Dayton Moore's first round picks, idealized

It's easy to say what could've been ... so let's do it!

Dayton Moore came to Kansas City in 2006, and although he is said to recused himself from the draft that year, it happened while he was on the job. So, we're going to count it for him in this exercise ...

Which is idealizing the draft picks made during his tenure. According to Baseball Reference, these are the first round picks made during his time as general manager.

Year Rnd DT OvPck RdPck Pos WAR G AB HR BA OPS G W L ERA WHIP SV Type Drafted Out of
2013 1 8 8 Hunter Dozier (minors) SS 4Yr Stephen F Austin State University (Nacogdoches, TX)
2013 1 34 34 Sean Manaea (minors) LHP 4Yr Indiana State University (Terre Haute, IN)
2012 1 5 5 Kyle Zimmer (minors) RHP 4Yr University of San Francisco (San Francisco, CA)
2011 1 5 5 Bubba Starling (minors) OF HS Gardner-Edgerton HS (Gardner, KS)
2010 1 4 4 Christian Colon (minors) SS 4Yr California State University Fullerton (Fullerton, CA)
2009 1 12 12 Aaron Crow (minors) RHP 2.9 215 0 0 215 16 11 3.15 1.31 3
2008 1 3 3 Eric Hosmer (minors) 1B 4.5 497 1918 51 .276 .747 HS American Heritage HS (Plantation, FL)
2008 1 36 36 Mike Montgomery (minors) LHP HS Hart HS (Santa Clarita, CA)
2007 1 2 2 Mike Moustakas (minors) SS 4.0 417 1509 41 .236 .668 HS Chatsworth HS (Chatsworth, CA)
2006 1 1 1 Luke Hochevar (minors) RHP 2.5 190 16 0 .063 .125 190 43 61 5.10 1.35 2
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/4/2014.

The first thing you might notice there is the half-a-win by which Eric Hosmer has outproduced Mike Moustakas. Seems

like more than that, doesn't it? Anyway, we'll start from the most recent and work our way back.;

2013 picks: Hunter Dozier, Sean Manaea

It's impossible to tell. Looks pretty good right now though. Minor League Ball's John Sickels has Manaea listed at No. 44 overall and Dozier at No. 85 on his latest prospects list. Basically what Sickels' list says is that if the 2013 class was redrafted right now, both Dozier and Manaea would be top ten picks.

2012 idealized: Michael Wacha || Actual pick: Kyle Zimmer

20131007_jla_al8_144.0_medium

If Zimmer ends up being even half as good as Wacha has been in his early career, the Royals would literally put on a parade through the Plaza. The difference between the two probably has a lot more to do with the systems they were drafted into, but even so, Wacha is the clear-cut favorite to have a better career.

2011 idealized: Jose Fernandez || Actual pick: Bubba Starling

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I don't even know what to type here. Most evaluators see Starling as a fourth outfielder and Fernandez was making a case for being the best pitcher in baseball before undergoing Tommy John on May 16 ... which is why his right arm is a cartoon in this picture.

2010 idealized: Chris Sale || Actual pick: Christian Colon

20130716_ajl_ae5_232.0_medium

The over/under for Chris Sale Cy Young awards is probably about the same as the over/under for Christian Colon's career fWAR.

2009 idealized: Mike Trout || Actual pick: Aaron Crow

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Twenty other teams whiffed on Trout, but it stings more for the Royals because everything stings more when your last pennant is older than most of your players.

2008 idealized: Buster Posey, Wade Miley || Actual picks: Eric Hosmer, Mike Montgomery

491862225.0_medium

Guess how many players have a higher fWAR through 60-ish games this season than Hosmer has in his entire career. (HINT: The answer is his jersey number plus two). Posey isn't one of them, but the MVP and the championships would've been pretty cool, I guess. Can't be sure because I have no experience. It's a fantasy of course, but if Posey had been drafted by the Royals, he might very well have ended up with Brett Hayes' body.

2007 idealized: Madison Bumgarner || Actual pick: Mike Moustakas

495364691.0_medium

Sorry.

2006 idealized: Clayton Kershaw || Actual pick: Luke Hochevar

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...

★★★

Hindsight is 20/20, I know ... but shouldn't at least one guy in a Major League organization be able to make out the giant E on the Snellen chart?

640px-snellen_chart_medium

★★★

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