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The Battle for Grass Creek Series Preview (with Dave Cameron Interview)

General:

Record 34-47, 4th in AL West

 

Pitching

Suspected starters for the series:

Mon, Jul 5 09:10:00 PM Bannister (7-6) Hernandez (6-5)
Tue, Jul 6 09:10:00 PM Greinke (4-8) Bedard (0-0)
Wed, Jul 7 09:10:00 PM Davies (4-6) Fister (3-4)

 

The Mariners Starters Stats (This will be Erik Bedard's first start of the season since coming off the DL):

Name K/9 BB/9 BABIP ERA FIP xFIP wFB/C wSL/C wCB/C wCH/C
Felix Hernandez 8.58 2.81 0.288 3.03 3.25 3.46 1.07 0.91 0.04 3.45
Doug Fister 4.37 1.61 0.253 3.22 3.78 4.30 1.58 0.44 -2.40 0.91

I have included the wXX/C value from Fangraphs.com to show which pitches the starter throws and the productivity of those pitches. The prefix "w" in front of any of the pitch types denotes runs above average. When the pitch type trails with "/C" it denotes per 100 pitches. wFB/C would be fastball runs above average per 100 fastballs. A positive value is good, negative value is bad. A value of 3 means the pitch is getting great results.

Star-divide

Projected Mariner's Lineup

1 Suzuki
2 Figgins
3 Branyan
4 Bradley
5 Lopez
6 Gutierrez
7 Wilson
8 Johnson
9 Saunders

Hitter stats:

Name Pos BB% K% AVG OBP SLG BABIP wOBA G PA HR SB CS
Russell Branyan 1B 5% 30% 0.300 0.364 0.600 0.333 0.416 6 22 2 0 0
Ryan Langerhans OF 27% 45% 0.200 0.418 0.375 0.300 0.380 24 55 2 3 0
Ichiro Suzuki OF 8% 13% 0.328 0.383 0.419 0.368 0.358 81 365 3 22 7
Josh Bard C 15% 18% 0.250 0.353 0.464 0.261 0.356 10 34 1 0 0
Franklin Gutierrez OF 11% 25% 0.277 0.350 0.421 0.340 0.346 77 323 8 10 1
Michael Saunders OF 8% 34% 0.210 0.271 0.429 0.250 0.304 43 130 7 1 1
Josh Wilson SS 6% 17% 0.264 0.316 0.346 0.311 0.303 52 196 1 3 0
Chone Figgins 2B 13% 21% 0.239 0.338 0.280 0.298 0.301 80 348 0 23 4
Milton Bradley DH/OF 10% 30% 0.212 0.297 0.370 0.259 0.298 60 237 8 6 2
Rob Johnson C 13% 27% 0.200 0.307 0.307 0.252 0.277 47 167 2 1 1
Casey Kotchman 1B 9% 12% 0.206 0.288 0.325 0.214 0.270 63 219 4 0 0
Jose Lopez 3B 4% 12% 0.242 0.272 0.332 0.259 0.268 80 338 5 3 2
Jack Wilson SS 1% 19% 0.250 0.265 0.333 0.300 0.259 35 116 0 0 1

Defense Stats:

Name Pos Inn UZR UZR/150
Ichiro Suzuki RF 696 10.4 20.4
Franklin Gutierrez CF 668 5.3 9.6
Jose Lopez 3B 697 4.2 7.5
Casey Kotchman 1B 476 2.6 8
Michael Saunders LF 271 2.3 13.6
Michael Saunders CF 32 1.8 88.8
Josh Wilson SS 403 0.8 2.4
Milton Bradley LF 290 0.6 2.7
Ryan Langerhans 1B 27 0.5 36.5
Josh Wilson 2B 9 0.3 37.4
Ryan Langerhans RF 15 0.3 16.4
Ryan Langerhans CF 16 -0.4 -95.8
Mike Carp 1B 66 -0.6 -13.8
Jack Wilson SS 287 -0.6 -2.6
Matt Tuiasosopo 2B 8 -0.8 -122.6
Josh Wilson 1B 30 -1.4 -69.4
Ryan Langerhans LF 57 -1.9 -35.8
Chone Figgins 2B 701 -5.5 -12.7

Injury news:


Pos Day on DL Injury
Shawn Kelley RP 06/26/10 Elbow inflammation
Mark Lowe RP 05/05/10 R
Mike Sweeney DH 06/27/10 Back

Interview with Dave Cameron (leading Managing Editor/Writer at Fangraphs.com.  He used to write for the the USS Mariner:

What is the current fan sentiment of the team?


Apathy and frustration, mostly. So many guys are performing far below any reasonably expected level, especially on offense, that the team ended up wasting tremendous years from their starting pitchers. Everyone gave up on the season a month ago, so at this point, the results of the games have stopped mattering, and we're all just rooting for things like development from Michael Saunders now.

Can you tell us a little about the starters in the series (Hernandez, Rowland-Smith, Fister)?

Note: At the time I requested the interview Rowland-Smith was the scheduled starter.  Erik Bedard is now the scheduled starter for game 2.

Felix is awesome, but he still battles inconsistent command. When he's throwing his fastball for strikes, he's as good as anyone. When its diving out of the zone, he gets in trouble.

Rowland-Smith is your classic no-stuff, good command, flyball lefty, only this year, he hasn't had command, which is kind of a problem. He's got a good change-up, but he doesn't throw it behind in the count much, and so when he's missing with his fastball, he's a batting practice pitcher.

Fister is a Jon Garland type - tall and skinny, but below average velocity and no outpitch. He throws a lot of 88 MPH fastballs, but when he's going good, he spots them well. He's struggled since coming off the DL.


What would team's greatest weakness/need?


Offense. Chone Figgins, Milton Bradley, and Jose Lopez were all supposed to be average or better hitters this year, but all three have been awful. That has essentially sunk the team's chances of scoring runs.

Are there any young players in the pipeline we might see in the majors within a couple of years?


Dustin Ackley, last year's Strasburg consolation prize, is in Double-A and should be ready to take over at second base in 2011. Michael Pineda, the team's top pitching prospect, was just promoted to Triple-A.


What are some of your fansite's inside jokes? Who do you laugh at? What do you make fun of?


Rob Johnson, the team's regular catcher, can't catch, which inspires a lot of mocking. Sean White is perhaps the worst pitcher in Major League Baseball, so he gets a good amount of scorn. Wakamatsu uses the phrase "belief system" all the time, which was more likable when he was making good decisions and the team was winning.

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Wolf Creek?

Who won the battle for Grass Creek then?

by AxDxMx on Jul 5, 2010 2:18 PM EDT reply actions  

Hmmm...

We just may. Actually I have a nice pic o the Crown board with Greinke on it, would probably be even better.

C'MON CHEN!!! ---Will Ferrell

by averagegatsby on Jul 5, 2010 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

I changed the title

but I do like Wolf Creek, sounds edgier

by Freneau on Jul 5, 2010 3:17 PM EDT reply actions  

I was worried for a minute.

Looked up Wolf Creek, WY and it is 155 miles NE of Grass Creek. Thought the Mariners had routed us back into the mountains for a minute.

by AxDxMx on Jul 5, 2010 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wow, I f'ed that one up.

Maybe unconsciously I figured both teams have been so bad that wolves finally took over.

- .-. ..- … – / – …. . / .—. .-. - .. . … …

by Jeff Zimmerman on Jul 5, 2010 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

They have a "belief system"

We have “the Process.” Which is better? Sounds like a discussion thread waiting to happen.

The significant problems we have cannot be solved at the same level of thinking with which we created them. -- Albert Einstein

by The Ol' Perfesser on Jul 5, 2010 3:40 PM EDT reply actions  

Davies - Fister?

wow, sounds like the makings of a tasteless joke contest!

~~~if there is one thing i absolutely know for sure its... ummmm uhhh.... uhhh

nevermind

Support Retiring #29 to honor Dan Quisenberry

by who am i? on Jul 5, 2010 4:12 PM EDT reply actions  

This is gonna be an absolute war

"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell

by buddyball on Jul 5, 2010 5:33 PM EDT reply actions  

No Prisoners

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Jul 5, 2010 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

At least we avoid Lee

BUT night Banny vs King Felix could be a blood bath tonight.

Jamie freakin Wright, nuff said.

by Gantz9 on Jul 5, 2010 6:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Would love to know what Cameron thinks of the GM this year.

Is it all bad luck or did they overestimate what they had/would get offensively?

Glad I came, just wish I hadn't stayed so long.

People ask me what I do in winter when there’s no baseball...Rock Chalk Talk

by Warden11 on Jul 6, 2010 2:15 AM EDT reply actions  

Kind of funny to me

that so many around here loved everything the Mariners brass were doing last year and now it just looks horrible. “That Mariner FO is so forward thinking”. Well they’re pretty bad. Go Royals.

by I need more Esteban on Jul 6, 2010 10:36 AM EDT reply actions  

It was the little moves 2 years ago that we liked

It showed it was possible to win with great defense. They had a 24 game improvement over 2008, yet didn’t score a ton of runs. Was there overperformance in there? Probably. Just like there’s some underperformance this year. I highly doubt the Mariners are actually this bad.

by AxDxMx on Jul 6, 2010 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think they got the same bounce that Moore did.

The team was so bad, just a few moves helped for a huge improvement. Getting from 72 wins to 82 wins is much easier than going from 82 to 92. I also see the Mariner’s FO making moves for a while just to make moves (why did they carry both Sweeney and Griffey is beyond me).

- .-. ..- … – / – …. . / .—. .-. - .. . … …

by Jeff Zimmerman on Jul 6, 2010 2:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

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