Let's look at another player projection this Spring Training. Luke Hochevar gets the nod today and thanks to Fangraphs.com for the data.
| Standard Projections | |||||||||||||
| Season | Type | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO |
| 2010 | Bill James | 7 | 12 | 4.95 | 29 | 29 | 171 | 191 | 23 | 58 | 121 | ||
| 2010 | CHONE | 7 | 11 | 4.81 | 28 | 28 | 161 | 181 | 93 | 86 | 21 | 55 | 108 |
| 2010 | Marcel | 7 | 12 | 5.25 | 144 | 158 | 95 | 84 | 19 | 50 | 102 | ||
| 2010 | All Fans (70) | 9 | 11 | 4.74 | 29 | 28 | 166 | 218 | 94 | 87 | 20 | 50 | 127 |
| 2010 | Other Fans (54) | 9 | 11 | 4.76 | 29 | 28 | 164 | 218 | 94 | 87 | 20 | 50 | 125 |
| 2010 | Team Fans (16) | 11 | 11 | 4.69 | 28 | 28 | 172 | 225 | 97 | 90 | 21 | 52 | 134 |
| Advanced Projections | |||||||||
| Season | Type | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | AVG | WHIP | BABIP | FIP |
| 2010 | Bill James | 6.4 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 1.21 | 0.284 | 1.46 | 0.317 | 4.66 |
| 2010 | CHONE | 6.0 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.17 | 0.285 | 1.47 | 0.316 | 4.61 |
| 2010 | Marcel | 6.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.19 | 0.280 | 1.44 | 0.314 | 4.69 |
| 2010 | All Fans (70) | 6.9 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.08 | 0.318 | 1.61 | 0.367 | 4.13 |
| 2010 | Other Fans (54) | 6.9 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.10 | 0.320 | 1.63 | 0.370 | 4.17 |
| 2010 | Team Fans (16) | 7.0 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.10 | 0.317 | 1.61 | 0.368 | 4.12 |
| Value Projections | |||||||
| Season | Type | Starting | Start-IP | Relieving | Relief-IP | RAR | WAR |
| 2010 | All Fans (70) | 25.3 | 165 | 0.1 | 1 | 25.3 | 2.6 |
| 2010 | Other Fans (54) | 24.3 | 163 | 0.1 | 1 | 24.4 | 2.5 |
| 2010 | Team Fans (16) | 26.4 | 172 | 26.4 | 2.7 |
Poll
Will Luke do better than his 2010 CHONE projection of: 7-11, 4.81 ERA, 4.61 FIP, 28 games, 161 innings, 108 Ks?
67%
Better (305 votes)
Same (93 votes)
Worse (54 votes)
452 total votes
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