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Rey Navarro: the Prospect from nowhere?

On May 2, 2010, the Royals traded prospect reliever Carlos Rosa to the Arizona Diamondbacks in exchange for shortstop Rey Navarro.  Navarro was a third round pick of the D-Backs in 2007 who hadn't hit at all in his first few professional seasons.  At the time of the trade last May, many of us were puzzled why the Royals would deal a promising prospect arm off of a team that had an awful bullpen (I seem to recall this was around the same time as the Josh Rupe experiment).  Baseball America had Navarro as the number 12 prospect in the Arizona system, but most people did not agree with the trade for a no-hitting middle infielder.  Throughout the prospect dominance of the Royals' 2010, however, Rey Navarro continued to hit like a non-prospect.  Then something changed a bit.

Navarro_medium

via pinetarpress.com

On 6/18/11, Navarro hit his 6th and 7th homers of the season.

Star-divide

While sample size is a concern so far this year, many of the reports of Navarro around the time of the 2007 draft and during his early minor league years reported that his flashy defense was what wowed scouts, but he also had another tool that occasionally flashed itself: power.  From Baseball America in 2007:

"Righthanded-hitting shortstop (my note here: he is a switch hitter according to B-R) Reynaldo Navarro was the player to make the best impression last week in Puerto Rico. He was compared to Rey Ordonez for his easy, if flashy infield actions and skill with which he fields and throws.

"He swings the bat with some pop," the scout said. "He’s got some outer-half issues and he’s a little guy . . . but he has really performed well. He’s a high-energy guy."

That evaluation seemed to be lost in the shuffle as Navarro scuffled through the minors and his first season after his trade for the Royals.  He was even moved off of Shortstop to make room for recently drafted (and also scuffling in the minors) Christian Colon.  By some accounts, some of the Royals people were really impressed with Navarro this spring, and he has carried some offense with him into the season (his age 21 season) at High-A Wilmington.

Christiancolon2011topps_medium

via ahairoffsquare.files.wordpress.com

Colon has struggled in the minors and may be re-joined by the man he displaced in Wilmington shortly.

In 276 PA in Wilmington (a notoriously tough place to hit), Navarro has hit .283/.335/.476, with only 36 strikeouts and 16 walks.  He has 7 homers, 7 triples, and 14 doubles.  Extrapolating those numbers out would make for a very impressive season seemingly coming out of nowhere.  That hidden "pop" that scouts had raved about has suddenly and abruptly revealed itself, and it may make for a promotion for the young Navarro, to the much more hitting friendly Texas League and Arvest Ballpark in Northwest Arkansas.

Prior to this season, nwroyal had rated Navarro as the 47th rated prospect in a loaded Royals farm system.  While some of the high end guys have been promoted and others have struggled or been injured, Navarro may have found his sea legs and start his move up the system.  The only prospect type guys at his position are Colon, Giavotella, Bianchi, and long-term minor league guys like Irving Falu.  However, I've noticed there still isn't that much buzz about Navarro, whether he's moving up some of these prospect rankings or what some of the reasons for his sudden and (to RR readers) mostly unexpected ability to hit and with power.  Keep an eye out for Rey Navarro, as sometimes we still need to be reminded of some of the more hidden successes from the minor league system.

In other news, Carlos Rosa is now in Japan.

 Carlos-rosa-royals-150_medium

via www.blogcdn.com

Rosa at one time was a highly-rated prospect in the Royals system and now merely serves as a reminder of how poor our minor league system WAS at the time Dayton Moore took over.

Comment 49 comments  |  3 recs  | 

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Another HR today

When Gia goes to MLB, I expect Bianchi to go to AAA and Navarro to AA.

by taj4444 on Jun 19, 2011 3:18 PM EDT reply actions  

It'll be interesting to see what happens to him this off-season

considering he’ll be Rule 5 eligible. Middle infield prospects are always valuable, but a .333 OBP in High-A might not be considered hitting enough.

by 9il on Jun 19, 2011 6:21 PM EDT reply actions  

without looking it up, I'd say OBP probably good for his age/league, SLG definitely

but what I’m thinking about is his Major League Equivalent which would be a major factor in any team taking him in the Rule 5. The Royals don’t want to protect anyone they don’t have to, so my guess is they promote him and let his results in AA determine whether or not they’ll use a 40-man roster spot on him.

by 9il on Jun 20, 2011 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Im hazy about the Rule 5

Do we have to add him to our 40 man to keep him/would he be worth it?

I’ve never been a big fan of the Rule 5 since essentially it allows teams to grab other prospects, but yeah it does keep teams from stacking up talent…but how is that a downside you know?

by KCTiger on Jun 21, 2011 1:52 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Its a downside

Because teams like the Yankees would just hoard up all these guys and never let them in the big leagues because they wanted depth.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 21, 2011 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nice post.

I had noticed Navarro having good games in Dubya’s nightly posts, but hadn’t thought to go look at his season statistics. Middle infielders are always exciting. Another plus is it seems like he can play SS or 2B—and play them well. Let’s hope the pop keeps up because in a more hitter-friendly environment, those numbers probably get better (unless he’s done all his damage on the road.) I’ll have to check the home/away splits.

by hawkinscm87 on Jun 19, 2011 10:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Good news.

There’s no significant difference in his offensive stats between home/away. His home away numbers go (home/away): doubles—7/7, triples 2/5, home runs 4/4. So everything is constant, for now.

by hawkinscm87 on Jun 19, 2011 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Actually, that's great news.

I’ve read (I think it was devilfingers) that Wilmington inflates triples because it’s so big. If five of his triples are away, they may be more legitimate.

by BrRoyal on Jun 20, 2011 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

Kind of hilarious

That he just happens to be comparable to another SS named “Rey” — really convenient for whoever wrote that, that it worked out that way.

by PopeSoria on Jun 19, 2011 11:17 PM EDT reply actions  

I was taken aback in Dubya's minor league report

When I saw he had 7 HR. Encouraging to see, especially in Wilmington.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 20, 2011 9:56 AM EDT reply actions  

sounds like

a young Mike Aviles type but with maybe a better glove.

by stlJeff on Jun 20, 2011 11:11 AM EDT reply actions  

ha that is funny
It’s time to start considering whether there’s any bad move that Dayton Moore WON’T make

I love how people can predict the future, oh wait

by I need more Esteban on Jun 21, 2011 12:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

so do navarro's 280 plate appearances where he's hit well erase the 1500 plate appearances where he hit terribly?

i hope so, but it’s still too soon to say that he’s really turned a corner. could just be a fluky sample

batter nine you sucky

by marbotty on Jun 22, 2011 1:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

no...but prospects do improve and sometimes come out of nowhere...

he’s still an extreme longshot…but thats better than rosa at this point.

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Jun 22, 2011 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Navarro is certainly more valuable to the Royals, but Rosa’s worse than an extreme longshot? Pitchers who weren’t so good in the U.S. and go to Japan never come back to the majors and pitch effectively?

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jun 23, 2011 12:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Can I believe I’m arguing whether a player who goes to Japan is more of an extreme longshot than a fringe prospect like Navarro? Yes. They are both extreme longshots.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jun 23, 2011 1:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yes.

Scott spent about 75,000 words arguing for Rosa.

Hating life as a Royals fan 365 days a year at Royalscentricity

by Old Man Duggan on Jun 21, 2011 12:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Damn that was entertaining to read

Nothing better than seeing people overreact negatively and act like they can predict the future, only to be totally wrong.

by LimaTime10 on Jun 21, 2011 12:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

yeah can't be right all the time

at the moment of the trade it did look terribly bad. Hindsight

Do these effectively hide my thunder?

by splitty on Jun 21, 2011 12:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

yeah...man...scott was pretty rough on doublestix...

and doublestix ended up being 100% correct…unless of course korea is a step up from the majors and i just didnt know. i hated the trade at the time too, but being so dismissive and such a know it all is rarely a good thing…

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Jun 21, 2011 12:45 AM EDT reply actions  

but being so dismissive and such a know it all is rarely a good thing…

Physician, heal thyself.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jun 21, 2011 12:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

Oh, you two...

Hating life as a Royals fan 365 days a year at Royalscentricity

by Old Man Duggan on Jun 21, 2011 1:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

It just seemed like an odd insight to come from billybeingbilly. Is he completely self-unaware? I admit to sometimes/often being dismissive, a know-it-all, argumentative, arrogant, etc. But if billy thinks that “being so dismissive and such a know it all is rarely a good thing,” then why is it his standard M.O.?

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jun 21, 2011 1:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

im very rarely (if ever) as condescending as you were in that thread....

but i have never denied that i can be a know it all asshole at times…

feel free to find a time where i have been and where i’ve been as wrong

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Jun 21, 2011 2:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Please, you are almost always very condescending with people who disagree with you. And let’s not pretend that you haven’t had your share of being wrong. And please don’t waste your time by responding, “but not as wrong as you were there!!!!!” Rosa didn’t pan out in the majors. Haven’t we all liked prospects and thought they’d succeed and then they didn’t? And it’s not like one less-than-half a season in high-A has turned Navarro into a good prospect. I still think there’s no good reason to think that Navarro will be one of the small percentage of minor leaguers who ever makes it to the majors.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jun 21, 2011 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

This isn’t a contest. My point is that a person who often is condescending shouldn’t be opining about how it really isn’t a good idea to be condescending. Rocks, glass houses, etc.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jun 21, 2011 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

Oh Scotty

you’re obviously a smart dude…but admit it..you can be a condescending know it all at times.

Chiefs Might

by chicks_love_chiefs on Jun 21, 2011 2:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

45 minutes before you posted this, I posted:

I admit to sometimes/often being dismissive, a know-it-all, argumentative, arrogant, etc.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jun 21, 2011 9:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

this post unintentionally set off an old-fashioned RR throwdown

between bitter rivals… and know-it-alls, haha

Todd Haley's kids know more swear words than I do.

by kcisbetterthanstlateverything on Jun 21, 2011 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

The New Market Inefficiency

The new market inefficiency is AAA Relief Pitchers. Dayton beat you all to it. I’m semi-serious.

by WestCoastRoyal on Jun 21, 2011 2:35 AM EDT reply actions  

A switch hitter according to BR

AND to the picture you posted, which shows Rey batting LH.

It's all ball bearings these days!

by CentralChamps20?? on Jun 21, 2011 10:18 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

My main concern

Is that Rey started the season extremely hot, and his average has fallen from over .400 to .283 over the past 4-5 weeks. It’s great to see he’s still hitting for power now, but I need to see his average stabilize and not continue to fall this season before I’ll begin to really get excited about him.

by Prime2U on Jun 21, 2011 10:51 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

It's been a weird season for him month to month

April was spectacular, hitting for average, getting on base and hitting for power. Then May was awful across the board. Now in June he’s not hitting for average or getting on base, but he’s hitting for a lot of power.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jun 21, 2011 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hitting at all is pretty good for a middle infielder in Wilmington

Not that this season makes Navarro a great prospect, but it puts him on the map a little.

by kcdc1 on Jun 21, 2011 5:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

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