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Around SBN: The Ten Worst Swings Of The 2011 Season

Quick Recap of Royals picks in Rounds 1-10

Round 1--Christian Colon--you've read all about him--solid player who could help soon

Round 2--Brett Eibner--two way player from Arkansas.  Sounds like he will play CF for us--lots of power/lots of Ks and defense is supposed to be pretty good.  Was projected to go middle of round 1

Round 3--Michael Antonio--toolsy HS SS--may not stick at that position.  But he is supposed to have a potentially good bat and good speed

Round 4--Kevin Chapman--U. of Florida closer--who had TJ surger a couple of years ago.  Very good FB, OK change, needs a better breaking pitch. 

Round 5--Jason Adam--Blue Valley NW pitcher who has a Missou commitment.  Has a decent FB but is projected to add velocity.  Work in progress.  Keith Law says we'll sign him for about $1 million

Star-divide

Round 6--Scott Alexander--former Pepperdine pitcher who transfered to Sonoma State.  Decent FB, needs to improve secondary stuff and his command has not been good.

Round 7--Eric Cantrell--George Washington U's ace--the opposite of Alexander--not so great FB but good command of his pitches

Round 8--Michael Mariot--Nebraska pitcher with OK FB and not much else

Round 9--White Merrifield--South Carolina--tweener OF who doesn't have big tools but has had decent production

Round 10--Tim Ferguson--Ole Miss's CF--good defensive player with speed--not much bat

I thought the Royals did pretty good in Rounds 1-5.  I liked the Colon and Eibner picks quite a bit and the other 3 have some things about them I like and other things I'm not crazy about.  Round 6-10 were less inspiring--seems like we took a bunch of low upside college picks who will struggle when they get to AA.  So far, this draft stands in contrast to the past 3 Royals draft when they mixed some high upside picks.  Last year we definitely began to see a shift towards college players--but several of those were intriguing at the time.  This draft definitely looks like it will cost less than the past few drafts from the Royals.  Jason Adams will cost a fair amount--but there is no Will Myers/Chris Dwyer/Tim Melville so far.  There are a few conclusions we could draw from this:

1. the Royals have cut their amateur budget--this would be horrible if true

2. the Royals are saving their money for the July international free agent market--could be smart and we'll find out soon

3. the Royals were not wowed by the talent and decided to save their pennies for a rainy draft---like next year when the draft is dripping with enough talent to make me hope the Royals (again) have a Top 5 selection

Of course, there are 40! more rounds to go, so we'll see who the Royals add from here on out.

Comment 62 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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I sure hope it's #3

Would you like to follow me on Twitter, Facebook, or my blog...well you can't.

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Jun 8, 2010 3:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, it's not like we're competing this year

Tank it, take the pick and pull a Rays worst to first!

by AxDxMx on Jun 8, 2010 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just dont like this strategy

I’d rather the Royals get used to winning now instead of being surprised at winning in the future

by Boots 58 on Jun 8, 2010 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

we're not going to be tanking...

this team is legitimately awful….probably not ‘get renden’ awful….but top 5 awful

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Jun 8, 2010 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I don't care

as long as it’s not the first pick after all the consensus top players available are gone again.

by sfeldkamp on Jun 8, 2010 6:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd hope 3

But it’s not like the money saved is going to sit in a bank account for a year until the next draft. Glass will still have to put his hand in his pocket deeper next year.

by kcbottom9th on Jun 8, 2010 3:59 PM EDT reply actions  

So...

I read a scouting report on Eibner and it suggested he will most likely be drafted as a pitcher and not a CF? I like the fact that if he doesn’t work out as one there is a shot he could work out as the other.

by I_Bleed_Red. on Jun 8, 2010 4:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Actually...

I just read another report that said he wants to be at the plate in the pros and not on the mound. So I guess we do see him as a CF prospect. Hopefully, we can coach him up on hitting because he sounds like an all or nothing hitter.

by I_Bleed_Red. on Jun 8, 2010 4:06 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, the theory on him dropping so far

Is that he wanted to play in the field and teams wanted him as a pitcher. Sounds like the Royals wanted him as a fielder, but it’ll be interesting to see if he switches if things fall through there.

"You'll never make it to the bigs with fungus on your shower shoes."

by MinnesotaRoyal on Jun 8, 2010 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I see some ulterior motives there

Tell the kid he can hit all he wants, but he has to keep up the pitching and at least get a few relief innings every 3 days or so. And if there is no progress with the bat within a year, he becomes solely a pitcher.

Or maybe they tell him he has until the end of this year to convince them he stays in CF.

by AxDxMx on Jun 8, 2010 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

To me

Michael Antonio and Jason Adam are the keys to the draft. They seem to have the biggest upside potential. If they are good prospects next year, then I think the Royals will have done well in a bad draft year.

by Chyladin on Jun 8, 2010 4:08 PM EDT reply actions  

I also read somewhere he's going to be a pitcher...

…the vid of him on MLB.com wasn’t flattering (imo) as a hitter but I liked what I saw of him on the mound.

"This guy here is DEAD!"
"Cross him OFF then!"

by Casper01 on Jun 8, 2010 4:08 PM EDT reply actions  

I live in Arkansas

and follow the baseball team here and I am here to tell you that this guy will turn out to be better that Zach Cox, who who was taken by the Cards in rd 1. He has plenty of potential and he fits nicely with the players projected to start in 2-3 years for the Royals. I think we got a steal here.

by BlueBloodRoyal on Jun 8, 2010 4:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Pitch

I have watched Brett for most of his games as a Razorback and think he’ll be a pitcher at the next level. He has a lot of potential there, he just needs to focus on it. He has great range as an outfielder and goodpower at the plate. If you look at his strikeout rate, pay more attention to his Junior year (this year). He had an awful year at the plate his sophomore year, other than in Omaha.

Hopefully everyone will get to see him again in Omaha this year, if the Hogs can get past Arizona State.

by jeep on Jun 9, 2010 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

hearing good things about Alexander

from the great Sonoma St baseball program

by wildthang on Jun 8, 2010 4:58 PM EDT reply actions  

Is Eibner 75% of a good hitter and 75% of a good pitcher?

’Cause that would rule in a league where position players had to pitch to each other.

by jackie ballgame on Jun 8, 2010 5:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Unfortunately that's not what the scouts say

At least they think he has more potential as a pitcher. Too many strikeouts to project as an MLB guy unless he hits 50 homers a year and strikes out 200+ times.

by AxDxMx on Jun 8, 2010 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

One of the things I find that is interesting about the draft

is that if you have 1-3 players from a year who make it as regulars in the big leagues, it’s considered a good draft. If one of the players is an All Star, it’s an A or B+.

Colon will be a big leaguer unless injured. It would surprise me to see him right with Hosmer, Myers and the class A bunch. I would think that Chapman would move quickly too. Eibner could be a HR or a strikeout but his pitching might be the wild card. Rest of the guys are the depth KC needs for the organization but probably nothing special. It would be great to get one or two of the later round guys to come through and develop.

by daveyork on Jun 8, 2010 6:47 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm still rooting that we pick up Jonah Javad

It would just piss me off if he went elsewhere and actually developed into something.

by kcjb on Jun 8, 2010 7:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Everytime I think you've turned the corner back to the positive NY you drop stuff like this...

…true it’s not a flabbergasting draft, but maybe the players they are selecting they know more about than you and me. Perhaps they have shown that in the past they take players they think to be the best out there… so how about you just trust them on this one? And then if this draft doesn’t work out, look me up in 5 years and let me know you were right and I was wrong.

It’s okay to have some faith sometimes.

Coffee. The NEW Performance Enhancing drug for Sport's Writers. Just ask Ken Rosenthal.

by 306008 on Jun 8, 2010 7:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe they do think the guys they’ve chosen are the best, most talented, highest upside guys. If so, then good. But I don’t think this front office has earned my trust.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Jun 9, 2010 7:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree.

The only way this makes sense is if Glass told them he wanted to reign in spending, and so Moore and Company essentially had to make a choice between this draft and the international market.

In that case, given it’s a weaker draft, I’d understand lightening the wallet on this draft. Otherwise, it is kind of silly that we didn’t at least take 1 or 2 guys who want a lot over slot.

Adam’s gonna be semi-expensive, but that’s all beyond Colon and Eibner. Surprised he didn’t spring another potential sign just to throw a bunch of money at. If he doesn’t sign, then whatever, but it’s worth the risk.

by rockchalk on Jun 8, 2010 9:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Screwed up priorities?

I don’t understand what you’re saying. Do you believe it is patently unreasonable to re-allocate money from the draft to the international free agent market? Why?

Moreover, would it be unreasonable to decrease draft spending but more than make up for it by signing multiple top 10 international free agents?

I think the Royals should spend more money in the farm system than they do currently, but I don’t believe there is necessarily a magical formula for how that money should be allocated. Moreover, I think we would have considered Allie and Cole with our next picks but spending big in the draft on a signability guy isn’t something that should be forced. We can only seize the opportunities we are given.

by WURoyal on Jun 9, 2010 12:50 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I don’t understand what you’re saying. Do you believe it is patently unreasonable to re-allocate money from the draft to the international free agent market? Why?

I think a small market team like the Royals desperately needs to spend money on both. They shouldn’t be choosing between the amateur draft and international FA’s. They should be taking that money (and it isn’t much money) from the MLB payroll budget. If they are prioritizing $5M for the MLB payroll at this point in the rebuilding effort over that money spent on the amateur draft and international FA’s, then their spending priorities are truly screwed up.

The immoderate moderator

by Scott McKinney on Jun 9, 2010 7:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

I understand what you mean in terms of sacrificing the farm to pay gritty veterans on a hopeless team

But I don’t think there is a magic number to spend in the draft. Heavy spending in any one particular draft is not necessarily the right thing to do.

Spending a lot of money in the draft only makes sense if you like the players available to you at the particular spots in the draft. If the price is too high it’s wise to allocate money differently. I only care about the number of quality prospects entering the system, not their point of entry, whether it’s the draft or the international market.

by WURoyal on Jun 9, 2010 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

It was a weak draft...

but Colon was a great get out of this years prospects. Next year is suppose to have 12 elite prospects where this years only had 3 so I believe will be in a better position next year.

by PREGNANT ROLLERSKATE on Jun 9, 2010 5:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

WE PASSED ON DELINO DESHIELDS JR?????????

Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu ahhhh Huuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu ahhhhh HuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuCCCCKKKKK!!!!

That’s like passing on Babe Ruth Junior or James Bond Junior {chases scuuuuahhuuum aroundtheWORLD!}

by Official Arrowhead Pride Parade on Jun 8, 2010 10:58 PM EDT reply actions  

Whoa! We drafted someone from GW. I WENT TO GW!!!!

Sweet. Even though I graduated 13 years ago and never went to a baseball game while I was there. Hey – I was busy.

Go Colonials!

by Gross(est) on Jun 8, 2010 11:27 PM EDT reply actions  

The GW kid is suppose to be a...

control pitcher w/ 4 pitches. His FB sits around 86-90 w/ great control of all his stuff. He was there Ace this year. Sounds kind of like a Brian Bannister type pitcher maybe…

by PREGNANT ROLLERSKATE on Jun 9, 2010 5:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Jason Adam rated #54 by Baseball America vs pick 149

so he’s a flat steal.
Eibner ranked #23 v. 54
Kevin Chapman ranked #81 v. 119

so just going off the BA rankings compared to position slot KC did pretty well. Of all the picks Antonio might be the guy I like the most after seeing his video I love his swing and the reports I read about him. He looks to have major upside at a position of need and if everything went right which is highly unlikely Colon could be a bridge to Antonio and move to 2b after he’s ready. Again that’s unlikely but a guy can dream.

The Eibner pick is my least favorite as he just seems exactly in the Rick Ankiel mold as an all or nothing type with the bat. He hit under .240 the last two seasons in the Cape and didn’t give much improvement his second time thru, which shows little adjustments to me. As a pitcher he definitely pounds the strikezone and it is impressive that he didn’t give up any home runs this year and lowered his walk totals dramatically but Picollo says he’s a CF, hope that’s posturing until he is signed. Lots of others could’ve been taken in his place IMO but I have a feeling KC will be drafting lots of Arkansas kids over the next few years.

Adam is a steal and at the 1m mark it is said it will take to sign him looks like a very nice draft.

Overall all 5 should be relatively easy signs as I don’t think the Royals take a local kid like Adam if they were unsure about signing him.

Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

by kcscoliny on Jun 8, 2010 11:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Antonio is projected to play LF...

here is an article where a scout says he won’t stick at ss. Its a good read.

by PREGNANT ROLLERSKATE on Jun 9, 2010 5:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Royals Website says:

Round 3, Michael Antonio, SS, George Washington HS, N.Y.:
After using their first-round pick on a shortstop, the Royals added another as they drafted Antonio out of high school. Antonio, 18, is a bit of a project, and scouts have reported that he has good hands, but below average speed.

http://kansascity.royals.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20100608&content_id=10962584&vkey=news_kc&fext=.jsp&c_id=kc

by PREGNANT ROLLERSKATE on Jun 9, 2010 5:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

The guy closed to the Royals system I talked to

said he is a SS that may grow into a 3b

Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

by kcscoliny on Jun 9, 2010 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

That's kind of what i was thinking when I saw the pick

I think they just want another kid that can hit.

Coffee. The NEW Performance Enhancing drug for Sport's Writers. Just ask Ken Rosenthal.

by 306008 on Jun 9, 2010 11:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree w/ 306008...

they drafted him for his bat. In the pre-draft press release they said they were looking for pitching, right-handed power bats, middle INF, & catching. It looks like they mostly saw right-handed power bat here.

by PREGNANT ROLLERSKATE on Jun 10, 2010 12:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Jason Adams

Has anyone got more info on him? The one thing I read said that he threw 4 pitches, but none of them well, that he had no control at all of his curve and this action didn’t repeat and was generally a bit of a mess.

I’m sure there is more positive stuff out there if he has gone this high.

by kcbottom9th on Jun 8, 2010 11:43 PM EDT reply actions  

here is some video

Adam video short baseball beginnings

MLB Video

Law thinks it takes 1M, not bad throws low 90s definitely doesn’t look like a max effort type

Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

by kcscoliny on Jun 8, 2010 11:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Greg Schaum says this about J Adams....

“Greg Schaum
June 8th, 2010 at 3:10 pm
His velocity dropped quite a bit as the season went on….so did that not help”

Found this on Royals website:

Round 5, Jason Adam, RHP, Blue Valley Northwest, Kan:
Most mock-drafts had Adam going well before the fifth round, but a subpar performance toward the end of his senior season hurt his draft stock. The Royals took the Kansas-native in the fifth round and scouts believe he has the size and ability to start in the Major Leagues.

http://kansascity.royals.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20100608&content_id=10962584&vkey=news_kc&fext=.jsp&c_id=kc

by PREGNANT ROLLERSKATE on Jun 9, 2010 5:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

could be a conditioning thing...

I’m sure he’ll be fine once he gets into pro ball.

Coffee. The NEW Performance Enhancing drug for Sport's Writers. Just ask Ken Rosenthal.

by 306008 on Jun 9, 2010 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

it'll be no problem

with our crack medical team

by 9il on Jun 9, 2010 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Overall not a great talent of wealth....

in this draft!!! Look what the Cubs did glad we’re not them, Dodgers aren’t even projected to sign there top pick and the Comp picks took most of the 2nd tier talent away before we could pick twice.

I’m excited about adding Colon to the system!!!

by PREGNANT ROLLERSKATE on Jun 9, 2010 5:51 AM EDT reply actions  

Michael Mariot's curveball is outstanding

His changeup is another story. Look at his L/R splits at collegesplits.com for some verification on this.

Maddening pitcher really. First noticed how great his stuff was a year ago in March when he threw a shutout (I think, maybe it was 1 run). But he never really stepped up big time here at Nebraska. Was the Friday Night starter by default. Could add some movement to his fastball maybe. Being 6’ tall hurts him in the eyez of scouts probably.

baseball rules.

by doublestix on Jun 9, 2010 6:10 PM EDT reply actions  

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