Royals Review: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:





Mark Grudzielanek

#15 / Second Base / Kansas City Royals

6-1

200

R

R

Jun 30, 1970

G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG
2008 - Mark Grudzielanek 69 269 33 84 19 0 3 19 19 30 2 1 .312 .366 .416

Reshaping the Roster, A Retrospective: Part I The Position Players

With the trade deadline looming and the continued pursuit of the roster/organization on everyone's mind  it's worthwhile to take a look at the moves Dayton Moore has already made. Part I takes a look at how the position players with the big club. Stay tuned for Part II (big league pitchers) and Part III (minor leaguers).

It was 2006, Lebanon and Israel were doing their thing, FEMA did a "heckuva job" in New Orleans and the Royals were supposedly beginning an era of competence (as per Posnanski after Opening Day) thanks to a bizarre December spending spree that brought in Mark Grudzielanek, Doug Mientkiewicz, Joe Mays, Paul Bako and Reggie Sanders. (Vintage RR posts here and here.) Meanwhile, the franchise was a full season behind the Beltran trade and preparing for the Jackson County Stadium Tax Subsidy Vote. In a stunning coincidence, Bud Selig "promised" Kansas City an All-Star game pending a proper allocation of JC's limitless public monies.

To a surprising extent, the 2006 lineup, as Moore more or less inherited it, remains the 2008 edition. You can find good teams that have had more turnover than this:

2006 2008
C Buck Buck
1B Mientkiewicz Gload
2B Grudzielanek Grudzielanek
3B Teahen Gordon
SS Berroa Pena
RF Sanders Teahen
CF DeJesus DeJesus
LF Brown Guillen
DH Sweeney Butler
B-C Bako Olivo
Bench Graffanino Gathright
Bench German German
Bench Stairs Aviles
Bench Costa Callaspo

The 2006 Royals went 62-100.

You can quibble with some of these slots as they are crudely defined here -- for example, I'm considering Gathright a bench player in the table above, although he's actually played more innings in CF than anyone else -- but for quick and dirty purposes these are the positions according to the organizational masterplan for the two seasons. As in Gathright's case, for some of the players "bench" may not be quite the right label, but more or less it works, and I've included only the additional players who logged significant playing time.

What stands out is how much holdover there has been. Three of the positions are exactly the same, although perhaps not without some controversy. Buck is still the primary catcher, Grudzielanek is still at second base and DeJesus is still in center. Moreover, Mark Teahen remains an everyday fixture in the lineup, although he's shifted from third base to the outfield, and Esteban German is still a utility player. When you factor in that Alex Gordon and Billy Butler, lineup cornerstones if everything goes well, are also Baird-era draftees, the 2008 lineup remains a very Allard creation.

Subjectively and intuitively, the 2008 edition should be better than their 2006 progenitor: the holdovers (Buck, Teahen, DeJesus) should be hitting their peaks, Emil Brown has been upgraded to Jose Guillen and a decline-phase Mike Sweeney has been converted to supposed prospect and pure hitter Billy Butler. Miguel Olivo is a huge upgrade over Paul Bako. Unfortunately, the sum of their parts just hasn't quite added up to being much more better than the Minky era. The 2006 team ended up averaging 4.67 runs per game, better than the current squad's 4.06 average.

Huh?

To start, the holdovers, DeJesus somewhat excepted, have failed to truly break out. Grudz and German are still around and are, as the man sang, still the same. We wait still on Gordon and Butler to truly arrive. Seemingly really easy upgrades at SS and 1B have turned into, umm... Tony Pena Jr. and Ross Gload. This bears repeating. Just find someone better than the worst overall player in the game (Berroa) and one of the weakest first basemen (Minky). He couldn't do it. Where have you gone Doug Mientkiewicz? Jose Guillen has had one insanely awesome month and two bad ones. Finally, although Miguel Olivo has out-hit Paul Bako, Dayton Moore's first big league pickup, Joey Gathright, has eaten up a ton of playing time over the last three seasons and consistently failed to hit. In 237 plate appearances this year, Gator has three extra-base hits. Three. In 248 last year, he had eight. Gains like the Bako/Olivo and the Brown/Guillen exchanges have been mitigated by players like Gathright.

Over the last few months there's been a persistent meme that Moore is focused on rebuilding -- really, "building" should be used throughout this post, since it was so long ago that anything around here was actually built -- the organization's pitching coffers, and that the lineup will be more of a patchwork project. And while it isn't yet clear that the team's lineup core is actually enough of one to bother building around, it was certainly more than there was among the hurlers. Sure, in 2008, Butler and Gordon are disappointments, but they are near locks to improve, at least a little bit. There are problems however, and Moore is not immune criticism for his utter failure to upgrade the roster at two slots, SS and 1B, that looked to be no-brainer/any AAA lifer would have been better. He hasn't found better bench options than what Allard managed in Stairs/Costa/Graffy and it's possible he's done worse.

Lastly, there's the large but mysterious issue of defense. The quality of the team's defense is harder to definitively pin-down, but according to BP's defensive efficiency data, the 2008 squad is, relative to competition, an improvement. Then again, the 2006 team was terrible, posted a D-Eff of .682, good for 28th best in baseball and 13th in the AL. The current team stands at 19th overall and 9th in baseball. (Although the pure number, .698, is not much different.) So regarding defense, Moore has taken a terrible team and produced a below-average one.

The Royals hired Moore on May 31, 2006 and after over two years of his stewardship, the offense is worse than the bad one he inherited.  Considering that he also had nothing to do with Butler or Gordon, and with no notable position prospects in the system, we must conclude that Dayton's handling of the position players in blue and white has been akin to Argentina's performance in the Falklands War: at best, a disappointment, and at worst an abject failure.

 

78 comments | 3 recs

May Numbers: The Offense

 

The Royals finished April with a 12-15 record and ended the fifth month of the year with a 22-34 mark (now 23-34). Considering the month contained the team's epic losing streak, an overall record of 10-19 in May wasn't a total disaster, and could have been much worse.

Let's take a look at how the boys in blue did at the plate in May. First, the team totals:

Runs BA OBP SLG
K.C. Royals 101 .258 .309 .358
AL Average 120 .257 .322 .395

 

101 runs is actually not last in the league, it's tied for 11th. The Angels also scored 101 (in one fewer game) and the Mariners and Indians were worse, scoring 99 and 98 runs respectively, as the new deadball era sweeps across the American League. Despite the advantage of the DH, scoring in the American League is lower than in the NL, which of course can 100% be attributed to PEDs testing. 100%. Everyone who used PEDs was a hitter in the AL. Moving on... The Royals only hit 12 homers in May, which is remarkable. Not surprisingly, no team in the AL was anywhere close to this number, as the league average was 24 homers.It isn't anything like a full consolation, but the Royals did rip 65 doubles in May, second-most in the American League. Weirdly, the Royals continue to not hit triples, despite having some decent triplers getting regular playing time. They hit just 2 in May. Then again, no one ever got poor betting against Joey Gathright's extra base hit totals.

Speaking of Gathright, now about those individual numbers, sorted by OPS:

 

PAs BA OBP SLG OPS
Miguel Olivo 75 .333 .355 .583 .939
Jose Guillen 109 .308 .327 .495 .823
Alex Gordon 120 .262 .352 .393 .745
John Buck 63 .300 .328 .400 .728
David DeJesus 120 .272 .317 .377 .694
M. Grudzielanek 94 .276 .330 .356 .686
Mark Teahen 103 .239 .320 .337 .657
Esteban German 30 .259 .323 .296 .619
Billy Butler 95 .233 .305 .302 .608
Joey Gathright 78 .264 .316 .278 .594
Alberto Callaspo 44 .205 .279 .205 .484
Ross Gload 39 .154 .175 .205 .380
Tony Pena Jr. 79 .156 .177 .182 .359

 

This is how you have a bad month. For a guy who probably won't be in the Major Leagues in 2010, Tony Pena Jr. has generated a ton of discussion this month, but he isn't standing alone in the forest of horribleness. Considering defensive value and where they play, it's certain that Ross Gload (another Dayton pickup) was the worse player in May, and Alberto Callaspo wasn't far behind. You can say the same for Billy Butler, who slugged .302 with no value on defense.

Other than Miguel Olivo's studliness and a decent month from Jose Guillen (characteristically a lack of walks drags down his performance, even when he's hitting over .300) nobody else stepped into the void. Although Gordon (and Teahen) continued to get his walks and John Buck tossed in his annual random month of hitting .300, there isn't much good displayed here. (Expect a .210 average from Buck in June.)

Pitching numbers will be up tomorrow.

25 comments | 0 recs

Measuring Intangibles – the GRIT Average

We statheads are often accused of focusing only on that which can be counted and ignoring the critical intangibles which truly define a player.  Well, that ends today.  After literally minutes of diligent work, I have created a stat which measures grit.  I recognize the inherent difficulty in measuring an intangible.  But grit does manifest itself in a number of quantifiable ways.  I identified the following as important indicators of grit:

Continue reading this post »

51 comments | 4 recs

9-7

Another chance for a mini-sweep, another loss. So should we blame Tomko or Grudz?

 

280417103_royals_angels_62880649_lbig_medium

via www.fangraphs.com


 

Tomko and Grudz managed to turn in nearly identical WPA's for this baby, "leading" the team with -.258 and -.253 marks respectively. Stepping to the plate five times and generating six outs is an impressive feat for Grudz, considering the rest of the team only made 21 outs combined.

Gordon's caught stealing was also totally nonsensical, so could also turn our impotent anger towards Hillman. I'm not gonna mess with Gordo however, his massive arms scare me.

28 comments | 0 recs

Who Has Been Paid More?

Simple question: as of today, April 5, 2008, who has been paid more,over their career, Brett Tomko or Mark Grudzielanek?

Gimme your first guess. Don't study it, just take a guess.

No internet searching allowed, post your guesses in the comments. If you really want to stretch your brain, post a total as well. Answers revealed tomorrow morning, around noon.

(There is no point to this, moral or otherwise, and I'm certainly not trying to make one. Just asking a simple question about a subject we all have an interest in. I was just listening to some '90s U2 and one thing led to another.)

 

14 comments | 0 recs

A Happy Opening Day

One of the old arguments I used to have with my girlfriend was about whether following sports was somehow better than following celebrities, or being a hardcore movie buff, or whatever. It wasn't contentious or anything like that, just something that became a discussion. In defense of sports, which actually most of the time I find to be quite boring and even annoying, I trotted out the standard line that the games, unlike a television show, aren't scripted, which always brings us back. In this case, I consider that to be a cliche that happens to be true. And it's hard to find a more random game, at the microlevel, than baseball.

We got a taste of that yesterday.

 

Continue reading this post »

38 comments | 1 recs


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about Kansas City Royals.

Stories From Around SBN Logo

South Side Sox
Konerko Delivers KO in 15th

More from SB Nation


Site Meter