The Battle for Grass Creek Series Preview (with Dave Cameron Interview)
General:
Record 34-47, 4th in AL West
Pitching
Suspected starters for the series:
| Mon, Jul 5 | 09:10:00 PM | Bannister (7-6) | Hernandez (6-5) |
| Tue, Jul 6 | 09:10:00 PM | Greinke (4-8) | Bedard (0-0) |
| Wed, Jul 7 | 09:10:00 PM | Davies (4-6) | Fister (3-4) |
The Mariners Starters Stats (This will be Erik Bedard's first start of the season since coming off the DL):
| Name | K/9 | BB/9 | BABIP | ERA | FIP | xFIP | wFB/C | wSL/C | wCB/C | wCH/C |
| Felix Hernandez | 8.58 | 2.81 | 0.288 | 3.03 | 3.25 | 3.46 | 1.07 | 0.91 | 0.04 | 3.45 |
| Doug Fister | 4.37 | 1.61 | 0.253 | 3.22 | 3.78 | 4.30 | 1.58 | 0.44 | -2.40 | 0.91 |
I have included the wXX/C value from Fangraphs.com to show which pitches the starter throws and the productivity of those pitches. The prefix "w" in front of any of the pitch types denotes runs above average. When the pitch type trails with "/C" it denotes per 100 pitches. wFB/C would be fastball runs above average per 100 fastballs. A positive value is good, negative value is bad. A value of 3 means the pitch is getting great results.
Projected Mariner's Lineup
| 1 | Suzuki |
| 2 | Figgins |
| 3 | Branyan |
| 4 | Bradley |
| 5 | Lopez |
| 6 | Gutierrez |
| 7 | Wilson |
| 8 | Johnson |
| 9 | Saunders |
Hitter stats:
| Name | Pos | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG | BABIP | wOBA | G | PA | HR | SB | CS |
| Russell Branyan | 1B | 5% | 30% | 0.300 | 0.364 | 0.600 | 0.333 | 0.416 | 6 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Langerhans | OF | 27% | 45% | 0.200 | 0.418 | 0.375 | 0.300 | 0.380 | 24 | 55 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Ichiro Suzuki | OF | 8% | 13% | 0.328 | 0.383 | 0.419 | 0.368 | 0.358 | 81 | 365 | 3 | 22 | 7 |
| Josh Bard | C | 15% | 18% | 0.250 | 0.353 | 0.464 | 0.261 | 0.356 | 10 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Franklin Gutierrez | OF | 11% | 25% | 0.277 | 0.350 | 0.421 | 0.340 | 0.346 | 77 | 323 | 8 | 10 | 1 |
| Michael Saunders | OF | 8% | 34% | 0.210 | 0.271 | 0.429 | 0.250 | 0.304 | 43 | 130 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Josh Wilson | SS | 6% | 17% | 0.264 | 0.316 | 0.346 | 0.311 | 0.303 | 52 | 196 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Chone Figgins | 2B | 13% | 21% | 0.239 | 0.338 | 0.280 | 0.298 | 0.301 | 80 | 348 | 0 | 23 | 4 |
| Milton Bradley | DH/OF | 10% | 30% | 0.212 | 0.297 | 0.370 | 0.259 | 0.298 | 60 | 237 | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| Rob Johnson | C | 13% | 27% | 0.200 | 0.307 | 0.307 | 0.252 | 0.277 | 47 | 167 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Casey Kotchman | 1B | 9% | 12% | 0.206 | 0.288 | 0.325 | 0.214 | 0.270 | 63 | 219 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Jose Lopez | 3B | 4% | 12% | 0.242 | 0.272 | 0.332 | 0.259 | 0.268 | 80 | 338 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Jack Wilson | SS | 1% | 19% | 0.250 | 0.265 | 0.333 | 0.300 | 0.259 | 35 | 116 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Defense Stats:
| Name | Pos | Inn | UZR | UZR/150 |
| Ichiro Suzuki | RF | 696 | 10.4 | 20.4 |
| Franklin Gutierrez | CF | 668 | 5.3 | 9.6 |
| Jose Lopez | 3B | 697 | 4.2 | 7.5 |
| Casey Kotchman | 1B | 476 | 2.6 | 8 |
| Michael Saunders | LF | 271 | 2.3 | 13.6 |
| Michael Saunders | CF | 32 | 1.8 | 88.8 |
| Josh Wilson | SS | 403 | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Milton Bradley | LF | 290 | 0.6 | 2.7 |
| Ryan Langerhans | 1B | 27 | 0.5 | 36.5 |
| Josh Wilson | 2B | 9 | 0.3 | 37.4 |
| Ryan Langerhans | RF | 15 | 0.3 | 16.4 |
| Ryan Langerhans | CF | 16 | -0.4 | -95.8 |
| Mike Carp | 1B | 66 | -0.6 | -13.8 |
| Jack Wilson | SS | 287 | -0.6 | -2.6 |
| Matt Tuiasosopo | 2B | 8 | -0.8 | -122.6 |
| Josh Wilson | 1B | 30 | -1.4 | -69.4 |
| Ryan Langerhans | LF | 57 | -1.9 | -35.8 |
| Chone Figgins | 2B | 701 | -5.5 | -12.7 |
Injury news:
Pos
Day on DL
Injury
Shawn Kelley
RP
06/26/10
Elbow inflammation
Mark Lowe
RP
05/05/10
R
Mike Sweeney
DH
06/27/10
Back
Interview with Dave Cameron (leading Managing Editor/Writer at Fangraphs.com. He used to write for the the USS Mariner:
What is the current fan sentiment of the team?
Apathy and frustration, mostly. So many guys are performing far below any reasonably expected level, especially on offense, that the team ended up wasting tremendous years from their starting pitchers. Everyone gave up on the season a month ago, so at this point, the results of the games have stopped mattering, and we're all just rooting for things like development from Michael Saunders now.
Can you tell us a little about the starters in the series (Hernandez, Rowland-Smith, Fister)?
Note: At the time I requested the interview Rowland-Smith was the scheduled starter. Erik Bedard is now the scheduled starter for game 2.
Felix is awesome, but he still battles inconsistent command. When he's throwing his fastball for strikes, he's as good as anyone. When its diving out of the zone, he gets in trouble.
Rowland-Smith is your classic no-stuff, good command, flyball lefty, only this year, he hasn't had command, which is kind of a problem. He's got a good change-up, but he doesn't throw it behind in the count much, and so when he's missing with his fastball, he's a batting practice pitcher.
Fister is a Jon Garland type - tall and skinny, but below average velocity and no outpitch. He throws a lot of 88 MPH fastballs, but when he's going good, he spots them well. He's struggled since coming off the DL.
What would team's greatest weakness/need?
Offense. Chone Figgins, Milton Bradley, and Jose Lopez were all supposed to be average or better hitters this year, but all three have been awful. That has essentially sunk the team's chances of scoring runs.
Are there any young players in the pipeline we might see in the majors within a couple of years?
Dustin Ackley, last year's Strasburg consolation prize, is in Double-A and should be ready to take over at second base in 2011. Michael Pineda, the team's top pitching prospect, was just promoted to Triple-A.
What are some of your fansite's inside jokes? Who do you laugh at? What do you make fun of?
Rob Johnson, the team's regular catcher, can't catch, which inspires a lot of mocking. Sean White is perhaps the worst pitcher in Major League Baseball, so he gets a good amount of scorn. Wakamatsu uses the phrase "belief system" all the time, which was more likable when he was making good decisions and the team was winning.
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Comments
I was gonna ask if we conceded Grass Creek... What ever will become of this

C'MON CHEN!!! ---Will Ferrell
Hmmm...
We just may. Actually I have a nice pic o the Crown board with Greinke on it, would probably be even better.
C'MON CHEN!!! ---Will Ferrell
by averagegatsby on Jul 5, 2010 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions
I was worried for a minute.
Looked up Wolf Creek, WY and it is 155 miles NE of Grass Creek. Thought the Mariners had routed us back into the mountains for a minute.
Wow, I f'ed that one up.
Maybe unconsciously I figured both teams have been so bad that wolves finally took over.
- .-. ..- … – / – …. . / .—. .-. - .. . … …
by Jeff Zimmerman on Jul 5, 2010 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Our favorite map of Wyoming has an area of "wolves" indicated on it.
Maybe that’s where the mistake came from.
They have a "belief system"
We have “the Process.” Which is better? Sounds like a discussion thread waiting to happen.
The significant problems we have cannot be solved at the same level of thinking with which we created them. -- Albert Einstein
by The Ol' Perfesser on Jul 5, 2010 3:40 PM EDT reply actions
I vote for the Process of Belief (which is a pretty decent Bad Religion album).

"I DARE you to make less sense."
Davies - Fister?
wow, sounds like the makings of a tasteless joke contest!
~~~if there is one thing i absolutely know for sure its... ummmm uhhh.... uhhh
nevermind
Doug's parents Willie and Ivana
and his siblings Amanda and Woody will all be in attendance Wednesday.
Hardy-har.
by Steve Perry on Jul 5, 2010 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Fister as in the South Hampton's Fister-Bottoms?
by Official Arrowhead Pride Parade on Jul 5, 2010 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions
or here
http://www.amazon.com/Rachel-Fisters-Blister-Amy-MacDonald/dp/039565744X
"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell
No Prisoners
I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.
by philofthenorth on Jul 5, 2010 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions
At least we avoid Lee
BUT night Banny vs King Felix could be a blood bath tonight.
Jamie freakin Wright, nuff said.
Would love to know what Cameron thinks of the GM this year.
Is it all bad luck or did they overestimate what they had/would get offensively?
Glad I came, just wish I hadn't stayed so long.
People ask me what I do in winter when there’s no baseball...Rock Chalk Talk
Kind of funny to me
that so many around here loved everything the Mariners brass were doing last year and now it just looks horrible. “That Mariner FO is so forward thinking”. Well they’re pretty bad. Go Royals.
by I need more Esteban on Jul 6, 2010 10:36 AM EDT reply actions
It was the little moves 2 years ago that we liked
It showed it was possible to win with great defense. They had a 24 game improvement over 2008, yet didn’t score a ton of runs. Was there overperformance in there? Probably. Just like there’s some underperformance this year. I highly doubt the Mariners are actually this bad.
I think they got the same bounce that Moore did.
The team was so bad, just a few moves helped for a huge improvement. Getting from 72 wins to 82 wins is much easier than going from 82 to 92. I also see the Mariner’s FO making moves for a while just to make moves (why did they carry both Sweeney and Griffey is beyond me).
- .-. ..- … – / – …. . / .—. .-. - .. . … …
by Jeff Zimmerman on Jul 6, 2010 2:07 PM EDT up reply actions

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