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Rosenthal: Dayton Moore Not on Hot Seat

Ken Rosenthal wrote about GMs on the hot seat today, passing along some semi-interesting rumblings. Not mentioned in the piece was Dayton Moore. Thus:

ROSENTHAL REPORTS DAYTON MOORE'S JOB IS SECURE!!

Get the ticker-tape, banner planes, and caligraphers ready.

Of course, since the farm system took a step forward last summer, this is no great surprise. This despite the fact that the team is again struggling at the Major League level and the minor league system isn't quite destroying all comers as it did last year.

Moreover, I'm not sure Dayton Moore's job has ever been in jeopardy. There certainly haven't been many rumors to that effect.

Whether or not it should be is another question.

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I think it takes an owner or CEO that is keeping track of the team

To have a GM on the hot seat. If no one can fire you, you are safe.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jul 19, 2011 11:01 AM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Secure?! Secure!!!!

His job is as much secure as our borders to the south

"Stay Classy Kansas City"

by Mas Cervezas on Jul 19, 2011 12:08 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

I don't think his seat is even warm at this point, but...

If the Royals tank again next season (don’t even flirt with .500), then I think his seat could get very hot. He’s promoted multiple top prospects and more will be coming next year. Moore has decided that the future is now. If that doesn’t start turning into a better W/L record, I think thinks could get dicey for him.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jul 19, 2011 12:12 PM EDT reply actions  

yeah

if they lose 90+ in 2012, he will be fired in 2013 unless the team starts hot. But if they lose 90+ in 2012/2013, Moore is gone by August 2013.

The Glasses run the show now (like when they got Hillman fired) and if DM is promising stuff he can’t backup, he won’t last long.

Follow me on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/bhindepmo
Chairman, The Melky Cabrera Seasoning Sauce. It's great on your outfield!

by BHWick on Jul 19, 2011 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed

I think fall of 2012 will be a decision time for the Royals.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jul 19, 2011 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think you're right, but he also has an out if "his guys" are playing well

The poor record might be escape-able if Hos, Moose, Duffy and/or some other prospects are performing well. He can point to signs that The Process is starting to take hold.

Kila's slash for Apr 20 to May 4, 2011, right before he was sent down: .276 / .344 / .448

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Jul 19, 2011 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

If he doesn't let the prospects come up, his seat is going to get hot in a hurry

All he has is the farm system. If guys like Giovatella and Cain can’t get promoted with the way they’re playing down there, either because Dayton is committed to a short-term solution (Melky) or because he overvalues a mediocre player (Getz), then I don’t see how he maintains any fan support. If they need time to develop, fine. But it’s hard for me to believe Cain has much else to learn at AAA.

by KSinDC on Jul 19, 2011 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bottom 6% in MLB is only struggling?

That was maybe the nicest comment Will has ever posted.

by deezle on Jul 19, 2011 12:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Moore should not be on the hot seat

In the past year, he’s done quite well. Significant moves off the top of my head:

-Doesn’t trade DDJ before 2010 injury: Excused. Can’t predict injury, and it makes sense to wait out the best offer as you approach the deadline.

-Trades crap at deadline including Callaspo, Ankiel, Farnsworth, receives Tim Collins and crap: Something for nothing. Well done.

-Holds Guillen too long, misses chance to evaluate Kila: Unforced error.

-2010 minor league season. Huge success. It’s odd to give Moore credit now for work his staff did years ago, but that’s how it plays into his job security.

-Trades DDJ for crap. Nothing for something. Bad move, but Moore says nobody else was interested. Mitigates the error to some degree, but they should have just taken the compensation pick.

-Signs FA’s Cabrera, Francoeur, Chen, Francis, Betemit. Unbelievable bargain bin shopping here. Every one of them has far exceeded their contract values in productivity.

-Trades Greinke for Escobar, Cain, Odorizzi and Jeffress. Half a season later, this looks like an excellent return, especially considering that Moore’s hand was essentially forced.

-2011 prospect development half-season. Good, but not great. Big names have graduated to the Majors, and while none have dominated out of the gates, this was to be expected. Only Dwyer has really taken his name off the board as a top-level prospect. Cuthbert and Odorizzi, meanwhile, have thrown their names into this ring.

With a year+ like that, if Moore wasn’t fired in 2010, he certainly won’t be on the hot seat now.

by kcdc1 on Jul 19, 2011 12:57 PM EDT reply actions  

Forgot Treanor

Another something for nothing acquisition. Treanor has surprised everyone with his value.

by kcdc1 on Jul 19, 2011 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Take a look at the WAR value of Callaspo, Ankiel and Farnsworth since departing...

and compare that to O’Sullivan and Tim Collins. I don’t know how -.9 WAR for O’Sullivan and Collins (versus a 4.6 WAR from Callaspo, Farnsworth, and Ankiel) rates a ‘something for nothing’ or a ‘well done’. If those players are ‘crap’ then given their subsequent performances, the return is shit.

And since it was DM who signed Guillen, I don’t know how he gets ‘an unforced error’ for being forced to play him.

If women only slept with nice guys...guys would only be nice. And they don't. And we're not.

by setupunchtag on Jul 19, 2011 1:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not sure I agree with that

Ankiel, Callaspo and Farnsy had a 2.4 WAR the year they were traded – I don’t know how anyone could have predicted they would be more valuable this year. If you’re going to bash DM for that, you should praise him for signing Melky, Frenchy and Francis who are matching that output (3.8 WAR) for less money.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jul 19, 2011 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Callaspo was a very good bet to return to being a league average player

He was one season removed from a 2.0+ WAR season, his skills set suggests that was not a fluke, he posted 1+ WAR in less than half time role the previous year, he had adapted well to 3B, and a good part of the dip in production in 2010 was from bad “luck” on balls in play. He was under team control at a reasonable rate. Moore sold low on Callaspo.

by Gopherballs on Jul 19, 2011 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I won't disagree with that

But when you get a chance to start Chris Getz, you have to take it. Look at his Ron Polk Points.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jul 19, 2011 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

There certainly haven't been many rumors to that effect.

Just the usual burps from the Pop Tart Brigade. I’ve heard that it is supposed to take seven or eight years to build an organization, so Moore looks about on schedule.

by Jim Fetterolf on Jul 19, 2011 1:00 PM EDT reply actions  

Seven or eight years?

My Super Bowl plan is twenty years long!
-Signed, Carl Peterson

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jul 19, 2011 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Dayton Moore

A few years from now (if he still has a job), he’ll say 10 years.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jul 19, 2011 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

It will be just depressing as hell

if we’re having this same conversation a year from now.

by LaFLamme on Jul 19, 2011 1:18 PM EDT reply actions  

No way man

Not with studs like Davies, Mazzaro, and SOS ready to take the bump.

Pro-Dayton Moore = Blogger
Anti-Dayton Moore= Troll

by DaytonSucks on Jul 19, 2011 2:05 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

This is a joke right?

Dayton could go 0-162 five years in a row, kill Glass’ dog, and become a Satanic Cult Leader, and even then I doubt his seat would be warm.

There is simply no accountability in this organization. Besides, Glass will probably pocket $35 million+ this season. The bottomline is all that matters. And Dayton Moore is giving him record profits in a crap economy.

The Pope is less secure than that idiot Moore.

Pro-Dayton Moore = Blogger
Anti-Dayton Moore= Troll

by DaytonSucks on Jul 19, 2011 1:20 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Im not sure if anyone in the organization

honestly gives 3/4 of a shit about winning. So I guess maybe I shouldn’t either. They will never say it but it’s hard for me to imagine that they worry over this shit anywhere near as much as we do.

So yeah, why not. No need to shake things up.

If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there is a man on base. — Dave Barry

by ChangingSpeeds on Jul 19, 2011 1:34 PM EDT reply actions  

Think of it like this

You own a restaurant and you hired this great chef from Atlanta. Problem is, the public hates his food and critics say his food is the worst in the business. Yet, you are raking in record profits. You gonna fire the chef? Of course not. Glass is a businessman, pure and simple. And right now, business is good.

Anyone here think Glass wouldn’t gladly take a 0-162 season if it meant a $50 million profit? Wins and losses mean nothing. What should we expect from a WalMart guy?

Pro-Dayton Moore = Blogger
Anti-Dayton Moore= Troll

by DaytonSucks on Jul 19, 2011 1:59 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Cynical?

Dude we are 20 games under .500 in year 6 of the GMs tenure,

Pro-Dayton Moore = Blogger
Anti-Dayton Moore= Troll

by DaytonSucks on Jul 19, 2011 2:06 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

and the owner has done everything anyone could ask of him since DM was hired....

bitch about DM all you’d like…but glass isnt at fault here. he’s thrown whatever resources DM has asked for at every issue….extra minor league team…some of the highest spending in the draft/LA….nearly doubling the major leauge payroll (before this year)…resigning homegrown guys….big FA signings…

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Jul 19, 2011 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

6 years of "doing everything anyone could ask of him since DM was hired"

is a start. By my count, if Glass does that for FIVE MORE years, then that will be 11 years of “doing everything” to offset the 11 years of doing ABSOLUTELY NOTHING RIGHT.

At that point, I’d be willing to concede Glass has ascended to an average owner.

For the record, the next 5 years will probably need to include spending significantly over budget at some point, and therefore incurring a year or two with net losses, in order to still qualify as “doing everything anyone could ask”

If strikeouts are indeed fascist - then find me some starters that believe in fascism

by loyal2sdad on Jul 19, 2011 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is greatly increased spending including a couple years of net losses something one could reasonably ask of an owner?

I don’t think teams usually spend more than their revenues in order to build a winner. While that does happen sometimes, I think those are exceptional occurrences.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jul 19, 2011 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

in the case of Glass, yes

because he is on record as saying he just wants to break even, and he did this whole thing only as a favor to Ewing Kauffman.

I’m taking him at his word. He has actually made decent profits, especially the approx $40m or so he is on pace for this season. To me, that means he should be willing to give some or most of that profit back at the appropriate time – which would mean he would “just break even” over the long haul.

Naturally, he has the right to not do that – but if he chooses that, in my book he’s fair game for suffering any and all slings and arrows any public liar can endure.

If strikeouts are indeed fascist - then find me some starters that believe in fascism

by loyal2sdad on Jul 20, 2011 10:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

We will see how you feel

When Glass let’s Hosmer walk.

Dude is making bank right now. Accept it. The bottomline is the bottomline.

Pro-Dayton Moore = Blogger
Anti-Dayton Moore= Troll

by DaytonSucks on Jul 19, 2011 4:17 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I think we should all hope for Hosmer to walk. If he does, that means he was really good for his team-controlled years.

by hawkinscm87 on Jul 19, 2011 5:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Don't get me wrong.

It would be nice if he gave a discount for the team that developed him, but I don’t think that happens.

by hawkinscm87 on Jul 19, 2011 5:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with Scott on this one -

although I’m not sure that his seat would be all that warm if the Royals tanked next year. He’s begun changing the date to “2013”, and can reasonably use the Greinke trade as a reason for that. He’s also extremely charismatic, especially in regards to ownership (he DID manage to convince him to open the coffers).

Frankly, firing him at this point would be completely unwise. The Royals are committed to a path; let’s make damn sure it doesn’t pan out before giving up.

Gentlemen, you can't fight in here. This is the war room!

by KeepItCopacetic on Jul 19, 2011 2:10 PM EDT reply actions  

No other GM can take what Dayton has built and turn that into a good MLB team?

Fire Moore, keep the minor league and player development parts of the FO including the amateur scouts and let a GM who knows what he’s doing with a MLB team get the Royals into the end zone.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jul 19, 2011 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Seriously

How many years does this clown get? A decade?

Pro-Dayton Moore = Blogger
Anti-Dayton Moore= Troll

by DaytonSucks on Jul 19, 2011 4:18 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

first to go will be Yost. and then hold our breath to see

who’se next clown to sit in the manager’s chair. with some (though its overrated imho) talent flowing in GMDM may yet save his job merely by figuring out finally the relationship between a good manager and won loss record. That generally takes about a year or two—see Tampa.

by Coach Feb on Jul 19, 2011 7:33 PM EDT reply actions  

with some (though its overrated imho) talent flowing in GMDM may yet save his job merely by figuring out finally the relationship between a good manager and won loss record

So he’s going to figure out that there is very little relationship between a good manager and won loss record? See Tampa? What, see that a ton of talent made that team a winner?

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Jul 19, 2011 11:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Of course this is true.

But if we had another person making tactical decisions, I think we would have 3 or 4 more wins this year. There have just been a lot of questionable decisions. Not “hindsight is 20/20” decisions. Not pinch-hitting for Escobar decisions. If you or me were managing, we would have won one or two of those.

by hawkinscm87 on Jul 20, 2011 1:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

When you say "see Tampa"

I think “Lou Piniella”

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by Lum on Jul 20, 2011 11:40 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

HIDER & SONs BOY

What more do we need to see from Dayton Moore.He should be fired now.With this incompetent ownership we really have no chance.

by Cal TJADER on Jul 20, 2011 3:09 PM EDT reply actions  

With "Mission 2012" being used in Rany and Mellinger's work

the casual fan may start to get more restless if the team is still below .500 next year.

Unless I'm wrong...

by Top Ramen on Jul 20, 2011 3:39 PM EDT reply actions  

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