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Slightly OT: Accuracy of crowdsourcing falls when others' estimates are learned
Link
wired.com
"In a new study of crowd wisdom — the statistical phenomenon by which individual biases cancel each other out, distilling hundreds or thousands of individual guesses into uncannily accurate average answers — researchers told test participants about their peers’ guesses. As a result, their group insight went awry.
Although groups are initially ‘wise,’ knowledge about estimates of others narrows the diversity of opinions to such an extent that it undermines collective wisdom, wrote researchers...."
So by my count we're making each other dumber by commenting about our Royals expectations.
