2010 Draft Prospects: Who should the Royals take?
The start of the draft if 4 weeks from today. The Royals have the #4 overall pick (and follow that up with the #53 overall pick). I'll have my rankings in a couple of weeks but I'd like to find out who you all think we should take with the #4 pick. There have been a few rumblings about players the Royals are interested in and after the jump we'll look at who some of the likely candidates for the #4 pick are.
We can safely assume that Bryce Harper will not be there when we pick. And I'm afraid it isn't likely that Jameson Taillon is availible (it sound like the Orioles will take Taillon if he is availible). So if those two guys-who are a pretty clear #1 and #2 in my book-are not availible, what are the Royals options:
--Drew Pomeranz--LHP--Ole Miss. Pomeranz has a 2.17 ERA in 75ip with 13.5 K/9, 4.3 BB/9 0.6 HR/9 and a 1.14 WHIP. The strikeouts are good but the others numbers are good not great. There is a decent chance that Pittsburgh takes him with the #2 pick--so he might not be an option. Pomeranz doesn't have ace potential but most people think he could be a good #2 starter. His mechanics aren't great but, if he gets those adjusted, he could be ready soon. The other left handed option is Chris Sale--LHP--Florida Gulf Coast. Hasn't faced the competition that Pomeranz has and is rail thin--but shows better control.
--Yasmani Grandal--C--Miami. The Royals were linked to the switch hitting Grandal a couple of weeks ago--as an affordable pick who normally wouldn't be taken in the top 5 (think Tony Sanchez with Pittsburgh last year--Sanchez, BTW, is tearing up High-A so far this year) with the Royals spending money later in the draft or in the international market. Grandal, however, is steadily moving up draft boards--but I still haven't seen anybody listing him in their top 10. He's hitting 421/545/732 playing against some of the best college competition. He's supposed to have good defense. His bat was considered a question mark coming into the year. He doesn't quite have Buster Posey college numbers but his defense is better.
--Manny Machado--SS--HS. Machado has zoomed up draft boards--he's now Keith Law's #2 ranked player in this draft. He's got a good bat, good power, and a strong arm. There is some concern about whether he can stay as SS because he's 6' 2" already. He has a good glove, but the question is his range. He has big time upside with the potential to be a middle of the order hitter who plays a premium position. He's also a Boras client so whoever drafts him knows he will sign at 11:55pm, August 14th.
--Karsten Whitson--RHP--HS. If the Royals want to go HS pitching, Whitson stands out from an impressive group of high school hurlers not name Taillon. Mid-90's fastball, good slider and needs to work on a change up. He has impressed this spring, moving ahead of AJ Cole. He's got a load of potential, but like most high school pitchers, he needs some things to come together and avoid injury to reach his potential.
It could be someone not listed here (Christian Colon or Zach Cox come to mind) but these 4 represent College pitcher, College hitter, HS hitter, and HS pitcher--so you've got basic 4 directions the draft can go. So weigh in:
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With a top 10 pick I would always take the best college bat
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/analyzing-the-mlb-draft-using-war/
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I tend to agree
but let me play devil’s advocate: the argument against that idea by some (for this year at least) is that there aren’t any great college bats—and HS bats performed almost as well in that study—does Machado’s higher ceiling tempt you at all?
very interesting
Still I don’t know if it’s wise to skip pitching altogether with a top-10 pick…..shouldn’t you pick the best available player overall? (meant to be rhetorical)
college bat
And if u r going to take a college bat..take the bat from an elite program or conference
keep in mind that Grandalhas very little offense around him this season as it is one of the weaker Hurricane lineups in some time…A scout told me if Grandal did last year what he is doing this year he would most definitely be mentioned as a legit top 10 pick….
We already know he has a gold glove caliber mitt and is a tremendous field general…I won’t be disappointed if they grab him if Taillon os not available…But, the Royals need a win with that 2nd pick…also keep in mind that Carlixte is basically in the fold but the dollar amount has not been settled yet
Wow the poll looks like a sideways F - you
appropriate when taking into consideration we are dealing with a Royals draft
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by MarioVanPeebles Republic of China on May 10, 2010 5:17 PM EDT reply actions
I like Machado slightly over Pomeranz
I do worry about those walks. Machado seems like he can stick at SS.
I blew of Grandal before, but he is looking better and better in my eyes.
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
Machado
and move him to third base!
I really wish I would have known my life as a fan would peak in October 1985. Savor the moment, kids.
I'm actually hoping Baltimore takes him so we don't
Really not high on Taillon.
by MinnesotaRoyal on May 10, 2010 10:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Yasmani
He’s growing on me. I like his swing.
I also like Bryce Brentz
by Royal from Queens on May 10, 2010 9:26 PM EDT reply actions
Machado
And when I asked Keith Law which he thought would be the better pick for the Royals should they have a shot at both, he didn’t hesitate to say Machado.
He also has videos (ESPN Insider) on both Grandal and Machado. They both look like they have nice, smooth swings. Grandal is a switch hitter that hits better from the left and that is one of the few college catchers that calls his own game. He’s supposed to have good defensive and offensive skills, which is a major plus, with a good arm. I think he’d be a good pick anyway.
Machado is, as KLaw called him, A-Rod light. He’s a young guy, but he’s got the strength of A-Rod and has a lot of time to put more strength into his thin frame. Keith and most other scouts are concerned about him outgrowing short, but I think he could fit at 3B pretty easily. It would just suck to not have a SS in the system still.
So, yeah, I’d take Machado. I don’t think he’ll get to us, but I would take him.
by MinnesotaRoyal on May 10, 2010 10:55 PM EDT reply actions
I voted for Yasmani
But no matter who the Royals pick, I can’t help but think that it will turn out to be the wrong choice.
by Black and Gold on May 10, 2010 11:05 PM EDT reply actions
If Anyone Really
Knew who the best player would be, most would pick him. Dumbass GM’s drafting for need probably find him at about the same rate as BPA guys. They probably do worse overall, but finding the BPA? Probably not. Just a guess.
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on May 11, 2010 12:04 AM EDT reply actions
Machado.
Prospects will slide on the defensive spectrum, you need as many legit prospects as you can get at the premium defensive positions. I prefer drafting at SS & CF than drafting 1B like Hosmer.
Based on this logic I’d be ok with Yasmani too, but it doesn’t sound as though he’s as highly considered as Machado.
What's happened to Raunado?
He was really high before the season started. Is he hurt or just underwhelming this year?
It's all ball bearings these days!
by CentralChamps20?? on May 11, 2010 9:54 AM EDT via mobile reply actions
Which means we'll get him in the 3rd round?
for a $5 million bonus. ‘Cause that’s how we roll.
by jackie ballgame on May 11, 2010 10:34 AM EDT reply actions
Harper
Why are we all of a sudden so confident Harper will not slip to #4? He is a Boras client, and alot of teams tend to shy away from those guys. The Nationals have pretty much said they cannot afford both Strasburg and Harper, so that gives us just 2 teams needing to pass on him.
Of course i’m not sure the Royals can afford him either. It would probably be the largest minor-league contract in history.
Washington showed no fear in drafting Strasburg
And Harper’s contract will likely be less than his. I can see him dropping by Pittsburgh and possibly Baltimore, but I’ll be surprised if he falls by Washington.
by MinnesotaRoyal on May 11, 2010 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions
I can't see Baltimore passing on him.
Glad I came, just wish I hadn't stayed so long.
People ask me what I do in winter when there’s no baseball. I’ll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring.
Probably
Because there is zero chance he slips to us, and if he does, its a no-brainer that we should take him. What is there to discuss?
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
I was looking for this voting option:
“It doesn’t matter. Whoever they pick will flop, even if there is a 100% consensus by all experts that this is the guy”
"We're gonna win with pitching and defense" General Manager Dayton Moore, circa winter 2009
"Where did all these Indians come from?" General George Armstrong Custer, circa summer 1876
I'd be OK
with either Machado or Grandal, though my vote went to Machado. Not as sure he’ll slip to us though.
The significant problems we have cannot be solved at the same level of thinking with which we created them. -- Albert Einstein
by The Ol' Perfesser on May 11, 2010 4:26 PM EDT reply actions
Josh Sale
Best HITTER available. Just a special bat.
I like Whitson a ton, more than I like any other pitcher in the class, including Tallion, so I wouldn’t mind it if they took him.
Machado and Grandal are very good prospects at key up the middle positions. Grandal is pretty low risk and would probably climb the ladder pretty quick so I would understand that one and wouldn’t object.
I don’t really like ANY of the college arms in the first round of this draft. I wouldn’t touch Pomeranz or Renaudo with a ten foot pole. I don’t really have an opinion on Chris Sale, except that I can’t think of many successful starters with that arm slot .
"Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on or by imbeciles who really mean it." - Mark Twain
#4 pick? Try #1
We are headed for another 100-loss season and probably the #1 pick.
Of course, Moore is again defending Hillman. Neither of them is showing the
decision-making skills of a top-notch major league manager.
The only thing saving Moore is his improved minor league system.
Um
We have to draft in June based on last year’s results first. Next June we’ll draft based on this year’s results.
by MinnesotaRoyal on May 12, 2010 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions
Also note
As bad as this team is, I find it hard to think that it will end the year with anything better than the 4th they have in this draft.
No way it is as bad a team as Houston. If I were a gambling man, I would put money on them ending up with the #1.
But if the R’s do end up with the #1, Rendon would be a nice little payoff. Dude is going to be a moster.
"Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on or by imbeciles who really mean it." - Mark Twain

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