The Royals aren't going to make the playoffs this year. They aren't likely to come close. So let's acknowledge this and move forward.
The Royals are 11-19 after 30 games. We all are contractually obligated to dance around at the feet of the "But It's the AL Central Goddess" but it doesn't matter. The Royals aren't playing in the Big 12.
Let's do this again. Over the next 132 games...
- To get to 81 wins, the Royals need to go 70-62, which is a .530 winning percentage.
- To get to 85 wins, the Royals need to go 74-58, which is a .560 winning percentage.
- To get to 90 wins, the Royals need to go 79-53, which is a .598 winning percentage.
The Rangers had a .593 winning percentage last season. So if you think the Royals can play like the 2011 Rangers for 132 games, then yes, they can get to 90 wins. It's going to be hard enough to get back to .500.
Sure, the Royals can make the playoffs. It's on the order of last year's Pirates team making the playoffs (which didn't even come close to happening) or the Orioles or Mariners making the playoffs. Possible, not remotely likely.