Still too Early Projections: Marcel has Royals at 79 Wins
I believe that is what Scott had us at when he crunched the numbers as well.
4 months ago
RoyalsRetro
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Yeesh.
Detroit’s certainly going to win more, and I think the Indians and Sox will lose less. Also think that a healthy Minnosota team won’t be terrible, but merely meh or bad.
Royals number looks roughly ok, but the rest of the division seems really off to me.
Some have pointed out
That Marcel squashes the extremes, leaving everyone with pretty mediocre records.
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
Haven't looked yet
but any projection system that has Hosmer with anything less than a .420 wOBA in 2012 is obviously flawed
Making watching baseball as fun as doing your taxes.
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Before getting tweaked, read up on regression.
by Matt Klaassen on Jan 30, 2012 4:17 PM EST up reply actions
I think there was a typo there, Matt.
You did mean .520, right?
Sporadically musing on the Royals at both Royals Review and Royalscentricity, pop culture at Inconsiderate Prick, SVU at Munch My Benson and on Twitter at Old Man Duggan
by Old Man Duggan on Jan 31, 2012 12:27 AM EST up reply actions
You can download the ones I ran here
http://rlyw.net/stuff/sg/2012_marcel_v1.zip
But consider them unofficial.
In the comments he says he ran the Marcel projections himself
No, I ran these myself using Python code that Jeff Sackmann(of Minor League Splits fame) provided to run Marcel for any year(s).
Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com
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