Are Royals Losing Their Playoff Dreams Early?

One of baseball's hoariest cliches is that you can't win the pennant (or the division, or the wild card, or the second wild card) in April, but you can lose it. It doesn't hold up logically: games are games, wins are wins, losses are losses, no matter when they take place.

As we really can't say enough, there's much much baseball left to played. Everything seems magnified because the totals are still small. Trust me, before you know it we're going to be deep into summer and its all going to seem like a blur. But here we are.


AL Central Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
Detroit 9 4 .692 0 Lost 1
Cleveland 7 5 .583 1.5 Won 2
Chicago 7 6 .538 2 Won 1
Minnesota 5 9 .357 4.5 Won 1
Kansas City 3 10 .230 6 Lost 8

(updated 4.21.2012 at 11:42 AM EDT)



And it stays early for a long time. Last season, the Indians were 30-15 at some point. Did they win the division? Make the playoffs? Finish above .500? No. There are too many examples, positive and negative, to remind us not to overreact to a bad two weeks, or even a bad month.

But damn, even the effing Twins are ahead of us. The Twins!

But it isn't entirely a numbers game. If the Royals truly flame out and remain well below .500 through, say, that old traditional benchmark of Memorial Day, the team might decide to remain conservative the rest of the season, eschewing possible win-now trades (as unlikely as that sounds) or choosing playing time based on long-term development. (What am I saying? The decisions will be as random as ever.) They might delay calling up one of our magical awesome best farm system ever prospects.

And yes, this start might mean the Royals don't quite have a shiny record for the All-Star Game.

The discouraging thing is that you can really understand how the team is losing: the pitching hasn't been great, the offense hasn't been great. This doesn't look like the 2011 Red Sox starting 2-10, or whatever they did. We've got some bad players playing bad. How about a winning streak?

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Royals Review

You must be a member of Royals Review to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Royals Review. You should read them.

Join Royals Review

You must be a member of Royals Review to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Royals Review. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker