FanPost

April Fools: A Royal History

Jamie Squire

Yuniesky-betancourt-2010-5-7-20-50-20_medium

The Kansas City Royals currently stand at the record of 10-7. Even if they are swept by the Tigers, their record will be an even 10-10. This quick start got me thinking: What did the Royals look like in seasons past in April? Did their records in April signify any important thing about the season? So, I took a look at the previous decade of Royals baseball at Baseball-Reference and came up with this.

Royals in April

Year

April Record

April Win %

Final Record

Final Win %

2012

6-15

.286

72-90

.444

2011

14-13*

.519

71-91

.438

2010

9-14

.391

67-95

.414

2009

12-10

.545

65-97

.401

2008

12-15*

.444

75-87

.463

2007

8-18

.308

69-93

.426

2006

5-17

.227

62-100

.383

2005

6-18

.250

56-106

.346

2004

7-14

.333

58-104

.358

2003

17-7*

.708

83-79

.512

*Includes game(s) in March

Some quick insights:

  • The Royals have been subject to a lot of bad Aprils. Three have been sub-.300 Aprils. That takes a lot out of your team when you're down so much so quickly.
  • Only three Aprils were winning: 2003, 2009, and 2011.
  • There seems to be little correlation between April winning percentage and final winning percentage. The closest years were 2004, 2008, and 2010, where the April and final winning % were within 20 points of each other. The biggest difference was 2003, in which there was nearly a 200 point gap between April and final.

This brought me to another question: How long did Royals teams carry a winning record, if they ever did? When does this season start to become really different?

How long a winner?

Year

Games into season with winning record

Date into season with winning record

2012

5 games

April 10

2011

23 games

April 26

2010

Never

Never

2009

41 games

May 21

2008

17 games

April 18

2007

1 game

April 2

2006

Never

Never

2005

Never

Never

2004

7 games

April 13

2003

162 games

September 28

There's some interesting data here, and some horrifically depressing data too.

  • One non-2003 Royals team made it into May with a winning record
  • Teams generally carried winning records two or three weeks into the season
  • Between April 13, 2004 and March 31, 2008, the Royals spent one day with a winning record; almost four years
  • In almost every year, the Royals encountered a 6+ game losing streak within April or May. This kind of streak, so early, can suck the energy from a season really quickly. The Royals need to avoid this bug if they want to compete.

So, the Royals could end up to be horrifically bad or good. Just be glad that the Royals aren't losing 100 games still.

This FanPost was written by a member of the Royals Review community. It does not necessarily reflect the views of the editors and writers of this site.

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