Game 103 - Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Indians

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Luis Mendoza has been a much more successful in June and July than he was in April and May. The table below contains some hand-picked statistics to further my argument.


April May June July

FIP

5.69 3.91 3.66 3.57
xFIP 5.40 4.91 3.98 4.18
GB% 55.7% 53.1% 62.5% 48.7%
K% 6.8% 12.2% 15.5% 18.0%
BB% 12.5% 13.3% 6.0% 9.0%
K/BB .55 .92 2.57 2.00

The first two months of the season, Mendoza was a disaster, but he has been perfectly acceptable since June. Analyzing Mendoza's Pitch F/X gives us some clues to the source of his improvement.

The major difference between Mendoza in the Spring and Mendoza in the Summer has been an increased use of his slider, and a decreased use of his changeup. In the first two months of the season, Mendoza threw 91 changeups and 85 sliders; in the second two months, Mendoza has thrown 203 sliders and 28 changeups. The slider has been Mendoza's most effective pitch this season, while his changeup has been his least effective.

Part of the reason why Mendoza's slider is so effective is that it compliments his two-seam fastball very well. Mendoza attempts to locate his two-seam fastball on the same side of the plate no matter what type of hitter is at the plate. The pitch will fade away from left handed hitters, while running into right-handed hitters (all images via Fangraphs).

434669_r_ft__2012_40_14_0_20120726_medium

He successfully avoids the right side of the plate, because the fade on his fastball would bring the pitch back over the plate instead of away from it. His slider compliments the two-seam nicely. If thrown properly, it will look very similar to the two seam fastball before breaking the opposite direction that the two-seam fastball breaks; down and in to left-handed hitters but down and away to right-handed hitters.

434669_r_sl__2012_40_14_0_20120726_medium

Mendoza has hung a few sliders, but for the most part keeps the pitch in difficult spot for hitters to make contact with, and has generated quite a few swing-and-misses on sliders out of the strike zone. Mendoza has posted a 16% whiff percentage with his slider, which is easily his highest for any pitch and above the league average.

Hopefully Mendoza continues his success as the league adjusts to his new pitching style. If he can keep his xFIP around 4.00 in the future, he will provide value for the Royals moving forward.

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