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BTBS article on April W/L records: A recent study conducted of Phillies' monthly winning...

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BTBS article on April W/L records: A recent study conducted of Phillies' monthly winning percentages (dating from 2000 to 2011) indicates a minor correlation between April success (or lack thereof) and end-of-season winning percentage. Instead, the study indicates performances in the months May and June are more telling than April. To begin the study, I found Phillies' month-by-month records from 2000 to present on Baseball Reference and placed them in Excel. I then ran a multiple regression analysis with the Y variable equaling season winning percentage and the X variables equaling the various monthly winning percentages. I did not include the instances where games were played in March or October: * April: .127 * May: .244 * June: .219 * July: .143 * August: .175 * September: .178 The higher the number, the more closely that month is linked to the end-of-season winning percentage. (Not exactly peer-reviewed, but interesting nonetheless, considering the current Royals April Disaster.)

BTBS article
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