5	0.328	0.389	0.717	0.307	34.8	-3.3	0.316
2010	CHONE	0.44	0.326	0.368	0.694	0.313	50.4	-7.7	0.310
2010	Marcel	0.51	0.333	0.369	0.702	0.308	43.6	-5.3	0.313
2010	Zips	0.42	0.323	0.378	0.701	0.317	52	-6.1	0.314
2010	All Fans (19)	0.54	0.333	0.364	0.698	0.309	44.7	-5.5	0.313
2010	Other Fans (5)	0.51	0.325	0.332	0.657	0.299	35.4	-10	0.297
2010	Team Fans (14)	0.56	0.336	0.372	0.708	0.314	47.9	-4.1	0.317

Value Projections
Season	Type	Batting	Fielding	Replacement	Positional	RAR	WAR	Dollars
2010	All Fans (19)	-5.5	1.5	13.9	-1	8.9	0.9	$4.00
2010	Other Fans (5)	-10	-0.6	12.5	-3.2	-1.2	-0.1	-$0.50
2010	Team Fans (14)	-4.1	2.6	14.4	-0.6	12.3	1.2	$5.50

Poll

Will Mitch Maier do better than the CHONE projection of: 137 games, 485 PA, 116 hits, 6 HRs, 0.262/0.326/0.368, .310 wOBA?

Better

199 votes

Same

76 votes

Worse

96 votes

371 votes | Poll has closed

Tweet Comment 14 comments | 1 recs |

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Comments

I am taking worse on the playing time.

I would love to see that line though. 137 games would be great. 37 games may be more like it.

- .-. ..- … – / – …. . / .—. .-. - .. . … …

by Jeff Zimmerman on Mar 24, 2010 10:02 AM EDT reply actions

I was thinking the same thing.

Maybe someone will go down with an, oh I don’t know, ankle injury or something like that. Definitely possible.

by MinnesotaRoyal on Mar 24, 2010 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions

Thats why I had to vote worse

I think if he got the playing time he could put up that line pretty easily but I don’t see him getting into 137 games.

by TXroyal on Mar 24, 2010 11:06 AM EDT up reply actions

because I think his offensive numbers would be better if he actually got to play in 137 games. If they keep him and if injuries hit—which is inevitable with this OF—to give him consistent playing time, he’ll do at least this well.

That seems like a more appropriate name.

by CentralChamps20?? on Mar 24, 2010 10:14 AM EDT reply actions

true

137 games would be fantastic… Honestly though, it’s a little bit sad that were all hoping against all hope that this guy starts in cf, he’s really just a 4th outfielder at best. Well, at least we will have lough/parraz ready by next season. I’d be much more upset if one of them got hosed in favor of a crappy old player with “tools.”

by kcfan92 on Mar 24, 2010 10:18 AM EDT reply actions

Better, if he manages to get that much PT

I think that OBP is on the low side and the SLG is very low. It’s like he’d barely be slugging higher than his batting average. I think he started to show a little pop at the end of last season and through this spring. Add in his tendency to show significant improvement in his second year at each level and I think he would outperform that line by a decent amount while playing solid defense. In other words, he’s maybe our 2nd best outfielder behind DDJ.

Uh, that’s pretty sad. Especially considering he’ll probably be on the bench or even in AAA for most of the year. Here’s hoping Rick Ankiel surprises us all and hits 30 dingers this year, justifying his spot on the team. I can’t see much hope for Podsednik or Anderson proving they should be on the 25 Man as anything other than depth.

by Soria's Unibrow on Mar 24, 2010 10:50 AM EDT reply actions