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Following the Royals Top Prospects: 8/19-8/25

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Triple Slash: Batters (BA/OBP/SLG) Pitchers (ERA/FIP/GO:AO)

Triple-A: The Storm Chasers went 4-3 this week, including a four-game split against the Nashville Sounds. They play their third game of a four-game series against the New Orleans Zephyrs on Friday.

Mike Montgomery (5.44/4.37/1.15) - Montgomery made two starts this week. In the first start, the lefty allowed four runs on seven hits in seven innings. Monty fanned six and only walked one batter. In his second appearance, Mike gave up four runs on eight hits in four innings. Montgomery struck out three and walked one.

Lorenzo Cain (.304/.374/.499) - Cain went 7-for-26 at the plate and currently owns a nine-game hitting streak. Lorenzo smacked a double and a home run and drew three walks.

David Lough (.313/.362/.488) - Lough returned to action on Sunday and went 6-15 over the shortened week. The rightfielder collected one double, one homer and walked twice.

Clint Robinson (.327/.403/.937) - Robinson had a strong week, going 11 for 24 at the plate with three walks. Clint smashed three doubles and three homers.

Star-divide

Double-A: The Naturals went 5-2 this week. Northwest Arkansas plays the final game of a four-game series Friday night against the Springfield Cardinals.

Wil Myers (.259/.361/.388) - Myers went 7-23 this week and reached base four more times with walks. Wil hit three doubles and appears to be cutting down on his strikeouts. The rightfielder has only struck out five times in his last ten games.

John Lamb - Disabled List

Christopher Dwyer (5.84/4.50/.85) - Dwyer struggled on Monday, allowing five runs on four hits in four innings. Chris walked four batters, struck out three, and surrendered a home run. In the last month, Dwyer has either had very dominant or very shaky starts with little middle ground or consistency.

Jacob Odorizzi (4.79/5.37/.52) - Odorizzi made two starts this week. On Friday, the right-hander gave up three runs and six hits in five innings of work. Jake fanned seven and walked one, but allowed two home runs. In his second appearance, Odorizzi allowed four runs and eight hits in five innings. Jake struck out five and walked none, but surrendered two more home runs, his 12th homer allowed in 10 games.

Christian Colon (.257/.327/.345) - Colon went 6-21 this week with three walks and two doubles. Strangely, the right-handed hitting Colon has had an abysmal season against lefties, owning a .189/.284/.263 hitting line.

Derrick Robinson (.256/.327/.289) - Robinson picked up eight his in 31 at bats this week. All of the centerfielder's hits were singles and Robinson reached base three times with walks.

Will Smith (4.02/3.96/1.13) - Smith pitched twice this week. He tossed a quality start in his first appearance, allowing three runs and seven hits in six innings. The southpaw struck out five batters and walked one. Will took the complete game loss in his second start, allowing one run and seven hits in eight innings. Smith struck out five and walked two.

Rey Navarro (.275/.323/.333) - Navarro struggled this week, only going 3-23 at the plate. Rey picked up a walk and a stolen base and struck out four times. 

High-A: The Blue Rocks played well this week, going 5-2. Wilmington plays a doubleheader against the Salem Red Sox on Friday.

Timothy Melville (4.37/3.75/1.10) - Melville made two starts this week. Tim pitched well on Sunday, giving up two runs and six hits in six innings. The righty struck out seven and walked one. Melville tossed five innings in his second appearance, allowing three runs on six hits. Tim struck out four batters and walked three.

Noel Arguelles (3.20/3.56/0.73) - Arguelles was optioned down to Rookie ball after reaching his innings limit for the season. 

Low-A: The Cougars had a tough week, going 2-5. Kane County plays the rubber match against Wisconsin Timber Rattlers Friday night.

Cheslor Cuthbert (.280/.350/.421) - Cuthbert struggled at the plate this week, going 2-23. The third baseman did smack his eight home run of the season and drew three walks.

Brett Eibner (.216/.337/.428) - Eibner also had a tough week at the plate, going 3-22. Bret connected on his 12th homer of the season and collected six walks.

Yordano Ventura (4.48/3.16/1.09) - Ventura made two starts this week. The righty tossed a five-inning shutout in his first start, giving up four hits and one walk while ringing up five batters. Yordano threw five innings in his second start, this time allowing two runs on four hits. Ventura struck out four batters and walked none.

Jason Adam (4.34/3.83/1.11) - Adam had two appearances this week. The right-hander was roughed up on Saturday, giving up seven runs (four earned) and seven hits in three innings. Adam struck out three and walked one. In his second start, Jason allowed one run and four hits in five innings, striking out two and issuing no walks. 

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Comments

Display:

Why is Robinson only OPSing

a disappointing 1.340? I had such high hopes for him.

by Sweep_the_Leg on Aug 26, 2011 12:40 PM EDT reply actions  

Scouts Are Never

Wrong.

I used to be an A's fan until they left town and got good.

by philofthenorth on Aug 26, 2011 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah

I thought I’d mess with Connor a little over what is an obvious typo.

But it would be awesome if it was true.

by Sweep_the_Leg on Aug 26, 2011 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Everything ever printed on the internet is true, no exceptions.

by kansasjohn on Aug 26, 2011 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Where's Jim been anyway?

I'm waiting for my wave of talent to arrive.

by mitchfreakingmaier! on Aug 27, 2011 10:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

Monty sure has been disappointing

it seems unlikely he will start out next year in the Bigs.

"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell

by buddyball on Aug 26, 2011 1:13 PM EDT reply actions  

a brazzilion bucks

or 4 schrute bucks

"Things could always be worse." - Buddy Bell

by buddyball on Aug 26, 2011 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd be happy to bet on that

I don’t think even the Royals tools-only analysis would conclude that he’s major league ready, even if he has a good ST.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Although it would be absolutely hilarious and soooooooo DM for Moore to have him start the season in KC’s bullpen. That would quickly be followed by many Moore apologists arguing how this is probably exactly what he needs to fix his problems and develop him as a SP.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

lets see...

luke, paulino and duffy are locks. they probably resign either chen or francis. starter number 5 will be crow, monty or holland more than likely…crow is probably more likely to be in the rotation in april than monty unless monty looks incredible in the spring

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Aug 26, 2011 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

I just hope they won’t (and don’t think they will) ignore his season-long bigtime control problems and rush him to the majors next April. He’s not ready.

Also, in addition to the guys you mention above, I think Moore is going to acquire at least one more SP. I think probably a significant FA (still guessing E. Jackson).

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Why is everyone sold on DM going after Edwin Jackson

I’m definitely not a fan. He had a short peak a few years ago, but has been average to bad other than that. I think the Cardinals are dumb enough to retain him, I mean look what they gave up for a few months of edwin

by YouDon'tPhaseMeGobble on Aug 26, 2011 3:12 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

when was his peak?

b/c he has gradually gotten better every year since 2007….

i dont necessarily think he’d be a great acquisition for this team, but c’mon…he hasnt been average or bad…or getting worse

Fire Everyone

by billybeingbilly on Aug 26, 2011 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think everyone is sold on going after Edwin Jackson

I think that everyone is sold on DAYTON going after Edwin Jackson. It’s just a Daytony thing to do.

by Sweep_the_Leg on Aug 26, 2011 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not saying I'm a big fan of Jackson. I just think Moore probably will target him.

I like Jackson for the right price. I don’t think your analysis of Jackson is correct. A roughly average MLB SP totals about 2 WAR in a season. Here are Jackson’s recent seasons by fWAR:

2009 3.5
2010 3.8
2011 2.9 (so far this season)

Now I think there are reasons to be concerned that his runs allowed will likely be somewhat higher than his FIP, but not greatly. I think he’s at least an average MLB SP, and performs at least at the #3 SP level.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Looking back at his stats

I realize I thought his 2009 with the tigers was as good as I remembered, and since then he hasn’t been as bad as I thought. But I wouldn’t put him at anywhere above average, and our rotation + e.jack = still very shitty

by YouDon'tPhaseMeGobble on Aug 26, 2011 3:46 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Edit

His 2009 WASN’T as good as I had remembered

by YouDon'tPhaseMeGobble on Aug 26, 2011 3:47 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

What is it about Jackson's stats that doesn't look above average?

Over the last 3 years, his ERA, FIP, xFIP, SIERA and tRA are all above average. Not hugely above average, but above average nonetheless.

And yes, adding Jackson alone to this rotation wouldn’t make it a good one. I’m not saying Jackson is the answer or that I’m necessarily in favor of signing him, especially for the kind of long-term, expensive deal he’d require.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

I thinking Francis might be able to get more money that KC is willing to spend

he’s managed to stay healthy all year so far, and he’s outpitching his ERA. Seems Minnesota-bound, at least.

Making watching baseball as fun as doing your taxes.
My Twitter feed.

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 26, 2011 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think Chen is a near lock to be a Royal next season though

KC offers arbitration, Chen accepts, Chen gets a 1 year, $5M contract.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

See: Aaron Crow

2010 = The beginning of a dynasty

by ChiefWildcat on Aug 26, 2011 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, they may well put him in the KC bullpen (as unbelievably stupid as that would be)

But I doubt they’d have him follow an unimpressive minor league season with a promotion to KC’s rotation. See: Aaron Crow.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Actually his peripherals have been similar

He has an inflated ERA because of his league and luck/defense. I bet he receives a long look in ST.

by Connor Moylan on Aug 26, 2011 2:02 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Similar to what?

His brief, unimpressive stint in AA?

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes

I just think its interesting people are so down on this year when its basically the same as his last couple months last year. He really should have stayed in AA.

by Connor Moylan on Aug 26, 2011 2:12 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

That's the thing

I don’t think he was AAA ready. When he got to AA, he didn’t perform well. He shouldn’t have been pushed up to AAA to start this season.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

according to fangraphs:

2010 Montgomery: 18.8 K% 10.2 BB% and an FIP of 3.97
2011 Montgomery: 18.7 K% 10.7 BB% and an FIP of 4.37

I think that’s what Connor was referencing…

I’m not saying Montgomery was stellar in AA… he wasn’t (especially compared to how he dominated High-A). but it may be good enough to pitch in KC.

The Alex Gordon era - www.number4thesmirk.com

by CollininCalifornia on Aug 26, 2011 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

also, BABIP this year in Omaha is .316

last year in AA it was .301 (and .264 in Wilmington).

The Alex Gordon era - www.number4thesmirk.com

by CollininCalifornia on Aug 26, 2011 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

tRA+ of 110 (in a good way) this season

according to statcorner. Just one pitching stat among many, but at least tRA sees him as at least having a decent season, rather than a bad one.

http://www.statcorner.com/pitcher.php?id=543557

Kila's slash for Apr 20 to May 4, 2011, right before he was sent down: .276 / .344 / .448

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Aug 26, 2011 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

well, it's good relative to that league

which, whatever the park league average, is still, like all minor leagues, made of a majority of players who are non-prospects.

Making watching baseball as fun as doing your taxes.
My Twitter feed.

by Matt Klaassen on Aug 26, 2011 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

He's very talented, and for 2012, I'd do what is best for his development

Even if he’s better than other #5 SP options, he certainly doesn’t look major league ready. He’s got at least one big issue to work on. I’d much rather him work on those issues in the minors, rather than help the Royals get to 76 wins rather than 75.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hypothetically what if he COULD help the Royals go from 85 to 86 wins?

Is there a tipping point where it is worth it to you?

The Alex Gordon era - www.number4thesmirk.com

by CollininCalifornia on Aug 26, 2011 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Certainly. In that hypothetical, the additional win he’d provide would be extremely important and could potentially mean getting to the playoffs. If I thought we were close to that, then it might make sense. I think we’re more of a 75-win team, so his extra win would mean little or nothing. But developing his talent would be important for 2013-19.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lough is lefthanded btw

Talked to Jason Adam on Sunday and he said Royals will be shutting him down in the offseason (no instructs)

Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

by kcscoliny on Aug 26, 2011 1:23 PM EDT reply actions  

I thought I said RF, not RH.

If not, my bad. I think its a good idea for the Royals to shut Adam down; he has thrown enough innings for the season

by Connor Moylan on Aug 26, 2011 1:58 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

ya you did and that's wrong also he plays LF

Checkout Royals minor league notes at www.14for77.blogspot.com

by kcscoliny on Aug 29, 2011 8:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think Monty will start next season in KC's rotation or bullpen...

..but I don’t think it will be long before he joins the rotation. I’d bet on late April after Monty has 2-3 good starts in a row.

Killing time until time kills me

by EspeciallyK on Aug 26, 2011 2:15 PM EDT reply actions  

off topic (sort of)

I know I’m not a scout, and it has been a small sample size – but I have to say, so far, Salvador Perez has actually surprised me with his bat. Numbers are not stellar or anything – but perhaps are OK for a catcher. What I’m referring to was our collective fear that he might be completely overmatched with the bat initially in the bigs. He honestly has not looked overmatched. (I sorta judge this by strikeout rate, among other things).

SSS concerns apply, of course. To me, this is one of the more interesting things to watch in September – to see if Perez can survive with the bat once the league starts adjusting to him.

If strikeouts are indeed fascist - then find me some starters that believe in fascism

by loyal2sdad on Aug 26, 2011 2:37 PM EDT reply actions  

I think he'll be in the bigs just long enough for pitchers to NOT really adjust to him.

It’s almost September and the inflated rosters mean more pitchers…. I don’t think September will be meaningful either way for Perez.

The Alex Gordon era - www.number4thesmirk.com

by CollininCalifornia on Aug 26, 2011 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wonder what kind of wOBA we should hope for from Perez

.300 would probably put him slightly below average for a catcher, but with his defense he’s still probably average or better.

He’s basically been a league average hitter, though streaky, in his MiLB career. ZiPS has him at a .290 wOBA the rest of the way.

Kila's slash for Apr 20 to May 4, 2011, right before he was sent down: .276 / .344 / .448

by SagehenMacGyver47 on Aug 26, 2011 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Unfortunately for him small sample size cuts both ways

So far the defensive numbers haven’t been great. In 13 games, he’s throwing out 27% of base stealers and has allowed, 1 Error, 1 PB and 2 WP. That’s not the spectacular, MLB-ready, Gold Glove defense I’ve heard about.

But in reality, I think with a larger sample, the offense will settle down to something genuinely poor and the defense will be much better.

You may know me as NYRoyal.

by Scott McKinney on Aug 26, 2011 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

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