FanShot

How Kila Ka'aihue helps explain the compounding error of SSS.

Just a short blurb to show two things 1) Applying a small streak to a small sample can radically change the inference of a statistic 2) It is way too early to make any sort of judgement on Kila's performance this year. Kila is hitting a horrible .195/.295/.317 line this season. Obviously, he is struggling and a good many people are ready to give up on him. However, over his last 8 games, Kila is hitting a fairly mediocre .276/.344/.448 for a 1B. This has raised his BA almost 50 points, his OBP 25 points, and his SLG 72 points. If Kila were to repeat the best 8 game stretch of his career, Kila would be hitting .232/.317/.464 on the year and we would be praising his rebound and high effort character. If you were to remove his worst 8 game stretch of this season, Kila would be hitting .245/.344/.433 on the year and we would be disappointed, but probably not having the send Kila down discussion. A change of just 8 games can make a pretty drastic change on a how one interprets a player's season when it is this early. It is probably too early to make any real judgement on the guy one way or another. Interesting side note: If Kila were to repeat his best 8 game streak, it would increase his CAREER OPS 50 points. That's pretty dramatic. Interesting side note #2: Kila has never been hit by a pitch in his MLB career. Kendall thinks he's weak.

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