Catchers
Projected
.293/.324/.436/.760
4.0% BB rate, 11.2% K rate, .307 BABIP, .143 ISO
Actual - 445 PAs, .267/.306/.413/.719
4.7% BB rate, 12.1% K rate, .278 BABIP, .146 ISO
Salvy cooled off a little this quarter of the season. Let's hope he gets back on track for the stretch run.
Brett Hayes
Projected
.233/.274/.485/.759
5.1% BB rate, 25.7% K rate, .268 BABIP, .252 ISO
Actual - 53 PAs, .135/.151/.212/.362
1.9% BB rate, 22.6% K rate, .154 BABIP, .077 ISO
Yuck.
Infielders and DH
Billy Butler
Projected
.296/.370/.451/.821
10.2% BB rate, 15.4% K rate, .328 BABIP, .154 ISO
Actual - 475 PAs, .277/.324/.386/.710
6.7% BB rate, 16.0% K rate, .316 BABIP, .109 ISO
No punch still - but hitting better now that he's in the field due to Hosmer's injury.
Eric Hosmer
Projected
.283/.339/.431/.770
8.0% BB rate, 15.0% K rate, .311 BABIP, .148 ISO
Actual - 445 PAs, .267/.312/.377/.689
6.1% BB rate, 16.6% K rate, .307 BABIP, .110 ISO
Currently injured.
Omar Infante
Projected
.293/.320/.421/.741
4.4% BB rate, 10.2% K rate, .307 BABIP, .128 ISO
Actual - 418 PAs, .260/.300/.362/.661
5.5% BB rate, 10.8% K rate, .277 BABIP, .102 ISO
Infante's BABIP is keeping him down a bit. A little higher and we'd be in business with my projection.
Alcides Escobar
Projected
.256/.282/.334/.616
3.5% BB rate, 13.7% K rate, .286 BABIP, .078 ISO
Actual - 450 PAs, .275/.311/.366/.677
4.2% BB rate, 15.1% K rate, .322 BABIP, .091 ISO
Esky still hitting well (for him). I love it.
Mike Moustakas
Projected
.242/.295/.393/.687
6.4% BB rate, 17.5% K rate, .268 BABIP, .151 ISO
Actual - 353 PAs, .199/.261/.386/.648
7.9% BB rate, 15.9% K rate, .197 BABIP, .187 ISO
Heck, if Moose could ever learn to beat the shift and drive it the other way, this could get serious. He's doing better and could possibly improve more than that.
Danny Valencia
Projected
.255/.290/.441/.731
5.0% BB rate, 18.0% K rate, .279 BABIP, .186 ISO
Actual - 119 PAs, .282/.328/.382/.710
5.9% BB rate, 22.7% K rate, .354 BABIP, .100 ISO
Since traded. Apparently he just got on base too damn much for the Royals.
Johnny Giavotella
Projected
.281/.350/.404/.754
9.0% BB rate, 13.0% K rate, .307 BABIP, .124 ISO
Actual - 37 PAs, .176/.216/.265/.481
2.7% BB rate, 13.5% K rate, .172 BABIP, .088 ISO
Pedro Ciriaco
Projected
.263/.280/.358/.638
3.0% BB rate, 16.0% K rate, .300 BABIP, .095 ISO
Actual - 49 PA, .213/.229/.255/.484
0.0% BB rate, 18.4% K rate, .263 BABIP, .043 ISO
Not pretty for Ciriaco either.
Outfield
Norichika Aoki
Projected
.312/.378/.420/.798
8.5% BB rate, 8.2% K rate, .326 BABIP, .108 ISO
Actual - 400 PAs, .272/.342/.346/.687
8.3% BB rate, 9.8% K rate, .303 BABIP, .073 ISO
Just drive the ball a little better, Nori. You'll get more hits then hit my projection right on. OK, a lot more hits to hit that.
Alex Gordon
Projected
.282/.350/.449/.799
8.7% BB rate, 19.9% K rate, .333 BABIP, .167 ISO
Actual - 471 PAs, .278/.352/.431/.783
9.1% BB rate, 18.3% K rate, .322 BABIP, .153 ISO
Just drive the ball in the gaps a little more and we're golden.
Lorenzo Cain
Projected
.264/.320/.401/.721
6.8% BB rate, 20.4% K rate, .316 BABIP, .137 ISO
Actual - 358 PAs, .299/.338/.410/.748
5.0% BB rate, 21.5% K rate, .377 BABIP, .111 ISO
Man, talk about your high BABIP! Love it.
Jarrod Dyson
Projected
.253/.316/.339/.655
8.4% BB rate, 16.8% K rate, .299 BABIP, .086 ISO
Actual - 222 PAs, .286/.333/.342/.675
6.8% BB rate, 16.7% K rate, .344 BABIP, .055 ISO
Man, this is what he's doing with a near .350 BABIP, he better never drop near .300 or below.
Justin Maxwell
Projected
.239/.316/.446/.762
9.2% BB rate, 32.8% K rate, .326 BABIP, .207 ISO
Actual - 45 PAs, sent down.
Starting Pitchers
Projected
34 starts, 232 innings pitched, 6.824 IP/start
1.177 WHIP, 8.1 H/9, 0.9 HR/9
8.1 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 3.28 K:BB
3.18 ERA, 3.36 FIP
Actual - 26 starts, 172 1/3 IP, 6.628 IP/start
1.21 WHIP, 9.1 H/9, 0.9 HR/9
7.15 K/9, 1.83 BB/9, 3.91 K:BB
3.29 ERA, 3.66 FIP
Last we checked in, he was struggling. Big Game James is back at it instead of what it was last quarter.
Jason Vargas
Projected
30 starts, 191 1/3 innings pitched, 6.378 IP/start
1.291 WHIP, 9.1 H/9, 1.2 HR/9
6.1 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 2.41 K:BB
4.00 ERA, 4.24 FIP
Actual - 22 starts, 143 1/3 IP, 6.515 IP/start
1.21 WHIP, 9.04 H/9, 0.88 HR/9
6.03 K/9, 1.82 BB/9, 3.31 K:BB
3.45 ERA, 3.77 FIP
Vargas continues to walk less than expected, leading to a lower ERA and FIP. Keep it up, Jason!
Jeremy Guthrie
Projected
30 starts, 180 innings pitched, 6.00 IP/start
1.383 WHIP, 9.9 H/9, 1.3 HR/9
5.7 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 2.22 K:BB
4.25 ERA, 4.53 FIP
Actual - 24 starts, 151 2/3 IP, 6.319 IP/start
1.35 WHIP, 9.85 H/9, 1.13 HR/9
5.82 K/9, 2.31 BB/9, 2.51 K:BB
4.45 ERA, 4.47 FIP
About what I thought.
Yordano Ventura
Projected
31 starts, 165 innings pitched, 5.323 IP/start
1.394 WHIP, 8.8 H/9, 0.7 HR/9
9.1 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, 2.42 K:BB
3.82 ERA, 3.31 FIP
Actual - 23 games, 22 starts, 133 IP, 5.970 IP/start
1.30 WHIP, 8.73 H/9, 0.88 HR/9
7.78 K/9, 2.98 BB/9, 2.61 K:BB
3.45 ERA, 3.71 FIP
Ventura is pitching well, but I think he's capable of striking out more and being slightly better. I'll take this as a rookie, though.
Bruce Chen
Projected
30 starts, 160 innings pitched, 5.333 IP/start
1.288 WHIP, 9.1 H/9, 1.2 HR/9
6.1 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 2.40 K:BB
4.16 ERA, 4.34 FIP
Actual - 11 games, 7 starts, 46 2/3 IP
1.67 WHIP, 12.34 H/9, 1.35 HR/9
6.56 K/9, 2.70 BB/9, 2.43 K:BB
6.56 ERA, 4.59 FIP
Chen is who we thought, just older.
Danny Duffy
Projected
40 games, 40 innings pitched
1.175 WHIP, 7.2 H/9, 0.7 HR/9
11.7 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, 3.47 K:BB
3.38 ERA, 2.56 FIP
Actual - 24 games, 18 starts, 115 2/3 IP, 5.963 IP/start
1.09 WHIP, 6.38 H/9, 0.70 HR/9
7.08 K/9, 3.42 BB/9, 2.07 K:BB
2.57 ERA, 3.84 FIP
Remember, I had his numbers as a reliever. They should be worse than my projections. Some are, some aren't. Pretty awesome since he's in the rotation now.
Bullpen
Greg Holland
Projected
67 games, 70 innings pitched
1.043 WHIP, 6.2 H/9, 0.4 HR/9
12.7 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 3.96 K:BB
1.93 ERA, 1.96 FIP
Actual - 49 games, 47 1/3 IP
1.01 WHIP, 6.27 H/9, 0.57 HR/9
13.12 K/9, 2.85 BB/9, 4.60 K:BB
1.71 ERA, 1.99 FIP
When he exceeds even your hopes and dreams...wow.
Kelvin Herrera
Projected
68 games, 70 innings pitched
1.086 WHIP, 7.1 H/9, 0.9 HR/9
9.9 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 3.67 K:BB
2.70 ERA, 3.06 FIP
Actual - 50 games, 50 IP
1.22 WHIP, 7.20 H/9, 0.00 HR/9
7.74 K/9, 3.78 BB/9, 2.05 K:BB
1.62 ERA, 2.79 FIP
Keep outpitching that FIP, buddy!
Wade Davis
Projected
60 games, 75 innings pitched
1.187 WHIP, 7.8 H/9, 0.7 HR/9
9.4 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 3.25 K:BB
3.60 ERA, 2.98 FIP
Actual - 50 games, 52 1/3 IP
0.90 WHIP, 4.64 H/9, 0.00 HR/9
13.93 K/9, 3.44 BB/9, 4.05 K:BB
0.86 ERA, 1.35 FIP
Ummmm...If Davis continues to be better than Holland, this bullpen is ridiculous. Almost Pat Neshek-esque.
Louis Coleman
Projected
53 games, 73 innings pitched
1.151 WHIP, 6.8 H/9, 0.7 HR/9
10.6 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, 2.97 K:BB
2.22 ERA, 2.96 FIP
Actual - 18 games, 17 1/3 IP
1.56 WHIP, 8.83 H/9, 0.52 HR/9
5.19 K/9, 5.19 BB/9, 1.00 K:BB
4.15 ERA, 4.80 FIP
Yuck.
Francisley Bueno
Projected
40 games, 40 innings pitched
1.300 WHIP, 8.6 H/9, 0.7 HR/9
6.8 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 2.14 K:BB
2.93 ERA, 3.58 FIP
Actual - 19 games, 25 IP
1.20 WHIP, 8.64 H/9, 0.00 HR/9
6.48 K/9, 2.16 BB/9, 3.00 K:BB
2.52 ERA, 2.41 FIP
Great year for the lefty so far.
Aaron Crow
Projected
60 games, 55 innings pitched
1.345 WHIP, 8.3 H/9, 1.0 HR/9
8.8 K/9, 3.8 BB/9, 2.35 K:BB
3.27 ERA, 3.77 FIP
Actual - 54 games, 47 2/3 IP
1.22 WHIP, 7.36 H/9, 1.32 HR/9
5.29 K/9, 3.59 BB/9, 1.47 K:BB
3.02 ERA, 5.06 FIP
Last year as a Royal? Should be.
Tim Collins
Projected
68 games, 61 innings pitched
1.393 WHIP, 7.5 H/9, 0.7 HR/9
9.7 K/9, 5.0 BB/9, 1.94 K:BB
3.54 ERA, 3.63 FIP
Actual - 18 games, 17 1/3 innings, 1.56 WHIP, 8.83 H/9, 0.52 HR/9
5.19 K/9, 5.19 BB/9, 1.00 K:BB, 4.15 ERA, 4.78 FIP
The Royals need a LH reliever badly.
Michael Mariot
Projected
20 games, 30 innings pitched
1.400 WHIP, 9.6 H/9, 0.9 HR/9
6.9 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, 2.30 K:BB
3.90 ERA, 3.82 FIP
Actual - 17 games, 25 IP
1.72 WHIP, 11.16 H/9, 0.72 HR/9
7.56 K/9, 4.32 BB/9, 1.75 K:BB
6.48 ERA, 3.93 FIP
Bleh.