FanShot

Someone goes through and runs the numbers on the % chance of a runner being safe at home for a...

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Someone goes through and runs the numbers on the % chance of a runner being safe at home for a third base coach to send them for the run values to break even. On a Sac fly with 1 out, the run only has to be safe 35% of the time for a team to break even. Link to article with larger image: http://baseballandnotbaseball.com/2011/06/20/youve-got-to-know-when-to-hold-them/