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Trade Forum: Will Scott Podsednik Be Traded?

The rumor of the hour is that teams are interested in acquiring Scott Podsednik. Will it happen?

Pros:

  • Pods looks the part. He fits the role of fast outfielder guy to maybe lead-off and steal bases well. This is why every time it looks like his career is over, he gets another shot.
  • He's insanely hot at the moment. On June 20th he was hitting .282. Today, he's hitting .310. And batting average is relevant here because that's basically his entire game and the foundation of half of his reputation, along with steals. Since June 20th, he's hit .366/.397/.492.

Star-divide

  • Thanks to that hot streak, his season numbers are now some of the best of his career (though 2003 is still the best). He's got that shiny .310 batting average to go along with 30 steals.
  • Since washing out in Colorado in 2008, Pods has rebounded with back to back ok seasons. The Royals can point to the narrative of how he's remade his swing and corrected his game. His 2009 and 2010 numbers are now nearly identical, and since 2008 he's hit .306/.353/.407 in 1017 plate appearances.
  • Is only owed around $700,000 for the rest of the season.
  • Cons:

    • Defense isn't an asset, but he's probably not killing you out there either. Speed saves him because routes can be bad. Arm is bad.
    • He gets you steals, but he's not actually a very efficient base-stealer. Prone to being picked off and caught stealing.
    • His game is batting average heavy. He walks a little, but he really only has a good OBP if he's hitting over .300. Pods has become an even more extreme slap hitter in KC. His low number of doubles (8) is astounding. Last year he had 31 2B+3B, this year, he has just 14.
    • Trading for an extremely hot player could also be seen as "buying high" or getting him when he's due to cool off (gambler's fallacy). I could see a GM thinking something along those lines.
    • Unless he gets injured, he will play enough to void his 2011 club option. This could also be a Pro.

    Verdict: The combination of the team's recent misfortunes afield, along with Podsednik's hot streak, seems to have made a trade more likely. Moore may be more willing to trade now, and Pods is certainly more attractive. Pods has had an up and down career, and 2010 is one of his better seasons. He's always been an overrated player, but a part of me wonders if the stathead community has done their own under-rating of him. A .350 OBP with speed isn't un-useful, even if that's all you're getting. His wOBA this season is .335, 25th among AL OFs. That's a good, not great, not terrible season. Interestingly, he's just ahead of Ichiro, which confirms that he's the Poor Man's Ichiro: a bad Ichiro season equals a good Pods season.

    Hello NL West!

    Comment 43 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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    I would love to see him traded because I was hoping he or Ankiel were signed for just that reason

    but I’m leaning towards GMDM likes him and will pick up the option. Hope I’m wrong

    Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

    by kcscoliny on Jul 28, 2010 7:35 PM EDT reply actions  

    Farnsworth was supposedly ready to pitch today so hopefully they can get him in a game and prove he's healthy and tradeable.

    God knows the starters will give him an opportunity to do that

    Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

    by kcscoliny on Jul 28, 2010 7:36 PM EDT reply actions  

    HEs gone

    he will be in the NL west after the all star break. Guillen probably will be too.

    by Troy Olsen on Jul 28, 2010 7:39 PM EDT reply actions  

    I'm wondering what happens if he is traded...

    Is it possible we could see Gordo in Left, Ankiel in CF, Guillen in RF and Kila at DH?

    "We don’t have guys with a long history of being effective in the seventh and eighth innings."
    ~Trey Hillman, master of understatements.

    by RoyalPug on Jul 28, 2010 7:41 PM EDT reply actions  

    Also if we can't move Guillen,

    Does Moore just bite the bullet and release him?

    "We don’t have guys with a long history of being effective in the seventh and eighth innings."
    ~Trey Hillman, master of understatements.

    by RoyalPug on Jul 28, 2010 7:46 PM EDT reply actions  

    Yes.

    Pods will be traded. And we will get a B-level prospect in return. – TL

    "Sir,--It has been wittily remarked that there are three kinds of falsehood: the first is a 'fib,' the second is a downright lie, and the third and most aggravated is statistics." *The National Observer* (June 13, 1891): p. 93-94.

    by timlacy on Jul 28, 2010 7:47 PM EDT reply actions  

    +1

    My hope is to the Giants for Eric Surkamp, LH starter in high A or Jorge Burcardo, RH starter in low A. For Pods, it better be a 11-20 rank prospect or they should take their chance in the arbitration/ draft pick offseason.

    by daveyork on Jul 28, 2010 8:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

    Maybe not

    He’d probably get 3-4 million in Arb, while if he can finish strong he may be able to sucker a team into signing him for 2-5 or 2-6

    "We don’t have guys with a long history of being effective in the seventh and eighth innings."
    ~Trey Hillman, master of understatements.

    by RoyalPug on Jul 28, 2010 8:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

    I meant if you offer him Arb to get the pick, you may just get stuck with him

    I would think he’d make more money in Arb for the single year, but you are right, he may want a multiyear deal with a higher total payout.

    by AxDxMx on Jul 28, 2010 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

    Fun Note:

    ESPN said a Guillen-Yankees deal was done till they saw him not hustling over the last couple of games.

    "We don’t have guys with a long history of being effective in the seventh and eighth innings."
    ~Trey Hillman, master of understatements.

    by RoyalPug on Jul 28, 2010 8:10 PM EDT reply actions  

    Please don't tell me these things. It only confirms what I already think of Guillen

    At this rate, KC will have to pay someone to take him. I think Guillen will be around after the deadline and they will keep him thinking that someone in August will pick him up. They won’t and he’ll get hurt.

    by daveyork on Jul 28, 2010 8:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

    Or even worse, he won't get hurt

    and will continue to get ABs through September

    Unless I'm wrong...
    My Twitter feed

    by Top Ramen on Jul 28, 2010 9:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

    i have an extremely tough time believing this

    every team knows Guillen lacks hustle quite often. a few games of non-hustle shouldn’t have shocked them.

    R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9

    by doublestix on Jul 28, 2010 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

    Me too

    Guillen dogging it is not exactly a brand new revelation that the Yankees crack scouting department had to sniff out.

    "Now…put that in your [BLEEP]ing pipe and smoke it." -Hal McRae

    "I was doing this when BJ was in his father's nutsack." -Renzo Gracie

    by Sweep_the_Leg on Jul 28, 2010 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

    think if we fire sold.

    Callaspo= Scott Sullivian, Will SMith

    Joakim Soria= Jesus Montero, Maybe a C pitching prospect.

    Scott Podsednik= C or C+ prospect would be great. someone who could be a 10-20 type prospect for us. I would think similar to the Callaspo trade. Contract is up so we would be getting that prospect for nothing.

    Jose Gullien= possibly a B prospect but most likely a C to C+ prospect im sure.

    Farnsworth= looks like won’t happen because of injury but he would bring in something and like Pods won’t affect us because its the last year of his contract.

    That right there could of added 7-10 prospects to our minors. That would be crazy. Not to mention adding Montero would be nice. We may not have room for all the prospects.

    Probably could of got a nice haul for Dejesus but another First round pick or supplemental pick would be nice. I am so excited for next years draft so we can hopefully keep restocking our minors.

    by vic1124 on Jul 28, 2010 8:22 PM EDT reply actions  

    I think the -1.5 UZR he has for the year is being quite generous.

    God he’s terrible out there. It’s funny, his batting used to be the subpar part of his game, and he’s actually in positive territory with that this year (and last year), but his defense has gone in the crapper.

    by AxDxMx on Jul 28, 2010 8:33 PM EDT reply actions  

    yes :)

    R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9

    by doublestix on Jul 28, 2010 9:07 PM EDT reply actions  

    MLB Tonight confirms (through Rosenthal)

    to Dodgers for two as yet unknown minor leaguers

    "Now…put that in your [BLEEP]ing pipe and smoke it." -Hal McRae

    "I was doing this when BJ was in his father's nutsack." -Renzo Gracie

    by Sweep_the_Leg on Jul 28, 2010 9:14 PM EDT reply actions  

    MLB Tonight now reporting (per Heyman)

    Lucas May © and Pimental (P). I’m not a prospect guy, so one of the experts around here will have to fill us in.

    "Now…put that in your [BLEEP]ing pipe and smoke it." -Hal McRae

    "I was doing this when BJ was in his father's nutsack." -Renzo Gracie

    by Sweep_the_Leg on Jul 28, 2010 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

    That copyright symbol was supposed to be C for catcher

    "Now…put that in your [BLEEP]ing pipe and smoke it." -Hal McRae

    "I was doing this when BJ was in his father's nutsack." -Renzo Gracie

    by Sweep_the_Leg on Jul 28, 2010 9:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

    Lucas May and Elisaul Pimental

    "Now…put that in your [BLEEP]ing pipe and smoke it." -Hal McRae

    "I was doing this when BJ was in his father's nutsack." -Renzo Gracie

    by Sweep_the_Leg on Jul 28, 2010 9:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

    This is all I can find so far:
    The Isotopes (19-18) feature three of the Dodgers’ top 10 prospects in right-hander Josh Lindblom (5), left-hander Scott Elbert (6) and middle infielder Ivan De Jesus Jr. (8). Catcher Lucas May (17) is also highly regarded by the organization.

    "We don’t have guys with a long history of being effective in the seventh and eighth innings."
    ~Trey Hillman, master of understatements.

    by RoyalPug on Jul 28, 2010 9:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

    Bye bye Pods

    Dodgers reportedly have given us Billingsley, Ethier and Broxton for Scott Podsednick.

    This post is the truth.

    by royalstern05 on Jul 28, 2010 9:17 PM EDT reply actions  

    AWESOME glad I'm wrong

    Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

    by kcscoliny on Jul 28, 2010 9:18 PM EDT reply actions  

    Lucas May was the USA futures game catcher in '09

    "We don’t have guys with a long history of being effective in the seventh and eighth innings."
    ~Trey Hillman, master of understatements.

    by RoyalPug on Jul 28, 2010 9:26 PM EDT reply actions  

    Lucas May stats

    Elisaul Pimentel stats

    Unless I'm wrong...
    My Twitter feed

    by Top Ramen on Jul 28, 2010 9:27 PM EDT reply actions  

    Pimental in Midwest League

    90.3 IP 97 K 71 H 35 BB 22 years old
    Lucas May solid catcher AAA .848 OPS at 25 yo. very solid get could combo with Manny Pina they’ll fight it out for the backup job next season. Numbers are a bit lopsided as he plays in a very friendly home park .996 HM OPS and .721 OPS away but still a solid get.

    Great offseason signing of Pods and turns into good stuff at the minor league level

    Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

    by kcscoliny on Jul 28, 2010 9:28 PM EDT reply actions  

    Pimental looks like the better prospect to me

    "We're gonna win with pitching and defense" General Manager Dayton Moore, circa winter 2009

    "Where did all these Indians come from?" General George Armstrong Custer, circa summer 1876

    by loyal2sdad on Jul 28, 2010 9:33 PM EDT reply actions  

    Pimental saved a guys life earlier this year

    link

    Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

    by kcscoliny on Jul 28, 2010 9:35 PM EDT reply actions  

    below

    link

    Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

    by kcscoliny on Jul 28, 2010 9:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

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